EP36's Tennis Elbow

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-09-12, 09:06 PM

Early/late start.

Busan Challenger: Garza -130

**Hurley1085** · 05-09-12, 10:23 PM

Didn't even realize these were on thanks for the heads up parlayed Garza/Weintraub/Yang GL

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-09-12, 10:28 PM

ATP Parlay: Ferrer + Simon [-117]
Berdych/Monfils Over 21.5 [-115]
ATP Doubles: Granollers-Lopez +145

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-10-12, 06:47 AM

Thanks for showing up Monfils. Match isn't even going to last an hour, never mind any shot at an over.

**RoryMacdonald** · 05-10-12, 01:50 PM

Ferrererererererer !!!!

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-10-12, 02:05 PM

Ballsy win. Thought he had blown it three or four times in that tie break. I had considered Verdasco +6.5 ... never in my wildest dreams did I think ADD would win that one.

**RoryMacdonald** · 05-10-12, 02:11 PM

My heart was about to fukkin' asplode after Almagro went up 7-6. FTR I HATE betting against guys like Almagro. HATE it.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-10-12, 03:19 PM

Almagro has warranted going against this year though, far less of a factor on clay this year than he especially last year when he was rolling in South America. He's still fully capable of beating almost anyone on the surface, but consistency and fitness are always my concerns with him - especially fitness.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-10-12, 04:29 PM

Simon mailing it in in the 3rd set. FML.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-10-12, 10:51 PM

Friday, May 11th's Losers

Parlay: Federer + Berdych [-133]
Parlay: Del Potro + Serena [-117]
Athens Challenger: Baker [-120]

**Dmoneytx** · 05-11-12, 05:27 AM

GL today EP!

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-11-12, 07:31 AM

ATP Madrid Doubles: Quereshi-Rojer +125

**beefcake** · 05-11-12, 07:45 AM

Nice early parlay win!!

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-11-12, 07:49 AM

It's like fishing with dynamite and a bazooka! Sooner or later, you will kill one after you kill many innocent bystanders.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-11-12, 03:55 PM

Well both parlays cash. Doubles play lost in two tie breaks & Challenger play sucked ass. If I play anything tomorrow, will be a Federer/Del Potro parlay.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-11-12, 11:17 PM

Saturday, May 12th

Parlay: Federer + Del Potro [-122]
Busan Challenger: Udomchoke +140

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-12-12, 10:16 AM

Well Del Potro did a nice job donating this one to Berdych. Blew the first set serving for the set with a love service game and still a bit of a hot head, just did not see to compose himself concentration wise through the tie break and obviously losing a break early in the 2nd set. Another of the reasons to marvel at guys like Federer, Nadal and Djokovic. These are the obvious reasons there is a class gap when it comes to winning Slams - ability to keep your head screwed on straight!

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-12-12, 11:06 AM

Delpo doesn't shake the ump's hand because he thinks he got screwed on two calls. Guy was sitting there bitching about calls on match point instead of concentrating. Again why the guy is going to have a tough time again making a run all the way to a Slam win, even though he's got all the talent to do it.

**MagicDiceFlow** · 05-12-12, 11:13 AM

On top of that, those two balls were clearly in .....

Credit to Berdych, he bombed away DP with those 15 aces and most of those aces at critical points. Out of all the players outside the big four, I like Berdych's game the best. He's got the best groundstrokes out of all the big servers(Del Potro,Raonic,Isner). He's dominant on hardcourts and has proven this year, a force to be reckoned with on clay.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-12-12, 11:37 AM

There's just something about him though that isn't quite there. For as good as you'd think he is on hard courts, the guy has been short every time at the US Open especially. I think perhaps its the grind of the season and he's gassed by then, but still the guy has never been past the 4th round there. I think you can see when he is fresh, he can produce. QFs two years in a row at the Australian Open now. He just still seems a little frail, like he needs a little more meat on his bones or better attention to key areas [shoulder - serving shoulder]. He seems to come down with shoulder problems once or twice a year at least.

**MagicDiceFlow** · 05-12-12, 12:03 PM

I think its because he plays too many tourneys. It seems like he's always in every major and atp masters which is why he comes up short in slams. He plays so much better on hardcourt masters than in slams. He's been strong this year though with a 25-6 overall record. One thing I have noticed about Berdy the last few years is his groundstrokes have gotten twice as better vs 3 yrs ago especially the backhand. It's a lot flatter/sharper/lower which is key because of all the tall giants, the backhand is normally their weakest stroke.

**Demonata** · 05-12-12, 12:41 PM

I like Raonic more than Burdych.

**Dmoneytx** · 05-12-12, 12:59 PM

DelPo didn't shake the umps hand??? Really?? How UN professional. As a promoter of this sport teaching for 12 years, that is awful. These players need to realize they have 10's of thousand of kids idolizing them. Breaking raquets. Not shaking hands. Pathetic if u ask me.

BOL today on your props for NBA!! I saw your thread. Might tail a few bec account is growing again!!!!

**MagicDiceFlow** · 05-12-12, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

I like Raonic more than Burdych.

Raonic is light years behind Berdych & Del Potro with the groundstrokes. If his serve is off a tadbit and you break him once in a set, he's pretty much dead in the water. He's got nothing else to depend on.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-12-12, 07:40 PM

Originally posted by Dmoneytx

DelPo didn't shake the umps hand??? Really?? How UN professional. As a promoter of this sport teaching for 12 years, that is awful. These players need to realize they have 10's of thousand of kids idolizing them. Breaking raquets. Not shaking hands. Pathetic if u ask me.

BOL today on your props for NBA!! I saw your thread. Might tail a few bec account is growing again!!!!

Yeah I mean I understand in the heat of he moment you get caught up, but at least just go brush the guys hand to show sportsmanship. Like was pointed out earlier, he did not get screwed on the calls either. I look at moments like this again as to why guys like Del Potro will have a hard time winning a Slam even though their skills will have them in position to.

Working on a Rome write-up. For tomorrow, going with the over.

ATP Madrid: Federer-Berdych Over 22 [-120]

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-12-12, 08:49 PM

ATP Rome

The Big Four are all expected to be in action in the final tune-up for the French Open. This should be a tournament to pay attention to in regards to what might transpire at Roland Garros. The fiasco of the blue clay in Madrid left several of the players - notably Djokovic and Nadal - with bad tastest in their mouths and poor results. This week's event should give us a truer sense of where everyone is at on the red clay that we'll see at Roland Garros.

Djokovic Quarter
The defending Champ in Rome has a good early draw and some interesting potential in the later rounds. In the top half, Djokovic will contend with veteran South American dirtballers in Chela and Monaco along with Radek Stepanek. Bernard Tomic should provide a nice steamroller for Djokovic first up potentially, that or a qualifier. Chela has been in pretty poor form this season, so Stepanek may have the lead in advancing from that match. Monaco could be an interesting guy in this draw if he's recovered from an ankle strain from Monte Carlo last month. Monaco has two titles on this surface in 2012 and is a dangerous player. If Monaco can slip into the 3rd round, he could provide a nice challenge for Djokovic.

In the bottom half of the draw, we've got Del Potro and Tsonga and the top seeds. Tsonga has an easier path possibly to a showdown with Del Potro, but will have to show something better than what we've seen on clay from him this season to work past even a guy like Troicki. Del Potro will have a tricky 2nd rounder against Youzhny or Bellucci, but his form has been solid on clay this Spring. Even with those dangerous floaters in this portion of the draw, it would be surprising if Del Potro or Tsonga wasn't in the quarters. Given current form, I'd give the edge to Del Potro.

Federer Quarter
Federer comes in off the final in Madrid and looking honestly this year like perhaps the best player on tour. What I really like is that he didn't get caught up in the whole blue clay debate, instead he studied up and quietly ran roughshod to the title. I think he is the guy I really want to watch this week. He has not played well at Rome in the past with just one win in the past two trips to Rome. He hasn't made it past the semis since 2006. He has an interesting draw with Berlocq possibly first-up and the likes of Ferrero and Monfils maybe looming in the 3rd round.

On the bottom half of the quarter, it's the big hitters with Isner and Tipsarevic as the top seeds. Isner takes on Kohlschreiber in the 1st round which should be a highlight match. Seppi, Istomin and Wawrinka also litter what could be a highly competitive portion of the draw. I think Federer should still get to the quarters here because of the lack of match play and form of guys like Ferrero and Monfils. Don't be surprised to see Federer's friend and Swiss mate Wawrinka in the mix. A Wawrinka-Tipsarevic 2nd rounder could decide the other QF slot. Don't look too deep into Tipsarevic's run in Madrid. The odd surface played quick and helped his game, while the red clay should aid Wawrinka who has played well in Rome in the past.

Murray Quarter
This is a big tournament for Murray. He needs to prove himself healthy from his back problem and find some form going into Roland Garros. Murray played decently enough in Barcelona and Monte Carlo for his tune-ups, but was beaten by Berdych and Raonic. Getting overpowered by a Raonic on dirt has to be somewhat troublesome to Murray. He gets Nalbandian or a qualifier right off the bat in the 2nd round, so he will need to be sharp. He also has Gasquet, Melzer and Davydenko or Lorenzi to contend with in his draw. He made the semis here last year and perhaps that did amp up his confidence as he had never done well here before. A repeat of last year's performance would be large for him, I think.

In the bottom half, Ferrer and Simon are the seeds. Both have been in mildly good form on clay. The sexy first rounder is Verdasco against Dolgopolov. From a betting perspective, this will be a nightmare of course. Dolgpolov should enter in as the underdog here and might make him an attractive shot. Verdasco has to try and recover still from the emotion of beating Nadal last week and this is his first encounter with the junkball game of Dolgopolov. That's usually a recipe for a loss. Whomever advances to play Ferrer should make this portion of the draw exceptional. Simon pretty much has a first round bye. They decided to name his bye Donald Young. Andujar is up next for Simon. That could be a good one. Ferrer made the final here last year and may have the inside track to at least a semifinal spot if Murray slips up.

Nadal Quarter
I would expect Nadal to put forth a ton of effort in Rome after the Madrid mucky muck. Nadal is 31-2 all time in Rome with two titles in the last three tournaments with a finals loss last year to Djokovic. He could face Raonic in the 2nd round which would be pretty interesting. Nadal has beaten Raonic twice on hard courts, so I don't see him losing on clay. Baghdatis and Spanish countrymen Feliciano Lopez and Marcel Granollers are in this part of the draw too. Nadal should have it to be in the quarters without a ton of trouble.

In the top part of the draw, Berdych and Almagro are the seeds. Almagro and Cilic open in the best first rounder. Berdych should have adequate rest even after the final in Madrid. His draw is cake and he should be able to work into the 3rd round to face either Almagro or Cilic. Don't be shocked to see that end Berdych's run.

Outlook: I am really expecting the two biggest blue clay haters - Djokovic and Nadal - to make moves this week and would not be shocked of course to see them face off in the final. On draw alone, Federer may join them in the semifinals. Murray is the most likely to miss out. The key match in this tournament could be a Djokovic vs. Federer semifinal. Since this isn't traditionally his best tournament, Federer's performance could have a lot to say about not only the Champion for this week but what might be on tap at Roland Garros.

Semifinalists: Djokovic, Federer, Ferrer, Nadal
Championship: Nadal Over Djokovic
Upset Specials: Dolgopolov over Verdasco, Volandri Over Troicki, Lorenzi Over Davydenko

**Dmoneytx** · 05-13-12, 01:16 AM

Dude, great freaking write up on Rome! Great work EP. Appreciate all your hard work brotha. I'm sure a LOT of people appreciate that. I know I did when I just read it! And my over is 22.5 with Fed tomm. I'm still thinking bec Berdych is playing great. Fed should NOT roll over him, at all!
BOL sir!!!

**Dmoneytx** · 05-13-12, 10:04 AM

What up EP?? Berdy up a break in first. Him winning the first set might be what this over needs sir. Could happen, but I would be kind of shocked if Berdy wins without Fed catching a gear or winning at least one set. I know Berdy has played great, but Fed has too. Gonna be an interesting finish. BOL today!

**gators0708** · 05-13-12, 10:11 AM

Berdych is playing amazing!

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-13-12, 10:14 AM

Shit. I did not realize some of the upset special matches were in Rome today. They get me when they start these tourneys on Sundays. Lorenzi has already won. I need to do more of these previews. It seems to give me better perspective.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-13-12, 10:33 AM

Break & consolidate. Looks like we've got ourselves a three setter.

**MagicDiceFlow** · 05-13-12, 10:39 AM

Whats up gentlemen. Our over is looking great, now that Fed breaks open with this second set. I took my winnings on the Serena match and sprinkled some more units on the over so I'm kinda heavy on this match.
I also put a few on Youzhny.
Let's hope Fed brings the hammer on this second set and we can cash!

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-13-12, 11:07 AM

Fack. Federer broken and now back on serve.

**gators0708** · 05-13-12, 11:10 AM

Ugh, I can see Berd winning the 2nd in TB he"s serving amazing.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-13-12, 11:11 AM

Shocking if this goes to a tie break .. seems like every other match I have bet on lately has tie breaks in it and usually the tie break goes down the toilet quick in the wrong direction. So Berdych should be a shoe-in if it goes a tie break as that would prevent a win on the total.