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Gaston Nishioka is a classic example of what I talked above. I'll take both Dog ML and Nishioka -2.5 sets. Either it's an upset or a blowout, if I lose so be it. It's not as crazy as it sounds. In soccer I sometimes take both Under 2.5 and Over 5.5 in the same game with a huge fav, and guess what, it went over the last time.
Edit: And Nishioka bites the dust, heh. Love my dog MLs.
Last edited by Gaze73; 09-30-20 at 08:05 AM.
ytd:
2020: 35-36 +6.84
2019: 61-90 -31.17
9/4
WTA
Krejcikova ML (+179) (Heritagesports)
0-1 -1.00Originally Posted by Conqueror
ytd:
2020: 35-37 +5.84
2019: 61-90 -31.17
ytd:
2020: 35-37 +5.84
2019: 61-90 -31.17
10/16
ATP, Sardina, Italy
Djere ML (-120)
Potentially tight game but Djere to edge it out eventually given some intangible edges on his side.
1-0 +1.00
ytd:
2020: 36-37 +6.84
2019: 61-90 -31.17
ytd:
2020: 36-37 +6.84
2019: 61-90 -31.17
10/19
ATP, Antwerp
Lajovic ML (+163)
Honestly I like this too but I have no idea why the line is where it's at. Feels too easy.
You said it all. The result justified the line.
0-1 -1.00
ytd:
2020: 36-38 +5.84
2019: 61-90 -31.17
ytd:
2020: 36-38 +5.84
2019: 61-90 -31.17
10/21
ATP
Opelka ML (-103)
Kecmanovic ML (+104)
WTA
Azarenka -1.5 sets (-124)
0-3 -3.27 Disaster!
ytd:
2020: 36-41 +2.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
ytd:
2020: 36-41 +2.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
10/22
ATP, Cologne
Otte ML (1st set) (+225)
Not looking forward to an outright upset but Otte has a number of matches under his belt under these conditions.
Schwartzman hasn't played a competitive match on HC since August 31. I like the home boy to nick the 1st set.
0-1 -1.00
ytd:
2020: 36-42 +1.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
ytd:
2020: 36-42 +1.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
10/26
ATP Doubles, Vienna
Novak/Thiem ML (+226) (Heritagesports)
0-1 -1.00
So near, yet so far.
ytd:
2020: 36-43 +0.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
Tough times lately, dogs can be pretty useless sometimes, throwing games left and right. I started taking set handicaps occasionally because I was sick of all the 1:2 throws.
We'll survive. Can't wait for the Australian Open.
YTD:
2020: 36-43 +0.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
11/14
ATP
Pospisil ML (+197)
No doubt, Sinner is so well talented and is a deserved favorite in this matchup. But some intangibles of the game make this more like a 50/50 game - hence the underdog is the value play.
0-1 -1.00
ytd:
2020: 36-44 -0.43
2019: 61-90 -31.17
YTD:
2020: 36-44 -0.43
2019: 61-90 -31.17
11/15
ATP
Nadal ML (-150) (Bookmaker)
Pospisil fought hard
nadal wins today, good luck
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Thanks!
1-0 +1.00
ytd:
2020: 37-44 +0.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
YTD:
2020: 37-44 +0.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
11/17
ATP, London
Tsitsipas ML (-130) (Heritagesports)
1-0 +1.00
ytd:
2020: 38-44 +1.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
YTD:
2020: 38-44 +1.57
2019: 61-90 -31.17
11/20
ATP
Djokovic -1.5 sets (+108) (Bookmaker)
After his no-show against Medvedev, Djokovic redeems himself here.
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1-0 +1.08
ytd:
2020: 39-44 +2.65
2019: 61-90 -31.17
ytd:
2020: 39-44 +2.65
2019: 61-90 -31.17
11/26
ATP Challenger, Lima
Roca Batalla ML (+164) (Bookmaker)
0-1 -1.00
ytd:
2020: 39-45 +1.65
2019: 61-90 -31.17
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Conqueror gave super mario 48 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.