US Open - Flushing Meadows

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  • QuantumLeap
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-08
    • 6880

    #1
    US Open - Flushing Meadows
    08/28 (Monday)
    MEN'S
    Johnson -7 over Almagro
    I don't usually take such big favorites but Almagro had to withdraw from the French Open due to an injury. He came back a couple weeks ago but played some scrub players in the tournament and actually lost to 2-6, 2-6 to the #518 player. Make sure the book you're playing with will pay you if a player withdraws.

    Ramos Vinolas -5.5 over Istomin
    Denis Istomin is now my favorite player to fade. He's only beaten 1 top-100 player in months and he looks like a pu$$y.

    Haider-Maurer +6 over Donskoy
    In spite of his #100 ranking, Donskoy has been playing much lesser players and hasn't beaten a top-100 in months. I think Haider-Maurer can keep this one close

    Copil +7 over Tsonga
    This is more of a bet against Tsonga. I don't believe he will put in enough effort to win by more than 7. He hasn't been winning by that margin much at all. Copil has been keeping his matches within that number.

    Kokk -4 over Tipsarevic
    Kokk has been springing up a winner in a lot of recent matches, impressing the ladies. Tipsarevic has had good success in with the lower-tier players in Asia but has only beaten a couple top-100 players.

    Coric -2.5 over Vesely
    This is more of a bet on Coric's newfound confidence from his win against Isner last week.

    Ladies to follow.
  • QuantumLeap
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-08
    • 6880

    #2
    08/28 (Monday)
    WOMEN'S

    Peterson -1.5 Allertova
    I almost went with Peterson against #179 Kato. Peterson lost the first set 6-7 but came back strong in the next 2.

    Gavrilova -6.5 over Kiick
    Gavrilova beat #41 Kristyna Pliskova less than a week ago. Kiick is barely a pro and lost 0-6, 1-6 against #124 Gibbs.

    Maria -5.5 over Kratzer
    Another seasoned professional playing an 18 year old who is barely a pro.

    Goerges -5.5 over Beck
    Beck has a horrible recent record losing by an average of over 9 games in her last 4 matches.

    Stephens -5 over Vinci
    Riding the Sloane train again. Vinci is looking old and lost 3-6, 1-6 to Linette at New Haven.
    Comment
    • Conqueror
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-08-13
      • 16778

      #3
      Be careful with the Goerges/Beck game. One would expect Goerges to win but covering the 5.5-game spread is a different ball game altogether.
      It's a game between two Germans.
      Comment
      • QuantumLeap
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-22-08
        • 6880

        #4
        Originally posted by Conqueror
        Be careful with the Goerges/Beck game. One would expect Goerges to win but covering the 5.5-game spread is a different ball game altogether.
        It's a game between two Germans.
        Thanks for the input. Well aware of the country rivalry between the two. I just can't get past the utter shutdown by Beck in her last 4 matches. Maybe she'll be pumped because it's her country mate opposite her and she will also want to do well because it's a major tournament. It will be interesting to see.
        Comment
        • gambleForLife
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-16-12
          • 292

          #5
          What do you think of Brown +110 over Bellucci? Don't understand why he's the underdog.
          Comment
          • Steamroller
            SBR MVP
            • 11-30-12
            • 1003

            #6
            Originally posted by QuantumLeap
            08/28 (Monday)
            MEN'S

            Coric -2.5 over Vesely
            This is more of a bet on Coric's newfound confidence from his win against Isner last week.
            lol he sure carried that confidence over to his next game against Struff. Besides Isner tanked the match against him.
            Comment
            • QuantumLeap
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-22-08
              • 6880

              #7
              Originally posted by Steamroller
              lol he sure carried that confidence over to his next game against Struff. Besides Isner tanked the match against him.
              I felt Struff was on a roll at that point. Vesely is nowhere near the opponent Struff was.
              Comment
              • QuantumLeap
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-22-08
                • 6880

                #8
                Originally posted by gambleForLife
                What do you think of Brown +110 over Bellucci? Don't understand why he's the underdog.
                I'm guessing it's because of Bellucci's success in Austria last month. He beat #70 and #53. Brown beat Bellucci last month so you may have a point that Brown should be favored here.
                Comment
                • gambleForLife
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-16-12
                  • 292

                  #9
                  Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                  I'm guessing it's because of Bellucci's success in Austria last month. He beat #70 and #53. Brown beat Bellucci last month so you may have a point that Brown should be favored here.
                  Brown beat him on clay, which is his least favorite surface (he lost to an unknown 3 days later) and Bellucci's favorite. H2H 3-0 and Bellucci is a notorious choker (I'm from Brazil, so I follow him closely). He also sucks on fast surfaces. Not really a fan of Brown, but I threw 2.5 units on him.

                  Thanks for your input!
                  Comment
                  • QuantumLeap
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-22-08
                    • 6880

                    #10
                    Originally posted by gambleForLife
                    Brown beat him on clay, which is his least favorite surface (he lost to an unknown 3 days later) and Bellucci's favorite. H2H 3-0 and Bellucci is a notorious choker (I'm from Brazil, so I follow him closely). He also sucks on fast surfaces. Not really a fan of Brown, but I threw 2.5 units on him.

                    Thanks for your input!
                    Good stuff! I think I'm going to put a little bit on Brown.

                    Thanks for your input.
                    Comment
                    • QuantumLeap
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-22-08
                      • 6880

                      #11
                      Adding:

                      Thompson +5.5 over Sock

                      Thompson won in their only previous meeting earlier this year and played well against Alex Zverev.
                      Comment
                      • gambleForLife
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-16-12
                        • 292

                        #12
                        Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                        Good stuff! I think I'm going to put a little bit on Brown.

                        Thanks for your input.
                        Just a correction in my post, H2H is actually 2-1, but the one Bellucci won was at the Olympics. Brown was leading 6-4, 4-5 and serve and had to retire due to injury, so it's virtually a win.

                        And I like your Thompson pick, fading Sock has been a good plan lately!
                        Comment
                        • QuantumLeap
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-22-08
                          • 6880

                          #13
                          Johnson -7 over Almagro (injury)
                          Loss

                          Ramos Vinolas -5.5 over Istomin
                          Loss

                          Haider-Maurer +6 over Donskoy
                          WINNER (this was a retirement)

                          Copil +7 over Tsonga
                          Loss

                          Kokk -4 over Tipsarevic
                          Loss

                          Coric -2.5 over Vesely
                          WINNER

                          Thompson +5.5 over Sock
                          WINNER

                          Goerges -5.5 over Beck
                          WINNER

                          Stephens -5 over Vinci
                          WINNER

                          Today: 5-4

                          I think I'll skip taking those players who have become temporary favorites.
                          Comment
                          • Conqueror
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-08-13
                            • 16778

                            #14
                            Not a bad day.
                            BOL tomorrow!
                            Comment
                            • QuantumLeap
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-22-08
                              • 6880

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Conqueror
                              Not a bad day.
                              BOL tomorrow!
                              Thanks!
                              Comment
                              • QuantumLeap
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-22-08
                                • 6880

                                #16
                                Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                                Johnson -7 over Almagro (injury)
                                Loss

                                Ramos Vinolas -5.5 over Istomin
                                Loss

                                Haider-Maurer +6 over Donskoy
                                CANCELED

                                Copil +7 over Tsonga
                                Loss

                                Kokk -4 over Tipsarevic
                                Loss

                                Coric -2.5 over Vesely
                                WINNER

                                Thompson +5.5 over Sock
                                WINNER

                                Goerges -5.5 over Beck
                                WINNER

                                Stephens -5 over Vinci
                                WINNER

                                Today: 4-4

                                I think I'll skip taking those players who have become temporary favorites.
                                Just checked my book. They canceled the Haider-Maurer bet. Earlier they credited it with a win. My record has been changed to reflect that.
                                Comment
                                • gambleForLife
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-16-12
                                  • 292

                                  #17
                                  Ramos-Vinolas recent run had me fooled too. But it seems that he's only consistent on clay.
                                  And Kokk, jeez, how do you lose to an almost retired Tipsy?
                                  Comment
                                  • QuantumLeap
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-22-08
                                    • 6880

                                    #18
                                    I still have these pending from the weekend's picks:

                                    Peterson -1.5 Allertova
                                    Gavrilova -6.5 over Kiick
                                    Maria -5.5 over Kratzer

                                    Here are a couple new ones:

                                    Pliskova -6.5 over Linette
                                    Bellis -5.5 over Hibino
                                    Comment
                                    • QuantumLeap
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-22-08
                                      • 6880

                                      #19
                                      It's looking like a lot of these big favorites for the ladies are covering the spread rather easily. Pliskova had no trouble this morning.

                                      Now it looks like it could rain for hours in NY.
                                      Comment
                                      • pattymayo
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-19-09
                                        • 10221

                                        #20
                                        Couldn't be a washout today, looks like rain the rest of the day
                                        Comment
                                        • QuantumLeap
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-22-08
                                          • 6880

                                          #21
                                          Adding:

                                          Anderson -5.5 over Gulbis

                                          Pliskova came through today so my record is now 5-4.
                                          Comment
                                          • Na_mean
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 08-26-16
                                            • 83

                                            #22
                                            Good shit GFL!!
                                            Comment
                                            • QuantumLeap
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-22-08
                                              • 6880

                                              #23
                                              Coric +6.5 over A. Zverev
                                              Stephens -2.5 over Cibulkova
                                              Comment
                                              • gambleForLife
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-16-12
                                                • 292

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by gambleForLife
                                                Brown beat him on clay, which is his least favorite surface (he lost to an unknown 3 days later) and Bellucci's favorite. H2H 3-0 and Bellucci is a notorious choker (I'm from Brazil, so I follow him closely). He also sucks on fast surfaces. Not really a fan of Brown, but I threw 2.5 units on him.

                                                Thanks for your input!
                                                Easy, Bellucci is never a disappointment!
                                                Comment
                                                • Conqueror
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-08-13
                                                  • 16778

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                                                  Coric +6.5 over A. Zverev
                                                  Stephens -2.5 over Cibulkova
                                                  Epic capping!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • QuantumLeap
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-22-08
                                                    • 6880

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                    Epic capping!!!
                                                    Thanks but you almost jinxed me! LOL!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • QuantumLeap
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-22-08
                                                      • 6880

                                                      #27
                                                      Peterson -1.5 Allertova
                                                      Loss

                                                      Gavrilova -6.5 over Kiick
                                                      Easy WINNER

                                                      Maria -5.5 over Kratzer
                                                      Easy WINNER

                                                      Bellis -5.5 over Hibino
                                                      Loss, don't know what happened to Bellis today.

                                                      Anderson -5.5 over Gulbis
                                                      WINNER

                                                      Coric +6.5 over A. Zverev
                                                      WINNER, great match to watch!

                                                      Stephens -2.5 over Cibulkova
                                                      WINNER

                                                      Today: 5-2
                                                      This week: 10-6
                                                      Comment
                                                      • QuantumLeap
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-22-08
                                                        • 6880

                                                        #28
                                                        10-2 in my last 12 picks.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Conqueror
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-08-13
                                                          • 16778

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                                                          Thanks but you almost jinxed me! LOL!
                                                          I eventually didn't. Haha!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • QuantumLeap
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-22-08
                                                            • 6880

                                                            #30
                                                            Travaglia +1.5 over Troicki
                                                            Comment
                                                            • QuantumLeap
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-22-08
                                                              • 6880

                                                              #31
                                                              Osaka -4.5 over Allertova
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gambleForLife
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-16-12
                                                                • 292

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                                                                Travaglia +1.5 over Troicki
                                                                That line bugged me a lot, even with Troicki current form, I expected him to be at least -3/-4 favorite. I decided to pass this game, good luck to you!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • europe_baller
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-01-12
                                                                  • 859

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by gambleForLife
                                                                  That line bugged me a lot, even with Troicki current form, I expected him to be at least -3/-4 favorite. I decided to pass this game, good luck to you!
                                                                  Who you are on gambler.. I think Troicki takes this so I put him in a small parlay..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gambleForLife
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 11-16-12
                                                                    • 292

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by europe_baller
                                                                    Who you are on gambler.. I think Troicki takes this so I put him in a small parlay..
                                                                    I passed, didn't bet this game. Gun to my head, I would take Troicki, but not happy, as he's a choker.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • europe_baller
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-01-12
                                                                      • 859

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by gambleForLife
                                                                      I passed, didn't bet this game. Gun to my head, I would take Troicki, but not happy, as he's a choker.
                                                                      Yeah I see.. what other matches you like.. not many posters here - not much tennis discussion on the forum..
                                                                      Comment
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