Muller +195 vs benneteau
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YTD 11-19 -2.75u
Simon +130 vs Nalbandian - Curious as to why Simon is here and not Rotterdam but I don't think he will tank. I think he will grind this one out vs Nalbandian, Nalbandian did not impress me against Paire and taking a shot hereComment -
YTD 11-20 -3.75u
Ljubicic +253 vs Tipsarevic - Ljubicics serve has been very good and he hasnt been useless in the rallies, I like his chances against Tipsy here. Tipsy won't have many opportunities to break and I expect Tipsy to let Ljubicic in a couple of his service gamesComment -
YTD 11-20 -4.75u
Wawrinka +185 over AlmagroComment -
YTD 11-21 -5.75u - pretty embarrassing so far but I'm not gonna give up
Montanes +185 vs Nishikori - Montanes has been struggling but I don't think he's done, I really don't read too much into Nishikori's recent run on clay. I think this match will be way tighter than the odds suggest.
Ferrero +185 vs Wawrinka - Ferrero has also been struggling, 1-4 but I think he comes here with a strong match against Wawrinka. Wawrinka looked pretty good last week but I think Ferrero will find the range more on his forehand and push Wawrinka farther and farther back. Wawrinka can serve well at moments but I like Ferrero's chances here
Roddick -235 vs Petzschner - I know about Roddick's injuries and such but he was right there against Malisse last week. He didn't have the matchplay in the tight moments and I think he will be able to hold against Petz rather easily and be stronger mentally this time in the tighter moments.Comment -
LOVE JCF. Lets get it.Comment -
YTD 12-23 -6.75u
Giraldo +115 vs Berlocq - Berlocq has been great all clay swing but Giraldo is very dangerous when he's on and he cruised through the first 2 rounds, I think he keeps up his streak here
Roddick -115 vs Istomin - I think Roddick is determined here and will continue to serve well and really focus on getting consistent holds and I think Istomin will have a few letdowns like Petzschner did last round.
Verdasco +120 vs Almagro - Verdasco has been hot and has looked great so far, I think he fares well here and if Almagro doesn't serve at his best then he will be the one in trouble
Sela +245 vs Nieminen - I like Sela here, Nieminen did not impress me very much against Cilic and I think Sela will be able to break Nieminen a bunch of times.Comment -
YTD 16-23 -0.95u
Federer -305 vs Del Potro -I think Delpo has played a lot of tennis recently and won't be really ready for this one, i'm expecting Federer to cruise here.Comment -
Adding: Roddick -145 vs Anderson
Verdasco -105 vs WawrinkaComment -
Its really good to see Verdasco in much better form, Wawrinka too. But Verdasco is really someone Ive been missing since he had that huge match with Nadal at AO SF in 09 i think, he's really playing with controlled aggression (something Ferrer can do every match on clayComment -
18-24 -.4u
Verdasco +215 vs Ferrer I still believe this is Verdascos tourney, he has been nothing short of brilliant this tournament, the only thing is that he almost choked against almagro and a mini choke against Wawrinka, beating Ferrer will be tough but it is far from impossibleComment -
18-25 -1.4u
Kunitsyn +150 vs Ebden
Levine -130 vs Ramos - Levine has had a few really tough defeats this year, 5 set loss to Granollers at AO, 16-14 tiebreak to Isner and a recent tough 3 set loss to Kubot. He's given the WC here and I think he wins the majority of baseline rallies with Ramos. Ramos is a great claycourter with quick footwork and he is capable on the hardcourts, that's why the line dropped a lot on Levine. I think Levine brings a better HC game here and gets through this one.Comment -
18-27 -3.7u
Gulbis +145 vs Llodra - There was speculation about Gulbis talking about retirement while at Delray Beach, definitely putting words in his mouth. Llodra gave Gulbis trouble at AO but he's beginning to gain form, he is solid against net rushers and I think he can get in a rhythm and hold every time against Llodra.
Lu +173 vs Istomin - Istomin has been a man in great form this year but fell early in the last 2 weeks. Lu just proved himself yet again at a challenger with similar surface and he is nothing but trouble. I think he has a big chance against Istomin here.Comment -
18-29 -5.7u Ok I lost all 4 of my first round plays... 3 of them in tight 3 sets of course.
Kohlschreiber +125 vs Anderson - Anderson is coming off a win in Delray Beach and these courts are much slower, Kohlschreiber will have looks on the Anderson serve and I think if he stays away from the Anderson backhand often he dominates in the rallies. Obviously Anderson can get hot though on serve and he has looked comfortable at net, but I think Kohlschreiber will take care of his own serve comfortably.
Querrey +110 vs Almagro - I don't trust Almagro on this change to hardcourts, in the past I have kept thinking he could finally make the transition but I'm going against that feeling this time. Querrey continues to get in better form and I think he gets his biggest win here.
Roddick -250 vs Kubot - People continue to doubt Roddick, but on the main stadium court he is going to have the crowd behind him and he is going to be pumping some serves. Kubot turned the match around against Karlovic and was able to get the win easily but I don't think Roddick will ever have a letdown here on serve. I'm paying the heavy juice but I think Roddick cruises in 2.Comment -
19-30 -5.7u
Feli Lopez +130 over Baghdatis -I think Feli is in good form at the moment after what he showed in Dubai. Baghdatis is beatable atm, and Feli's serve is always very tough to handleComment -
19-31 -6.7u
Feli Lopez -180 vs Ramos - Ramos will have trouble handling Lopez serve all match and I think Lopez will continue to rush the net and not give Ramos any rhythm here. The Ramos bhand is weak on the defense and Lopez can exploit it with the dtl fhand here, I think he finds a way to break each set for a routine win.Comment -
19-32 -8.5u
Haase over Ferrero +145 - JCf showed a lot of good flashes of play in Rome, his fh can still be just as deadly as ever but I didn't see that much to warrant these odds hes getting. Monfils was in absolute mug mode and was intent on just chasing balls down, it was good for him to grind out a set from Federer but I don't think he was that brilliant honestly. Wawrinka was in great form, it doesnt matter that he choked against Seppi to me, I saw his match against Tipsy and most of the Seppi match and Wawrinka was playing brilliant clay court tennis, I couldnt watch Haase vs Wawrinka but reports were they played a solid match. I think this match is going to be really tight and the odds are bloated, I'm happy to see JCF back in good form though
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19-33 -9.5
Jaziri +315 over Granollers - ** clearly injured leg and Jaziri isn't the best but he will make Granollers really earn his win. The odds should drop for thisComment -
hm M G is blocked? lol Marcel Granollers*Comment -
19-34 -10.5 (I still can't get over how Jaziri had 40-15 on his serve at 5-4 in the fifth set and ended up blowing 3 match points but I'm gonna keep it slow and try to get through this horrible record)
Queens F: Nalbandian +100 over Cilic - Cilic hasn't impressed me that much, he was alright against Querrey but matches up against the big servers quite well. Cilic doesn't match up well with Nalbandian, if Cilic comes out firing though and never has a letdown on his forehand (which rarely happens) then he should get the title. But I expect Nalby to pick him apart on the baseline and keep him moving until the inevitable UE comes off Cilic's racket.
Also Muller plays Giraldo tomorrow in Netherlands grass, does anyone think Giraldo can get it done at +155? Muller's lefty serve is dangerous on this surface but I've always thought Giraldo is an underrated grasscourter.Comment -
Dont like Giraldo but do like Nalbandian. BOL.Comment -
Couldn't have said it better myself. I've bet on Dave the last 2 matches and here's to the third time being the charm.Originally posted by [BComment -
19-34 -11.5 (Thanks Nalbandian!)
ATP Eastbourne: Roddick over Querrey +120 - ERV really played a solid match and took Roddick down at net (something big sam doesn't do). Querrey and Roddick have both been serving well, and Querrey will have to really hit through Roddick's pushing to get this done. I think Roddick will simply be the one with more will in this match, he needs the confidence badly for WimbledonComment -
I do like the angle that he needs to WIN something to at least have a trickle of confidence going into Wimbledon, but I really think he's unbettable at the moment. He lost to the likes of ERV, Ito in straight sets etc. I don't see many break opps for Roddick, based on what I saw of Querrey against Dodig. He was serving well. Good luck, I agree w/ you that the value lies with Roddick here.Comment -
I think ERV is very underrated grass courter, from what I saw he plays a very good grass game, attacking the net at right times, big serves and groundies at times. Querrey can get it done but this will be played on the baseline where I want it to be with Roddick. If Querrey is hitting those wicked forehands then he surely will win but I really think Roddick can grind this out. Probably a bad bet but I don't think he's lost it completelyComment -
Are you ******* kidding me.... I can't win a bet retired 1 gm awayComment -
Ridiculous. You basically had two winners in Nalbandian & Roddick. Tough luck, man.Comment -
19-34 -11.5
Atp Eastbourne: Darcis over Matosevic +105 - Matosevic is a real fighter and I think Darcis is on his game to get through Matosevic's consistency on the baseline. Darcis has a nice grasscourt game and is a stronger grasscourt player. Matosevic is in that mode where he made that run in the US tourney earlier this year where he is just not missing on the baseline and hitting to both sides with depth. Both of these guys can get cheap points but Darcis has a stronger attacking gm. I'm really hoping Darcis can end my horrible streakComment -
On darcis again as well--good luck to usComment -
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I actually don't think I can watch these eastbourne semis, these conditions are absolutely horrible... the wind is swirling like crazyComment
