CappinthePigs Fresh Start Tennis

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  • w3coyote
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-11-09
    • 210

    #106
    Is anyone watching Hajek-Martens? Any signs that Hajek will get his first serve going? 36% in first set...
    Comment
    • cappinthepigs
      SBR MVP
      • 10-07-09
      • 1864

      #107
      Originally posted by w3coyote
      Is anyone watching Hajek-Martens? Any signs that Hajek will get his first serve going? 36% in first set...

      I'm watching the match update point by point by scoreboard, but doesn't look like he has anything near his normal game today. We'll be lucky to pull this on out.
      Comment
      • cappinthepigs
        SBR MVP
        • 10-07-09
        • 1864

        #108
        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
        Yowza. I'd rather parlay that with something else solid and not risk as much, but that's your style and what works for you! GL brother. Ouanna may make it a little tricky if he serves like yesterday.
        Yeah he could. That's why I didn't play the spread, -4 -120, I can see it 7-5, 7-5 or 3 setter so.. figure he won't lose, but if he does at least I'm just playing with my profits so far and even if it loses I'm still even so it's a calculated risk! LOL if there is such a thing!
        Comment
        • Ansermil
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-31-10
          • 208

          #109
          You're Crazy
          but good luck with Tsonga
          Comment
          • cappinthepigs
            SBR MVP
            • 10-07-09
            • 1864

            #110
            Originally posted by Ansermil
            You're Crazy
            but good luck with Tsonga
            Comment
            • xXxBallin21xXx
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-11-09
              • 590

              #111
              Albert Montanes...take it
              Comment
              • cappinthepigs
                SBR MVP
                • 10-07-09
                • 1864

                #112
                Originally posted by xXxBallin21xXx
                Albert Montanes...take it
                I will. And after researching, I'm gonna play it for sure! Bol To us both

                Albert Montanes -342 (Pinnacle)
                Risking 17.10 Units to win 5.00 Units
                Comment
                • w3coyote
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-11-09
                  • 210

                  #113
                  Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                  Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -745 (Bookmaker) Risking 52.31 Units to win 7.02 Units
                  Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                  Albert Montanes -342 (Pinnacle) Risking 17.10 Units to win 5.00 Units
                  Damn! You got huge balls. I'm sure both of these will cash, but my balls are about 40 units smaller, so I really have to pass.
                  Comment
                  • cappinthepigs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-07-09
                    • 1864

                    #114
                    Originally posted by w3coyote

                    Damn! You got huge balls. I'm sure both of these will cash, but my balls are about 40 units smaller, so I really have to pass.
                    Well, I'm mostly just playing with profits trying to pad the bankroll. But even if it's a big fav or not, I'm willing to lay it on the line if I think it's a sure winner, bites me sometimes, but now up 60ish units in the last couple months.
                    Comment
                    • cappinthepigs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-07-09
                      • 1864

                      #115
                      Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                      Jan Hajek -140 (Bodog)
                      Risking 2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units


                      Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                      Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -745 (Bookmaker)
                      Risking 52.31 Units to win 7.02 Units


                      Risking all my profits thus far on this match. Come on everyone. I want to hear how i'm CRAZY!! BIG FAVS will burn you... Anyhow, when it hits, I can put another $175.50 in my pocket.
                      Comment
                      • cappinthepigs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-07-09
                        • 1864

                        #116
                        Originally posted by cappinthepigs

                        I will. And after researching, I'm gonna play it for sure! Bol To us both

                        Albert Montanes -342 (Pinnacle)
                        Risking 17.10 Units to win 5.00 Units
                        Albert Montanes -342 (Pinnacle)
                        Risking 17.10 Units to win 5.00 Units
                        Comment
                        • w3coyote
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-11-09
                          • 210

                          #117
                          Nice! Even if it is just profits you are betting at the moment, got to love your style.
                          You may lose your bankroll one day, but so does many cappers who are always searching odds with great value and have complicated money management systems. At least your way sounds much more fun.
                          Since you are not betting blind and seem to have good insight for tennis, I honestly believe that you end up in good profit.
                          Good luck!
                          Comment
                          • cappinthepigs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-07-09
                            • 1864

                            #118
                            Originally posted by w3coyote
                            Nice! Even if it is just profits you are betting at the moment, got to love your style.
                            You may lose your bankroll one day, but so does many cappers who are always searching odds with great value and have complicated money management systems. At least your way sounds much more fun.
                            Since you are not betting blind and seem to have good insight for tennis, I honestly believe that you end up in good profit.
                            Good luck!
                            TY.
                            Comment
                            • xXxBallin21xXx
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-11-09
                              • 590

                              #119
                              Comment
                              • bluefish
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 04-13-09
                                • 917

                                #120
                                good luck
                                Comment
                                • cappinthepigs
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-07-09
                                  • 1864

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by xXxBallin21xXx

                                  Thanks for the Tip ballin. I can't believe I looked over that one in the first place. I owe ya one!
                                  Comment
                                  • xXxBallin21xXx
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-11-09
                                    • 590

                                    #122
                                    lol np, just trying to share da luv and having someone agree with my picks just gives me more confidence FTW. GL with the next picks but as of now, got hw to do.
                                    Comment
                                    • Spanks
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-12-07
                                      • 2040

                                      #123
                                      Comment
                                      • cappinthepigs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-07-09
                                        • 1864

                                        #124
                                        Gonna start adding a new feature to my picks. I'm going to do a Underdog of the day play and pick a dog of at least +150 that I think will win the match. I will track seperately from my normal picks. Would like feedback on my underdog picks please.
                                        Comment
                                        • cappinthepigs
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-07-09
                                          • 1864

                                          #125
                                          Yannick Mertens -140 (Pinnacle)
                                          Risking 2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units


                                          This kid really suprised me yesterday taking down Hajek, I think he keeps it going here.
                                          Comment
                                          • cappinthepigs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-07-09
                                            • 1864

                                            #126
                                            WTA DUBAI

                                            Victoria Azarenka +101 (Pinnacle)
                                            Risking 1.00 Units to win 1.01 Units
                                            Last edited by cappinthepigs; 02-18-10, 11:30 AM. Reason: Tourney Info
                                            Comment
                                            • cappinthepigs
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-07-09
                                              • 1864

                                              #127
                                              Underdog of the Day

                                              WTA DUBAI

                                              Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +300 (BetOnline)
                                              Risking 1.00 Units to win 3.00 Units



                                              She's beat venus 2 of 3 lifetime and both on hard courts. Venus didn't look too good yesterday, so it's tough for me to pass on +300.

                                              BOL
                                              Last edited by cappinthepigs; 02-18-10, 11:29 AM. Reason: Tourney Info
                                              Comment
                                              • cappinthepigs
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-07-09
                                                • 1864

                                                #128
                                                ATP Buenos Aires

                                                Igor Andreev -153 (Pinnacle)
                                                Risking 3.06 Units to win 2.00 Units
                                                Last edited by cappinthepigs; 02-18-10, 11:30 AM. Reason: Tourney Info
                                                Comment
                                                • ji03
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-27-09
                                                  • 1144

                                                  #129
                                                  got Pavlyuchenkova too. GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cappinthepigs
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-07-09
                                                    • 1864

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                                                    Yannick Mertens -140 (Pinnacle)
                                                    Risking 2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units


                                                    This kid really suprised me yesterday taking down Hajek, I think he keeps it going here.
                                                    Yannick Mertens -140 (Pinnacle)
                                                    Risking 2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units


                                                    I should probably stop betting this kid. He beat me when I bet against him yesterday, and beat me when I bet for him today. LOL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #131
                                                      Good luck with Andreev. That SOB Fs me every time no matter how I bet his matches.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Rediscoveryx
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 09-06-09
                                                        • 40

                                                        #132
                                                        I like your picks, but I'd love it if you could add information about what tournament any given game is played in. Sometimes there are as many as five or six tournaments to choose from at the same time, so that little piece of information would be very helpful!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MUHerd37
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-23-09
                                                          • 12816

                                                          #133
                                                          I really don't see Pavlyuchenkova having a chance. Hantuchova looked absolutely terrible. She never did what she needed to do which was move Pav around. If Venus does that she should win somewhat easily. Pav can't move for shit. Also, she got very nervous when she got up and was serving for set, etc. She isn't ready for the big time. Just hope this post doesn't come back and bite me in the ass.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cappinthepigs
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-07-09
                                                            • 1864

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Rediscoveryx
                                                            I like your picks, but I'd love it if you could add information about what tournament any given game is played in. Sometimes there are as many as five or six tournaments to choose from at the same time, so that little piece of information would be very helpful!
                                                            I can do that, I'll go back and edit them now to show. Hope I can help ya. I'm a novice at this and have an ONORTHODOX approach so, do with my picks what you will.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cappinthepigs
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-07-09
                                                              • 1864

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                              I really don't see Pavlyuchenkova having a chance. Hantuchova looked absolutely terrible. She never did what she needed to do which was move Pav around. If Venus does that she should win somewhat easily. Pav can't move for shit. Also, she got very nervous when she got up and was serving for set, etc. She isn't ready for the big time. Just hope this post doesn't come back and bite me in the ass.
                                                              LOL!! It bites me every time I say something like that.

                                                              With that being said, I decided to stick my hand into LARGE dogs that I think can win. That's the reason for this pick. Do I think it's LIKELY she'll win... Probably not. Venus is probably has a 70% chance of winning... But she obviously plays Venus well based on past performance and it's +300 and Venus isn't playing all that well herself so thus the pick. I only need about 1 of 3 of these picks to hit to stay in positive #'s so we'll see how it plays out. BOL with all your picks.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Rediscoveryx
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 09-06-09
                                                                • 40

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                                                                I can do that, I'll go back and edit them now to show. Hope I can help ya. I'm a novice at this and have an ONORTHODOX approach so, do with my picks what you will.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cappinthepigs
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-07-09
                                                                  • 1864

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                                                                  WTA DUBAI

                                                                  Victoria Azarenka +101 (Pinnacle)
                                                                  Risking 1.00 Units to win 1.01 Units
                                                                  Victoria Azarenka +101 (Pinnacle)
                                                                  Risking 1.00 Units to win 1.01 Units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #138
                                                                    You on Oudin today?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cappinthepigs
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-07-09
                                                                      • 1864

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                      You on Oudin today?
                                                                      I see no reason not to be.. I'll probably play her, but i'm thinking in a parlay...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cappinthepigs
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-07-09
                                                                        • 1864

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Melanie Oudin -296 (Pinnacle) / David Ferrer -640 (Pinnacle) = -183

                                                                        PARLAY:
                                                                        Risking 20 Units to win 10.93 Units



                                                                        Ferrer wins Easily and Oudin should as well.
                                                                        Comment
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