Almagro -135 against Monaco

[sportman1313]

Similar players and although almagro hasn't looked great at all the past month or two, I like him here at home...my concern is his supposed shoulder injury and the fact that he doesn't really have to defend any points in this tourney. Monaco beat murray here last yr and does have the motivation to defend points....both are hardcourt players but almagro owns the h2h and think he takes this match, despite not doing well in the past in this tourney. Line has gone up from -130 to -140 now...any thoughts on this one?

I'm on almagro btw

[sportman1313]

ohhh, i didn't realize that almagro was upwards of about -190 last night....very very strange line drop, think I may go much bigger on monaco now as there's more motivation for him and almagro might be getting ready for next year

[tevari]

Monaco for me. Almagro is as flaky as they come.

[tevari]

Also, they arent hard court players, and theres no 'next tournament'

[sportman1313]

I agree, almagro has no real motivation other than it is at his home and that was a HUGE line drop so i just went much bigger on monaco. Hopefully almagro retires in the 2nd set or something

Monaco for me. Almagro is as flaky as they come.

[tevari]

I mean, there are better matches than this one to bet on. It'll probably be a break ridden 3 setter. Who knows.

[sportman1313]

yes, i'm well aware that they're claycourters...my mistake, meant to say next YEAR. Don't know why i was thinking that....but yes, this line mvmnt has me all over monaco but now it's starting to go up. I'm feeling that monaco will take this one as he's the better hardcourter in my opinion and almagro has been quite out-of-form and ready to end the season it seems. I'm on monaco for quite big so hopefully we take this one...if he comes out strong and takes the first set, there may be a good chance for a retirement in the 2nd. Hopefully that is the case, bol to us both

Also, they arent hard court players, and theres no 'next tournament'

[tevari]

Winner.

[sportman1313]

Had to sweat that one out, as expected....but congrats to us both bud

Winner.