1 Tennis Dog Friday at 10:30 AM ET

**andrewaxia** · 10-30-09, 08:24 AM

Best of luck. I'm on Stepanek here.

**Regul8er** · 10-30-09, 08:36 AM

LT......the Melzer line looks like great value and I've been debating whether or not to jump on board. Radek has a tremendous track record on these indoor hard courts. It seems like a surface of comfort, and it's definately within Stepanek's comfort zone.

Probably a no play for me either way. GoodLuck

**Dank_Fire** · 10-30-09, 08:37 AM

Finally one that has not gone off after i woke up, GL LT

**StraitShooter** · 10-30-09, 08:40 AM

Good luck...I sure hope Melzer beat Platapus face!

**pat venditto** · 10-30-09, 08:42 AM

Good luck LT.

**StraitShooter** · 10-30-09, 08:54 AM

This should be a very good match

Both these guys are top tier players and I hope jurgen brings his A game and takes down the Czech

**gman2114** · 10-30-09, 09:32 AM

Do you think you could make money with a martingale system and your longshot tennis bets?

**pat venditto** · 10-30-09, 09:34 AM

Gman yes you can make money martingaling. Problem is it won't last. Everyone eventually loses 9-10 bets in a row.

**Regul8er** · 10-30-09, 09:37 AM

I pulled the trigger and jumped on board with Melzer. He's beaten Radek in only head to head matchup on same surface and playing in his home country. Let's go Jurgen!

**Fthenorm** · 10-30-09, 09:49 AM

Gotta question Radek's motivation in this one VS. Melzer and his home crowd. Tough call indeed.

**andrewaxia** · 10-30-09, 09:51 AM

Take away the head to head meeting. It was a challenger event.

**Regul8er** · 10-30-09, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by andrewaxia

Take away the head to head meeting. It was a challenger event.

Good point, I missed that. Either way, tough match to call, and I expected this one to be closer to even odds. Whether Melzer wins or not, I see value at +145

**pavyracer** · 10-30-09, 10:24 AM

Meltzer played a ton of games in his last 4 matches. Opponents took him to tie breaks or 7 games in every match. Stepanek hardly broke a sweat to win his matches. I think Stepanek is undepriced here and he is a great value.

**cav1x** · 10-30-09, 10:31 AM

Everything can happen on a challenger event....looking good

**Regul8er** · 10-30-09, 10:32 AM

Has this match not started yet?

**Regul8er** · 10-30-09, 10:53 AM

404 Not Found

http://liveticker.laola1.at/tennis/Main_tennistrophy.html

Alternate site because ATP live scoreboard isn't working properly for the Vienna tourny. It still has Cilic/Lopez at 2-2 in the 2nd set. That match ended over an hour ago.

Anyways, Melzer up a break in the 1st, 2-1.

**LT Profits** · 10-30-09, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by gman2114

Do you think you could make money with a martingale system and your longshot tennis bets?

I would think not considering I am 25 games under .500 on a W/L basis. That said, I don't remember a really long losing streak of the top of my head.

Regardless, unbounded martingales are NEVER good.

**yisman** · 10-30-09, 11:35 AM

looking good! Melzer up 6-2 4-2

**yisman** · 10-30-09, 11:41 AM

What a beating. This one ended quickly. Melzer wins.

**LT Profits** · 10-30-09, 12:02 PM

Atta boy. That's a nice doggie, yes he is.

**onthewhat** · 10-30-09, 12:03 PM

Holy crap...38-72 and plus money now.

How many +500's have you hit?

**Regul8er** · 10-30-09, 12:03 PM

Money in the Bank.....Shawty what you drank!!

**LT Profits** · 10-30-09, 12:03 PM

Sorry guys, I made a typo in my record, it was actually 47-72 coming in, not 37-72.

**StraitShooter** · 10-30-09, 12:04 PM

nice call!

**LT Profits** · 10-30-09, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by onthewhat

Holy crap...38-72 and plus money now.

How many +500's have you hit?

Corrected my typo, I am 48-72 now.

**Regul8er** · 10-30-09, 12:06 PM

The value was certainly with Melzer at +145....no question about it.