alright so far perfect on the day! hopefully the dodgers win to make this day good... i'm constantly looking at live lines for the bulls, also probaby going to take the 2h under as well - what do you thinK?
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#213
Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
alright so far perfect on the day! hopefully the dodgers win to make this day good... i'm constantly looking at live lines for the bulls, also probaby going to take the 2h under as well - what do you thinK?
Well annoyed that they are down at the moment, but hopefully they can wake up haha.. Had to sweat it out with the Raptors, but they pulled it off.. I'm 3-1 on the day, +$45 ... Lets see where the night takes me haha
Was going to take the Dodgers, but couldn't pull the trigger because of Ryu's numbers at home lately...
Wow this game has been tight all game, I take U4.5 and they score 2 goals in like 5 minutes.. unreal...
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#216
thats hockey, its hard to bet it live
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#217
wow cant believe the bulls lost like that
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#218
Well this is shaping up to be a shitty day.. Guess that's what I get for betting blind, and not doing my normal research.. Fu$*!!
Madrid / Chelsea (U2) – Risking $28.75 to win $25 – WIN Madrid / Chelsea (2 or 3 Goals) – Risking $30 to win $30 - LOSS Reds / Pirates (U1 1st Inning) – Risking $40 to win $25 – WIN Raptors (-4) – Risking $32.50 to win $25 – WIN Flyers ML – Risking $26 to win $25 – LOSS Brewers ML – Risking $31.50 to win $25 – LOSS Sharks / Kings (LIVE) (U4.5) - Risking $31.25 to win $25 – LOSS Bulls (-4) – Risking $52 to win $40 - LOSS Athletics, Mariners RL, LA Kings, Bulls (-5) – Risking $25 to win $298.96 - LOSS
Today: 3-5 (-$120.75)
YTD: 75-59-2 (+$357.17)
Pending
Mariners ML – Risking $40 to win $25
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#219
Tuesday's SH*T Totals
After a great Monday, Tuesday completely SUCKED! And while I'm upset, I have to take it on the chin because I didn't do my normal research as I normally do everyday. I was at a friends house and just really looking at the matchups and betting blind, so that's what happens when you do that. I'll make sure to not do that again tonight.. Looking at some of the games, I feel confident of another good night.. Here are last nights results..
Madrid / Chelsea (U2) – Risking $28.75 to win $25 – WIN Madrid / Chelsea (2 or 3 Goals) – Risking $30 to win $30 - LOSS Reds / Pirates (U1 1st Inning) – Risking $40 to win $25 – WIN Raptors (-4) – Risking $32.50 to win $25 – WIN Flyers ML – Risking $26 to win $25 – LOSS Brewers ML – Risking $31.50 to win $25 – LOSS Sharks / Kings (LIVE) (U4.5) - Risking $31.25 to win $25 – LOSS Bulls (-4) – Risking $52 to win $40 - LOSS Athletics, Mariners RL, LA Kings, Bulls (-5) – Risking $25 to win $298.96 - LOSS Mariners ML – Risking $40 to win $25 - LOSS
To start, I'm liking the Braves today in the early game, but will have to do some more research...
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#220
Marlins @ Braves
So the Marlins got their first win away from home last night, in a 1-0 game against the Braves. They are 1-7 on their travels, and have been outscored 21-41. They are averaging 5.13 runs against away from home, while they are scoring just 2.63. Not very impressive numbers, heading into an early game against Aaron Harang, who has not given hitters much to smile about. The first game in this series ended in a 4-2 win for the Braves, but both have gone under the total.
Eovaldi gets the ball today (1-1, 3.55 ERA). He hasn't been all that bad this season, but his worst appearance came in his only game away from South Florida. He gave up 7 hits, 4 ER's in 6.1 IP against the Phillies. He bounced back well in his last appearances against the Seattle Mariners who seem to have forgotten how to hit a damn ball. 1 ER and 7 hits in 6 IP were his final numbers in that outing. Now he takes on a Braves team that he has gone 1-1 with a 2.19 ERA against in the last three season in six starts. And in 79 at bats against Atlanta's roster, he's kept them to a .228 batting average.
Aaron Harang's numbers against the Marlins in his last three seasons have been just as encouraging. A 2-1 record with a 3.73 ERA in three starts should give him added confidence, although his four starts this season will have given him plenty of confidence. Harang has only allowed 9 hits in 25.2 innings pitched. He may be able to continue that dominance today, against the Marlins who have struggled to put runs on the board away from home. The stat that does stand out is that the Marlins have a .412 BA against Harang in 85 at-bats. That's a little concerning.
Coming off a late game, and having little turnaround, I'd expect the U7 to be a good pick at -115. The Braves average 3.13 runs per game at home. I think the Marlins could be limited on hits/runs, so it's a matter of whether the Braves can put a lot of runs on the board against Eovaldi. The Braves ML is at -147, but I'm surprised it's not higher seeing how Harang has pitched, plus Miami's poor away record.
I will likely be on the Braves ML, also thinking about the Under. Would have also liked the U1 in first inning, but don't see it available. And also contemplating the U3 TT for the Marlins..
Thoughts?
Comment
CHIB
SBR High Roller
04-21-12
109
#221
If anything, Harang's stats from the past 5 years are pointless because he has never had a four game stretch like the one to start this season.
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#222
Braves ML – Risking $37.5 to win $25 Marlins / Braves (U1, 1st Inning) – Risking $33.75 to win $25
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#223
agree with your pick! anything for the champions league game? i'm liking the over 2.5 a lot, and a small play for bayern at + odds
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#224
Already hit the 1st inning pick.. Now lets hope the Braves can put some runs on the board..
As for the UCL match.. I'm going to take a look right now.. My initial lean is to take 2 or 3 goals.. Also, with both sides on the PK, I could see a draw here, or maybe Real Madrid steal one in a tight game.. like 2-1.. But it's going to depend on the starting lineups.. Rumors that CR7 may actually not play, and that Bale is still sick and may not start.. If that's the case, it's hard to take RM.. So I'll have a better look at it around 1:45 ET, which is when the lineups will be released..
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#225
yeah same here, i think if rm is to win, they have to score 3 goals... its going to be very aggressive, and i can see a high scoring affair here
for mlb - i'm playing the no team to score in the 1st inning, as well as the under 6.5 for the cubs/dbacks game
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#226
Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
yeah same here, i think if rm is to win, they have to score 3 goals... its going to be very aggressive, and i can see a high scoring affair here
for mlb - i'm playing the no team to score in the 1st inning, as well as the under 6.5 for the cubs/dbacks game
I'm debating on the U1 1st inning in the DBacks/Cubs game. The Cubs have been putting up some runs, and Miley has been known to give up some runs this season, so that makes me nervous.
Miley has decent numbers against the Cubs, meanwhile Samardzija has a scary ERA against the DBacks. But then again, he also had a high ERA against the Phillies, Reds & the Cardinals in the last 3 years, and he did quite well against them this season.
The DBacks have combined for 3 runs in the first 2 games, while giving up 14. I'm not sure their bats will wake up today against the Cubs who are hitting the ball well, and on a day that has some significant meaning for Cubs fans and Wrigley Field. I'm still on the fence with the 1st Inning U1, but I do like the Cubs ML at -115, and possibly the DBacks U3 TT at -120.
Thoughts?
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#227
if the cubs win, thats their first sweep... athough its against the worst team in the league - im just staying away from it and playing the under for the game and the first 5 innings
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#228
Also, Both Miley and Samardzija have given up runs in the first inning just once this season.. So makes me want to take the U1, but I'm more concerned about the Cubs bats (Bonifacio) than the DBacks bats in that first inning...
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#229
Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
if the cubs win, thats their first sweep... athough its against the worst team in the league - im just staying away from it and playing the under for the game and the first 5 innings
Wouldn't be a sweep. They are playing a 4 game set, with game 4 tomorrow afternoon (Bolsinger vs Jackson)
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#230
oh your right, i didnt see there was a game 4.. still i dont remember the cubs winning 3 in a row in a very long time. Not that this should impact your decision making, but just saying certain trends exist for a reason.
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#231
lets just hope the braves score a few runs here.. i really like the ucl match to goto 3-4 goals, im not sure if 2-3 goals will be a good bet but who knows, you were spot on yesterday
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#232
Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
oh your right, i didnt see there was a game 4.. still i dont remember the cubs winning 3 in a row in a very long time. Not that this should impact your decision making, but just saying certain trends exist for a reason.
Oh trust me, I totally agree haha, But Samardzija has pitched well this season and he's 0-2, and I just have this feeling he finally gets his first W today.
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#233
Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
lets just hope the braves score a few runs here.. i really like the ucl match to goto 3-4 goals, im not sure if 2-3 goals will be a good bet but who knows, you were spot on yesterday
Yeah I just see it as being a tighter game than everyone expects. I thought the O/U would open at 3.5, so when I saw 2.5 i was surprised... 2 teams like this, with a 2.5 O/U... seems odd.. I'm gonna wait till 5 mins before kick off , but i'm really pushing for a 2/3 goal match....
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#234
Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
yeah same here, i think if rm is to win, they have to score 3 goals... its going to be very aggressive, and i can see a high scoring affair here
for mlb - i'm playing the no team to score in the 1st inning, as well as the under 6.5 for the cubs/dbacks game
Nice hit on the 1st inning U1...
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#235
Real Madrid / Bayern Munich (2 or 3 Goals) – Risking $30 to win $30
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#236
Was going to take U1 in 1st inning of A's and Rangers game, but there have been runs in the 1st inning of their first 2 games, so going to pass. But I may go with the A's in this spot. Perez does not have good numbers against the Athletics, posting a 5.79 ERA in the last 3 years. And the A's have tagged Perez with a .313 ERA in 67 at bats. It's a lot of juice for the ML at -160, but I'll take the chance here...
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#237
so far your 2-3 goals looks pretty good, hopefully they can keep this up. I put some money on the 3 way draw for a live line, and a little bit on bayern. Game could have easily been 1-1, 2-1 either side with some rare misses from point blank range on both sides
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#238
Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
so far your 2-3 goals looks pretty good, hopefully they can keep this up. I put some money on the 3 way draw for a live line, and a little bit on bayern. Game could have easily been 1-1, 2-1 either side with some rare misses from point blank range on both sides
Yeah it's been tight. As I expected, Real Madrid have to explore the counter-attack, as they are a team built for speed and direct football, opposed to Bayern who will pass you to death, until they can find that perfect pass/opportunity.. I could see maybe 1 more goal in the 2nd half..
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#239
I expected the Real Madrid game to be tight, but damn only 1 goal.. Crazy!!
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#240
yeah i dont think anyone in the world could have predicted a shutout by real madrid... theyre not really known for their defense
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#241
lol the cubs blow a 3 run lead in the 9th.... lol on the 100 year anniversary.. pretty happy to take the over live bet of 7.5 for +385 right before the 9th lol
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#242
You can't even make this stuff up.. Up 5-2 heading into the 9th, and they blow the lead, and lose.. Unbelievable...
Well, onto some picks for tonight...
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#243
yeah made a killing last night on the first two games including hitting a bunch of parlays - than I decide to put it on the bulls to win SU.... haha can't script this right?
anyhow what are you looking at tonight?
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#244
Looking U1 in the 1st inning of the Reds / Pirates game.. Neither pitcher has given up a 1st inning run this season. I also like the Reds in this game, but I think I like the 1st inning total better...
Thoughts...
Comment
mgoncalves10
SBR Wise Guy
01-01-14
931
#245
Also, the U1 1st inning in the Cards / Mets game. Good pitching matchup between Wacha and Niese.. Both games in the series have been low scoring, and I think it could be another low scoring affair tonight. Wacha has good numbers against the Mets in his short career, and Niese has good numbers against the Cards, despite their lineup having a batting average of over .300 against him.
If I had to pick a side here, Id go Cards just because of their offensive weapons...