Matt's Tennis picks

[addictedto]

Now everyone will call me names but ...
Matt, I like your thread although I am not convinced we can win tailing, but I got an advice which can help you in what you doing - never mix betting with your personal preferences - I refer to Canadians Raonic and Pospisil. I agree Raonic loss was a big surprise today, but you overrate Pospisil a lot.
And to be positive now, I am making players blacklist - definitely in are Florian Mayer, Pospisil, Monfils joke, Tipsarevic fixer, anyone esle?

[matt1216]

Now everyone will call me names but ...
Matt, I like your thread although I am not convinced we can win tailing, but I got an advice which can help you in what you doing - never mix betting with your personal preferences - I refer to Canadians Raonic and Pospisil. I agree Raonic loss was a big surprise today, but you overrate Pospisil a lot.
And to be positive now, I am making players blacklist - definitely in are Florian Mayer, Pospisil, Monfils joke, Tipsarevic fixer, anyone esle?

No I hear what your saying but Pospisil should have won the other night and he's up and coming. He will be solid in the future. I just have to be a bit more selective with my wagers here. I've made a lot of money. I also gave some back today. These days happen.

[addictedto]

No I hear what your saying but Pospisil should have won the other night and he's up and coming. He will be solid in the future. I just have to be a bit more selective with my wagers here. I've made a lot of money. I also gave some back today. These days happen.

I know ups and downs, good luck with next bets.

[matt1216]

YTD.... Last night was a bit weird but here's the breakdown of what happened.


Play#1 Large wager -1300$
Play#2 Large wager -1900$
Play#3 ATP wager -400$
Play#4 ATP wager +775$
Play#5 ATP wager +550$
Play#6 Large wager -1675$
Play#7 ATP wager -400$
Play#8 ATP wager +640$
Play#9 ATP wager -800$
Play#10 Challenger -1400$
Play #11 Large wager +2333$
Play#12 Large wager +1650$
Play#13 Challenger -400$
Play#14 Large Play +2109$


ATP: 48-44 +3625$ 3-3 today +325$
Challenger: 32-45 -2575$ 0-2 today -1800$
Large Wagers: 26-15 +13217$ 3-3 today +1217$

Today was a weird day. I knew a ton of dogs would win but I didn't think this many would hit. ANDERSON, that shit pump cost me 1400$ how do u lose to de Schepper? Whatever I ain't playing that guy until he gets off that Holliday he's been on.

Today:

ATP/WTA 3-2 +300$
Challenger 0-1 -750$
Large Wagers 1-3 -6500$

4-6 -6900$ on day..... Thanks Raonic


YTD:


ATP/WTA: 51-46 +3925$
Challenger: 32-46 -3200$
Large Wagers 27-18 +6717$



My worst day by far. I didn't think Raonic would lose to Paire on his best surface. Hopefully we go up from here. I'll be a little more selective as well.




good luck guys

[matt1216]

Well, atleast Lisicki came thru for me lol.

[Djohns04]

Well, atleast Lisicki came thru for me lol.

Nice ! Even that was a sweat for a while there. I'm learning quickly that betting WTA isn't for the faint of heart. I really like Halep to continue through to the finals, any thoughts on her vs. Pavy ? I'm trying to decide who to parlay with her (Leaning Haas), or whether I should just lay the -170 on Halep and close my eyes?

[matt1216]

Nice ! Even that was a sweat for a while there. I'm learning quickly that betting WTA isn't for the faint of heart. I really like Halep to continue through to the finals, any thoughts on her vs. Pavy ? I'm trying to decide who to parlay with her (Leaning Haas), or whether I should just lay the -170 on Halep and close my eyes?

I played well on parlays today. Just Raonic really screwed me. I like Halep. I'm not sure when stosur will lose. Hass maybe a decent play he's rested.

[matt1216]

Halep is solid. She's only lost to radwanska and Serena lately

[Djohns04]

Halep is solid. She's only lost to radwanska and Serena lately

Yup, it was the lesser of the Radwanska's in Ursula but still... That's the only match I can see in the last 6 months or so that she should have won and didn't.. 2 Losses to Penetta, 1 to Serena and 1 to Venus in Tokyo which I kind of discount since Venus played out of her mind in that tourney.

[frugalgambler]

Halep is solid. She's only lost to radwanska and Serena lately

Nope, she has just lost to U-Rad and Venus in Asia. Funny how you got wrong sisters both times.

Have you or anybody else actually watched Halep or Pavlyuchenkova play in Moscow ? They have just played a tight match in Tokyo. Pav retired in the 3rd, but she was tired after a deep run in the previous tourney. When Pav is on her game, it is tough for me to pay so much juice on Halep. I might take the over or Pav ATS/ML. Have not decided yet.

[frugalgambler]

Yup, it was the lesser of the Radwanska's in Ursula but still... That's the only match I can see in the last 6 months or so that she should have won and didn't.. 2 Losses to Penetta, 1 to Serena and 1 to Venus in Tokyo which I kind of discount since Venus played out of her mind in that tourney.

U-Rad is a top 50 player at best. A-Rad is top 5.

She should have won against Pennetta, but her inexperienced showed. Halep has been killing it in lesser tournaments but she was not clutch on a bigger stage. The crowd will also be quite hostile.

[gottimhimmel]

So did any of you honestly preict raonic to go down?

[GoBlue77]

Winners tomorrow

Haas
Gulbis
Stosur
Voegele
Wozniacki LARGE, winner wins this tournament and I think its Wozy as shes tired of the media speculating on her relationship with Rory and is taking it out on the tennis court recently.

plus i dont think they like each other lol

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbA9WOnh840

[matt1216]

Winners tomorrow

Haas
Gulbis
Stosur
Voegele
Wozniacki LARGE, winner wins this tournament and I think its Wozy as shes tired of the media speculating on her relationship with Rory and is taking it out on the tennis court recently.

plus i dont think they like each other lol
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbA9WOnh840

i like most of those blue. Wozniaki big on the women's side. I like Hass to win as well

[matt1216]

ATP/WTA Play#1


Oct 18, 2013 07:25:17 PM
2 Team Parlay #313121976


Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


ATP Men's Singles - Erste Bank Tennis Trophy, Vienna


Haas, T 1.25 Oct 19/13@05:00a


Competitor: Rosol, L


Tennis - All tournaments for women (Game) Moneyline


If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


WTA Women's Singles - Kremlin Cup, Moscow


Halep, S 1.59 Oct 19/13@03:00a


Competitor: Pavlyuchenkova, A


Web CA$ 800.00 CA$ 788.24





Bol

[matt1216]

WTA Play#2



Oct 18, 2013 07:30:16 PM
Single #313122716


Tennis - All tournaments for women (Game) Moneyline


If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


WTA Women's Singles - Kremlin Cup, Moscow


Kuznetsova, S 2.25 Oct 19/13@02:00a


Competitor: Stosur, S


Web CA$ 500.00 CA$ 625.00



Bol

[matt1216]

ATP Play#3

Oct 18, 2013 07:27:25 PM
Single #313122319


Tennis - ATP Props (Prop) Point Spread


If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


Tsonga, JW vs Haase, R - Game Spread


Haase, R +4 (1.77) Oct 19/13@06:00a


Competitor: Tsonga, JW


Web CA$ 750.00 CA$ 576.92



Bol

[matt1216]

ATP Play#4


Oct 18, 2013 07:27:02 PM
Single #313122243


Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


ATP Men's Singles - Stockholm Open, Sweden


Gulbis, E 1.74 Oct 19/13@06:00a


Competitor: Ferrer, D


Web CA$ 750.00 CA$ 555.56



Bol

[matt1216]

I may add 1 or 2 more plays tops, later

[Djohns04]

Joining you on Haas/Halep, glgl this morning

[frugalgambler]

Joining you on Haas/Halep, glgl this morning

+1; not sure about any other plays. Wow, Ferrer is a dog ? Also like Gasquet + Woz. Just Woz ML for me. And Kuzzy ML as well: Stosur has played a lot of tennis lately. GL Matt.

[Djohns04]

+1; not sure about any other plays. Wow, Ferrer is a dog ? Also like Gasquet + Woz. Just Woz ML for me.

nice glgl ! I've been looking over that Ferrer match so much, I can't quite grasp he's + money. I know he's in bad form and Gulbis is plowing through but idk....+104 I saw it open and now it's +113. It's kinda hard when it seems everyone is on the other side.

[Djohns04]

I actually lean Lisicki over Woz....Probably play her and Ferrer. Either scrape out a small profit with 1 or reconsider life. That vid Blue posted where Woz and Sabine bump, if there really is a genuine dislike, I feel like that might benefit Sabine more as I don't trust Woz's mental state. I guess playing with anger and emotion can go either way, personally i think more often than not it's a bad thing. Probably over thinking things a little but we'll see.

[frugalgambler]

Yeah, maybe it was a mistake to take Woz, but she usually plays very well in Fall and she plays very well indoors. Lisicki, not so much. Woz lost only to Serena and Kerber in Asia and if she wins here she will qualify for the Sofia tourney in a couple of weeks and I think she needs that to stay in top 10.

[kevin101]

Kuznetsova +2.5 looks good at 1.87 odds. +2.5 means that Kuznetsova just has to WIN 1 round right?

[Jarrett75]

Kuznetsova +2.5 looks good at 1.87 odds. +2.5 means that Kuznetsova just has to WIN 1 round right?

no that is a games spread. Meaning she has to lose like 7-6, 7-6, you win by the hook.

[kevin101]

no that is a games spread. Meaning she has to lose like 7-6, 7-6, you win by the hook.

Well thats BS.

[Jarrett75]

Well thats BS.

why is that BS? They should have a set spread as well. It will be +1.5 and she will only have to win a set.

[GoBlue77]

starting to think kuznetsova will win, didnt realize stosur plays doubles with her

[matt1216]

starting to think kuznetsova will win, didnt realize stosur plays doubles with her

Thats what I was thinking.... She would be the one to know her game

[dkthrilla33]

I just loaded on mahut! what do u think of that play?

[dkthrilla33]

I really like A. Seppi too.

[frugalgambler]

Thats what I was thinking.... She would be the one to know her game

They are both wily veterans; played each other six times already. I do not think doubles is a factor here: they should know each other pretty well by know. I just like the motivation factor (Kuzzy wants to win in Russia in front of her friends: she is the most popular player in Moscow) and the fact that Stosur has been playing a lot of tennis lately so I hope she is getting tired.

[matt1216]

ATP Play#5****Large Wager****


Oct 19, 2013 12:37:27 AM
3 Team Parlay #313158436


Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


ATP Men's Singles - Swiss Indoors Basel Qualification, Switzerland


Becker, B 1.18 Oct 19/13@03:00a


Competitor: Ehrat, S


Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


ATP Men's Singles - Erste Bank Tennis Trophy, Vienna


Haas, T 1.22 Oct 19/13@05:00a


Competitor: Rosol, L


Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


ATP Men's Singles - Swiss Indoors Basel Qualification, Switzerland


Kudla, D 1.77 Oct 19/13@06:00a


Competitor: Copil, M


Web CA$ 1000.00 CA$ 1555.56





Bol

[matt1216]

I just loaded on mahut! what do u think of that play?

Scary. Mahut has played a lot recently.