Its a Hottttt day in San Diego, wind negligible- you know what that means?

rnunez91 · 08-21-13, 04:48 PM

agree and im leaning very heavy towards pirates...

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by rnunez91

agree and im leaning very heavy towards pirates...

GL buddy. Yeah I mean after last nights game the Pirates could cover this total alone, but the Padres have been a fade completely, side is no bet for me right now. I do see the Padres scoring some more runs today tho-

Adding Padres Team Total O3.

They've scored 1 run previously two night games, I expect the Padres bats to have greater affect today, taking pitches, having better plate discipline. And if they don't I live close enough to the stadium to kick each one of these schmucks in the balls

the fatts · 08-21-13, 05:02 PM

Love this call....Pirates bats are wakin up - should happen again today. Padres, while checked out, should be lookin for that keg at second base. This early shit on the West Coast is always crazy, especially in SoCal...hopefully you can keep yer steel toes in the closet Jago.

Ghenghis Kahn · 08-21-13, 05:06 PM

san diego's much better vs lefties than righties.

28th out of 30 in ops vs righties.

where as they are 7th in ops vs lefties.

i like pitt way more than the total but gl regardless.

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by the fatts

Love this call....Pirates bats are wakin up - should happen again today. Padres, while checked out, should be lookin for that keg at second base. This early shit on the West Coast is always crazy, especially in SoCal...hopefully you can keep yer steel toes in the closet Jago.

Haha, thanks man.

Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn

san diego's much better vs lefties than righties.

28th out of 30 in ops vs righties.

where as they are 7th in ops vs lefties.

i like pitt way more than the total but gl regardless.

Love those stats Ghenghis, thank you -yeah Padres have hit lefties well this year, especially Kershaw which is just mind-boggling given their struggles against other far less talented pitchers. I just think the Padres could, could, have better results against a fastball pitcher like Cole. We'll see, clearly my lean is on Pitt to continue their tear.

Melda · 08-21-13, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by Jago2008

based on some game variables coupled with:

a park where balls fly out during the day, and stay-in for those 'unders' with that marine layer @ night.

'Over' 7 runs today gentlemen.

10-6 in posted totals.

GL w/ your bets.

Jago you live in sandiego? Just moved out here from cleveland. Got Pitt and thenover

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by Melda

Jago you live in sandiego? Just moved out here from cleveland. Got Pitt and thenover

Yeah I do, welcome! Beautiful city.

So far this is a joke in the first inning we have two walks and two singles no runs -bases loaded- no runs. Men on base in the bottom of the first and Gyorko misses a HR to right field by literally two feet of the right field pole. Men on 1st and 2nd with one out in the bottom of the 2nd no runs... And several extra base-hits taken away.

I swear to God if this shit continues to occur I might have to fade myself. Thankfully its the 3rd inning and there's time, but there's some real finicky things happening in these last two totals I've posted.

Melda · 08-21-13, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by Jago2008

Yeah I do, welcome! Beautiful city.

So far this is a joke in the first inning we have two walks and two singles no runs -bases loaded- no runs. Men on base in the bottom of the first and Gyorko misses a HR to right field by literally two feet of the right field pole. Men on 1st and 2nd with one out in the bottom of the 2nd no runs...

I swear to God if this shit continues to occur I might have to fade myself. Thankfully its the 3rd inning and there's time, but there's some real finicky things happening in these last two totals I've posted.

What part u stay in? Need a gambling buddy to curse at the TV with

NavsPicks · 08-21-13, 06:30 PM

Over is toast.. Sadly
I'm on it

I/O · 08-21-13, 06:41 PM

I just live-bet the Over (5-) even

pacocn · 08-21-13, 06:50 PM

Jago, hitting the Padres game on Friday,
1st trip to petco, I am pumped

NavsPicks · 08-21-13, 06:50 PM

Not gonna happen.. Pitts bats aren't going at all.

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by Melda

What part u stay in? Need a gambling buddy to curse at the TV with

Haha, North County- well we would have something in common currently.

Originally posted by NavsPicks

Over is toast.. Sadly
I'm on it

This is a joke, so many opportunities early gone awry. I'm not going to rule out anything yet because I've seen some crazy things happen, but 1 run through 4... with all these walks and 3 straight innings of RISP..

Originally posted by I/O

I just live-bet the Over (5-) even

I'm going to ride this one out, I still have the Padres TT, but thank you.

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by pacocn

Jago, hitting the Padres game on Friday,
1st trip to petco, I am pumped

Nice man, it is a nice stadium, you're coming at a nice time, weather has been gorgeous lately, although that isn't saying anything new.

Originally posted by NavsPicks

Not gonna happen.. Pitts bats aren't going at all.

Yeah this is a joke bro.

NavsPicks · 08-21-13, 07:00 PM

Lol how's it a joke half games over and 1 run

TwoWays · 08-21-13, 07:03 PM

Originally posted by NavsPicks

Lol how's it a joke half games over and 1 run

not your comment, the game.

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 07:09 PM

Originally posted by NavsPicks

Lol how's it a joke half games over and 1 run

A joke in the sense that we have only 1 run exactly, I have watched Kennedy's starts this year and he's not been this good, period. I know he's a previous 20-game winner, the bases-loaded strike out is what set the tone in this game. I'm sure Pittsburg will get some runs.

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by TwoWays

not your comment, the game.

What TwoWays said.

jessetk313 · 08-21-13, 07:18 PM

Kennedy thinks he is Cy Young tonight. I am not watching this game but either he is dealing or the Pirates have given up and are ready to move on to San Francisco and be content just winning a series there and bury me in the process.

Ghenghis Kahn · 08-21-13, 07:23 PM

pitt bat is the reason why they won't go anywhere in the playoffs.

you can't get shut out by subpar pitchers like kennedy.

oh well, on to the next...

jessetk313 · 08-21-13, 07:39 PM

Yea Ian Kennedy is a bonfide scrub!!

pattymayo · 08-21-13, 07:41 PM

Still have a chance .. Kennedy out of game now, perhaps the bullpens implode

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 07:52 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

Still have a chance .. Kennedy out of game now, perhaps the bullpens implode

Haha.

This is seriously a really frustrating stretch of totals bets. Padres have 11 hits and 2 penetrating runs - the irony is I didn't expect Pittsburg to get blanked like this...

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 07:53 PM

Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn

pitt bat is the reason why they won't go anywhere in the playoffs.

you can't get shut out by subpar pitchers like kennedy.

oh well, on to the next...

Yeah, Pittsburgh didn't show up today.

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 07:58 PM

Guys I'm sorry, especially to those that tailed, put a lot of effort into these totals when I do post.

Frustrating last two posts/bets, seemingly can get everything to go opposite of what one would expect lately, and have situations where an error or an amazing play allows or prevents runs almost impossible to cap.

jay89 · 08-21-13, 08:02 PM

betting totals based on weather is a joke. might as well put some money on red and hope for the best

jessetk313 · 08-21-13, 08:02 PM

I really don't understand how Pittsburgh has won so many games. Even when they win they are underwhelming to watch.

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by jay89

betting totals based on weather is a joke. might as well put some money on red and hope for the best

Go back and read any of my total posts, weather is only a small part of what I include in my analysis, and its been a trend of day games going 'over' in San Diego this year, its nothing like betting red or black in Roulette.

jay89 · 08-21-13, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by Jago2008

Go back and read any of my total posts, weather is only a small part of what I include in my analysis, and its been a trend of day games going 'over' in San Diego this year, its nothing like betting red or black in Roulette.

OK sorry. if the totals were in play, I'd lean over since this is probably the most favorable pitching matchup (of this series) for that.... but the padres offense is pitiful at home.

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 08:20 PM

Ridiculous day today, Padres get 11 hits and only plate two runs so I lose the TT as well. I know ppl go through cold streaks but this is just ridiculous lately with the errors and in this case lack of runs.

Record on my posted totals:

10-7-0 on Total posted plays:

7-4-0 in 'over' bets, 3-3-0 in 'under' bets, 1 NBA 'over' total bet. (approx +~11.2 units. @1u$50)

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by jay89

OK sorry. if the totals were in play, I'd lean over since this is probably the most favorable pitching matchup (of this series) for that.... but the padres offense is pitiful at home.

Its ok man, just been a frustrating last two posted plays.

jay89 · 08-21-13, 09:00 PM

padres have scored 3.0 runs/game, 54 runs in 18 games for the month of august. if you want to get even, take a look at hitting their unders

Jago2008 · 08-21-13, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by jay89

padres have scored 3.0 runs/game, 54 runs in 18 games for the month of august. if you want to get even, take a look at hitting their unders

I generally don't bet any totals related to the Padres recently, this was a result of last nights game, and the recent hitting success w/ RISP by the Pirates. Day games in Petco have had the propensity to go 'over' and I had much less faith in Kennedy than he demonstrated today, it was a matter of a spot play. And the Pirates did nothing offensively, sometimes you have to take a loss as such. I was 10-5 on totals before Tuesday, I'll make up for a brief cold spot.