Matt's Tennis picks

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  • addictedto
    SBR MVP
    • 07-03-08
    • 1935

    #911
    Now everyone will call me names but ...
    Matt, I like your thread although I am not convinced we can win tailing, but I got an advice which can help you in what you doing - never mix betting with your personal preferences - I refer to Canadians Raonic and Pospisil. I agree Raonic loss was a big surprise today, but you overrate Pospisil a lot.
    And to be positive now, I am making players blacklist - definitely in are Florian Mayer, Pospisil, Monfils joke, Tipsarevic fixer, anyone esle?
    Comment
    • matt1216
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-27-11
      • 14683

      #912
      Originally posted by addictedto
      Now everyone will call me names but ...
      Matt, I like your thread although I am not convinced we can win tailing, but I got an advice which can help you in what you doing - never mix betting with your personal preferences - I refer to Canadians Raonic and Pospisil. I agree Raonic loss was a big surprise today, but you overrate Pospisil a lot.
      And to be positive now, I am making players blacklist - definitely in are Florian Mayer, Pospisil, Monfils joke, Tipsarevic fixer, anyone esle?
      No I hear what your saying but Pospisil should have won the other night and he's up and coming. He will be solid in the future. I just have to be a bit more selective with my wagers here. I've made a lot of money. I also gave some back today. These days happen.
      Comment
      • addictedto
        SBR MVP
        • 07-03-08
        • 1935

        #913
        Originally posted by matt1216
        No I hear what your saying but Pospisil should have won the other night and he's up and coming. He will be solid in the future. I just have to be a bit more selective with my wagers here. I've made a lot of money. I also gave some back today. These days happen.
        I know ups and downs, good luck with next bets.
        Comment
        • matt1216
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-27-11
          • 14683

          #914
          Originally posted by matt1216
          YTD.... Last night was a bit weird but here's the breakdown of what happened.


          Play#1 Large wager -1300$
          Play#2 Large wager -1900$
          Play#3 ATP wager -400$
          Play#4 ATP wager +775$
          Play#5 ATP wager +550$
          Play#6 Large wager -1675$
          Play#7 ATP wager -400$
          Play#8 ATP wager +640$
          Play#9 ATP wager -800$
          Play#10 Challenger -1400$
          Play #11 Large wager +2333$
          Play#12 Large wager +1650$
          Play#13 Challenger -400$
          Play#14 Large Play +2109$


          ATP: 48-44 +3625$ 3-3 today +325$
          Challenger: 32-45 -2575$ 0-2 today -1800$
          Large Wagers: 26-15 +13217$ 3-3 today +1217$

          Today was a weird day. I knew a ton of dogs would win but I didn't think this many would hit. ANDERSON, that shit pump cost me 1400$ how do u lose to de Schepper? Whatever I ain't playing that guy until he gets off that Holliday he's been on.


          Today:

          ATP/WTA 3-2 +300$
          Challenger 0-1 -750$
          Large Wagers 1-3 -6500$

          4-6 -6900$ on day..... Thanks Raonic


          YTD:


          ATP/WTA: 51-46 +3925$
          Challenger: 32-46 -3200$
          Large Wagers 27-18 +6717$



          My worst day by far. I didn't think Raonic would lose to Paire on his best surface. Hopefully we go up from here. I'll be a little more selective as well.




          good luck guys
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #915
            Well, atleast Lisicki came thru for me lol.
            Comment
            • Djohns04
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-18-10
              • 323

              #916
              Originally posted by matt1216
              Well, atleast Lisicki came thru for me lol.
              Nice ! Even that was a sweat for a while there. I'm learning quickly that betting WTA isn't for the faint of heart. I really like Halep to continue through to the finals, any thoughts on her vs. Pavy ? I'm trying to decide who to parlay with her (Leaning Haas), or whether I should just lay the -170 on Halep and close my eyes?
              Comment
              • matt1216
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-27-11
                • 14683

                #917
                Originally posted by Djohns04
                Nice ! Even that was a sweat for a while there. I'm learning quickly that betting WTA isn't for the faint of heart. I really like Halep to continue through to the finals, any thoughts on her vs. Pavy ? I'm trying to decide who to parlay with her (Leaning Haas), or whether I should just lay the -170 on Halep and close my eyes?
                I played well on parlays today. Just Raonic really screwed me. I like Halep. I'm not sure when stosur will lose. Hass maybe a decent play he's rested.
                Comment
                • matt1216
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-27-11
                  • 14683

                  #918
                  Halep is solid. She's only lost to radwanska and Serena lately
                  Comment
                  • Djohns04
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-18-10
                    • 323

                    #919
                    Originally posted by matt1216
                    Halep is solid. She's only lost to radwanska and Serena lately
                    Yup, it was the lesser of the Radwanska's in Ursula but still... That's the only match I can see in the last 6 months or so that she should have won and didn't.. 2 Losses to Penetta, 1 to Serena and 1 to Venus in Tokyo which I kind of discount since Venus played out of her mind in that tourney.
                    Comment
                    • frugalgambler
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-30-13
                      • 3418

                      #920
                      Originally posted by matt1216
                      Halep is solid. She's only lost to radwanska and Serena lately
                      Nope, she has just lost to U-Rad and Venus in Asia. Funny how you got wrong sisters both times.

                      Have you or anybody else actually watched Halep or Pavlyuchenkova play in Moscow ? They have just played a tight match in Tokyo. Pav retired in the 3rd, but she was tired after a deep run in the previous tourney. When Pav is on her game, it is tough for me to pay so much juice on Halep. I might take the over or Pav ATS/ML. Have not decided yet.
                      Comment
                      • frugalgambler
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-30-13
                        • 3418

                        #921
                        Originally posted by Djohns04
                        Yup, it was the lesser of the Radwanska's in Ursula but still... That's the only match I can see in the last 6 months or so that she should have won and didn't.. 2 Losses to Penetta, 1 to Serena and 1 to Venus in Tokyo which I kind of discount since Venus played out of her mind in that tourney.
                        U-Rad is a top 50 player at best. A-Rad is top 5.

                        She should have won against Pennetta, but her inexperienced showed. Halep has been killing it in lesser tournaments but she was not clutch on a bigger stage. The crowd will also be quite hostile.
                        Comment
                        • gottimhimmel
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-08-13
                          • 261

                          #922
                          So did any of you honestly preict raonic to go down?
                          Comment
                          • GoBlue77
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-20-11
                            • 9166

                            #923
                            Winners tomorrow

                            Haas
                            Gulbis
                            Stosur
                            Voegele
                            Wozniacki LARGE, winner wins this tournament and I think its Wozy as shes tired of the media speculating on her relationship with Rory and is taking it out on the tennis court recently.

                            plus i dont think they like each other lol
                            Comment
                            • matt1216
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 14683

                              #924
                              Originally posted by GoBlue77
                              Winners tomorrow

                              Haas
                              Gulbis
                              Stosur
                              Voegele
                              Wozniacki LARGE, winner wins this tournament and I think its Wozy as shes tired of the media speculating on her relationship with Rory and is taking it out on the tennis court recently.

                              plus i dont think they like each other lol
                              http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbA9WOnh840


                              i like most of those blue. Wozniaki big on the women's side. I like Hass to win as well
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #925
                                ATP/WTA Play#1


                                Oct 18, 2013 07:25:17 PM
                                2 Team Parlay #313121976


                                Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


                                If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


                                ATP Men's Singles - Erste Bank Tennis Trophy, Vienna


                                Haas, T 1.25 Oct 19/13@05:00a


                                Competitor: Rosol, L


                                Tennis - All tournaments for women (Game) Moneyline


                                If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


                                WTA Women's Singles - Kremlin Cup, Moscow


                                Halep, S 1.59 Oct 19/13@03:00a


                                Competitor: Pavlyuchenkova, A


                                Web CA$ 800.00 CA$ 788.24





                                Bol
                                Comment
                                • matt1216
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 14683

                                  #926
                                  WTA Play#2



                                  Oct 18, 2013 07:30:16 PM
                                  Single #313122716


                                  Tennis - All tournaments for women (Game) Moneyline


                                  If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


                                  WTA Women's Singles - Kremlin Cup, Moscow


                                  Kuznetsova, S 2.25 Oct 19/13@02:00a


                                  Competitor: Stosur, S


                                  Web CA$ 500.00 CA$ 625.00



                                  Bol
                                  Comment
                                  • matt1216
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-27-11
                                    • 14683

                                    #927
                                    ATP Play#3

                                    Oct 18, 2013 07:27:25 PM
                                    Single #313122319


                                    Tennis - ATP Props (Prop) Point Spread


                                    If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


                                    Tsonga, JW vs Haase, R - Game Spread


                                    Haase, R +4 (1.77) Oct 19/13@06:00a


                                    Competitor: Tsonga, JW


                                    Web CA$ 750.00 CA$ 576.92



                                    Bol
                                    Comment
                                    • matt1216
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-27-11
                                      • 14683

                                      #928
                                      ATP Play#4


                                      Oct 18, 2013 07:27:02 PM
                                      Single #313122243


                                      Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


                                      If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


                                      ATP Men's Singles - Stockholm Open, Sweden


                                      Gulbis, E 1.74 Oct 19/13@06:00a


                                      Competitor: Ferrer, D


                                      Web CA$ 750.00 CA$ 555.56



                                      Bol
                                      Comment
                                      • matt1216
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-27-11
                                        • 14683

                                        #929
                                        I may add 1 or 2 more plays tops, later
                                        Comment
                                        • Djohns04
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 10-18-10
                                          • 323

                                          #930
                                          Joining you on Haas/Halep, glgl this morning
                                          Comment
                                          • frugalgambler
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-30-13
                                            • 3418

                                            #931
                                            Originally posted by Djohns04
                                            Joining you on Haas/Halep, glgl this morning
                                            +1; not sure about any other plays. Wow, Ferrer is a dog ? Also like Gasquet + Woz. Just Woz ML for me. And Kuzzy ML as well: Stosur has played a lot of tennis lately. GL Matt.
                                            Comment
                                            • Djohns04
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-18-10
                                              • 323

                                              #932
                                              Originally posted by frugalgambler
                                              +1; not sure about any other plays. Wow, Ferrer is a dog ? Also like Gasquet + Woz. Just Woz ML for me.
                                              nice glgl ! I've been looking over that Ferrer match so much, I can't quite grasp he's + money. I know he's in bad form and Gulbis is plowing through but idk....+104 I saw it open and now it's +113. It's kinda hard when it seems everyone is on the other side.
                                              Comment
                                              • Djohns04
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 10-18-10
                                                • 323

                                                #933
                                                I actually lean Lisicki over Woz....Probably play her and Ferrer. Either scrape out a small profit with 1 or reconsider life. That vid Blue posted where Woz and Sabine bump, if there really is a genuine dislike, I feel like that might benefit Sabine more as I don't trust Woz's mental state. I guess playing with anger and emotion can go either way, personally i think more often than not it's a bad thing. Probably over thinking things a little but we'll see.
                                                Comment
                                                • frugalgambler
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-30-13
                                                  • 3418

                                                  #934
                                                  Yeah, maybe it was a mistake to take Woz, but she usually plays very well in Fall and she plays very well indoors. Lisicki, not so much. Woz lost only to Serena and Kerber in Asia and if she wins here she will qualify for the Sofia tourney in a couple of weeks and I think she needs that to stay in top 10.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kevin101
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-24-13
                                                    • 2260

                                                    #935
                                                    Kuznetsova +2.5 looks good at 1.87 odds. +2.5 means that Kuznetsova just has to WIN 1 round right?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jarrett75
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 02-12-11
                                                      • 34

                                                      #936
                                                      Originally posted by kevin101
                                                      Kuznetsova +2.5 looks good at 1.87 odds. +2.5 means that Kuznetsova just has to WIN 1 round right?
                                                      no that is a games spread. Meaning she has to lose like 7-6, 7-6, you win by the hook.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kevin101
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-24-13
                                                        • 2260

                                                        #937
                                                        Originally posted by Jarrett75
                                                        no that is a games spread. Meaning she has to lose like 7-6, 7-6, you win by the hook.
                                                        Well thats BS.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jarrett75
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 02-12-11
                                                          • 34

                                                          #938
                                                          Originally posted by kevin101
                                                          Well thats BS.
                                                          why is that BS? They should have a set spread as well. It will be +1.5 and she will only have to win a set.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GoBlue77
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-20-11
                                                            • 9166

                                                            #939
                                                            starting to think kuznetsova will win, didnt realize stosur plays doubles with her
                                                            Comment
                                                            • matt1216
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 14683

                                                              #940
                                                              Originally posted by GoBlue77
                                                              starting to think kuznetsova will win, didnt realize stosur plays doubles with her
                                                              Thats what I was thinking.... She would be the one to know her game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dkthrilla33
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-26-12
                                                                • 635

                                                                #941
                                                                I just loaded on mahut! what do u think of that play?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dkthrilla33
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-26-12
                                                                  • 635

                                                                  #942
                                                                  I really like A. Seppi too.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • frugalgambler
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-30-13
                                                                    • 3418

                                                                    #943
                                                                    Originally posted by matt1216
                                                                    Thats what I was thinking.... She would be the one to know her game
                                                                    They are both wily veterans; played each other six times already. I do not think doubles is a factor here: they should know each other pretty well by know. I just like the motivation factor (Kuzzy wants to win in Russia in front of her friends: she is the most popular player in Moscow) and the fact that Stosur has been playing a lot of tennis lately so I hope she is getting tired.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • matt1216
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-27-11
                                                                      • 14683

                                                                      #944
                                                                      ATP Play#5****Large Wager****


                                                                      Oct 19, 2013 12:37:27 AM
                                                                      3 Team Parlay #313158436


                                                                      Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


                                                                      If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


                                                                      ATP Men's Singles - Swiss Indoors Basel Qualification, Switzerland


                                                                      Becker, B 1.18 Oct 19/13@03:00a


                                                                      Competitor: Ehrat, S


                                                                      Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


                                                                      If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


                                                                      ATP Men's Singles - Erste Bank Tennis Trophy, Vienna


                                                                      Haas, T 1.22 Oct 19/13@05:00a


                                                                      Competitor: Rosol, L


                                                                      Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline


                                                                      If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.


                                                                      ATP Men's Singles - Swiss Indoors Basel Qualification, Switzerland


                                                                      Kudla, D 1.77 Oct 19/13@06:00a


                                                                      Competitor: Copil, M


                                                                      Web CA$ 1000.00 CA$ 1555.56





                                                                      Bol
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • matt1216
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-27-11
                                                                        • 14683

                                                                        #945
                                                                        Originally posted by dkthrilla33
                                                                        I just loaded on mahut! what do u think of that play?
                                                                        Scary. Mahut has played a lot recently.
                                                                        Comment
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