A tennis pick worth a fairly significant wager

**KingRevolver** · 07-07-09, 10:16 AM

Thanks, Louie.

**jpowderly** · 07-07-09, 10:22 AM

thanks , lou

**rynop123** · 07-07-09, 05:35 PM

this match get canceled??

No Action Play?

**jjgold** · 07-07-09, 05:36 PM

Oh Boy

**SBR Lou** · 07-07-09, 05:37 PM

No, postponed until tomorrow. Match hasn't started yet.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-09, 11:03 PM

Dancevic had the one run on grass before Wimbledon and then flunked out at the All-England club. He shouldn't be this large a favorite on this surface. If his serve isn't working, he's beatable every match. Stakhovsky every once in a while steps up and steals one. Don't see an edge on either side.

**j0hnnyv** · 07-07-09, 11:06 PM

i agree with EP. but good luck

**SBR Lou** · 07-08-09, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by j0hnnyv

i agree with EP. but good luck

GL either way, but Dancevic is the side here.

**jayc88** · 07-08-09, 11:56 AM

thx for the pick lou

**yisman** · 07-08-09, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Dancevic had the one run on grass before Wimbledon and then flunked out at the All-England club. He shouldn't be this large a favorite on this surface. If his serve isn't working, he's beatable every match. Stakhovsky every once in a while steps up and steals one. Don't see an edge on either side.

Stakhovsky +200 for me.

**PAPSMEAR** · 07-08-09, 12:17 PM

is it still raining ?

**SBR Lou** · 07-08-09, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by yisman

Stakhovsky +200 for me.

Another case of disagreeing just to disagree.

**yisman** · 07-08-09, 12:28 PM

nah, I don't fade all your plays. But Stakhovsky has value here. I posted this play yesterday.

**yisman** · 07-08-09, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

is it still raining ?

Rain delay over. They're playing.

**PAPSMEAR** · 07-08-09, 12:52 PM

it looks like they are playing on court 1 but no others - why is that - does court one have a roof?

**SBR Lou** · 07-08-09, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by yisman

nah, I don't fade all your plays. But Stakhovsky has value here. I posted this play yesterday.

Ah, the "this guy is going to lose in straight sets, value" play. Love those. Normally I reserve those plays to, say, over +500, but to each his respective own.

**yisman** · 07-08-09, 01:14 PM

Lou, your track record suggests you have no idea what you're talking about, so saying he's going to lose in straight sets just reads to me that you're making a bad pick.

**SBR Lou** · 07-08-09, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by yisman

Lou, your track record suggests you have no idea what you're talking about, so saying he's going to lose in straight sets just reads to me that you're making a bad pick.

Actually, my track record suggests I do quite well with ATP, all my most notable "losses" that the forum bumped for months (whilst ignoring the solid picks) were WTA.

I've had the winning ticket on 4 of the last 5 Slams, including 1 in WTA, and a couple of those ATP bets were not even the favorite going in- - with the French Open being an +1150 dog. Those were all forum threads.

I do love to play off the perception that I'm clueless and have no idea how to handicap tennis, though. That adds to the banter and flow of the tennis forum, if I need to be that spark I will, but I'd out-handicap any tennis poster in an ATP's season long contest 7 days a week and twice on Sundays.

**pimike** · 07-08-09, 01:38 PM

Lou has made me some nice purses.

Lou knows what he is talkinga about in Tennis.

**yisman** · 07-08-09, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Actually, my track record suggests I do quite well with ATP, all my most notable "losses" that the forum bumped for months (whilst ignoring the solid picks) were WTA.

I've had the winning ticket on 4 of the last 5 Slams, including 1 in WTA, and a couple of those ATP bets were not even the favorite going in- - with the French Open being an +1150 dog. Those were all forum threads.

I do love to play off the perception that I'm clueless and have no idea how to handicap tennis, though. That adds to the banter and flow of the tennis forum, if I need to be that spark I will, but I'd out-handicap any tennis poster in an ATP's season long contest 7 days a week and twice on Sundays.

Since you're so sharp, you should've dominated the Wimbledon challenge and you should dominate the US Open challenge. Hmmm...

**jayc88** · 07-08-09, 04:50 PM

Tennis - Campbell's Hall of Fame Championship matches 9715/9716, 9729/9730 and 9731/9732 will be played on Thursday, July 9th due to inclement weather.

**SBR Lou** · 07-08-09, 05:33 PM

Another day we go.

**King of Picks** · 07-08-09, 11:55 PM

Hey Lou, how positive are you that Dancevic will win tomorrow. Should I put half my account on it or what? I trust your tennis abilities and capping, but I'm just wondering why you feel so strongly about this pick?

**yisman** · 07-09-09, 02:00 AM

Originally posted by King of Picks

Hey Lou, how positive are you that Dancevic will win tomorrow. Should I put half my account on it or what?

Liquidate your possessions.

**SBR Lou** · 07-09-09, 09:24 AM

Originally posted by King of Picks

Hey Lou, how positive are you that Dancevic will win tomorrow. Should I put half my account on it or what? I trust your tennis abilities and capping, but I'm just wondering why you feel so strongly about this pick?

I wouldn't suggest putting half your account on any selection, just because if it happened to lose I wouldn't be able to sleep, but me personally have done it before when having the best of it.

Am I confident that he will win, and easily? Yes. And the movement has been with me, despite being postponed into a 3rd day, but I would recommend betting with your comfort level.

**SBR Lou** · 07-09-09, 10:48 AM

Players coming out onto the court now. Time for Dancevic to kick some ass.

**mathdotcom** · 07-09-09, 11:54 AM

How badly is Dancevic losing?

**SBR Lou** · 07-09-09, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by mathdotcom

How badly is Dancevic losing?

Looks like another rain delay as there are no score updates on the official ATP tracker at any site that I can find, and I don't have access to a television right now.

**King of Picks** · 07-09-09, 12:06 PM

Someone gimme an update! I'm dying over here, i got half of my account on a match i can't even follow!

**SBR Lou** · 07-09-09, 12:07 PM

I'll check Betfair's live trading market to see if the match is being wagered on.

**SBR Lou** · 07-09-09, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by King of Picks

Someone gimme an update! I'm dying over here, i got half of my account on a match i can't even follow!

The in-play tab at Betfair has our man at -217, but right now I can't verify if they are on the court, either way if they were, those odds would indicate that he is in the lead.

**King of Picks** · 07-09-09, 12:13 PM

Alright Lou you are the man! Let's cash this!

**mathdotcom** · 07-09-09, 12:13 PM

-217 probably means he held serve in first game

but good job....

**ttwarrior1** · 07-09-09, 12:39 PM

bodog had a good bet up a couple weeks ago, it was will a williams sister win the us open and it was - 200, i think only sharipova and one other could beat them