My SBR Book Wimbledon futures

[yisman]

Ticket#:1545927 Jun 25 05:00 PM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:24 AM	TNT	TO WIN WIMBLEDON 2012 [2] RAFAEL NADAL +265	50.00 / 132.50
Ticket#:1545928 Jun 25 05:00 PM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:24 AM	TNT	TO WIN WIMBLEDON 2012 [3] ROGER FEDERER +535	50.00 / 267.50
Ticket#:1545929 Jun 25 05:00 PM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:25 AM	TNT	TO WIN WIMBLEDON 2012 [8] JUAN MARTIN DEL POTRO +6600	100.00 / 6600.00
Ticket#:1545931 Jun 25 05:00 PM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:30 AM	TNT	TO WIN WIMBLEDON 2012 [15] ANDY RODDICK +32500	25.00 / 8125.00
Ticket#:1545932 Jun 25 05:00 AM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:36 AM	TNT	TO WIN LADIES WIMBLEDON 2012 [1] MARIA SHARAPOVA +325	100.00 / 325.00
Ticket#:1545933 Jun 25 05:00 AM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:36 AM	TNT	TO WIN LADIES WIMBLEDON 2012 [2] SERENA WILLIAMS +335	250.00 / 837.50
Ticket#:1545934 Jun 25 05:00 AM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:39 AM	TNT	TO WIN LADIES WIMBLEDON 2012 [7] KIM CLIJSTERS +3800	250.00 / 9500.00
Ticket#:1545935 Jun 25 05:00 AM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:40 AM	TNT	TO WIN LADIES WIMBLEDON 2012 [8] NA LI +4000	15.00 / 600.00
Ticket#:1545937 Jun 25 05:00 AM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:43 AM	TNT	TO WIN LADIES WIMBLEDON 2012 [11] ANGELIQUE KERBER +6600	250.00 / 16500.00
Ticket#:1545938 Jun 25 05:00 AM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:44 AM	TNT	TO WIN LADIES WIMBLEDON 2012 [13] MARION BARTOLI +8500	250.00 / 21250.00
Ticket#:1545939 Jun 25 05:00 AM	Internet / -1	Jun 25 02:46 AM	TNT	TO WIN LADIES WIMBLEDON 2012 [15] ANA IVANOVIC +13500	250.00 / 33750.00

[CWD]

nice odds on DELPO, best you can get at a real book is in the 40-1 range

roddick odds insane but he has not shot, almost the same for DELPO cant see anyone not in the big 3 winning...BUT if the big 3 are going to falter this is the tourney its going to happen

some of their other futures are FAT as hell though u would prob never see in a book that deals with real money

[yisman]

all posted

yeah, I don't really believe roddick can win, but I had to do it anyway

as for del potro, I actually have a bet with a poster that murray wins a major before him, heh.

[CWD]

del potro winning could happen just think it would take A LOT i'm going to take a small futures on him

[CWD]

just put mine in

tsonga 28-1
del potro 33-1
raonic 28-1

[LVHerbie]

I followed you on the Roddick bet (betting 40 so I have enough points to get an ipad when it comes through)

Out curiousness I used betfair's current prices of 220/-250 on Roddick to win to figure the proper bet size... If it is priced properly on betfair (and I did the calculations right...) you have 47.43% advantage on the bet but, using kelly criterion, you still shouldn't risk more then $15 on it with a 10k bankroll...

[Luca Fury]

I only did Djokovic and Nadal. If neither won, I would be quite surprised. So, to me, getting them both at plus good-sized numbers is a freebie.

[yisman]

I followed you on the Roddick bet (betting 40 so I have enough points to get an ipad when it comes through)

Out curiousness I used betfair's current prices of 220/-250 on Roddick to win to figure the proper bet size... If it is priced properly on betfair (and I did the calculations right...) you have 47.43% advantage on the bet but, using kelly criterion, you still shouldn't risk more then $15 on it with a 10k bankroll...

lol at kelly

What is that 15 thousandths of your bankroll?

What was Betfair's price on Roddick?

[LVHerbie]

lol at kelly

What is that 15 thousandths of your bankroll?

What was Betfair's price on Roddick?

It when I looked at it early it was +22000 to win / -25000 to not win...

[CWD]

I only did Djokovic and Nadal. If neither won, I would be quite surprised. So, to me, getting them both at plus good-sized numbers is a freebie.

this might be the one grand slam with chance at a surprise winner but its going to be TOUGH to beat those 2 fukking monsters

[yisman]

should've been hedging with roddick and clijsters

a bunch are out.

I really hope Del Potro can beat Ferrer. Then I'll start hedging him.

[CWD]

way its breaking you are going to have to lay big juice to hedge

i've got tsonga and del potro futures left i think they are both toast going to let them die on their own

[ohumad]

Let's go Kerber! +6600 would really be something. I have her at +2800. How has your luck been in the past with multiple bets on futures?

[yisman]

well, I hit Nadal winning the FO, but I probably had a net loss on that.

The 2012 FO was the first one I tried this.


edit: here were my FO bets

[ohumad]

You really increased the stakes this time! If you do get a big hit here it'll make up for your loss at the FO .

well, I hit Nadal winning the FO, but I probably had a net loss on that.

The 2012 FO was the first one I tried this.


edit: here were my FO bets

[yisman]

Now Del Potro goes down

Also, I had my women's futures taking each other out. Clijsters eliminated Zvonareva (550/1 at 5 Dimes) and then lost to Kerber.

I hope Kerber wins today. Then I'd have two women's futures still alive.