And The Winneers Are $$$$$

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  • vegasreaper
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-27-11
    • 5656

    #1751
    Originally posted by LetsgoJay
    Choo choo! It's not a race it's a marathon! VR you had 1 bad day out of the week so let's consider that paying taxes! You came out with positive units today! Good luck tomorrow!
    Thank you my friend and now we are at a positive 57.20 units. Here we go with Fridays plays. Strange all the road teams

    955-COL-100
    963-TOR-135
    965-CWS+110
    967-SEA+120
    969-NYY-155
    971-DET-110
    973-LAA-135
    975-SFG+105
    978-HOU-1.5-115

    AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL. WILL BE ADDING CHC RL ALSO PROBABLY JUST NO LINE AS OF YET
    Comment
    • nash13
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-14
      • 1122

      #1752
      As promised before I uploaded a document with all season picks of VR.
      I took closing line for popular bookie from oddsportal.com, so there could be discrepancies between the odds actually proposed by Vegasreaper and the ones in the sheet. Secondly I divided the selections by ML and RL picks. So even if VR offered to take the RL i included the ML pick in the document and vice versa.



      So based on the odds and results of the picks there are some very useful informations that may help VR or others to determine long time effects.
      Away selections are superior to Home selections,especially Away Dogs are including huge value on the Reverse Run Line. So taking a supposed dog 1.5 would double the profit compared to the ML selections.
      My simple conclusion would be take Favs on the ML and Away Dogs on the Reverse Run Line. Maybe other could look for certain odd ranges, I used decimal odds, so it is up to you to calculate American Odds.

      As for the various staking methods mentioned before. If you are good at taking Dogs, it is always better to play them with the same units as Favs. Son naturally overvaluing them bey using the same amount lead to higher rewards. That's the bias in the retrospective analysis of these kind of results.

      If there any mistakes, please let me know and I will correct them.
      Last edited by nash13; 06-17-16, 07:29 AM.
      Comment
      • RavensFan2k3
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-18-12
        • 17378

        #1753
        Originally posted by vegasreaper
        Thank you my friend and now we are at a positive 57.20 units. Here we go with Fridays plays. Strange all the road teams

        955-COL-100
        963-TOR-135
        965-CWS+110
        967-SEA+120
        969-NYY-155
        971-DET-110
        973-LAA-135
        975-SFG+105
        978-HOU-1.5-115

        AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL. WILL BE ADDING CHC RL ALSO PROBABLY JUST NO LINE AS OF YET
        Great work my friend! Good luck!
        Comment
        • chaka
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-29-09
          • 437

          #1754
          Guys I'd be cautious laying -1.5 with Cubs today
          Bats cooled after wash series wind expected blow in 11+ mph and 4 of arrietta last 7 games 1 run win or loss... (Corrected)

          He's given up 9 runs last 24 inn
          Low posted total of 7
          plus first home game after 9 game road stand
          no Kris Bryant in lineup
          Last edited by chaka; 06-17-16, 11:42 AM.
          Comment
          • Puffdog
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-09-16
            • 109

            #1755
            What does that mean? You think he will give up alot of runs? Or not because of the low total. Maybe play on total?
            Comment
            • chaka
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-29-09
              • 437

              #1756
              Originally posted by Puffdog
              What does that mean? You think he will give up alot of runs? Or not because of the low total. Maybe play on total?
              I think low scoring game. Took longer at store so didn't get in undervplay
              Comment
              • vegasreaper
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-27-11
                • 5656

                #1757
                Chicago Cubs RL by the way was 130
                Comment
                • chaka
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-29-09
                  • 437

                  #1758
                  Im at twins and storm moving in. Wind howling
                  Guys in bp launching balls out stadium entry in rf
                  Comment
                  • vegasreaper
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-27-11
                    • 5656

                    #1759
                    Originally posted by chaka
                    Im at twins and storm moving in. Wind howling
                    Guys in bp launching balls out stadium entry in rf
                    Good over then chaka?
                    Comment
                    • chaka
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-29-09
                      • 437

                      #1760
                      Ill update just before gane as they just covered infield. We may be in for delay
                      Ill keep posted
                      Comment
                      • chaka
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-29-09
                        • 437

                        #1761
                        Wind died humidity up heavy air
                        Comment
                        • vegasreaper
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-27-11
                          • 5656

                          #1762
                          Originally posted by chaka
                          Ill update just before gane as they just covered infield. We may be in for delay
                          Ill keep posted
                          Great thanks my friend and thanks for all work on charts
                          Comment
                          • chaka
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-29-09
                            • 437

                            #1763
                            I am passing total more weather coming. Which might creaye more delays Potential delays but humidity is way up from 35 min ago
                            Comment
                            • dvb02
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-30-09
                              • 2944

                              #1764
                              Originally posted by vegasreaper
                              Thank you my friend and now we are at a positive 57.20 units. Here we go with Fridays plays. Strange all the road teams

                              955-COL-100
                              963-TOR-135
                              965-CWS+110
                              967-SEA+120
                              969-NYY-155
                              971-DET-110
                              973-LAA-135
                              975-SFG+105
                              978-HOU-1.5-115

                              AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL. WILL BE ADDING CHC RL ALSO PROBABLY JUST NO LINE AS OF YET
                              Good luck tonight VR!!
                              Comment
                              • chaka
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-29-09
                                • 437

                                #1765
                                Reports temp 76 with 79% humidity but virtually no wind right now
                                Comment
                                • vegasreaper
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-27-11
                                  • 5656

                                  #1766
                                  Originally posted by chaka
                                  Reports temp 76 with 79% humidity but virtually no wind right now
                                  Yuk you can keep that weather. I'll take my 110 and 10% humidity in Vegas anyday!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • nash13
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-21-14
                                    • 1122

                                    #1767
                                    made a small calculation error, but everything looks fine now. the main analysis from above stays valid.
                                    Comment
                                    • vegasreaper
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-27-11
                                      • 5656

                                      #1768
                                      Originally posted by nash13
                                      made a small calculation error, but everything looks fine now. the main analysis from above stays valid.
                                      Thanks my friend for all your hard work
                                      Comment
                                      • chaka
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-29-09
                                        • 437

                                        #1769
                                        got tied up with people who knew me on con courseBut humidity passed and air is light
                                        Ball is moving bigtime even with no wind.
                                        Ill be playing in gane alot
                                        Comment
                                        • chaka
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-29-09
                                          • 437

                                          #1770
                                          Beginning to rain
                                          Comment
                                          • vegasreaper
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-27-11
                                            • 5656

                                            #1771
                                            I got it at over 8. Sure started good. Thing don't like about playing totals is when you have side also. So hopefully Yankees score all 9 runs
                                            Comment
                                            • chaka
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-29-09
                                              • 437

                                              #1772
                                              Its 9 not even thru 4. Good job reaper!
                                              Prob be n vegas next week. I would like to chat in person if you have an hr
                                              Comment
                                              • vegasreaper
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-27-11
                                                • 5656

                                                #1773
                                                Easy win thanks my friend
                                                Comment
                                                • vegasreaper
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-27-11
                                                  • 5656

                                                  #1774
                                                  Originally posted by chaka
                                                  Its 9 not even thru 4. Good job reaper!
                                                  Prob be n vegas next week. I would like to chat in person if you have an hr
                                                  Sounds good
                                                  Comment
                                                  • vegasreaper
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-27-11
                                                    • 5656

                                                    #1775
                                                    Lol good thing they got those runs early..well a win is a win
                                                    Comment
                                                    • vegasreaper
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-27-11
                                                      • 5656

                                                      #1776
                                                      Had a nice little positive day thanks to your totals pick on Yankees. Thanks,however officially we lost .35 units. So now at 56.85 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • vegasreaper
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-27-11
                                                        • 5656

                                                        #1777
                                                        Here are the plays for Saturday 6-18

                                                        906-NYM-1.5-115
                                                        908-CHC-230
                                                        909-WAS-1.5-130
                                                        911-MIL+150
                                                        914-MIN+135
                                                        916-BAL+110
                                                        918-BOS-155
                                                        922-CLE-220
                                                        924-KCR-140
                                                        927-SFG+120

                                                        AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Capybara
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-17-08
                                                          • 11803

                                                          #1778
                                                          Originally posted by chaka
                                                          Im at twins and storm moving in. Wind howling
                                                          Guys in bp launching balls out stadium entry in rf
                                                          Good shit with these weather reports, chaka, wish I'd seen them. No better way to cap a game then someone is at the game reporting the situation!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chaka
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 12-29-09
                                                            • 437

                                                            #1779
                                                            Originally posted by Capybara
                                                            Good shit with these weather reports, chaka, wish I'd seen them. No better way to cap a game then someone is at the game reporting the situation!!
                                                            Lol thx gotta find edge anyway we can

                                                            parlaying Cubs -230 with wash -240 100 pays +103.
                                                            Today I'm going this route on the chalky teams
                                                            Books are really moving the money against top favs on the alternate lines wash rl up to -150. Mets -1 -210 wow no thanks
                                                            im laying rl against shields & white sox though

                                                            Like your card today reaper
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chaka
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-29-09
                                                              • 437

                                                              #1780
                                                              Under 7.5 @ Arizona at philly
                                                              greinke won 6 straight with era hair over 2.00
                                                              phillies scoring barely 2 runs a game last 10

                                                              eckhoff allowed only 2 runs in last two including beating Cubs
                                                              should be pitchers duel and neither pitcher walk many
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vegasreaper
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-27-11
                                                                • 5656

                                                                #1781
                                                                Originally posted by chaka
                                                                Under 7.5 @ Arizona at philly
                                                                greinke won 6 straight with era hair over 2.00
                                                                phillies scoring barely 2 runs a game last 10

                                                                eckhoff allowed only 2 runs in last two including beating Cubs
                                                                should be pitchers duel and neither pitcher walk many
                                                                Looking good on that under my friend
                                                                Comment
                                                                • vegasreaper
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-27-11
                                                                  • 5656

                                                                  #1782
                                                                  WTG Washington...way to implode..what a joke
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • vegasreaper
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-27-11
                                                                    • 5656

                                                                    #1783
                                                                    Well could have been a bigger day but I'll take a plus day as a plus day. We are now at +58.50
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • vegasreaper
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-27-11
                                                                      • 5656

                                                                      #1784
                                                                      HAPPY FATHERS DAY!!!!! to all you fathers out there. Here we go with a perfect Fathers Day 6-0

                                                                      955-ARI-140
                                                                      959-MIL+195
                                                                      966-BAL+100
                                                                      971-DET-115
                                                                      973-LAA+105
                                                                      980-STL-155

                                                                      AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • dvb02
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 06-30-09
                                                                        • 2944

                                                                        #1785
                                                                        Happy Father's Day to you VR! Hope you have a great one!
                                                                        Comment
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