Tommy Karate/Baseball Plays/2014

**RollinDo** · 10-11-14, 10:45 PM

Man...guess I worry too much about my +420 bet on SF to win NL.
Every time I bet vs Giants in playoffs I lose...0-4 now.
Just going to bet Cards series (hope it's +120 or better) and just bet on each game...well, I would have bet Cards regardless tonight.
O's hurting me too...will be betting KC next 2-3 games.
I have Orioles +170 and +190 for series to go 6 games...Both are probably toast, but if O's can get the next game, who knows?

Hey - at least we hot the Under in Cards game.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-12-14, 01:34 PM

Sunday 10.12

(2u) Cards -130
(4u) Under Cards/Giants 6.5)

**44 Mag** · 10-12-14, 03:35 PM

I hope it is not 100 degrees. For your sake. LOL.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-12-14, 03:40 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

I hope it is not 100 degrees. For your sake. LOL.

good night for pitchers;

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. WIND RIGHT TO LEFT 4-9. GAME TEMP 60, RH 83%

**Tommy Karate** · 10-12-14, 09:09 PM

what is lynn doing throwing all fastballs? i realize he doesnt have a big arsenal, but you cant survive in this league with a 94mph 4 seamer...

**Pauulzcappin** · 10-12-14, 09:12 PM

ugh, thought we had this game in the bag

**Tommy Karate** · 10-12-14, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

ugh, thought we had this game in the bag

yeah...hopefully i at least get the cards but the bigger play was under....waited too long to book and was never able to get 7

**RollinDo** · 10-13-14, 12:24 AM

Under usually solid play with these 2 pitchers this season.
Probably an Under in next couple games in SF.
I put in wager for Cards to win series for +170 yesterday.
So regardless of who wins series will be alright.
Still rather have Giants...would win 2x as much.

**RollinDo** · 10-13-14, 12:25 AM

Going with Royals for Gm3.

**Pauulzcappin** · 10-13-14, 12:32 AM

royals and over are my leans. like the over a bit more.

**RollinDo** · 10-13-14, 07:20 AM

Royals plus $ now on 5Dimes.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-13-14, 08:21 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Going with Royals for Gm3.

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

royals and over are my leans. like the over a bit more.

i went orioles.....too long of a layoff for guthrie since his last start.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-13-14, 08:21 AM

Monday 10.13

(3u) Orioles -105

**Tommy Karate** · 10-13-14, 08:24 AM

rosenthal blew the win in the 9th?? i went to bed after seeing 4-3 on espn..
exactly why i said i was backing SF - im glad SL came back for the win, but feeling even better now about SF long term.

**44 Mag** · 10-13-14, 08:35 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

i went orioles.....too long of a layoff for guthrie since his last start.

So TK, wouldn't over be the way to go here???

**Tommy Karate** · 10-13-14, 09:43 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

So TK, wouldn't over be the way to go here???

the umpire joe west hits overs at a ridiculous rate this season; other then that, nothing really entices me to play over. guthrie may last 5inn, but then the bullpens step in and thats not a good thing for the over..
i lean under but prob nothing on the total..

**Tommy Karate** · 10-13-14, 09:53 AM

Tuesday 10.14

(3u) Giants -120

**44 Mag** · 10-13-14, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

the umpire joe west hits overs at a ridiculous rate this season; other then that, nothing really entices me to play over. guthrie may last 5inn, but then the bullpens step in and thats not a good thing for the over..
i lean under but prob nothing on the total..

OK, hear you brother, but what about Chen ??? Giving up 5 runs in 3.2/3 innings vs. Tigers, and his 12.27 ERA in the playoffs, albeit, I think it was just that game ???

**Pauulzcappin** · 10-13-14, 10:21 AM

over is probably the best play. i hate both of these pitchers but chen can actually pitch despite a shitty showing against the tigers.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-13-14, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Playoffs Week 1: 9-10 (-32.15u) ~ Futures Recorded (Indians -1u; Orioles +3.3u)
M3: 1-1 (-1.2u)
M5: 0-2
Miller_0-1
Guccione_0-1
Non-Auto: 9-10 (-29.15u)
------------------------------------------------
MLB YTD : 769-683 (+61.9u)
M1: 25-25 (+20.4u) - Tracked off 3u per play
M2: 2-1 (+2.7u) - Tracked off 3u per play
M3: 28-28 (-44.6u) - Tracked off 12u per play
M4: 63-55 (-10.95u) - Tracked off 3u per play
M5: 151-148
Culbreth_15-13
Winters_9-5
Iassogna_18-11
Kulpa_18-12
Cuzzi_13-13
Hudson_13-16
Guccione_9-20
Barksdale_15-15
Baker_14-14
Miller_15-15
Bellino_12-14
Non Auto: 534-467 (+92.95u)

Playoffs Week 2: 6-5 (+8.15u) ~ Futures Recorded (Cards +3.6u)
M3: 1-0 (+12u)
M5: 2-0
Cuzzi_1-0
Hudson_1-0
Non Auto: 4-5 (-5.85u)
==================================
MLB YTD : 775-688 (+70.05u)
M1: 25-25 (+20.4u) - Tracked off 3u per play
M2: 2-1 (+2.7u) - Tracked off 3u per play
M3: 29-28 (-32.6u) - Tracked off 12u per play
M4: 63-55 (-10.95u) - Tracked off 3u per play
M5: 153-148
Culbreth_15-13
Winters_9-5
Iassogna_18-11
Kulpa_18-12
Cuzzi_14-13
Hudson_14-16
Guccione_9-20
Barksdale_15-15
Baker_14-14
Miller_15-15
Bellino_12-14
Non Auto: 538-472 (+87.1u)

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Tuesday 10.14

(3u) Giants -120

(1u) Over Giants 7

**msads** · 10-14-14, 03:09 PM

good luck

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by msads

good luck

you too

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 03:28 PM

gotta love lackey in the day and the cards w/o molina

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 04:04 PM

i didnt want to post this in another thread for the views in PT, but this is for mitch who cried that i had a bad 15 game stretch.
this is why you should never believe anyone who says sports cant be beat long term, or that "math models" are the only way to go. its all bullshit; my style is situational automated plays (similar to algo trading); my big bets for the most part, are known before the season starts; my way is not the only way, or the magical formula, but it works for me.

Its also no coincidence that im better at pro sports, where i know all the players/teams inside out. You do need to know sports and not just gamble based on statistics, math etc...

MLB 2011: +193u
MLB 2012: -33u
MLB 2013: Even
MLB 2014: +70u

MLB Total: +230u
======================
NCAAB 2011: -95u
NCAAB 2012: -3u
NCAAB 2013: +50u

NCAAB Total: -48u
=======================
NCAAF 2011: +29u
NCAAF 2012: -58u
NCAAF 2013: -32u
NCAAF 2014: -15u

NCAAF Total: -76u
=====================
NFL 2011: +8u
NFL 2012: +38u
NFL 2013: +21u (went the other way on super sunday and lost 35u on denver, instead of +10u on seattle - should have been +70u)
NFL 2014: +10u

NFL Total: +77u
====================
NBA 2011: +99u
NBA 2012: +24u
NBA 2013: -4u

NBA Total: +119u
====================

Just ask if you need a link to any of these threads.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 05:06 PM

why is hudson pitching in the 7th with this bullpen, and how he pitched in the 6th??

the veteran completely choked in a big game...

**Pauulzcappin** · 10-14-14, 05:07 PM

dexter, have you considered just simply not playing college at all?

you seem to do very well in all pro sports.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

dexter, have you considered just simply not playing college at all?

you seem to do very well in all pro sports.

of course, but it will likely never happen....i enjoy gambling on them too much. i do feel confident in college hoops off last year, but college football i never seem to figure out. bowl season always kills me....

**1Time!** · 10-14-14, 05:25 PM

Did Bochy really leave Hudson in there to face the Cards lineup a 3rd time????
5th worst OBP in the whole damn competition when doing so!!!!!

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by 1Time!

Did Bochy really leave Hudson in there to face the Cards lineup a 3rd time????
5th worst OBP in the whole damn competition when doing so!!!!!

i dont get it....not with this bullpen

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 06:18 PM

ship it...

**GT21Megatron** · 10-14-14, 06:24 PM

Tommys thread was lights out when the college hoops tourneys started...crushed it

are the Orioles an auto play?

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by GT21Megatron

Tommys thread was lights out when the college hoops tourneys started...crushed it

are the Orioles an auto play?

no its not...

**1Time!** · 10-14-14, 07:48 PM

Relying on the O's to cash a nice double with the Giants.
Preferably less of a sweat than the Giants would be nice for once..........

**Tommy Karate** · 10-14-14, 08:26 PM

Originally posted by 1Time!

Relying on the O's to cash a nice double with the Giants.
Preferably less of a sweat than the Giants would be nice for once..........

i thought they would hit guthrie more then this....