CappinthePigs Fresh Start Tennis

**w3coyote** · 02-17-10, 11:40 AM

Is anyone watching Hajek-Martens? Any signs that Hajek will get his first serve going? 36% in first set...

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by w3coyote

Is anyone watching Hajek-Martens? Any signs that Hajek will get his first serve going? 36% in first set...

I'm watching the match update point by point by scoreboard, but doesn't look like he has anything near his normal game today. We'll be lucky to pull this on out.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Yowza. I'd rather parlay that with something else solid and not risk as much, but that's your style and what works for you! GL brother. Ouanna may make it a little tricky if he serves like yesterday.

Yeah he could. That's why I didn't play the spread, -4 -120, I can see it 7-5, 7-5 or 3 setter so.. figure he won't lose, but if he does at least I'm just playing with my profits so far and even if it loses I'm still even so it's a calculated risk! LOL if there is such a thing!

**Ansermil** · 02-17-10, 11:44 AM

You're Crazy

but good luck with Tsonga

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by Ansermil

You're Crazy

but good luck with Tsonga

**xXxBallin21xXx** · 02-17-10, 12:23 PM

Albert Montanes...take it

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by xXxBallin21xXx

Albert Montanes...take it

I will. And after researching, I'm gonna play it for sure! Bol To us both

Albert Montanes -342 (Pinnacle)
Risking 17.10 Units to win 5.00 Units

**w3coyote** · 02-17-10, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by cappinthepigs

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -745 (Bookmaker) Risking 52.31 Units to win 7.02 Units

Originally posted by cappinthepigs

Albert Montanes -342 (Pinnacle) Risking 17.10 Units to win 5.00 Units

Damn! You got huge balls. I'm sure both of these will cash, but my balls are about 40 units smaller, so I really have to pass.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by w3coyote

Damn! You got huge balls. I'm sure both of these will cash, but my balls are about 40 units smaller, so I really have to pass.

Well, I'm mostly just playing with profits trying to pad the bankroll. But even if it's a big fav or not, I'm willing to lay it on the line if I think it's a sure winner, bites me sometimes, but now up 60ish units in the last couple months.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by cappinthepigs

Jan Hajek -140 (Bodog)
Risking 2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units

Originally posted by cappinthepigs

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -745 (Bookmaker)
Risking 52.31 Units to win 7.02 Units

Risking all my profits thus far on this match. Come on everyone. I want to hear how i'm CRAZY!! BIG FAVS will burn you... Anyhow, when it hits, I can put another $175.50 in my pocket.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by cappinthepigs

I will. And after researching, I'm gonna play it for sure! Bol To us both

Albert Montanes -342 (Pinnacle)
Risking 17.10 Units to win 5.00 Units

**w3coyote** · 02-17-10, 04:47 PM

Nice!

Even if it is just profits you are betting at the moment, got to love your style.
You may lose your bankroll one day, but so does many cappers who are always searching odds with great value and have complicated money management systems. At least your way sounds much more fun.
Since you are not betting blind and seem to have good insight for tennis, I honestly believe that you end up in good profit.
Good luck!

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 04:49 PM

Originally posted by w3coyote

Nice!

Even if it is just profits you are betting at the moment, got to love your style.
You may lose your bankroll one day, but so does many cappers who are always searching odds with great value and have complicated money management systems. At least your way sounds much more fun.
Since you are not betting blind and seem to have good insight for tennis, I honestly believe that you end up in good profit.
Good luck!

TY.

**xXxBallin21xXx** · 02-17-10, 07:14 PM

**bluefish** · 02-17-10, 09:01 PM

good luck

**cappinthepigs** · 02-17-10, 10:16 PM

Originally posted by xXxBallin21xXx

Thanks for the Tip ballin. I can't believe I looked over that one in the first place. I owe ya one!

**xXxBallin21xXx** · 02-17-10, 10:45 PM

lol np, just trying to share da luv and having someone agree with my picks just gives me more confidence FTW. GL with the next picks but as of now, got hw to do.

**Spanks** · 02-18-10, 12:28 AM

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 08:09 AM

Gonna start adding a new feature to my picks. I'm going to do a Underdog of the day play and pick a dog of at least +150 that I think will win the match. I will track seperately from my normal picks. Would like feedback on my underdog picks please.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 08:12 AM

Yannick Mertens -140 (Pinnacle)
Risking 2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units

This kid really suprised me yesterday taking down Hajek, I think he keeps it going here.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 09:00 AM

WTA DUBAI

Victoria Azarenka +101 (Pinnacle)
Risking 1.00 Units to win 1.01 Units

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 09:03 AM

Underdog of the Day

WTA DUBAI

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +300 (BetOnline)
Risking 1.00 Units to win 3.00 Units

She's beat venus 2 of 3 lifetime and both on hard courts. Venus didn't look too good yesterday, so it's tough for me to pass on +300.

BOL

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 09:05 AM

ATP Buenos Aires

Igor Andreev -153 (Pinnacle)
Risking 3.06 Units to win 2.00 Units

**ji03** · 02-18-10, 09:36 AM

got Pavlyuchenkova too. GL

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 10:18 AM

Originally posted by cappinthepigs

Yannick Mertens -140 (Pinnacle)
Risking 2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units

This kid really suprised me yesterday taking down Hajek, I think he keeps it going here.

Yannick Mertens -140 (Pinnacle)
Risking 2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units

I should probably stop betting this kid. He beat me when I bet against him yesterday, and beat me when I bet for him today. LOL

**EaglesPhan36** · 02-18-10, 10:39 AM

Good luck with Andreev. That SOB Fs me every time no matter how I bet his matches.

**Rediscoveryx** · 02-18-10, 10:41 AM

I like your picks, but I'd love it if you could add information about what tournament any given game is played in. Sometimes there are as many as five or six tournaments to choose from at the same time, so that little piece of information would be very helpful!

**MUHerd37** · 02-18-10, 11:12 AM

I really don't see Pavlyuchenkova having a chance. Hantuchova looked absolutely terrible. She never did what she needed to do which was move Pav around. If Venus does that she should win somewhat easily. Pav can't move for shit. Also, she got very nervous when she got up and was serving for set, etc. She isn't ready for the big time. Just hope this post doesn't come back and bite me in the ass.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by Rediscoveryx

I like your picks, but I'd love it if you could add information about what tournament any given game is played in. Sometimes there are as many as five or six tournaments to choose from at the same time, so that little piece of information would be very helpful!

I can do that, I'll go back and edit them now to show. Hope I can help ya. I'm a novice at this and have an ONORTHODOX approach so, do with my picks what you will.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 11:32 AM

Originally posted by MUHerd37

I really don't see Pavlyuchenkova having a chance. Hantuchova looked absolutely terrible. She never did what she needed to do which was move Pav around. If Venus does that she should win somewhat easily. Pav can't move for shit. Also, she got very nervous when she got up and was serving for set, etc. She isn't ready for the big time. Just hope this post doesn't come back and bite me in the ass.

LOL!! It bites me every time I say something like that.

With that being said, I decided to stick my hand into LARGE dogs that I think can win. That's the reason for this pick. Do I think it's LIKELY she'll win... Probably not. Venus is probably has a 70% chance of winning... But she obviously plays Venus well based on past performance and it's +300 and Venus isn't playing all that well herself so thus the pick. I only need about 1 of 3 of these picks to hit to stay in positive #'s so we'll see how it plays out. BOL with all your picks.

**Rediscoveryx** · 02-18-10, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by cappinthepigs

I can do that, I'll go back and edit them now to show. Hope I can help ya. I'm a novice at this and have an ONORTHODOX approach so, do with my picks what you will.

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by cappinthepigs

WTA DUBAI

Victoria Azarenka +101 (Pinnacle)
Risking 1.00 Units to win 1.01 Units

Victoria Azarenka +101 (Pinnacle)
Risking 1.00 Units to win 1.01 Units

**EaglesPhan36** · 02-18-10, 11:55 AM

You on Oudin today?

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

You on Oudin today?

I see no reason not to be.. I'll probably play her, but i'm thinking in a parlay...

**cappinthepigs** · 02-18-10, 12:14 PM

Melanie Oudin -296 (Pinnacle) / David Ferrer -640 (Pinnacle) = -183

PARLAY:
Risking 20 Units to win 10.93 Units

Ferrer wins Easily and Oudin should as well.