Choices Saturday

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30056

    #1
    Choices Saturday
    My favorite 3 matches are
    Yanina Wickmayer -220 now -230
    early morning doubles Mens Lindstedt/Tecau -260
    Hewitt -245

    I have Hewitt in this tournament at very high odds also

    Prop Hewitt 1st Set @ -185
    Parlay all 3 for Match
    bigger: Parlay Lindstedt/Tecau with Wickmayer

    added in post 5: Strycova +115
    added at 6:42 EST: Williams/Cirstea Under 18 (-105)

    see how it goes with the early match, then Hewitt
    the Wickmayer line will move up more
    but i think she is worth a big bet.

    posted hedge: Coco +170

    notes
    I do not yet trust Harrison in Singles enough
    to put $ on him. He's never won a Singles tournament.
    I know he's hungry but question his ability.
    The Cilic/Dolgo is hard to call. Dolgo to win the
    tournament again may be worth a spec play +440
    but everyone seems to think it's Cilic's turn.
  • ParlayininHTown
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-27-10
    • 7561

    #2
    I would consider a hedge on a Hewitt future at this point, but I like how you're going for it all. You have confidence that Hewitt will get this done, and you're sticking to it.

    I have Ram as a system play, which is a good indication that Hewitt will win in straight sets. lol.

    As far as my two favorite matches for today, they already finished:

    07/13/2012-ONLINEat10:16 PM
    [#121393919] PARLAY (2 TEAMS) RR (1P-2T) (Risking: 570.05 - To Win: 258.25) 
    07/14/2012 - 04:00 AM MU [4157] DAVID FERRER -900 (DAVID FERRER vrs GRIGOR DIMITROV)
    Score: DAVID FERRER(2) - GRIGOR DIMITROV(0)
    WIN
    07/14/2012 - 05:55 AM MU [4160] NICOLAS ALMAGRO -325 (JAN HAJEK vrs NICOLAS ALMAGRO)
    Score: JAN HAJEK(0) - NICOLAS ALMAGRO(2)
    WIN

    Not a system play, but a non-sober bet that worked to perfection. I'm better at gambling than a rough draft of my system when I'm drunk and/or high. That's not a good sign for my angle plays today.
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30056

      #3
      There is no reason for me to hedge on Hewitt. I have him @ +1200
      and @ +800, around 3% of my BR is on that,
      I don't hedge unless there is more at stake. Would be
      nice if he wins, though, the payout is steep.
      Lindstedt/Tecau getting it done here.
      Comment
      • ParlayininHTown
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-27-10
        • 7561

        #4
        Originally posted by Snowball
        There is no reason for me to hedge on Hewitt. I have him @ +1200
        and @ +800, around 3% of my BR is on that,
        I don't hedge unless there is more at stake. Would be
        nice if he wins, though, the payout is steep.
        Lindstedt/Tecau getting it done here.

        Wickmayer looked good yesterday. Not going to play it myself, but I don't feel Coco can pull it off unless she serves like a maniac.
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30056

          #5
          I'm gonna throw in a +115 shot on experience here
          and go with Strycova over Robson.
          Going to start soon.
          Comment
          • Snowball
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-15-09
            • 30056

            #6
            Strycova down a Set. I knew Robson was good but went with experience.
            I realize Robson is one of the best young talents, she's only 18 but has
            a lot of power.
            added more Hewitt/Wickmayer
            Comment
            • gregm
              SBR MVP
              • 03-14-11
              • 3535

              #7
              I watched robson and was really impressed. I have learned over the years to not get too excited over American or British newcomers, (oudin,young,etc) but Robson is very impressive to watch.
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30056

                #8
                Originally posted by gregm
                I watched robson and was really impressed. I have learned over the years to not get too excited over American or British newcomers, (oudin,young,etc) but Robson is very impressive to watch.
                i agree. still, Strykova is working on her now. Using her experience.
                I'll probably win the bet.
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30056

                  #9
                  Strycova rolling all over Robson now.
                  i hope Hewitt starts out strong.
                  Comment
                  • Snowball
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 11-15-09
                    • 30056

                    #10
                    conditions are dicey in Newport. Announcers saying wind is a factor of its own.
                    Going to be that way tomorrow also, even worse.
                    No more bets on Newport for me. The wind makes it a coin flip.
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30056

                      #11
                      Lleyton was down 4-1, rallied back up 5-4 now
                      heart of a lion.
                      Comment
                      • Snowball
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 11-15-09
                        • 30056

                        #12
                        cashed 1st set ! 6-4 Lleyton is a beast again

                        this man was the best player in the world for 75 consecutive weeks
                        don't forget that
                        Comment
                        • mdfizzle
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-19-10
                          • 392

                          #13
                          Ram made a mess of it.
                          Comment
                          • mdfizzle
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-19-10
                            • 392

                            #14
                            and another
                            Comment
                            • GoBlue77
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-20-11
                              • 9166

                              #15
                              i didnt bet it but yea Ram crapped the bed in the 2nd set, wow!
                              Comment
                              • PharaohUB
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-23-07
                                • 4865

                                #16
                                ram broke back should be a fun 3rd set
                                Comment
                                • Snowball
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 11-15-09
                                  • 30056

                                  #17
                                  darn i didn't know Wickmayer would be wearing a leg wrap.
                                  on ESPN2. She's not 100%.
                                  Comment
                                  • GoBlue77
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-20-11
                                    • 9166

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Snowball
                                    darn i didn't know Wickmayer would be wearing a leg wrap.
                                    on ESPN2. She's not 100%.
                                    yea i sure wish i knew that, shes getting smoked. go figure
                                    Comment
                                    • GoBlue77
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-20-11
                                      • 9166

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by GoBlue77
                                      yea i sure wish i knew that, shes getting smoked. go figure
                                      watch her retire
                                      Comment
                                      • Snowball
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 11-15-09
                                        • 30056

                                        #20
                                        Hewitt won.
                                        I was going to hedge Wick at the break but Coco was -260.
                                        Hoping Wick comes back here for a better hedge opp
                                        Comment
                                        • Snowball
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 11-15-09
                                          • 30056

                                          #21
                                          Coco all the way down to +120. wow.
                                          I'm not going to hedge. Wick will win this set
                                          then I will consider it again.
                                          Comment
                                          • Snowball
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 11-15-09
                                            • 30056

                                            #22
                                            turned down hedge opp @ +150
                                            Comment
                                            • Snowball
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 11-15-09
                                              • 30056

                                              #23
                                              i hedged @ +170.
                                              Wick will probably win
                                              but i got parlay action to protect.

                                              i hate hedging against a sweep but
                                              thats how its done
                                              Comment
                                              • GoBlue77
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-20-11
                                                • 9166

                                                #24
                                                wicky came thru....yesssssss!
                                                Comment
                                                • Snowball
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                  • 30056

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by GoBlue77
                                                  wicky came thru....yesssssss!
                                                  not yet.. she's down 2-1 in the 3rd set.
                                                  if you're unhedged i hope she wins for your sake.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Snowball
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 11-15-09
                                                    • 30056

                                                    #26
                                                    gonna throw some @ Williams/Cirstea Under 18 (-105)
                                                    Cibulkova played poorly last night which made Cirstea look artifically better
                                                    than she is. Serena should plow her.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GoBlue77
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-20-11
                                                      • 9166

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Snowball
                                                      not yet.. she's down 2-1 in the 3rd set.
                                                      if you're unhedged i hope she wins for your sake.
                                                      had her +1.5 sets in parlay which won. i was lucky to hit that even...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Snowball
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 11-15-09
                                                        • 30056

                                                        #28
                                                        History says WIlliams will get little opposition tonight.
                                                        Under 18 games is what I like
                                                        Comment
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