2 dogs for you tomorrow:
Cornet +160 8:00AM EST
Kukushkin +130 12:30PM EST
Comment
ParlayininHTown
SBR Hall of Famer
06-27-10
7561
#37
That Kush line is really strange to me ... I'm staying away, but I think he should win. I'm suspicious by nature, so I can't bet on fishy lines like these.
Cornet is having a nice week. Definitely has a chance to pull off a small upset there.
Radwanska will probably crush Van Uytvanck, but you never know with Ag-Rad ... I'm probably taking Van Uytvanck ML on a hunch. It pays off enough to throw 10 bucks on it and see if you get lucky.
Berlocq could give Berdych some trouble in the Dusseldorf tourney. Berdych looked good against Roddick a couple days ago, but everyone seems to kick Roddick's ass these days. Berdych also played like crap for most of his three-set match with fringe ATP player Go Soeda on Monday. If Berdych comes with a similar effort tomorrow, Berlocq certainly could make this one interesting.
Bellucci has a puncher's chance against Simon. Bellucci managed to beat Ferrer earlier this year, and his performance against Ferrero today was much better than Tuesday's performance against the ATP's punching bag, Donald Young. This probably isn't the smartest upset pick as Simon is French and likely wants to make a deep run in the Nice tourney to show pride in front of the home crowd. It's not like Bellucci has much value, but that's because he could legitimately win this match if Simon is off his game. If Simon has to come back from down 4-0 in the third set against to win like he did against GGL, who is inferior to Bellucci IMO, Bellucci will be the one advancing.
Darcis over Almagro has a nice pay-off, and Almagro played with little intensity today. ERV isn't very good and he gave Almagro some trouble, while Darcis has been playing some good tennis lately. Almagro did go deep in this tournament last year, though, so I could see him wanting to defend his title. Plus, Darcis sucks and might lose even if Almagro delivers a half-assed effort. The only way Darcis and Van Uytvanck win tomorrow is if their opponents (Almagro and Ag-Rad) are in "get me outta here" mode and tank their matches, so only bet on these if you're willing to take a couple of stabs in the dark.
Kanepi has lost to Pironkova twice in her career, but she has played well this week. I think Kanepi wants to win this tournament, so she's probably not a great fade at this point. Precedent for an upset is there, but I think Kanepi will take care of Pironkova now that she's in great shape to make it far in this Brussels tournament. I just wanted to mention that Pironkova has defeated Kanepi before just in case you want to do further research and make a play on this match.
That's about it ... some of the smaller underdogs on the women's side are all capable of winning, but those would hardly be considered true upsets.
Comment
paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#38
Let's wake up to a few more bucks to pay for my bar tab tomorrow...
Hope one of you bet on Berlocq to upset Berdych. He just broke Berdych to start the third set, and Berdych looks awful ATM. Looks like Berlocq is going to cash.
Comment
ParlayininHTown
SBR Hall of Famer
06-27-10
7561
#41
Uh oh. Berlocq lost his serve and Berdych suddenly remembered how to scramble. Back on serve in the third set.
EDIT -- Damn. Berdych gets another break. He has turned it on in the last four games. Berlocq is going to need some unforced errors by Berdych to get back in this one.
Comment
ParlayininHTown
SBR Hall of Famer
06-27-10
7561
#42
Now that's a good come-from-behind win for Berdych as the French Open approaches. Give this guy credit for coming alive when his back was against the wall. Berlocq still cashed the over by getting to the tiebreak in the second set
Comment
ParlayininHTown
SBR Hall of Famer
06-27-10
7561
#43
Originally posted by paco
Let's wake up to a few more bucks to pay for my bar tab tomorrow...
Morita screwed you out of a profit today, Paco. I guess she didn't want any part of Schiavone tomorrow. haha.
Tomorrow's card is really tough ... Tipsy vs. Kohlschreiber, Almagro vs. Simon, Davydenko vs. Kush/Baker winner, and Ag-Rad vs. Kanepi could all be great matches. No need to press with the FO just a couple days away.
I don't think I'm going to bet on more than one match tomorrow, and I'm not even sure that I like Schiavone enough to pull the trigger. I'm sure at least one dog will win and a few favorites will also roll, but on paper almost all of these matches look too close to call for me to risk money.
Good luck on your plays this evening, whatever you choose
Comment
kaliboyz
SBR MVP
10-30-09
3121
#44
Originally posted by kaliboyz
2 dogs for you tomorrow:
Cornet +160 8:00AM EST
Kukushkin +130 12:30PM EST
1-1 +$6
here's your dogs for tomorrow.
Simon +105
Parmentier +110
Comment
paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#45
Tjx Kali.
Anyone else have any big upset dogs?
Comment
Optional
Administrator
06-10-10
61573
#46
I've taken 2 dogs, like the Sousa bet best.
5/25/12 4:00am Qualifying Tennis 504 Romain Jouan +140* vs Michael Berrer
5/25/12 4:00am Qualifying Tennis 510 Joao Sousa +145* vs David Goffin
.
Comment
paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#47
While we sleep "chalk parlay
DescriptionRisk/WinTicket#:60426
May 25 08:00 AM
May 25 09:30 AM
May 25 08:00 AM
Internet / -1May 25 01:57 AM
MU
MU
MU
PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
[4857] A RADWANSKA -320
(A RADWANSKA vrs K KANEPI)
[4859] S HALEP -260
(S HALEP vrs S ARVIDSSON)
[4960] F SCHIAVONE -350
(S STEPHENS vrs F SCHIAVONE)
100 / 134
Comment
mcfugly
SBR Wise Guy
05-20-12
947
#48
hey paco been tailing some of your plays lately thanks for posting them!! i decided to just 2-way with schiavone and radwanska but i'll be rootin for ya, good luck!! WTA is a circus, especially before the slams
Comment
moshi
SBR Wise Guy
12-18-11
801
#49
Originally posted by kaliboyz
1-1 +$6
here's your dogs for tomorrow.
Simon +105
Parmentier +110
Those are the two dogs I think have the best chance of winning also. Let's go!
Comment
paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#50
Originally posted by paco
While we sleep "chalk parlay
DescriptionRisk/WinTicket#:60426
May 25 08:00 AM
May 25 09:30 AM
May 25 08:00 AM
Internet / -1May 25 01:57 AM
MU
MU
MU
PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
[4857] A RADWANSKA -320
(A RADWANSKA vrs K KANEPI)
[4859] S HALEP -260
(S HALEP vrs S ARVIDSSON)
[4960] F SCHIAVONE -350
(S STEPHENS vrs F SCHIAVONE)
100 / 134
Cash it!
Comment
ParlayininHTown
SBR Hall of Famer
06-27-10
7561
#51
Originally posted by paco
Cash it!
Way to go, Paco. Those WTA parlays are never easy to win