Wimbledon ML parlay

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  • jsmithj88
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-08
    • 3591

    #36
    nadal losing to verdasco up 2 breaks
    sererna losing in the french in rd 1
    nadal losing to some bum who will prolly get smoked in the next round

    this is pretty nuts
    Comment
    • benrama
      SBR MVP
      • 01-19-11
      • 1499

      #37
      Brutal! I probably would have included Nadal but he was -20000 at Pinnacle in a parlay, stupid odds - thankfully as it turns out

      All other plays hit pretty easy, I didn't include Roddick or Tsonga either because I can't trust them

      BOL if you decide to get back on the parlay horse
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 61544

        #38
        ...
        .
        Comment
        • imzdeals
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-02-11
          • 735

          #39
          Originally posted by jsmithj88
          nadal losing to verdasco up 2 breaks
          sererna losing in the french in rd 1
          nadal losing to some bum who will prolly get smoked in the next round

          this is pretty nuts

          exactly!! time to load up and pull the trigger!
          Comment
          • AraiWa
            SBR Sharp
            • 05-23-12
            • 288

            #40
            Originally posted by jsmithj88
            i cant believe wats about to happen ..............
            Oh, Nadal gave it to you hard in the ying-yang. I only had him in one wager in a parlay, and he's the only one who lost. Could have been alot worse but $900 is a bad boo-boo.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #41
              Not that it wasn't a total out of the ordinary performance, but what is the point in including -9750 into a parlay? I think if your project is going to be successful - you have to have a cutoff point on the price. Adding super high chalk like that just doesn't seem like it is worth it.
              Comment
              • ParlayininHTown
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-27-10
                • 7561

                #42
                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                Not that it wasn't a total out of the ordinary performance, but what is the point in including -9750 into a parlay? I think if your project is going to be successful - you have to have a cutoff point on the price. Adding super high chalk like that just doesn't seem like it is worth it.

                I'm a heavy chalk guy during grand slams, but EP is absolutely right. You have to have some cutoff point.

                For me, it's typically -2500. Sometimes I'll go to -5000, but only if it's Djokovic and Federer on grass/hard and only Nadal on clay. Once you get past -5000, you're really not adding any value ... just a few bucks on a risk amount of hundreds of dollars.

                Today, for example, I took Ferrer, Del Potro, Nishikori and Kohlschreiber. Del Potro was -2500, and he didn't add much value, but he added enough weighed against the risk of him losing to Soeda for me to throw him in there.

                That's the key, really. Associating the risk of a player like Nadal losing against the price of the moneyline. Typically, -2500 is about as far as I can go ... and that's if you're talking about a lopsided matchup like Del Po had.

                Sure, you were probably thinking, "There's no way Nadal goes out before the semis." Next time, think, "Is it worth going through the stress of one additional match when it's only going to add $5 to my payout?"

                If you really want that extra $5 or $10, just bet on a line like -150 or -120. Even if you lose the bet, you're not buried.
                Comment
                • benrama
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-19-11
                  • 1499

                  #43
                  My thoughts as well, -2000 or above is only reserved for the elite players, and only when they are injury free and you know they will give 100% and it's a favoured surface for them.

                  Any parlays you like for R3?
                  Comment
                  • jsmithj88
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-27-08
                    • 3591

                    #44
                    yea, thats exactly what happened
                    i didnt even think twice, it was automatic when i saw nadal and his opponent
                    in hindsight, -9000 is a waste of time in a parlay, added nothing at all
                    Comment
                    • jsmithj88
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-27-08
                      • 3591

                      #45
                      any thoughts??????


                      1. 6/29/2012 10:30 AM WTA Tennis 314 Kim Clijsters* -435 vs Vera Zvonareva
                      2. 6/29/2012 9:30 AM WTA Tennis 325 Agnieszka Radwanska* -650 vs Heather Watson
                      3. 6/29/2012 8:00 AM Props Tennis 105 N.Djokovic Wins 1st Set* -850 vs R.Stepanek Wins 1st Set
                      4. 6/29/2012 11:00 AM Props Tennis 129 R.Federer Wins 1st Set* -1200 vs J.Benneteau Wins 1st Set

                      Risking $500.00 To Win $359.11
                      Comment
                      • AraiWa
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 05-23-12
                        • 288

                        #46
                        I think Heather Watson has a shot. Other than that, and unless Clijsters falls apart I think you're fine.
                        Comment
                        • jsmithj88
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-27-08
                          • 3591

                          #47
                          $275.00 to win $311.96
                          5 Team Parlay
                          Kim Clijsters -400* vs Vera Zvonareva
                          Angelique Kerber -450* vs Christina McHale
                          Agnieszka Radwanska -650* vs Heather Watson
                          N.Djokovic Wins 1st Set -850* vs R.Stepanek Wins 1st Set
                          R.Federer Wins 1st Set -1200* vs J.Benneteau Wins 1st Set

                          $275.00 to win $159.54
                          5 Team Parlay
                          Novak Djokovic -3810* vs Radek Stepanek
                          Roger Federer -4710* vs Julien Benneteau
                          Maria Sharapova -2205* vs Su-Wei Hsieh
                          Kim Clijsters -400* vs Vera Zvonareva
                          Agnieszka Radwanska -650* vs Heather Watson

                          crap i didnt mean to put kerber in there .................
                          Comment
                          • Jong
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 05-24-12
                            • 15

                            #48
                            Please bro save your money watch the game a little more and actually make a pick don't let the odds makes basically make your bets because it seems like whatever the biggest favorite you bet it.. Not trying to hate but don't burn your money
                            Comment
                            • 2fast4u
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 02-10-12
                              • 22

                              #49
                              Originally posted by jsmithj88
                              $275.00 to win $311.96
                              5 Team Parlay
                              Kim Clijsters -400* vs Vera Zvonareva
                              Angelique Kerber -450* vs Christina McHale
                              Agnieszka Radwanska -650* vs Heather Watson
                              N.Djokovic Wins 1st Set -850* vs R.Stepanek Wins 1st Set
                              R.Federer Wins 1st Set -1200* vs J.Benneteau Wins 1st Set

                              $275.00 to win $159.54
                              5 Team Parlay
                              Novak Djokovic -3810* vs Radek Stepanek
                              Roger Federer -4710* vs Julien Benneteau
                              Maria Sharapova -2205* vs Su-Wei Hsieh
                              Kim Clijsters -400* vs Vera Zvonareva
                              Agnieszka Radwanska -650* vs Heather Watson

                              crap i didnt mean to put kerber in there .................
                              doesnt matter.. you lost both djoko/federer first set options..

                              you need to chill out bro.. do you know tennis very well? How much have you lost so far in this thread?
                              Comment
                              • benrama
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-19-11
                                • 1499

                                #50
                                If you're looking for other high chalk plays that can be solid, don't play the 1st setters - way too unpredictable and almost any player in the top 50 can take a set of another player if they play their A-game.

                                Much better to play the +2.5 set options.
                                Comment
                                • jsmithj88
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-27-08
                                  • 3591

                                  #51
                                  $50.00 $60.10
                                  4 Team Parlay
                                  David Ferrer -260* vs Andy Roddick
                                  Juan Martin del Potro -320* vs Kei Nishikori
                                  Andy Murray -900* vs Marcos Baghdatis
                                  Serena Williams -1105* vs Jie Zheng


                                  $380.00 $258.88
                                  6 Team Parlay
                                  Andy Murray -900* vs Marcos Baghdatis
                                  Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -1200* vs Lukas Lacko
                                  B.Bryan/M.Bryan -840* vs J.Delgado/K.Skupski
                                  Serena Williams -1105* vs Jie Zheng
                                  Petra Kvitova -1050* vs Varvara Lepchenko
                                  Victoria Azarenka -2220* vs Jana Cepelova
                                  Comment
                                  • jsmithj88
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-27-08
                                    • 3591

                                    #52
                                    $600.00 to win $349.02
                                    Open 7 Team Parlay
                                    N.Djokovic Sets Won -1½ -950* vs V.Troicki Sets Won
                                    R.Federer Sets Won -1½ -650* vs X.Malisse Sets Won
                                    Not D.Ferrer In 3 Sets -700* vs D.Ferrer Wins 3-0
                                    Not M.Cilic In 3 Sets -2500* vs M.Cilic Wins 3-0
                                    Not M.Fish In 3 Sets -2300* vs M.Fish Wins 3-0


                                    $100.00 $152.63
                                    Open 6 Team Parlay
                                    N.Djokovic Sets Won -1½ -950* vs V.Troicki Sets Won
                                    R.Federer Sets Won -1½ -650* vs X.Malisse Sets Won
                                    Not D.Ferrer In 3 Sets -700* vs D.Ferrer Wins 3-0
                                    Not M.Cilic In 3 Sets -2500* vs M.Cilic Wins 3-0
                                    J-W.Tsonga Sets Won/M.Fish Sets Won Over 3½ -150*


                                    $19.00 to win $40.53
                                    Open 3 Team Parlay
                                    Juan Martin del Potro -135* vs David Ferrer
                                    Kim Clijsters -125* vs Angelique Kerber
                                    Comment
                                    • jsmithj88
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-27-08
                                      • 3591

                                      #53
                                      $19.00 to win $40.53
                                      Open 3 Team Parlay
                                      Juan Martin del Potro -135* vs David Ferrer
                                      Kim Clijsters -125* vs Angelique Kerber
                                      D.Istomin Sets Won/M.Youzhny Sets Won Under 5 -380*
                                      Comment
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