Caroline Wozniacki at -240 to roll over Virgine Razzano

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    Caroline Wozniacki at -240 to roll over Virgine Razzano
    Caroline Wozniacki -240
    vs Virgine Razzano



    vs



    Let me tell you something. I'm all for Cinderella stories, and relative nobodies playing well and I think it's great for the game anytime there's an upset (well, so long as I'm not on the wrong side), but the road ends here for the 26 year old Frenchwoman Virgine Razzano.

    She upset the ultra consistent Agniezska Radwanska in the Quarter Finals, but Radwanska was arguably a tad unpolished as she was coming off a 4-1 Ret. win over Na Li and the round prior had easily disposed of her younger sister Ursuzla 6-1 6-1 without breaking a sweat. Virgine's play was the first to challenge Radwanska in her last few matches, and the lack of power Radwanska poses ultimately ended up as her downfall.

    Caroline Wozniacki doesn't have that problem. She's packed on a little bit of weight, but her booming groundstrokes are powerful as ever and she still moves gracefully across the court. I really love the Great Dane's game on grass, she is 9-3 on the surface and has won 70% of sets. Razzano, on the other hand, is 7-6 and won only 52% of all sets played.

    I do not like Virgine to win a single set and after Caroline dropped the opener against Canadian Alexandra Wozniak I fully expect her coach (father) to be on her blonde ass like white on rice demanding nothing short of excellence from Wozniacki in snatching this Eastbourne title headed into Wimbledon.

    Predicted scoreline: 63 64


  • onthewhat
    Restricted User
    • 05-14-08
    • 15411

    #2
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    • BeatTheJerk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-19-07
      • 31794

      #3
      Comment
      • onthewhat
        Restricted User
        • 05-14-08
        • 15411

        #4
        Comment
        • SBR Lou
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-02-07
          • 37863

          #5
          Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
          Notice I used the thread icon instead of my customary .

          BTW the line will close over -330.
          Comment
          • BeatTheJerk
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-19-07
            • 31794

            #6
            GL Lou this one I think will cash ...............
            Comment
            • mathdotcom
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-24-08
              • 11689

              #7
              Lou thx

              We are big time on Razzano
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                One more I don't see the point in taking at this price. Razzano has beaten 3 Top 12 players in succession in this tournament, all of whom had better grass court experience and pedigrees than Wozniacki. She's also shown solid nerves beating Dementieva in the 3rd set tie break and playing Aggie Rad 7-6, 7-5 in two tight sets. If Razzano gets up to +250, I'm on board for a small play. Razzano got on a roll in Dubai in February with a similarly impressive track of beating really good players, Safina & Zvonareva there before falling to Venus in the finals. Woz has made 4 finals this year and won just 1. Wozniacki is a great talent, just don't see it as solid enough to take at -240.
                Comment
                • SBR Lou
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-02-07
                  • 37863

                  #9
                  EP,
                  Admit one thing though: if Radwanska had Wozzi's power, that match would've been over.

                  Wozniacki lacks the consistency and steady play Radwanska has, but she's much more lethal with her groundstrokes and power.

                  If Wozniacki plays her game, she wins.
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82486

                    #10
                    When your bottom line is an infinite number any chalk number is a steal. Lou is the federal government of tennis betting. He will never get bankrupt no matter how many chalk plays he loses.
                    Comment
                    • SBR Lou
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-02-07
                      • 37863

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                      When your bottom line is an infinite number any chalk number is a steal. Lou is the federal government of tennis betting. He will never get bankrupt no matter how many chalk plays he loses.
                      Bankroll management is key when handicapping any sport.
                      Comment
                      • dwaechte
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-27-07
                        • 5481

                        #12
                        What % of bankroll is one unit for you?
                        Comment
                        • punchmaster
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-29-05
                          • 322

                          #13
                          What happened in the Bartoli match? Bartoli got injured? Was Razzano outplaying her when she was healthy ?
                          Comment
                          • Phillth
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-09-09
                            • 1785

                            #14
                            Damn i was gonna take wozniaki here. but now i have to lay off this match.
                            Comment
                            • The HG
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-01-06
                              • 3566

                              #15
                              listen you cokkfukks, he has a MODEL, ok? You know, as in, computer model???

                              don't hate, congratulate

                              don't fail, tail


                              ALL IN ON WOZNIACKI BABY!!!
                              Comment
                              • Matt Rain
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-13-07
                                • 5001

                                #16
                                Do you like two other big faves for tomorrow? I wanna play a 3-teamer so I can retire this weekend. Thanks in advance, ClownyLou.
                                Comment
                                • The HG
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-01-06
                                  • 3566

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Matt Rain
                                  Do you like two other big faves for tomorrow? I wanna play a 3-teamer so I can retire this weekend. Thanks in advance, ClownyLou.
                                  oh funny guy, funny guy here. looks like we got a comedian here who has joined the thread


                                  matty you go ahead and fade. retire?? you'll be searching through the "part-time second jobs at night" section of the papers while me and lou will be sitting back adding up the winnings, tossing back light-hearted suggestions on what luxury items we might consider SPLURGING on with all our EXCESS cash
                                  Comment
                                  • SBR Lou
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-02-07
                                    • 37863

                                    #18
                                    In all seriousness, I know the 'fades' are fun as a conversation piece, but I really think there might be better spots to disagree with me than on this match. Just a thought.
                                    Comment
                                    • Matt Rain
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-13-07
                                      • 5001

                                      #19
                                      Kidding about the retiring part, but serious about getting two other overpriced faves from Lou. If not, I'll play Razzano straight at bet365 (+225).
                                      Comment
                                      • SBR Lou
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-02-07
                                        • 37863

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Matt Rain
                                        Kidding about the retiring part, but serious about getting two other overpriced faves from Lou. If not, I'll play Razzano straight at bet365 (+225).
                                        We'll see what the market has to say about this pick being overpriced.

                                        Like I said, watch where it closes.
                                        Comment
                                        • Matt Rain
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-13-07
                                          • 5001

                                          #21
                                          I'm already watching, ClownyLou. Market is pointing to a move towards the dog.

                                          Gimme more! More of your magic!
                                          Comment
                                          • SBR Lou
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-02-07
                                            • 37863

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Matt Rain
                                            Market is pointing to a move towards the dog.
                                            Funny you say that,

                                            Pinnacle: -246/+224
                                            BetFair: -250/+240
                                            Comment
                                            • Matt Rain
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-13-07
                                              • 5001

                                              #23
                                              I'm glad to see you can read and convert decimal odds, Lou. Very impressive.

                                              And yes, I'm watching the very same thing via the BetTrader interface.
                                              Comment
                                              • dwaechte
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-27-07
                                                • 5481

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by dwaechte
                                                What % of bankroll is one unit for you?
                                                ?
                                                Comment
                                                • SBR Lou
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 08-02-07
                                                  • 37863

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Matt Rain
                                                  I'm glad to see you can read and convert decimal odds, Lou. Very impressive.

                                                  And yes, I'm watching the very same thing via the BetTrader interface.
                                                  Still have the tin foil hat on watching a shift twd the dog?

                                                  Cuz to me, it looks like Pinny moved 15 cents up to Wozniacki -255.

                                                  Unless you meant, the price on the dog will only get better.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Matt Rain
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-13-07
                                                    • 5001

                                                    #26
                                                    Wind has turned. You win Lou. You pro.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SBR Lou
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 08-02-07
                                                      • 37863

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Matt Rain
                                                      Wind has turned. You win Lou. You pro.
                                                      I'm just trying to fight fire with fire and maybe get some guys motivated to out-cap me for Wimbledon. I do like this play more than I did Safina, it's on another level and it will close over -300.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Netprofit
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-25-08
                                                        • 3538

                                                        #28
                                                        CrazyLou gets this one.

                                                        I like all favourites today including Becker, Tursunov and slight favourite Tanasugarn.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Netprofit
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-25-08
                                                          • 3538

                                                          #29
                                                          Watching live, now 3-2 Wozniacki with both holding all service games, losing only 1 point each.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Netprofit
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-25-08
                                                            • 3538

                                                            #30
                                                            1st set 7-6 wozniacki but interestingly lost 4 set points in tie break before winning.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SBR Lou
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 08-02-07
                                                              • 37863

                                                              #31
                                                              Wozniacki finishes it in straight sets, didn't close over -300 at the sharp shops but still beat closer by 31-40 cents.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • j0hnnyv
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-06-09
                                                                • 3620

                                                                #32
                                                                nice hit lou. this is one i played with u and that is rare
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Netprofit
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-25-08
                                                                  • 3538

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i cashed 2-0 at -130!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SBR Lou
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 08-02-07
                                                                    • 37863

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Netprofit
                                                                    i cashed 2-0 at -130!
                                                                    Congrats!

                                                                    Any futures action?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Netprofit
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-25-08
                                                                      • 3538

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by CrazyLou
                                                                      Congrats!

                                                                      Any futures action?
                                                                      i dun do futures except for grand slam! congratulation to you and especially congratulating for creating so much interest on the tennis forum with creative marketing techniques.

                                                                      i can't wait for wimbledon and the fun with your contest!

                                                                      by the way, can we have another 128 or 256 men contest after wimbledon?
                                                                      Comment
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