bad line?

Regul8er · 10-17-12, 11:29 AM

Any game that involves Fielder and Cabrera with that type of line is definately a bad line.
Worked out for ya!

yisman · 10-17-12, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by Regul8er

Any game that involves Fielder and Cabrera with that type of line is definately a bad line.
Worked out for ya!

The bet was no homer.

I also bet no homer and same thing happened to me.

indio · 10-17-12, 01:29 PM

Yes, that's a bad line, especially with Justin Verlander pitching at spacious Comerica Park. If you had a prop on the Yankees hitting a homer in that game, NO would be the prohibitive favorite. I'd guess that line was intended to be +500, not +1500.

Regul8er · 10-17-12, 01:54 PM

yisman...my argument made no sense whatsoever, but regardless it's a bad line.
Two solid pitchers, large field, cold night.......I dont know the numbers off hand, but I wonder how many games this year went without a HR?

Does anyone have this. I would guess in the 15% range.

yisman · 10-17-12, 02:04 PM

Comerica is actually slightly above average in homers, according to Park Factor.

Originally posted by Regul8er

yisman...my argument made no sense whatsoever, but regardless it's a bad line.
Two solid pitchers, large field, cold night.......I dont know the numbers off hand, but I wonder how many games this year went without a HR?

Does anyone have this. I would guess in the 15% range.

I don't know of any place that tracks this, but I'll look at the end of the regular season:

October 1: 1/15 had no homer
October 2: 0/15
October 3: 4/15
September 30: 1/16

Six games out of 61 had no homer. Under 10%.

If you look at Tigers or Yankees games, I think you'd find it's even rarer.

bubba · 10-17-12, 02:44 PM

Originally posted by indio

If you had a prop on the Yankees hitting a homer in that game, NO would be the prohibitive favorite. I'd guess that line was intended to be +500, not +1500.

this is not correct. there was a prop on whether verlander would yield a HR on 5Dimes. i dont rememebr what was favored but it was close to a pick em and thats just the starter, not including the bullpen

yisman · 10-17-12, 03:06 PM

Tue 10/16		4163 DET J.Verlander allows a home run		+105
8:00PM		4164 DET J.Verlander no home run allowed		-135

Monte · 10-17-12, 03:45 PM

LOL, no home run in the whole game from both teams?
That should be negative odds!

Regul8er · 10-17-12, 04:00 PM

This is called shot taking guys.......shops like 5d dont take kindly to this behavior.
I would bet no Home Runs every game of the year is I could get +1500, especially with big boppers in both lineups.

If I put $200 on every game at those odds, I would quit my day job.

yisman · 10-17-12, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by Regul8er

This is called shot taking guys.......shops like 5d dont take kindly to this behavior.
I would bet no Home Runs every game of the year is I could get +1500, especially with big boppers in both lineups.

If I put $200 on every game at those odds, I would quit my day job.

dude, what the hell? you want to bet no homers when there are big boppers? You were saying having cabrera and fielder playing is a good thing for the bet???? huh????
if you bet every yankees game at those odds with 200 bucks you'd likely be broke *excluding playoffs

yisman · 10-17-12, 04:09 PM

Yankees led baseball in homers this year by a long shot (31 more than 2nd place Baltimore). It was pretty rare for a Yankees game not to have at least one homer, and they usually had multiple homers.

bubba · 10-17-12, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by Regul8er

This is called shot taking guys.......shops like 5d dont take kindly to this behavior.
I would bet no Home Runs every game of the year is I could get +1500, especially with big boppers in both lineups.

If I put $200 on every game at those odds, I would quit my day job.

i think i took a shot for a big payout. not a shot against a bad line.

so what is the fair market price?? it should be no home run +500/ yes-700?

I am asking, if the line i bet is not fair, what is a fair line???

Regul8er · 10-18-12, 07:35 AM

I would think +500/-700 would be a fair line.

Cmon guys Verlander on the mound in October.....sure there is a good chance nothing is getting over the wall. I could care less who the opponent is or is Jeff Suppan is on the hump.

I would bet no Homer at +1500 every day, especially a cold October night at Comerica.

jrbacon · 10-18-12, 08:24 AM

I was actually looking at this play last night close to game time on 5dimes for no home runs in game it was only +190.

Regul8er · 10-18-12, 08:59 AM

Exactly jrbaco. And that was with C.C. and Scherzer.......two very good pitchers!

+1500 was a bad line, and people took shots at it. Can't be upset it got cancelled.

bubba · 10-18-12, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by jrbacon

I was actually looking at this play last night close to game time on 5dimes for no home runs in game it was only +190.

i know there was no comeback on the +190 no home run, bat that is just as much a bad line as +1500 for no home run, if not worse. +190, would mean -230 or so on yes a home run. -230 on there being a homerun is defenitely a bad line.

yisman · 10-18-12, 02:25 PM

+190 is not a legit line. They listed the other side as -9999.

So it's just as bogus as +1500.

Rixsaw · 10-18-12, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by bubba

last nights yankee game, i bet +1500 that there would be no home run hit in the game. this was cancelled, they said it was a bad line. i noticed this during the game. they were unwilling or unable to provide me with what the correct line should have been. Was this a bad line? what should it have been? There wasnt a "yes a home run would be hit" line. it was a choice of a lot of players at + money on who would hit the first home run. thank you. (i saved 200 bicks

)

Did they compensate you for the cancellation? It was their fault to put out bad line. The last time I had my play cancelled due to bad line, Heritage compensated me with free play for the entire amount. Now that's class act. I would have won too, but can't complain since I knew it was a bad line.

Regul8er · 10-18-12, 03:03 PM

Goodluck getting a freeplay from 5dimes.......if it happens, I would like to see a screenshot.
Can never imagine there customer service even considering doing this for a player.