Good Play 4 U All Today Montanes

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  • y2kr1000
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-12-10
    • 692

    #1
    Good Play 4 U All Today Montanes
    Albert Montanes +5.5 vs Andy Murray

    Montanes is 11/15 Rank 24

    Murray is 12/15 Rank 4

    Previous matchups all belong to Murray as follows: 6:4 6:2; 7:5 6:3; 6:4 6:2.

    Good value here for a 5.5 point dog in good form and wanting a win vs Murray .

    Best of luck all...
    Last edited by y2kr1000; 10-07-10, 03:26 AM.
  • nulldah
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-10
    • 1473

    #2
    I'm taking Montanes ML at +900

    Good form maybe not, but I like my chance against Murray that just recovered from illness and seems want to end this disastrous 2010 asap, if possible.
    Comment
    • nulldah
      SBR MVP
      • 01-27-10
      • 1473

      #3
      Damn you, Montanes!! that break just taste good!! You better win the match now, 1 set 6-4, 1 set tie break 7-6. I dont want another tease
      Comment
      • Mikail
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-19-09
        • 21689

        #4
        Looks good so far. Real good!
        Comment
        • nulldah
          SBR MVP
          • 01-27-10
          • 1473

          #5
          Mikail, now good, but momentum in tennis can change so quickly. One simple thing happen to a player can change him from hero to zero or vice versa.

          see how Ivanovic choke away the chance to close the set? Still thinking it's good thing to be able to live bet?

          All I can remember about live betting is whatever amount i deposit into bet365 never return back to my bank acc. I dont know why, call me bad money management or whatever.

          Live-betting is never good, unless it's trading/hedging(similar, but different).
          Comment
          • Mikail
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-19-09
            • 21689

            #6
            Originally posted by nulldah
            Mikail, now good, but momentum in tennis can change so quickly. One simple thing happen to a player can change him from hero to zero or vice versa.

            see how Ivanovic choke away the chance to close the set? Still thinking it's good thing to be able to live bet?

            All I can remember about live betting is whatever amount i deposit into Bet365 never return back to my bank acc. I dont know why, call me bad money management or whatever.

            Live-betting is never good, unless it's trading/hedging(similar, but different).
            This is what people keep telling me time and time again. That live betting looks easy but it will beat you. Anyway I think Ivanavic will win this match. She looks way better on serve.
            Comment
            • y2kr1000
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 04-12-10
              • 692

              #7
              I dont know the slightest thing about tennis players, I just crunch the numbers and put myself in their situation. Montranes is 29 years of age, far more experienced and up in rankings from 31 in 2009 to 24 at present. He has previously gone 3/5 and 11/15. He won yesterday 2 sets to a ranked 33 player who retired hence more rested. Murray has won 3 previous matchups so at age 29 its now or never in the sporting world.
              Comment
              • nulldah
                SBR MVP
                • 01-27-10
                • 1473

                #8
                Originally posted by y2kr1000
                I dont know the slightest thing about tennis players, I just crunch the numbers and put myself in their situation. Montranes is 29 years of age, far more experienced and up in rankings from 31 in 2009 to 24 at present. He has previously gone 3/5 and 11/15. He won yesterday 2 sets to a ranked 33 player who retired hence more rested. Murray has won 3 previous matchups so at age 29 its now or never in the sporting world.
                you can apply to any tennis players, I think. but I dont recommend you applying to Nadal in any tour or Federer in GrandSlam. Both are not at human level alr (but now federer back being human)
                Comment
                • Mikail
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-19-09
                  • 21689

                  #9
                  montanes pissing away his break now and Ivanavic wins tiebreaker up a set on Dementieva
                  Comment
                  • nulldah
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-10
                    • 1473

                    #10
                    montanes just threw away maybe his "once in lifetime" chance to beat future top tennis player
                    Comment
                    • y2kr1000
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 04-12-10
                      • 692

                      #11
                      at least the +5.5 is safe
                      Comment
                      • Mikail
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-19-09
                        • 21689

                        #12
                        looking good but not safe yet.
                        Comment
                        • Mikail
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-19-09
                          • 21689

                          #13
                          once Montanes wins the third game in second set you can cash the +5.5
                          Comment
                          • Mikail
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-19-09
                            • 21689

                            #14
                            It's a winner!
                            Comment
                            • Tsonga
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-12-09
                              • 2349

                              #15
                              Wow...lots of confidence in monotones here.
                              Comment
                              • y2kr1000
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 04-12-10
                                • 692

                                #16
                                Comment
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