Dmoneytx Daily Tennis Picks

[Dmoneytx]

7/31



Play #1
Anderson -800
Dodig -225

Total = apprx -160
1.5u / 0.94u



Play #2
Isner -600
Anderson -800
Del Potro -450

Total = apprx -165
1.0u / 0.61u



Play #3
Isner -600
Stepanek -315
Azarenka -1000

Total = apprx -144
1.5u / 1.04u



Play #4
Dodig -225
Azarenka -1000

Total = apprx -168
1.0u / 0.59u



*I can't see Isner OR Anderson losing. That should set up all 3 parlays to have a good chance to cash. BOL to ev1!!!

[Hardcoar]

-10 000 parlays do hopefully have a good chance of cashing. I hope the odds won't stack against you!

[Dmoneytx]

-10 000 parlays do hopefully have a good chance of cashing. I hope the odds won't stack against you!

I do not understand this post. Who has a -10,000 parlay??? Not me. My four plays today payout from -144 to -168. I used one -1000 line, but that was only on one play. I just wasn't sure what you were trying to say. Clarify if you want to, that post just didn't make any sense to me. Thanks.

[Hardcoar]

It was just a joke, the point of which being high chalk parlays tend to stand a good chance of winning, and you tend to play high chalk parlays.

I wasn't really saying much at all. Hope your plays hit!

[Dmoneytx]

It was just a joke, the point of which being high chalk parlays tend to stand a good chance of winning, and you tend to play high chalk parlays.

I wasn't really saying much at all. Hope your plays hit!

Oh, I got it now. Sorry man, been a long day on the court already. Hot here in Texas, LOL!

Thanks Hard, I hope you hit your plays this evening as well sir

[Hardcoar]

Figures when you're practically living in a desert! I can't stand heat well into the hundreds like that...

[Dmoneytx]

Well, it looks like all I need is Del Potro to win his match at the moment and I will have another SWEEP DAY (4-0) for my plays yesterday!!! Anderson won in 1 game a little while ago I am going to post up a few plays for today & it looks like the lines have not come out yet for the 2 evening matches. I will most likely make a play on one of those, I love late night action. BOL to ev1!!!

[Dmoneytx]

8/1



Play #1
Raonic -450

OPEN PLAY
(bec lines aren't out for evening matches, I like Del Po most likely & Anderson, need to see the lines first)

Risk 2.0 units

[Gus Fring]

Raonic loses 1st set

[pinnacle420]

milos sucks donkey kock

[Dmoneytx]

I am finally able to spend an hour and clean up my entire thread. SO sorry for the week or two without updating my records. Today I get back on track

Had one play yesterday, Milos was out looking for Otis. That sucked....

Today I want to play all of the quarterfinals, I am going to post my first play in a second, wishing ev1 the BOL today!!!

[Dmoneytx]

8/2


Play #1
Tursunov ML -120

Total = 120
1.25u / 1.05u



*I really tried to look & see how I could take Matso after a few good wins I thought this week. I thought the value was good, but now it's down to -120 or +100. BUT, my gut just kept telling me that Turso is making a run this tment. His serve is popping well this week & actually, his returns are much better than I remember! He is a MUCH better returner for Matso today to deal with & I really do think that he will get some cracks to break today. I would luv to see Matso lose a close set and then fade off! He has a good game, but he goes off track at all, Turso will take this match & run. If Turso can keep that serve popping today, going to be tough tough for Matso to make the semifinals. Close set, maybe even the distance, but I will roll with Turso at those -120 odds. BOL!!!

[Dmoneytx]

Well how about that??? Turso wins 6 of the last 7 points in the third set breaker to steal this match!!! Way to go you Big Russian Bastard!!!

=

[Dmoneytx]

Ticket#:15400942
Aug 02 04:10 PM
INTERNET / -1Aug 02 04:09 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[4423] J. ISNER -210
(J. ISNER vrs M. BAGHDATIS)

257 / 122


*Don't have any time at the moment. I will explain the pick in a few mins. Last match was 3 sets, so they are still getting ready to play in 5-10 mins I'm assuming. BOL!!!

[Dmoneytx]

I guess I have 2 mins. They are still warming up right now I think. I took Isner on the second match bec we all know if he doesn't win, it will be close as hell. If we go to breakers, then I will take Isner in the breakers and lay the -210. I was happy to see this come down from -260, a lot of people think Bags has a good chance. He prob does. This match will prob be close as hell. But if Isner can just get one or two games on that return going, he will have a good chance to take the match. Turso really came back in that breaker to take the last match, so if I don't get this play I am only a little of 1 unit down, if I win this play I am almost 2.5 units up. I will take that, esp since the line dropped 50 cents with people jumping off the Isner ship. Time to set sail, for the semis Big John!!! At least for 2 hours I get to chant "USA USA USA" BOL to ev1!!!

[Dmoneytx]

8/2


Play #3
Dimitrov ML -110

Total = 110
1.0u / 0.91u


*On court teaching, will explain selection when I get home in a few hopefully. I think it will be similar to the Isner match. IF Dimitrov doesn't win, it will be close as hell. Or he keeps popping that serve like he has & he will mark a spot in the semifinal. Gotta run. BOL to ev1!!!

[Dmoneytx]

Well, Dimitrov loses in straight breakers. Damn! I think if he would of win that first close one, he would of won this match. Tough break there, but that is a losing scoresline that I predicted IF he lost. I also only bet 1 unit. So still up over 1 unit for the day. I can only do straight bets bec I have payout pending at Book maker & I'm using the AmBookie account.

I really can't see Del Potro losing this match & not at least making the semis. I do think this will be close as fuk, bec Anderson is playing well. But so is Del Po, and if he goes into beast mode, he can win a set better than a breaker. Anderson is one of my favorite players, but my gut says Del Po wins this match & makes his way into the semis. Should be a great one to watch. Breaking out the Platinum Kush, BOL to ev1!!!


Play #4
Del Potro ML -345

Total = -345
3.75u / 1.09u

[Dmoneytx]

8/3


Play #1
Monaco ML -177

Total = -177
2.5u / 1.42u


*Should be a great match. Maybe even goes the distance. BOL to ev1!!!

[Dmoneytx]

The curse of the finals again! It never fails, I lose like 75% of all the plays I put on the finals - which is astounding. Gonna stop posting my plays for finals here & I bet I start to hit those at an alarming rate. Anyhow, stupid me to think Monaco was the play after winning the first set 6-0. He even got back to 4-5 on serve in the third before he got broken to lose the title. Way to go Monaco.

*That is why the next play I think will hit, it's not a final. It is high chalk again, but I have to play the straight bets only bec of the payout with BM, back with parlays early next week. I really do think that Isner will have a great day serving again, maybe his best all tment & just simply be too much for Turso. I do think it will be close, but if Isner can somehow get into Turso's service games a bit here and there, he could win one set comfortably for sure. This is not a sure thing, but Turso is going to have to serve really well today, as well as break Isner's serve, I can't see both happening. We might see some stellar play out of Isner today, I just have that feeling he will play to a higher level than Turso & makes his way into the finals. Again, at least I get to chant "USA USA USA" for 2 hours! BOL to ev1!!!


Ticket#:15412484
Aug 03 03:10 PM
INTERNET / -1Aug 03 03:08 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[4428] J. ISNER -340
(D. TURSUNOV vrs J. ISNER)

435 / 127

[Dmoneytx]

8/6



Play #1
Anderson -283
Isner -185

Total = apprx +109
1.0u / 1.09u


Play #2
Anderson -283
Baghdatis -141

Total = apprx +131
1.0u / 1.31u


Play #3
Dimitrov -394
Isner -185

Total = apprx -107
1.0u / 0.93u


Play #4
Dimitrov -394
Baghdatis -141

Total = apprx +114
1.0u / 1.14u

[Dmoneytx]

Jesus Christ does Isner fukking blow.... Up a break in the third set, can't hold on, wow..... Up a break in the third set breaker, can't hold on, what a complete SUCK job by Isner.... Awesome

[Dmoneytx]

Baghdatis, wins the first set 6-1..... Then proceeds to play like complete dogshit the rest of the match to get blown out, wow..... Awesome

[Dmoneytx]

Looks like Dimitrov is getting his ass handed to him by Granollers..... He is down a set & on serve in the second, wow..... Awesome

[Dmoneytx]

Looks like Anderson will lose to the piece of shit fing loser Dolgopolov, nice..... Kevin plays the tiebreaker first set like a complete moron, doesn't win one point..... Already down a break in the second....... First round exit coming, what a disappointment, wow...... Awesome

[Dmoneytx]

Just a quick recap of the awesome tennis today:

Isner -185 (lost / complete choke job)
Baghdatis -141 (lost / typical loser effort)
Anderson -283 (down a set & a break... / lost)
Dimitrov -394 (down a set already... / lost)


*Got me thinking again..... Too bad at least Isner didn't completely choke in that entire 3rd set. Posp was giving him the match & Isner couldn't serve it out time after time. A few upsets earlier today, wow, more dogs won today than favs I think..... looking at the match ups, kind of pathetic if you ask me.

[Hardcoar]

[felix_felicus7]

Hey D$, nevermind a nostadamus-like parlay, just taking each of those 4 dogs str8 (incl The Dog) for 50 woulda made you 400+. I enjoy your write ups but factoring in the juice, you're not gettin paid close to enough when these faves hit. Plus you could possibly spread the risk around some more? You could hop out of the comfort zone & def handpick more str8 +110-200s, like when u had karlovic a little while back. Have a good night, BOL for tomorrow

[Bet10Heinekens]

Dead as a hammer, this thread is full of chalk losers that it had to be move to the subforums. It is a disgrace to SBR to have a thread like this in the player talk.

Anyone notice brokedick DTx not updating his record no more, keep swallowing the chalk dude. You're a shit capper and most of SBR now knows the truth.

[Bet10Heinekens]

Hey D$, nevermind a nostadamus-like parlay, just taking each of those 4 dogs str8 (incl The Dog) for 50 woulda made you 400+. I enjoy your write ups but factoring in the juice, you're not gettin paid close to enough when these faves hit. Plus you could possibly spread the risk around some more? You could hop out of the comfort zone & def handpick more str8 +110-200s, like when u had karlovic a little while back. Have a good night, BOL for tomorrow

This guy couldn't pick his nose when it comes to dogs.

[Demonata]

Yo D you need to move to a book that has spreads. Playing one spread instead of having to have 4 players win to pay the same thing.

[Bet10Heinekens]

The good thing is you dont have many followers so you're the only one looosing Benjaminzzz!!

Kamikazeodds gets it

[Bet10Heinekens]

I'm a complete noob here just trying to gain some insights. I was really enjoying the debate between Hardcoar, D2D, demonata & ohumad re the merits of finding value in underdogs vs bundling together -1500 to -150 faves as Dmoney does. D2D's comment, 'I believe there is SOOOOO much value in finding dogs that are heavily undervalued. Betting these big faves is a sure fire way to....well, to tread water. You have the knowledge and when I see you write about a guy who is +400 and who will make it a close match...', made sense to me but the whole discussion was railroaded by Kamikazee being so over the top that it made Dmoney justifiably go on the total defense, instead of addressing the real issue. Correct me if I'm wrong, but he was only up 6-7 units for 700+ tickets last year? Isn't that treading water? He said, 'I ONLY take players and match up my parlays on players that I think are gonna WIN regardless of what the line is!!! I really don't care if a player is -350 or -175 or -600 or whatever..... If I think the guy is gonna win his match, I take him. Period!', however he still never includes any +100 picks? I can't work out where the real skill comes in when they're all just favourites? Apologies if this comes across as critical but I'm just commenting on this strictly in a monetary context.

Felix gets it

[Bet10Heinekens]

DM you've heard it before..and I love you..buy you've gotta start betting dogs man. These favorite parlays are a joke. You clearly know dog value, so bet them. Just see how you do.

Jinxpro gets it

[Bet10Heinekens]

PS. Bet10, sometimes I don't have time to do a write up or explain why I like a parlay or play. The people who know me on here are very aware that I KNOW my tennis as well as ANYONE. My fing record for the last 18 months backs that up buddy. In the black after a year and a half with prob over 1,000 documented wagers??? Worry about making your own money in your own thread man, I'm all good here Thanks for the concern though.

Dtx doesn't get it

[Dmoneytx]

It is so obvious that bet10 is jealous as a mother fukker. Otherwise, he wouldn't give two craps what i do

Think about it.........

This troll will be gone soon