Tennis underdogs

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  • tipsterm
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-26-11
    • 754

    #1
    Tennis underdogs
    OK, here are some selections, mostly
    underdogs, starting bank 100 pts,
    5% of bank on each play, re-calculate
    after each day. All odds Pinnacle.

    Monday (all matches Monte Carlo):
    Baghdatis to beat Stepanek @ 2.3
    Mayer to beat Youzhny @ 2.25
    Gimeno-Traver to beat Giraldo @ 3.36
    Lisnard to beat Troicki @ 11
  • samm29
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-17-10
    • 53

    #2
    I also think Baghdatis ang Gimeno Traver will win !
    Comment
    • AbleFollow
      Restricted User
      • 01-29-10
      • 834

      #3
      Gimeno Traver didn't win his last 8 matches.. it's all his matches this year.. you are risky
      Comment
      • horja1
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-13-11
        • 5646

        #4
        Originally posted by tipsterm
        OK, here are some selections, mostly
        underdogs, starting bank 100 pts,
        5% of bank on each play, re-calculate
        after each day. All odds Pinnacle.

        Monday (all matches Monte Carlo):
        Baghdatis to beat Stepanek @ 2.3
        Mayer to beat Youzhny @ 2.25
        Gimeno-Traver to beat Giraldo @ 3.36
        Lisnard to beat Troicki @ 11
        2/3 ok so far ... only baghdatis left ... nice
        Comment
        • shari91
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-23-10
          • 32661

          #5
          Great job so far!
          Comment
          • tipsterm
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-26-11
            • 754

            #6
            Originally posted by tipsterm
            OK, here are some selections, mostly
            underdogs, starting bank 100 pts,
            5% of bank on each play, re-calculate
            after each day. All odds Pinnacle.

            Monday (all matches Monte Carlo):
            Baghdatis to beat Stepanek @ 2.3 LOST
            Mayer to beat Youzhny @ 2.25 WON
            Gimeno-Traver to beat Giraldo @ 3.36 WON
            Lisnard to beat Troicki @ 11 LOST
            Previous bank: 100 pts
            New bank: 101,61
            Strike-rate: 50% (2-2)
            New wager-size: 5,1

            Tuesday:
            Malisse to beat Montanes @ 4.22
            Verdasco to beat Robredo @ 2.06
            Haase to beat Melzer @ 3.22
            Kohlschreiber to beat Federer @ 8.42
            Comment
            • jamboy
              SBR Rookie
              • 03-16-11
              • 11

              #7
              agree with malisse-montanes but not sure bout the rest of your picks
              Comment
              • tipsterm
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-26-11
                • 754

                #8
                Originally posted by tipsterm
                Malisse to beat Montanes @ 4.22 LOST
                Verdasco to beat Robredo @ 2.06 LOST
                Haase to beat Melzer @ 3.22 LOST
                Kohlschreiber to beat Federer @ 8.42 LOST
                A negative fullhouse.

                Previous bank: 101,61 pts
                New bank: 81,21 pts
                Strike-rate: 25% (2-6)
                New wager-size: 4,1 pts

                Today:
                Y-H. Lu to beat K. Nishikori @ 4.93
                D. Guez to beat S. Stakhovsky @ 4,05
                G. Rufin to beat A. Mannarino @ 2,93
                I. Dodig to beat P. Riba @ 2,28
                V. Millot to beat M. Teixeira @ 2,32
                B. Kavcic to beat E. Gulbis @ 2,59
                Comment
                • tipsterm
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-26-11
                  • 754

                  #9
                  Originally posted by tipsterm
                  A negative fullhouse.

                  Previous bank: 101,61 pts
                  New bank: 81,21 pts
                  Strike-rate: 25% (2-6)
                  New wager-size: 4,1 pts

                  Today:
                  Y-H. Lu to beat K. Nishikori @ 4.93 LOST
                  D. Guez to beat S. Stakhovsky @ 4,05 LOST
                  G. Rufin to beat A. Mannarino @ 2,93 WON
                  I. Dodig to beat P. Riba @ 2,28 LOST
                  V. Millot to beat M. Teixeira @ 2,32 LOST
                  B. Kavcic to beat E. Gulbis @ 2,59 WON

                  Previous bank: 81,21 pts
                  New bank: 79,21 pts
                  Strike-rate: 28,6% (4-10)
                  New wager-size: 4 pts

                  Monday:

                  A. Veic to beat P. Cuevas 4.580
                  D. Gremelmayr to beat N. Davydenko 7,21
                  D. Brown to beat L. Mayer 2.88
                  J. Marti to beat A. Ramos 2,71
                  M. Berrer to beat M. Raonic 4,26
                  M. Zverev to beat P. Petzschner 5,12
                  M. Gonzalez to beat T. Schoorel 2,38
                  T. Haas to beat M. Ilhan 2,28
                  R. Stepanek to beatR. Gasquet 5,12
                  A. Bogomolov Jr. to beat M. Granollers 3,64
                  Comment
                  • tipsterm
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-26-11
                    • 754

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tipsterm
                    A. Veic to beat P. Cuevas 4.580 WON
                    D. Gremelmayr to beat N. Davydenko 7,21 LOST
                    D. Brown to beat L. Mayer 2.88 LOST
                    J. Marti to beat A. Ramos 2,71 LOST
                    M. Berrer to beat M. Raonic 4,26 WON
                    M. Zverev to beat P. Petzschner 5,12 LOST
                    M. Gonzalez to beat T. Schoorel 2,38 LOST
                    T. Haas to beat M. Ilhan 2,28 LOST
                    R. Stepanek to beatR. Gasquet 5,12 LOST
                    A. Bogomolov Jr. to beat M. Granollers 3,64 LOST
                    Previous bank: 79,21 pts
                    New bank: 74,25 pts
                    Strike-rate: 25% (6-18)
                    New wager-size: 3,7 pts

                    Tuesday:

                    R. Haase to beat D. Gimeno-Traver 2,52
                    B. Becker to beat R. Soderling 18
                    R. Sweeting to beat A. Haider-Maurer 2,03
                    I. Kunitsyn to beat F. Mayer 8,05
                    N. Mahut to beat K. Anderson 2,61
                    L. Rosol to beat E. Roger-Vasselin 2,05
                    Comment
                    • sportscash
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-16-09
                      • 2894

                      #11
                      Good luck today
                      Comment
                      • tipsterm
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-26-11
                        • 754

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tipsterm
                        Previous bank: 79,21 pts
                        New bank: 74,25 pts
                        Strike-rate: 25% (6-18)
                        New wager-size: 3,7 pts

                        Tuesday:

                        R. Haase to beat D. Gimeno-Traver 2,52 WON
                        B. Becker to beat R. Soderling 18 VOID
                        R. Sweeting to beat A. Haider-Maurer 2,03 LOST
                        I. Kunitsyn to beat F. Mayer 8,05 LOST
                        N. Mahut to beat K. Anderson 2,61 LOST
                        L. Rosol to beat E. Roger-Vasselin 2,05 WON
                        Previous bank: 74,25 pts
                        New bank: 72,66 pts
                        Strike-rate: 27,6% (8-21)
                        New wager-size: 3,6 pts

                        Wednesday:

                        S. Stakhovsky to beat K. Nishikori 2,21
                        S. Darcis to beat P. Petzschner 2,44
                        I. Andreev to beat J-W. Tsonga 4,96
                        F. Fognini to beatS. Robert 1,68
                        M. Ilhan to beatG. Garcia-Lopez 4,46
                        R. Ramirez Hidalgo to beat A. Montanes 5,57
                        A. Seppi to beat T. Bellucci 3,09
                        Comment
                        • tipsterm
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-26-11
                          • 754

                          #13
                          Originally posted by tipsterm
                          S. Stakhovsky to beat K. Nishikori 2,21 WON
                          S. Darcis to beat P. Petzschner 2,44 WON
                          I. Andreev to beat J-W. Tsonga 4,96 LOST
                          F. Fognini to beatS. Robert 1,68 WON
                          M. Ilhan to beatG. Garcia-Lopez 4,46 LOST
                          R. Ramirez Hidalgo to beat A. Montanes 5,57 LOST
                          A. Seppi to beat T. Bellucci 3,09 LOST
                          Previous bank: 72,66 pts
                          New bank: 70,25 pts
                          Strike-rate: 30,6% (11-25)
                          New wager-size: 3,6 pts

                          Thursday:

                          A. Veic to beat N. Davydenko 6,87
                          L. Mayer to beat M. Baghdatis 2,27
                          A. Ramos to beat R. Soderling 15
                          A. Haider-Maurer to beat A. Dolgopolov 6,02
                          T. Kamke to beat V. Troicki 6,2
                          L. Kubot to beat C. Berlocq 1,73
                          A. Falla to beat F. Mayer 5,23
                          Comment
                          • tipsterm
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-26-11
                            • 754

                            #14
                            Originally posted by tipsterm
                            A. Veic to beat N. Davydenko 6,87 WON
                            L. Mayer to beat M. Baghdatis 2,27 WON
                            A. Ramos to beat R. Soderling 15 LOST
                            A. Haider-Maurer to beat A. Dolgopolov 6,02 LOST
                            T. Kamke to beat V. Troicki 6,2 LOST
                            L. Kubot to beat C. Berlocq 1,73 WON
                            A. Falla to beat F. Mayer 5,23 WON
                            Previous bank: 70,25 pts
                            New bank: 103,01 pts
                            Strike-rate: 34,9% (15-28)
                            New wager-size: 5,2 pts

                            Back into profit, but damn, I will lay Soderling until he wins FO I guess.
                            Mixed in some women matches today.

                            G. Garcia-Lopez to beat F. Fognini 2,6
                            R. Gasquet to beat T. Bellucci 1,62
                            J.M. Del Potro to beat N. Djokovic 6,58
                            C. Wozniacki to beat D. Hantuchova 1,36
                            M. Bartoli to beat J. Goerges 3,01
                            G. Dulko to beat S. Stosur 8,16
                            N. Llagostera Vives to beat A. Pavlyuchenkova 4,88
                            Comment
                            • tipsterm
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-26-11
                              • 754

                              #15
                              Originally posted by tipsterm
                              G. Garcia-Lopez to beat F. Fognini 2,6 LOST
                              R. Gasquet to beat T. Bellucci 1,62 WON
                              J.M. Del Potro to beat N. Djokovic 6,58 LOST
                              C. Wozniacki to beat D. Hantuchova 1,36 LOST
                              M. Bartoli to beat J. Goerges 3,01 WON
                              G. Dulko to beat S. Stosur 8,16 WON
                              N. Llagostera Vives to beat A. Pavlyuchenkova 4,88 LOST
                              Previous bank: 103,01 pts
                              New bank: 133,12 pts
                              Strike-rate: 36% (18-32)
                              New wager-size: 6,7 pts

                              Sunday:
                              G. Dulko to beat M. Bartoli 2,57
                              Parlay D. Ferrer/S. Wawrinka/F. Fognini 26,38
                              Comment
                              • tipsterm
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-26-11
                                • 754

                                #16
                                G. Monfils to beat R. Federer 6,8
                                S. Kuznetsova to beat M. Bartoli 1,45
                                A. Pavlyuchenkova to beat F. Schiavone 2,58
                                Comment
                                • tipsterm
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-26-11
                                  • 754

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by tipsterm
                                  Previous bank: 103,01 pts
                                  New bank: 133,12 pts
                                  Strike-rate: 36% (18-32)
                                  New wager-size: 6,7 pts

                                  Sunday:
                                  G. Dulko to beat M. Bartoli 2,57 LOST
                                  Parlay D. Ferrer/S. Wawrinka/F. Fognini 26,38 LOST

                                  Previous bank: 133,12 pts
                                  New bank: 119,72 pts
                                  Strike-rate: 34,6% (18-34)
                                  New wager-size: 6 pts
                                  Originally posted by tipsterm
                                  G. Monfils to beat R. Federer 6,8 LOST
                                  S. Kuznetsova to beat M. Bartoli 1,45 LOST
                                  A. Pavlyuchenkova to beat F. Schiavone 2,58 LOST

                                  Previous bank: 119,72 pts
                                  New bank: 101,72 pts
                                  Strike-rate: 32,7% (18-37)
                                  New wager-size: 5,1 pts
                                  Grass season is here:

                                  P. Riba to beat I. Dodig 4,89
                                  J. Hernych to beat S. Stakhovsky 4,02
                                  D. Brands to beat J. Benneteau 3,5
                                  M. Berrer to beat R. Harrison 2,09
                                  D. Cox to beat J. Ward 3,14
                                  S. Querrey to beat K. Nishikori 1,47
                                  D. Tursunov to beat F. Lopez 3,18
                                  A. Clement to beat B. Paire 1,56
                                  J. Hajek to beat M. Ilhan 3,7
                                  G. Dimitrov to beat T. Bellucci 2,23
                                  Comment
                                  • tipsterm
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-26-11
                                    • 754

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by tipsterm
                                    Grass season is here:

                                    P. Riba to beat I. Dodig 4,89 LOST
                                    J. Hernych to beat S. Stakhovsky 4,02 WON
                                    D. Brands to beat J. Benneteau 3,5 LOST
                                    M. Berrer to beat R. Harrison 2,09 WON
                                    D. Cox to beat J. Ward 3,14 LOST
                                    S. Querrey to beat K. Nishikori 1,47 WON
                                    D. Tursunov to beat F. Lopez 3,18 LOST
                                    A. Clement to beat B. Paire 1,56 WON
                                    J. Hajek to beat M. Ilhan 3,7 LOST
                                    G. Dimitrov to beat T. Bellucci 2,23 LOST
                                    4-6.

                                    Previous bank: 101,72 pts
                                    New bank: 97,33 pts
                                    Strike-rate: 33,8% (22-43)
                                    New wager-size: 4,9 pts

                                    Tuesday:

                                    D. Brown to beat F. Mayer 4,19
                                    T. Berdych to beat R. Bemelmans 1,12
                                    S. Devvarman to beat M. Ebden 2,09
                                    D. Istomin to beat J.M. Del Potro 6,17
                                    E. Gulbis to beat A. Mannarino 1,61
                                    I. Karlovic to beat K. Anderson 1,6
                                    D. Gremelmayr to beat M. Russell 2,5
                                    M. Bachinger to beat X. Malisse 3,5
                                    M. Berrer to beat J-W. Tsonga 4,97
                                    F. Verdasco to beat N. Mahut 1,8
                                    A. Roddick to beat F. Lopez 1,68
                                    Comment
                                    • tipsterm
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-26-11
                                      • 754

                                      #19
                                      Murray to beat Federer @ 2.19
                                      Comment
                                      • tipsterm
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-26-11
                                        • 754

                                        #20
                                        Wozniacki (-4,5 games) to beat Kerber @ 2.03
                                        Comment
                                        • Dmoneytx
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-09-12
                                          • 6450

                                          #21
                                          Your play was Woz -4.5 games??? Really?? Obviously, she didn't even win. What a strange thread.
                                          Comment
                                          • tipsterm
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-26-11
                                            • 754

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Dmoneytx
                                            Your play was Woz -4.5 games??? Really?? Obviously, she didn't even win. What a strange thread.
                                            It's like underdog winning outright. Happens all the time. I am unhappy about lack of time to post here. So obviously, this thread is going no way at the moment.

                                            Today, my picks are:

                                            Dolgopolov to beat Del Potro @ 7

                                            - such a natural hitter has a slight shot at this almost hardcourt blue clay I guess... at least for me much higher than 1 in 7

                                            Ferrer to beat Federer @ 3.85
                                            - for me Federer was beaten already by Raonic - only lack of experience got Milos down with the last couple of points and I expect a battle here for each shot by experienced and heavy labouring Ferrer, who never surrends, anything over odds of 3 is good I think

                                            Tipsarevic to beat Djokovic @ 7.3
                                            - Tipsy showed at Masters last year that he is able to fight is fellow country man so why are these odds so high? Surely Djoki can be beaten, Nadal showed how just most recently

                                            Hradecka to beat Stosur @ 4.96
                                            - if she serves the way the last couple of matches, Stosur will have problems, she is no way in the league of almost-unbeatables (Azarenka, Sharapova...)

                                            Sharapova to beat Williams @ 2.52
                                            - for me she is the best on circuit at the moment, the way she wiped Azarenka from court on their last meeting...
                                            Comment
                                            • Pride
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-12-10
                                              • 4238

                                              #23
                                              sharapova will never break serena
                                              Comment
                                              • tipsterm
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-26-11
                                                • 754

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by tipsterm
                                                It's like underdog winning outright. Happens all the time. I am unhappy about lack of time to post here. So obviously, this thread is going no way at the moment.

                                                Today, my picks are:

                                                Dolgopolov to beat Del Potro @ 7
                                                LOST
                                                - such a natural hitter has a slight shot at this almost hardcourt blue clay I guess... at least for me much higher than 1 in 7

                                                Ferrer to beat Federer @ 3.85 LOST
                                                - for me Federer was beaten already by Raonic - only lack of experience got Milos down with the last couple of points and I expect a battle here for each shot by experienced and heavy labouring Ferrer, who never surrends, anything over odds of 3 is good I think

                                                Tipsarevic to beat Djokovic @ 7.3 WON
                                                - Tipsy showed at Masters last year that he is able to fight is fellow country man so why are these odds so high? Surely Djoki can be beaten, Nadal showed how just most recently

                                                Hradecka to beat Stosur @ 4.96 WON
                                                - if she serves the way the last couple of matches, Stosur will have problems, she is no way in the league of almost-unbeatables (Azarenka, Sharapova...)

                                                Sharapova to beat Williams @ 2.52 LOST
                                                - for me she is the best on circuit at the moment, the way she wiped Azarenka from court on their last meeting...
                                                Roughly +7 units. Williams in superb form and Federer really superior to Ferrer, stretching his current winning streak against him to some 13 wins in a row. Two wins with great odds saved the day.

                                                Today, I pick "Over 22 games" in a match between Federer and Tipsarevic. Hope that Tip will hang on with Federer and force some tie-break and maybe pulling some surprise set. If he will be able to play his style well, he can win in my opinion. I hope he wins...
                                                Comment
                                                • tipsterm
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-26-11
                                                  • 754

                                                  #25
                                                  Minus a unit yesterday. Tipsatevic looked resigned and tired through the match. A couple of times he showed what he is capable of, but most of the time he seemed to be not on the court at all.

                                                  Today in ATP Rome one pick - Ferrero to beat Anderson @ 2.57
                                                  Anderson with 1 title this year, but otherwise haven“t achieved much, beating only low-ranked players.
                                                  Ferrero worse than that, but former number 1 has the ability to beat him.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tipsterm
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-26-11
                                                    • 754

                                                    #26
                                                    Ferrero in straight sets. Plus 1.5 units. Thread closed.
                                                    Comment
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