Djokovic/Nadal in match thread

[shari91]

Roof closed if I'm not mistaken actually doesn't make it as good as one expects ... if I remember from a few years ago ... unless they have changed something. Believe it turns it into an indoor oven with shitty air circulation. Shari can probably lay down the 411 on this.

Yeah it's definitely not preferable to the players at night time. You can't breathe in there because of the already contained heat and then the additional body heat. The only time it helps is when the sun is blazing down. Even then they wait until it's usually 40+ on the Wet Globe Bulb index. I'd be very surprised if they closed it tonight. Maybe if one of the players raised a big enough stink but I can't see the Chair Ump doing it personally.

[King Mayan]

Just pounded nadal hard.

Thanks Shari.

[PR9]

And this is why I always caution about blindly looking at stats without digging deeper:

3 of the 4 past AO champions have all won in straight sets in their Semis before going on to win the Final. The only one who didn't was Nadal. So depending on how you look at it, not sure a guy who wins in straights really is going to be bothered by the lack of rest, no? Be careful with the stats tennis reporters throw out... they live on soundbites to make themselves sound knowledgeable to someone who tunes into tennis maybe during Slam finals. They're not geared towards a bettor.

the very moment I logged into my book , right before i was to place a bet on joker, you post this stuff for me to read.

just fukking great.


"Just when I thought I was out... they pull me back in."


sometimes I really hate being an underdog lover at heart. lol

[EaglesPhan36]

I honestly don't know how anyone could feel entirely comfortable laying chalk on Djokovic if they've watched this tournament.

[RedSox88]

I'm so tired but must stay awake lol just watched tosh point 0 now gonna watch the office on Netflix till game time lol gl all

[InTheDrink]

Nadal will not win this match

Correct

Id say this is actually too easy but then I'd subject myself to the jinxer

[daimoshokage]

Just pounded nadal hard.

Thanks Shari.

gay

[goblue12]

Late $$$ coming in on Nadal.

Line has moved about .10 cents in the last 2 hours.

[EaglesPhan36]

ESPN is really doing a half hour pre-show type thing? That might be the most painful 30 minutes of TV all day. Will watch anything else but.

[Nats' Fan]

I honestly don't know how anyone could feel entirely comfortable laying chalk on Djokovic if they've watched this tournament.

Nobody should feel comfortable with either side here...

[mighty maron]

Im on Nadal. Joko has looked vulnerable physically. Low 90's, sun, and the Murray match has taken too much out of him. GL all

[mcbaseball10]

My book leaning heavy on Djok -170 +140.
Going to go with Shari. She is telling you not to follow her because she would feel bad if it lost and you blamed her. Shari's a gem. Thanks for the tip.

[daimoshokage]

How about Nadal +2.5? Safer bet

[EaglesPhan36]

Nobody should feel comfortable with either side here...

I'd feel much better with plus money on a guy who isn't going to wear down physically most likely and with the weather the hottest it's been in days. Doesn't mean it's a winning play, but if I was actually playing this - Rafa would be my dude. I'm rooting for him any how since I've got a heavier future on him vs. my Djokovic future + it's good for tennis for #1 to get beat.

[mcbaseball10]

How about Nadal +2.5? Safer bet

Depends on the price.

[John Morrison]

lets go joker

[Nats' Fan]

I'd feel much better with plus money on a guy who isn't going to wear down physically most likely and with the weather the hottest it's been in days. Doesn't mean it's a winning play, but if I was actually playing this - Rafa would be my dude. I'm rooting for him any how since I've got a heavier future on him vs. my Djokovic future + it's good for tennis for #1 to get beat.

That's cool.. I'm hoping to get in a nice live-bet.

[FourLengthsClear]

Depends on the price.

Based on the ML, fair line would be around +109.

[bkeith12]

Joker it is!

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah my guess is there will be quite a lot of action taken maybe on whomever drops the first set to get them at plus money for people who might be trading out on their original positions.

[shari91]

Nobody should feel comfortable with either side here...

People will say during the match when one player is ahead "I knew this, I knew that" and then they'll flip flop throughout the match and if their player wins, they might be silly enough to think we had a clue. I've kept harping on it for days now but you know how the Think Tank crew are always going on about how efficient NFL lines are, especially during the playoffs and the Superbowl? This is the equivalent of the Superbowl except that the amount of money wagered will be quite a bit higher when all is said and done. We're all just guessing at this point. The smartest play is no play. However I've already broken my rule of not betting on Semis onward so I may as well finish it off in style

[nyed1010]

joker and nadal are just lucky Roddick got eliminated early. Roddick would have whooped both of these clowns at the same time.

[apeterlives]

have a few units on +105 rafa +2.5 games going to see what happens live -- what are ya'll watching this on? I have it on eurosport right now

[EaglesPhan36]

The smartest play is no play.

That's the one thing I have learned the past couple years betting Slams, invest in futures to make the last two rounds as comfortable as possible and for me, go for the best prop on the board to supplement those positions.

[shari91]

Wow, Pinny down to +128 now.

[jrs362]

Always nice to be at work, hopefully getting paid while getting paid.

[FourLengthsClear]

That's the one thing I have learned the past couple years betting Slams, invest in futures to make the last two rounds as comfortable as possible and for me, go for the best prop on the board to supplement those positions.

[PR9]

joker and nadal are just lucky Roddick got eliminated early. Roddick would have whooped both of these clowns at the same time.

lol Roddick is done now since he got married to brooklyn. He's pussy whipped she took all his drive and fire away

http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/more-sport/tennis/2011/06/25/andy-roddick-crashes-out-of-wimbledon-and-john-mcenroe-blames-his-wife-115875-23226005/

[sportfan]

joker and nadal are just lucky Roddick got eliminated early. Roddick would have whooped both of these clowns at the same time.

[shari91]

That's the one thing I have learned the past couple years betting Slams, invest in futures to make the last two rounds as comfortable as possible and for me, go for the best prop on the board to supplement those positions.

Yeah that's definitely the smartest way to do it. I really liked the Semis though so I figured I was stiffing myself if I didn't bet. Same goes for this one now. If he loses, fair enough but since I didn't make any futures bets, I may as well give it a go at the price I got.

[EaglesPhan36]

I don't know how many people have ever seen the TV show Taxi, but every time Rafa talks I think about f-ing Latka Gravas ... Thank you very much!

... Yeah Shari, I really felt like Murray had a chance which is why I made the play on him in the semis, otherwise did not need to make a play. I think I played both women's matches on hedges for my futures only.

[ApricotSinner32]

Present

[mcbaseball10]

Wow, Pinny down to +128 now.

How much should we read into the Pinny closer in regards to this particular event? +140 still available to me and would re-up if this implies additional advantage.

[FourLengthsClear]

Nadal +132 at Betfair.

The roof is "almost fully closed" according to Eurosport.

[Mikail]

It's almost match time. GL everyone.