Great bet for Sunday...my gift to you!

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  • AndrewMcCutchen
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-18-12
    • 326

    #1
    Great bet for Sunday...my gift to you!
    SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL: 4/6/14

    DODGERS/GIANTS OVER 6 1/2 (I'm going large on this one, lines way too low)

    Here's why...

    total runs in 2014 so far:

    Giants - 2nd
    Dodgers - 9th

    I know it's early but Baseball is a game of streaks and these two offenses are hot out of the gate.

    Giants runs so far...9,4,2,8,8,7. They scored more than 6.5 runs 4 out of 6 games this year by themselves.

    Matt Cain is on the bump for the Giants. He looked very hittable in his start @ the D-Backs earlier in the week. 5 IP, 2k, 7 hits, 2 walks, 2 ER. Coming off his off year last year with a 4.00 era, I just don't think he's the same pitcher as earlier in his career. Here's what the Dodgers did to Cain in 2013...

    Either 4/11 .364 avg
    Puig 3/8 .375 avg (1 hr, 1bb)
    CC 5/15 .333 avg (2 sb, 1bb)
    Hanley 2/7 .286 avg (2 bb)
    Kemp 2/8 .250 avg (1hr, 3bb)
    Uribe 5/11 .455 avg (5rbi)

    The Dodgers counter with Grienke. He looked sharp in his opener, and while I think he's a great pitcher, we all know his tendency to get rocked. San Fran's offense can put it to him in a hurry.
    I think this is a great bet and can end the week on a positive note! Good Luck to everyone!

  • Killer_Demo
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-15-08
    • 8409

    #2
    Strong lean for me
    Comment
    • drfunkmaster
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-29-08
      • 11162

      #3
      giants win
      Comment
      • Killer_Demo
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-15-08
        • 8409

        #4
        Nobody else is on this?
        Comment
        • AndrewMcCutchen
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-18-12
          • 326

          #5
          I'm liking Grienke at -143 for 1 unit.
          Comment
          • oneguy
            SBR MVP
            • 01-14-13
            • 1063

            #6
            Originally posted by Killer_Demo
            Nobody else is on this?
            He has good analysis. The problem is that everytime somebody start with "my gift to you" or "thank me later", they usually end up losing.
            Comment
            • AndrewMcCutchen
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-18-12
              • 326

              #7
              I didn't mean to come off cocky or anything, I just identified an edge and wanted to share it with the community here. I've been betting bases long enough to know that you should never be "too confident" in any one particular pick. Sorry if I offended anyone...good luck to all on the OVER 6.5! Lets get rich!
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                You don't find it odd that with all of that being said, the total is only 6.5?

                Air is different at C-R at night.
                Comment
                • oneguy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-14-13
                  • 1063

                  #9
                  It's nice and sunny here and temp around 80 right now. Game start at 5 so it's still bright and sunny for at least a couple hours into the game. Line low because of the name of the pitcher. Matt Cain and Greinke. Public just look at ERA and recognizable name and pick under in this game. But Matt Cain is nowhere near what he used to be (before signing that huge contract).

                  Andrew, I like your take on this game. Gonna chew on this for a while cause game won't start in a couple hours. I was just worry about bad karma. Just look at a few thread below "absolute locks" or something like that. Guess how that turned out.
                  Regardless, appreciate your sharing though. GL with all your bets tonight.
                  Comment
                  • AndrewMcCutchen
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-18-12
                    • 326

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    You don't find it odd that with all of that being said, the total is only 6.5?

                    Air is different at C-R at night.

                    I just don't see a pitching duel tonight...These teams hate each other, their bats will be alive tonight!
                    Comment
                    • oneguy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-14-13
                      • 1063

                      #11
                      Matt Cain is gonna get rock tonight. Question is can the Giants score off of Greinke? if the Giants can score more than 2 runs, game will go over. Still thinking ........... Maybe Dodgers themselves can score more than 6.5 runs.
                      Comment
                      • oneguy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-14-13
                        • 1063

                        #12
                        Going for it. Dodgers -1.5 and over 6.5
                        GL2A
                        Comment
                        • AndrewMcCutchen
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-18-12
                          • 326

                          #13
                          Originally posted by oneguy
                          Going for it. Dodgers -1.5 and over 6.5
                          GL2A

                          GL TO YOU!
                          Comment
                          • AndrewMcCutchen
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-18-12
                            • 326

                            #14
                            Matt Cain 4 ER thru 4 innings...just about what I expected. 3 HRs allowed. The problem is Greinke looks nasty out there. 4-0 Dodgers top 5.
                            Comment
                            • oneguy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-14-13
                              • 1063

                              #15
                              Exactly what I worry about. SF can't score off of Greinke
                              Comment
                              • Killer_Demo
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-15-08
                                • 8409

                                #16
                                Pence solo shot....almost there!
                                Comment
                                • AndrewMcCutchen
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-18-12
                                  • 326

                                  #17
                                  5-2 Dodgers after 6 innings! That's a winner in my book. Hope you guys tailed!!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • oneguy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-14-13
                                    • 1063

                                    #18
                                    Good read on the over Andrew. Yes I tailed. Now waiting for my Dodgers -1.5.
                                    Comment
                                    • AndrewMcCutchen
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-18-12
                                      • 326

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by AndrewMcCutchen
                                      I'm liking Grienke at -143 for 1 unit.
                                      Hopefully a +6 unit night for me to top off an incredibly exciting opening week of MLB. I'll stick around and try to beat the books with everyone. I've been a baseball nut for as long as I can remember (I'm 30). Here's to a great 2014 mlb season!
                                      Comment
                                      • oneguy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-14-13
                                        • 1063

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by AndrewMcCutchen
                                        Hopefully a +6 unit night for me to top off an incredibly exciting opening week of MLB. I'll stick around and try to beat the books with everyone. I've been a baseball nut for as long as I can remember (I'm 30). Here's to a great 2014 mlb season!
                                        Yeah, till tomorrow my man.
                                        Comment
                                        • AndrewMcCutchen
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-18-12
                                          • 326

                                          #21
                                          No Puig No Problem!
                                          Comment
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