Nadal v Captain Diego

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  • lonegambler23
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-22-16
    • 9761

    #1
    Nadal v Captain Diego
    big odds drop on 5dimes 2400 to 1750. anyone give him a shot? i think 9.5 is too much on the spread. Diegos a little pest. he already lost to nadal in madrid 63 64, i feel like diego possibly could take a set.

    any insight?
  • DavidGoliath5003
    SBR MVP
    • 03-20-18
    • 4100

    #2
    Its a bad matchup i think.. however hes got the game to beat Nadal.. nadal has played a ton of tennis.... you never know
    Comment
    • lonegambler23
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-22-16
      • 9761

      #3
      thats what im sayin. i could see alot of chances for diego to break nadal the way he returns. few sets of 64 64 isnt too much to ask for. or taking a set.
      Comment
      • tokio
        SBR MVP
        • 03-30-10
        • 2150

        #4
        dont see Nadal losing any set. do see diego just being a nuisance and hanging around but no way he wins.
        Comment
        • toddhigg
          SBR Hustler
          • 10-05-13
          • 54

          #5
          I'm on Diego +9.5. With his return game, he should be just enough of a "pest" to cover.

          Best play on this match in my opinion.
          Comment
          • stepaside777
            SBR MVP
            • 12-16-17
            • 1447

            #6
            kerber and sugarpova best value
            Comment
            • DavidGoliath5003
              SBR MVP
              • 03-20-18
              • 4100

              #7
              I wouldnt touch sharapova... she dies out in 3 sets
              Comment
              • shadymcgrady
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-27-12
                • 10036

                #8
                I think Nadal is busting out the NFAC game today. Schwartz unlike everyone else so far in this tourney is a nugget of a threat
                Comment
                • kenshirooo
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 05-30-18
                  • 65

                  #9
                  I think Nadal is gonna beat him quite easily too.
                  Comment
                  • shadymcgrady
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-27-12
                    • 10036

                    #10
                    Nadal looks mortal
                    Comment
                    • nuxx??
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-06-17
                      • 473

                      #11
                      Whats this delay about? Watching french stream i've no clue whats commentator saying.
                      Comment
                      • ELNATURAL
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-27-17
                        • 1957

                        #12
                        Some guy in stands had a heart attack.

                        Nadal looks to be on the verge of losing to this kids today. Wow
                        Comment
                        • nuxx??
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-06-17
                          • 473

                          #13
                          Kid is playing some pretty good tennis though.
                          Comment
                          • Blackballer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-12-14
                            • 1117

                            #14
                            Anyone who saw how Schwartzmann was playing know that +9.5 was way too, I can see the point by oddsmakers favoring Nadal so heavily, just when u look at the futures market for the outright winner before the event started they kissed Nadal's ass by making him the cut out favorite by a mile 1.40 I think, hope some took Thiem as the alternative pick, had some great value at the price Thiem was valued.
                            Comment
                            • nuxx??
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 06-06-17
                              • 473

                              #15
                              I honestly think Thiem can beat Nadal if he brings his A game.

                              If Nadal goes through, of course.
                              Comment
                              • cheechchooch
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 04-24-18
                                • 142

                                #16
                                thiem won`t beat marco.

                                gonna be a suprising final this year
                                Comment
                                • DavidGoliath5003
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-20-18
                                  • 4100

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by cheechchooch
                                  thiem won`t beat marco.

                                  gonna be a suprising final this year
                                  Lol have you watched Thiems last 2 matches?.. he starched Nishikori and Zverev... i know Zverev was sore but Thiem has been waiting for this spot.
                                  Comment
                                  • Blackballer
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-12-14
                                    • 1117

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                    Lol have you watched Thiems last 2 matches?.. he starched Nishikori and Zverev... i know Zverev was sore but Thiem has been waiting for this spot.
                                    Trust me for his age this kid is really self reflective and eagerly competitive. He learns from his mistakes and has a attitude which will bring him really far in his career. Just watch his games and you will understande maybe what I try to imply here. In this tournament he can beat anybody, I think the only one he can't beat is himself.

                                    when u are sure that Thiem won't beat Marco than place a significant amount of money on him that way you can cash in with these high odds on him.
                                    Comment
                                    • jonal
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 06-01-09
                                      • 772

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Blackballer
                                      Anyone who saw how Schwartzmann was playing know that +9.5 was way too, I can see the point by oddsmakers favoring Nadal so heavily, just when u look at the futures market for the outright winner before the event started they kissed Nadal's ass by making him the cut out favorite by a mile 1.40 I think, hope some took Thiem as the alternative pick, had some great value at the price Thiem was valued.
                                      if you got Schwartzmann +9.5 today does it make sense to bet small set scores 6-2 6-1 for Nadal tomorrow live?
                                      Comment
                                      • DavidGoliath5003
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-20-18
                                        • 4100

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Blackballer
                                        Trust me for his age this kid is really self reflective and eagerly competitive. He learns from his mistakes and has a attitude which will bring him really far in his career. Just watch his games and you will understande maybe what I try to imply here. In this tournament he can beat anybody, I think the only one he can't beat is himself.

                                        when u are sure that Thiem won't beat Marco than place a significant amount of money on him that way you can cash in with these high odds on him.
                                        Guy, Thiem will Destroy Cecchinatto... you will see tomorrow.
                                        Comment
                                        • kenshirooo
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 05-30-18
                                          • 65

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                          Guy, Thiem will Destroy Cecchinatto... you will see tomorrow.
                                          I totally agree ... you can take Thiem -2.5 sets without even worrying ... gonna be easy.
                                          Comment
                                          • DavidGoliath5003
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-20-18
                                            • 4100

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by kenshirooo
                                            I totally agree ... you can take Thiem -2.5 sets without even worrying ... gonna be easy.
                                            Lol why would anyone take -2.5 sets or minus sets?? Always minus Games
                                            Comment
                                            • kenshirooo
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 05-30-18
                                              • 65

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                              Lol why would anyone take -2.5 sets or minus sets?? Always minus Games
                                              You're right but my bookie rarely offers minus games ... (european bookie).
                                              Comment
                                              • kenshirooo
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 05-30-18
                                                • 65

                                                #24
                                                Any suspect match today by the way ?
                                                Comment
                                                • WaveRunner33
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 03-23-18
                                                  • 58

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                  Lol why would anyone take -2.5 sets or minus sets?? Always minus Games
                                                  Why is this DG? I've seen players completely give up on sets after going down a break/double break, but then reset for the next set and be competitive... Leading to large games differences
                                                  Comment
                                                  • nuxx??
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 06-06-17
                                                    • 473

                                                    #26
                                                    Something that could've been a great match and put Nadal on a real test, turned into a beatdown.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • toddhigg
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 10-05-13
                                                      • 54

                                                      #27
                                                      Wow, very lucky to cover the +9.5!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DavidGoliath5003
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-20-18
                                                        • 4100

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by WaveRunner33
                                                        Why is this DG? I've seen players completely give up on sets after going down a break/double break, but then reset for the next set and be competitive... Leading to large games differences
                                                        Because players also take sets off... set betting is Stupid.. look at Thiem for example..Guy kills nishikori 6-1 6-2 then loses set 3 5-7 ... set betting is stupid
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Steamroller
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-30-12
                                                          • 1003

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                          Because players also take sets off... set betting is Stupid.. look at Thiem for example..Guy kills nishikori 6-1 6-2 then loses set 3 5-7 ... set betting is stupid
                                                          6-3 6-4 6-4 for Thiem against Cecchi and your games handicap loses whereas the set handicap wins.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DavidGoliath5003
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-20-18
                                                            • 4100

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Steamroller
                                                            6-3 6-4 6-4 for Thiem against Cecchi and your games handicap loses whereas the set handicap wins.
                                                            Omg stop, the Games is always the smarter move.. i bet you a ton of people lost money on Nadal -2.5 sets vs swartzman... yet nadal still covered -8.5 Games @1.70
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DavidGoliath5003
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-20-18
                                                              • 4100

                                                              #31
                                                              Nadal -2.5 sets @1.30 or Nadal -8.5 Games @1.70 .... thats a no brainer
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Steamroller
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-30-12
                                                                • 1003

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                                Omg stop, the Games is always the smarter move.. i bet you a ton of people lost money on Nadal -2.5 sets vs swartzman... yet nadal still covered -8.5 Games @1.70
                                                                Omg you stop!! omg! I simply gave you an example where set handicap wins and game handicap loses. You can do whatever you want with it. Personally i never bet 3-0 in grandslams but i do bet 2-0 in other tournaments.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jonal
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 06-01-09
                                                                  • 772

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by toddhigg
                                                                  Wow, very lucky to cover the +9.5!
                                                                  Thought it was toast when Nadal went up 5-1 in the 4th set. Nice to be on the right side of this one. Even get paid on my 6-2 4th set when I thought I was making that bet on the 3rd set.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DavidGoliath5003
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-20-18
                                                                    • 4100

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Steamroller
                                                                    Omg you stop!! omg! I simply gave you an example where set handicap wins and game handicap loses. You can do whatever you want with it. Personally i never bet 3-0 in grandslams but i do bet 2-0 in other tournaments.

                                                                    2-0 is completely diffrent from 3-0... yes i agree with 2-0 in some cases. 3-0 is crazy to me
                                                                    Comment
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