Can someone provide a solid reason why Reds RL is not the best bet on the board Tues

[ThingsFallApart]

Charlie Morton starting.
Pirates bad on the road.
Reds good at home
Mat Latos good at home
Pirates not scoring a lot of runs

I seriously can not see one angle where getting +115 is not a tremendous bet outside of the pure fact technically if the Reds win it may be by just 1...

[PAULYPOKER]

Reds RL = Easy cash........

[NittanyLionsFan]

Because Pauly likes it.

Oak/Tex over 8 much easier.

[agendaman]

if it looks too easy beware trap sign

[joco]

it is one of the best plays on the board imo. the only caveat is latos last outing was his second worst of the year so far. regardless...im on the reds today

[PerfectGrape]

from fangraphs: Morton went 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA in four starts against the Reds in 2011, his opponent on Tuesday, the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.

latos coming off a bad start, let up 8 hits against the CUBS.

Morton coming off a pretty good start.

Reds are at home, so 1 run lead ends it in the last inning.

pitchf/x shows latos slider wasnt biting as much last start, maybe hes having some issues

[iQon]

Reds always seem to find a way to shit the bed when Latos starts. bats disappear and/or BP blows it

[RavensFan2k3]

from fangraphs: Morton went 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA in four starts against the Reds in 2011, his opponent on Tuesday, the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.

latos coming off a bad start, let up 8 hits against the CUBS.

Morton coming off a pretty good start.

Reds are at home, so 1 run lead ends it in the last inning.

pitchf/x shows latos slider wasnt biting as much last start, maybe hes having some issues

What about the 7.20 ERA he posted vs. Cin in 2012 in 2 starts, going 0-2?

[joco]

from fangraphs: Morton went 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA in four starts against the Reds in 2011, his opponent on Tuesday, the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.

latos coming off a bad start, let up 8 hits against the CUBS.

Morton coming off a pretty good start.

Reds are at home, so 1 run lead ends it in the last inning.

pitchf/x shows latos slider wasnt biting as much last start, maybe hes having some issues

yes but 2011 was 2 years ago...last year in 2012 he went 0-2 with an era of 7.5 against the reds...

[joco]

lol ravensfan u beat me to it! didnt refresh the page and see ur post

[RavensFan2k3]

lol ravensfan u beat me to it! didnt refresh the page and see ur post

haha great minds think alike bro

[PerfectGrape]

Maybe it was worth noting his solid performances occurred in Cincy, not trying to make an argument any which way just throwing it out there.

On April 15, 2011, Morton threw a complete game at the Cincinnati Reds, giving up a solo-home run and 4 other hits while striking out 3. On May 18, 2011, again at Great American Ball Park, Morton threw a complete game-shutout, striking out 5 and giving up 5 hits.[11]
Morton underwent successful hip surgery to repair a torn labrum in October 2011, with a full recovery expected in 4–6 months. He was optimistic to return before Opening Day.[12] However, he began the 2012 season on the disabled list, making his season debut on April 14, 2012. He was eventually knocked out for the 2012 season after having to undergo Tommy John surgery on June 14, 2012.[13]

That probably explained his 2012 performance.

[ThingsFallApart]

from fangraphs: Morton went 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA in four starts against the Reds in 2011, his opponent on Tuesday, the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.

latos coming off a bad start, let up 8 hits against the CUBS.

Morton coming off a pretty good start.

Reds are at home, so 1 run lead ends it in the last inning.

pitchf/x shows latos slider wasnt biting as much last start, maybe hes having some issues

That bolded part is false, I watched the game and he labored through it all, he is lucky he escaped with that line, he got out of HUGE jams all but one inning he was in, and I'm talking 1&3 1 out or second and third two out type things. He looked terrible and now he's is going on the road versus a good offensive team.

Thank for the insight though, I'll take that into consideration.

[PerfectGrape]

That bolded part is false, I watched the game and he labored through it all, he is lucky he escaped with that line, he got out of HUGE jams all but one inning he was in, and I'm talking 1&3 1 out or second and third two out type things. He looked terrible and now he's is going on the road versus a good offensive team.

Thank for the insight though, I'll take that into consideration.

Agreed a bit of a stretch. Decent might be a better adjective considering it's his first game back. He did get a lot of grounders which seems promising, seemed to be a little wild but had good movement. Still a big question mark IMO but there is potential for a good start. Maybe he will settle in today

[OhMyEli]

[drfunkmaster]

latos began right where he left off as...

[OhMyEli]

Though, with Morton in there, the RL is still def in play

[You mad bro]

Though, with Morton in there, the RL is still def in play

Morton gonna throw 7 scoreless tonight.. I hope

[drfunkmaster]

reds wont even sniff 1st base

[ses_d]

Reds let down game...I know this team, its over.

[EXhoosier10]

It's looking like it's going to lose. Reason enough not to make the bet?

[iQon]

It's looking like it's going to lose. Reason enough not to make the bet?

thanks for blessing us with your 4th inning system play.

[ses_d]

I played Reds...knew it from the 1st these guys are out of it. Philips looks like he just woke up...

[EXhoosier10]

thanks for blessing us with your 4th inning system play.

Long term winning strategy right here. You should look into it.