What's the best dog to win overnight while we sleep?

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  • kaliboyz
    SBR MVP
    • 10-30-09
    • 3121

    #36
    2 dogs for you tomorrow:
    Cornet +160 8:00AM EST
    Kukushkin +130 12:30PM EST
    Comment
    • ParlayininHTown
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-27-10
      • 7561

      #37
      That Kush line is really strange to me ... I'm staying away, but I think he should win. I'm suspicious by nature, so I can't bet on fishy lines like these.

      Cornet is having a nice week. Definitely has a chance to pull off a small upset there.

      Radwanska will probably crush Van Uytvanck, but you never know with Ag-Rad ... I'm probably taking Van Uytvanck ML on a hunch. It pays off enough to throw 10 bucks on it and see if you get lucky.

      Berlocq could give Berdych some trouble in the Dusseldorf tourney. Berdych looked good against Roddick a couple days ago, but everyone seems to kick Roddick's ass these days. Berdych also played like crap for most of his three-set match with fringe ATP player Go Soeda on Monday. If Berdych comes with a similar effort tomorrow, Berlocq certainly could make this one interesting.

      Bellucci has a puncher's chance against Simon. Bellucci managed to beat Ferrer earlier this year, and his performance against Ferrero today was much better than Tuesday's performance against the ATP's punching bag, Donald Young. This probably isn't the smartest upset pick as Simon is French and likely wants to make a deep run in the Nice tourney to show pride in front of the home crowd. It's not like Bellucci has much value, but that's because he could legitimately win this match if Simon is off his game. If Simon has to come back from down 4-0 in the third set against to win like he did against GGL, who is inferior to Bellucci IMO, Bellucci will be the one advancing.

      Darcis over Almagro has a nice pay-off, and Almagro played with little intensity today. ERV isn't very good and he gave Almagro some trouble, while Darcis has been playing some good tennis lately. Almagro did go deep in this tournament last year, though, so I could see him wanting to defend his title. Plus, Darcis sucks and might lose even if Almagro delivers a half-assed effort. The only way Darcis and Van Uytvanck win tomorrow is if their opponents (Almagro and Ag-Rad) are in "get me outta here" mode and tank their matches, so only bet on these if you're willing to take a couple of stabs in the dark.

      Kanepi has lost to Pironkova twice in her career, but she has played well this week. I think Kanepi wants to win this tournament, so she's probably not a great fade at this point. Precedent for an upset is there, but I think Kanepi will take care of Pironkova now that she's in great shape to make it far in this Brussels tournament. I just wanted to mention that Pironkova has defeated Kanepi before just in case you want to do further research and make a play on this match.

      That's about it ... some of the smaller underdogs on the women's side are all capable of winning, but those would hardly be considered true upsets.
      Comment
      • paco
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-07-09
        • 62873

        #38
        Let's wake up to a few more bucks to pay for my bar tab tomorrow...

        WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win
        STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4353] S DARCIS +500 (S DARCIS vrs N ALMAGRO) 10.00 USD / 50.00 USD Remove
        STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4850] A VAN UYTVANCK +1250 (A RADWANSKA vrs A VAN UYTVANCK) 10.00 USD / 125.00 USD Remove
        STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4952] A CORNET +170 (A MEDINA GARRIG vrs A CORNET) 10.00 USD / 17.00 USD Remove
        STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4953] A MORITA -110 (A MORITA vrs S STEPHENS) 11.00 USD / 10.00 USD Remove

        Comment
        • ParlayininHTown
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-27-10
          • 7561

          #39
          Originally posted by paco
          Let's wake up to a few more bucks to pay for my bar tab tomorrow...

          WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win
          STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4353] S DARCIS +500 (S DARCIS vrs N ALMAGRO) 10.00 USD / 50.00 USD Remove
          STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4850] A VAN UYTVANCK +1250 (A RADWANSKA vrs A VAN UYTVANCK) 10.00 USD / 125.00 USD Remove
          STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4952] A CORNET +170 (A MEDINA GARRIG vrs A CORNET) 10.00 USD / 17.00 USD Remove
          STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4953] A MORITA -110 (A MORITA vrs S STEPHENS) 11.00 USD / 10.00 USD Remove


          Good luck, Paco
          Comment
          • ParlayininHTown
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-27-10
            • 7561

            #40
            Hope one of you bet on Berlocq to upset Berdych. He just broke Berdych to start the third set, and Berdych looks awful ATM. Looks like Berlocq is going to cash.
            Comment
            • ParlayininHTown
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-27-10
              • 7561

              #41
              Uh oh. Berlocq lost his serve and Berdych suddenly remembered how to scramble. Back on serve in the third set.

              EDIT -- Damn. Berdych gets another break. He has turned it on in the last four games. Berlocq is going to need some unforced errors by Berdych to get back in this one.
              Comment
              • ParlayininHTown
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-27-10
                • 7561

                #42
                Now that's a good come-from-behind win for Berdych as the French Open approaches. Give this guy credit for coming alive when his back was against the wall. Berlocq still cashed the over by getting to the tiebreak in the second set
                Comment
                • ParlayininHTown
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-27-10
                  • 7561

                  #43
                  Originally posted by paco
                  Let's wake up to a few more bucks to pay for my bar tab tomorrow...

                  WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win
                  STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4353] S DARCIS +500 (S DARCIS vrs N ALMAGRO) 10.00 USD / 50.00 USD Remove
                  STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4850] A VAN UYTVANCK +1250 (A RADWANSKA vrs A VAN UYTVANCK) 10.00 USD / 125.00 USD Remove
                  STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4952] A CORNET +170 (A MEDINA GARRIG vrs A CORNET) 10.00 USD / 17.00 USD Remove
                  STRAIGHT BET May 24 MU [4953] A MORITA -110 (A MORITA vrs S STEPHENS) 11.00 USD / 10.00 USD Remove


                  Morita screwed you out of a profit today, Paco. I guess she didn't want any part of Schiavone tomorrow. haha.

                  Tomorrow's card is really tough ... Tipsy vs. Kohlschreiber, Almagro vs. Simon, Davydenko vs. Kush/Baker winner, and Ag-Rad vs. Kanepi could all be great matches. No need to press with the FO just a couple days away.

                  I don't think I'm going to bet on more than one match tomorrow, and I'm not even sure that I like Schiavone enough to pull the trigger. I'm sure at least one dog will win and a few favorites will also roll, but on paper almost all of these matches look too close to call for me to risk money.

                  Good luck on your plays this evening, whatever you choose
                  Comment
                  • kaliboyz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-30-09
                    • 3121

                    #44
                    Originally posted by kaliboyz
                    2 dogs for you tomorrow:
                    Cornet +160 8:00AM EST
                    Kukushkin +130 12:30PM EST
                    1-1 +$6

                    here's your dogs for tomorrow.

                    Simon +105
                    Parmentier +110
                    Comment
                    • paco
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-07-09
                      • 62873

                      #45
                      Tjx Kali.


                      Anyone else have any big upset dogs?
                      Comment
                      • Optional
                        Administrator
                        • 06-10-10
                        • 61573

                        #46
                        I've taken 2 dogs, like the Sousa bet best.

                        5/25/12 4:00am Qualifying Tennis 504 Romain Jouan +140* vs Michael Berrer
                        5/25/12 4:00am Qualifying Tennis 510 Joao Sousa +145* vs David Goffin
                        .
                        Comment
                        • paco
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-07-09
                          • 62873

                          #47
                          While we sleep "chalk parlay

                          DescriptionRisk/WinTicket#:60426
                          May 25 08:00 AM
                          May 25 09:30 AM
                          May 25 08:00 AM
                          Internet / -1May 25 01:57 AM
                          MU
                          MU
                          MU
                          PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
                          [4857] A RADWANSKA -320
                          (A RADWANSKA vrs K KANEPI)
                          [4859] S HALEP -260
                          (S HALEP vrs S ARVIDSSON)
                          [4960] F SCHIAVONE -350
                          (S STEPHENS vrs F SCHIAVONE)

                          100 / 134
                          Comment
                          • mcfugly
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 05-20-12
                            • 947

                            #48
                            hey paco been tailing some of your plays lately thanks for posting them!! i decided to just 2-way with schiavone and radwanska but i'll be rootin for ya, good luck!! WTA is a circus, especially before the slams
                            Comment
                            • moshi
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-18-11
                              • 801

                              #49
                              Originally posted by kaliboyz
                              1-1 +$6

                              here's your dogs for tomorrow.

                              Simon +105
                              Parmentier +110
                              Those are the two dogs I think have the best chance of winning also. Let's go!
                              Comment
                              • paco
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-07-09
                                • 62873

                                #50
                                Originally posted by paco
                                While we sleep "chalk parlay

                                DescriptionRisk/WinTicket#:60426
                                May 25 08:00 AM
                                May 25 09:30 AM
                                May 25 08:00 AM
                                Internet / -1May 25 01:57 AM
                                MU
                                MU
                                MU
                                PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
                                [4857] A RADWANSKA -320
                                (A RADWANSKA vrs K KANEPI)
                                [4859] S HALEP -260
                                (S HALEP vrs S ARVIDSSON)
                                [4960] F SCHIAVONE -350
                                (S STEPHENS vrs F SCHIAVONE)

                                100 / 134
                                Cash it!
                                Comment
                                • ParlayininHTown
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-27-10
                                  • 7561

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by paco
                                  Cash it!

                                  Way to go, Paco. Those WTA parlays are never easy to win
                                  Comment
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