big odds drop on 5dimes 2400 to 1750. anyone give him a shot? i think 9.5 is too much on the spread. Diegos a little pest. he already lost to nadal in madrid 63 64, i feel like diego possibly could take a set.
any insight?
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#2
Its a bad matchup i think.. however hes got the game to beat Nadal.. nadal has played a ton of tennis.... you never know
Comment
lonegambler23
SBR Hall of Famer
06-22-16
9761
#3
thats what im sayin. i could see alot of chances for diego to break nadal the way he returns. few sets of 64 64 isnt too much to ask for. or taking a set.
Comment
tokio
SBR MVP
03-30-10
2150
#4
dont see Nadal losing any set. do see diego just being a nuisance and hanging around but no way he wins.
Comment
toddhigg
SBR Hustler
10-05-13
54
#5
I'm on Diego +9.5. With his return game, he should be just enough of a "pest" to cover.
Best play on this match in my opinion.
Comment
stepaside777
SBR MVP
12-16-17
1447
#6
kerber and sugarpova best value
Comment
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#7
I wouldnt touch sharapova... she dies out in 3 sets
Comment
shadymcgrady
SBR Posting Legend
02-27-12
10036
#8
I think Nadal is busting out the NFAC game today. Schwartz unlike everyone else so far in this tourney is a nugget of a threat
Comment
kenshirooo
SBR Hustler
05-30-18
65
#9
I think Nadal is gonna beat him quite easily too.
Comment
shadymcgrady
SBR Posting Legend
02-27-12
10036
#10
Nadal looks mortal
Comment
nuxx??
SBR Sharp
06-06-17
473
#11
Whats this delay about? Watching french stream i've no clue whats commentator saying.
Comment
ELNATURAL
SBR MVP
07-27-17
1957
#12
Some guy in stands had a heart attack.
Nadal looks to be on the verge of losing to this kids today. Wow
Comment
nuxx??
SBR Sharp
06-06-17
473
#13
Kid is playing some pretty good tennis though.
Comment
Blackballer
SBR MVP
07-12-14
1117
#14
Anyone who saw how Schwartzmann was playing know that +9.5 was way too, I can see the point by oddsmakers favoring Nadal so heavily, just when u look at the futures market for the outright winner before the event started they kissed Nadal's ass by making him the cut out favorite by a mile 1.40 I think, hope some took Thiem as the alternative pick, had some great value at the price Thiem was valued.
Comment
nuxx??
SBR Sharp
06-06-17
473
#15
I honestly think Thiem can beat Nadal if he brings his A game.
If Nadal goes through, of course.
Comment
cheechchooch
SBR High Roller
04-24-18
142
#16
thiem won`t beat marco.
gonna be a suprising final this year
Comment
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#17
Originally posted by cheechchooch
thiem won`t beat marco.
gonna be a suprising final this year
Lol have you watched Thiems last 2 matches?.. he starched Nishikori and Zverev... i know Zverev was sore but Thiem has been waiting for this spot.
Comment
Blackballer
SBR MVP
07-12-14
1117
#18
Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
Lol have you watched Thiems last 2 matches?.. he starched Nishikori and Zverev... i know Zverev was sore but Thiem has been waiting for this spot.
Trust me for his age this kid is really self reflective and eagerly competitive. He learns from his mistakes and has a attitude which will bring him really far in his career. Just watch his games and you will understande maybe what I try to imply here. In this tournament he can beat anybody, I think the only one he can't beat is himself.
when u are sure that Thiem won't beat Marco than place a significant amount of money on him that way you can cash in with these high odds on him.
Comment
jonal
SBR Wise Guy
06-01-09
772
#19
Originally posted by Blackballer
Anyone who saw how Schwartzmann was playing know that +9.5 was way too, I can see the point by oddsmakers favoring Nadal so heavily, just when u look at the futures market for the outright winner before the event started they kissed Nadal's ass by making him the cut out favorite by a mile 1.40 I think, hope some took Thiem as the alternative pick, had some great value at the price Thiem was valued.
if you got Schwartzmann +9.5 today does it make sense to bet small set scores 6-2 6-1 for Nadal tomorrow live?
Comment
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#20
Originally posted by Blackballer
Trust me for his age this kid is really self reflective and eagerly competitive. He learns from his mistakes and has a attitude which will bring him really far in his career. Just watch his games and you will understande maybe what I try to imply here. In this tournament he can beat anybody, I think the only one he can't beat is himself.
when u are sure that Thiem won't beat Marco than place a significant amount of money on him that way you can cash in with these high odds on him.
Guy, Thiem will Destroy Cecchinatto... you will see tomorrow.
Comment
kenshirooo
SBR Hustler
05-30-18
65
#21
Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
Guy, Thiem will Destroy Cecchinatto... you will see tomorrow.
I totally agree ... you can take Thiem -2.5 sets without even worrying ... gonna be easy.
Comment
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#22
Originally posted by kenshirooo
I totally agree ... you can take Thiem -2.5 sets without even worrying ... gonna be easy.
Lol why would anyone take -2.5 sets or minus sets?? Always minus Games
Comment
kenshirooo
SBR Hustler
05-30-18
65
#23
Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
Lol why would anyone take -2.5 sets or minus sets?? Always minus Games
You're right but my bookie rarely offers minus games ... (european bookie).
Comment
kenshirooo
SBR Hustler
05-30-18
65
#24
Any suspect match today by the way ?
Comment
WaveRunner33
SBR Hustler
03-23-18
58
#25
Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
Lol why would anyone take -2.5 sets or minus sets?? Always minus Games
Why is this DG? I've seen players completely give up on sets after going down a break/double break, but then reset for the next set and be competitive... Leading to large games differences
Comment
nuxx??
SBR Sharp
06-06-17
473
#26
Something that could've been a great match and put Nadal on a real test, turned into a beatdown.
Comment
toddhigg
SBR Hustler
10-05-13
54
#27
Wow, very lucky to cover the +9.5!
Comment
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#28
Originally posted by WaveRunner33
Why is this DG? I've seen players completely give up on sets after going down a break/double break, but then reset for the next set and be competitive... Leading to large games differences
Because players also take sets off... set betting is Stupid.. look at Thiem for example..Guy kills nishikori 6-1 6-2 then loses set 3 5-7 ... set betting is stupid
Comment
Steamroller
SBR MVP
11-30-12
1003
#29
Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
Because players also take sets off... set betting is Stupid.. look at Thiem for example..Guy kills nishikori 6-1 6-2 then loses set 3 5-7 ... set betting is stupid
6-3 6-4 6-4 for Thiem against Cecchi and your games handicap loses whereas the set handicap wins.
Comment
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#30
Originally posted by Steamroller
6-3 6-4 6-4 for Thiem against Cecchi and your games handicap loses whereas the set handicap wins.
Omg stop, the Games is always the smarter move.. i bet you a ton of people lost money on Nadal -2.5 sets vs swartzman... yet nadal still covered -8.5 Games @1.70
Comment
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#31
Nadal -2.5 sets @1.30 or Nadal -8.5 Games @1.70 .... thats a no brainer
Comment
Steamroller
SBR MVP
11-30-12
1003
#32
Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
Omg stop, the Games is always the smarter move.. i bet you a ton of people lost money on Nadal -2.5 sets vs swartzman... yet nadal still covered -8.5 Games @1.70
Omg you stop!! omg! I simply gave you an example where set handicap wins and game handicap loses. You can do whatever you want with it. Personally i never bet 3-0 in grandslams but i do bet 2-0 in other tournaments.
Comment
jonal
SBR Wise Guy
06-01-09
772
#33
Originally posted by toddhigg
Wow, very lucky to cover the +9.5!
Thought it was toast when Nadal went up 5-1 in the 4th set. Nice to be on the right side of this one. Even get paid on my 6-2 4th set when I thought I was making that bet on the 3rd set.
Comment
DavidGoliath5003
SBR MVP
03-20-18
4100
#34
Originally posted by Steamroller
Omg you stop!! omg! I simply gave you an example where set handicap wins and game handicap loses. You can do whatever you want with it. Personally i never bet 3-0 in grandslams but i do bet 2-0 in other tournaments.
2-0 is completely diffrent from 3-0... yes i agree with 2-0 in some cases. 3-0 is crazy to me