Mr Octobers 2023 picks thread

[Conqueror]

Y. Wuu (the correct spelling isn't accepted on this platform - surprisingly) will be a player to watch out for going forward.

[Mr0ctober]

Y. Wuu (the correct spelling isn't accepted on this platform - surprisingly) will be a player to watch out for going forward.

Didn’t see any of the matches but did see he got Fritz then Isner in a tiebreak marathon.

[Mr0ctober]

2/14:

wta doha parlay

samsanova/pliskova +107 (0.5u)

[Conqueror]

Samsonova is one player one can never understand! I'm hoping she makes a miraculous comeback for you.

[Maizey]

Tough spot for Sams coming off the emotional loss on Sunday, plus Kenin regaining her previous form.

[Maizey]

Yibing is a very interesting story. Top junior saddled with injuries for multiple years. Hard to believe his win was the first ATP title for a Chinese man in the Open era.

[Mr0ctober]

2/15:

kudermetova/sakkari +144 (0.5u)
BBencic -150 (0.5u)

should have looked more into the spot. But that is somewhat why I went lighter. Fading Kenin again today as she’s regaining form and I should be worried about the length of Kudermetova match vs Barbara but sticking with my numbers here as i just don’t buy the Kenin resurgence yet

[Conqueror]

Bencic ML was at +334 at some point in the 2nd set.

[Conqueror]

Public announcement:

With Ostapenko up 5-2 in the 3rd set, Pegula ML (live) was +780.

[Mr0ctober]

Public announcement:

With Ostapenko up 5-2 in the 3rd set, Pegula ML (live) was +780.

WOW cashing some big live dogs if you played them!

[Mr0ctober]

parlay: (wta Linz) Vekic to win 2-0 sets -225/(wta Abu Dhabi) krejcikova -550 (-143) (1u)✅+1u

ATP Cordoba: Tablio -115 (1u) (vs Delbonis)❌ -1.15u

shelby Rodgers +105 (1u)✅ +1.05u

Quinwen Zheng -135 (1u)✅ +1u

samsanova/pliskova +107 (0.5u)❌ -0.5u

kudermetova/sakkari +144 (0.5u)✅ +0.72u
BBencic -150 (0.5u)✅ +0.5u

Tennis season 2023: 24-25 +0.16u✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/17: tennis money line parlay
Fritz/Iga/Arizona -123 (1u)

2/18 parlay:
Iga Swiatek -1.5 sets/Arizona basketball money line (1u) -111 (1u)

for those complaining below

Fritz is tonight @ 9pm ATP Delray (vs Mannarino)

Swiatek is 2/18 @ 10am WTA Doha

Arizona basketball is 2/18 @ 8pm vs Colorado.

[Mr0ctober]

2/17: tennis money line parlay
Fritz/Iga/Arizona -123 (1u)✅

2/18 parlay:
Iga Swiatek -1.5 sets/Arizona basketball money line (1u) -111 (1u)✅

Tennis season 2023: 26-25 +2.16u✅

[Maizey]

i just don’t buy the Kenin resurgence yet

Based on today's performance, you're looking right on that.

[Mr0ctober]

Wta Dubai:
MLP: Kudermetova/Muchova -101 (0.75u)
Masarova -130 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

2/21:Tennis/CBB cross sport

Iga -1.5 sets/San Diego St money line (-174) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Tennis season 2023: 27-27 +1.11u✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/22:

Parlay:

Iga -1.5 sets (-245)/ doubles (Pegula/guaff [vs Chan/chan] -300) -114 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

2/24 morning tennis:
Iga Swiatek/Coco alt under 19 -145 (0.75u)
Iga/coco under 18.5 -110 (0.75u)

[Mr0ctober]

Tennis season 2023: 29-28 +1.47u✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/25:
iga/krej under 18.5 (-105) (0.75u)
iga/krej under 19 (-130) (0.75u)

iga -1.5 sets/umass Lowell money line/Kansas money line (-110) (0.75u)

[Maizey]

2/25:
iga/krej under 18.5 (-105) (0.75u)
iga/krej under 19 (-130) (0.75u)

That's winning the hard way ...

[pabonaparte]

That's winning the hard way ...

was she like +650 on the Money Line?

[Maizey]

In that neighborhood. Probably double that to win in straights and even higher to win by 6 games.

[Mr0ctober]

Yeah that was not how I expected that one to play out at all. Was banking Iga to win in straight sets. Gift win really

Tennis season 2023: 31-29 +2.145u✅

[Mr0ctober]

Smaller play but taking the wildcard —she brought an NCAA championship to her Texas longhorns.

WTA Austin.
Stearns -105 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

Stearns ✅

Tennis season 2023: 32-29 +2.645u✅

[Mr0ctober]

Maybe I’m a sucker here but I don’t get this line at all. Norrie -140 vs Mannarino. Mannarino can battle any day of the week but he hasn’t been playing all that well. Norrie continues to surge coming off a big confidence boost on the clay vs Alcaraz and maybe the transition from clay to hard serves Norrie with a slower start and maybe Norrie is fatigued and mails it in. But I can’t bet on those speculations. Norrie has fared very well here in the past and also has handled Mannarino well in the past outside of one 3 set loss to him. Norrie now at the peak of his game while Mannarino is not. I have this closer to -250 (usually a 2u play here but I will be conservative with some of the speculative reasons mentioned above).

ATP Acapulco:
Norrie -140 (1.25u)

[Mr0ctober]

WTA Austin:

Townsend +135 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

wta austin:
volynets +240 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

late post but can still get it live actually get better number at the moment

[Maizey]

Heck of a match between Stearns and Boulter. I can’t remember ever seeing a women’s match decided by three tiebreakers. I’m sure it’s happened, but it’s quite rare for the women.

You got your answer on Norrie, fatigue. Always dangerous when that unknown is in the mix. Giorgi and Siniakava both went down after their run to the finals in the previous tournament.

[Mr0ctober]

Heck of a match between Stearns and Boulter. I can’t remember ever seeing a women’s match decided by three tiebreakers. I’m sure it’s happened, but it’s quite rare for the women.

You got your answer on Norrie, fatigue. Always dangerous when that unknown is in the mix. Giorgi and Siniakava both went down after their run to the finals in the previous tournament.

Yep I noticed that for sure!! Line was short but probably rightfully so. Glad it was cancelled before hand.

[Mr0ctober]

anyone get on volynets late 3rd set? If so you can probably retire.

[Conqueror]

anyone get on volynets late 3rd set? If so you can probably retire.

Almost tempted to make a thread on that.