Why is Baghdatis an underdog here? He's +104 at Pinnacle, Vesely is -115.
Baggy owns a 4-0 H2H record against Vesely. 3 of these matches happened at 2014-15, which doesn't mean much, but the last one was this year, 6-2 6-4 at Auckland. Baghdatis was a favorite by the bookies in all of these matches.
Vesely is more of a clay court player. Baghdatis' game is more suited to fast courts.
Vesely is 6-8 at hard courts this year and only beat really low ranked players, other clay court specialists (Ramos, Olivo, Zeballos) or grandpa Tommy Haas. 4 out of 6 wins came in 3 sets. He last played in Cinci, where he lost in 3 sets to Karlovic. He has a bye in the first round of Winston-Salem.
Baghdatis is 7-6 at hard courts this year and it's coming of a impressive win over Ryan Harrison and a really tight loss against Raonic at Washington. He beat Berankis 7-5 7-5 on the first round at Winston-Salem.
Even if we consider Baghdatis inconsistency and tendency to get injured, shouldn't he be the favorite?
Baggy owns a 4-0 H2H record against Vesely. 3 of these matches happened at 2014-15, which doesn't mean much, but the last one was this year, 6-2 6-4 at Auckland. Baghdatis was a favorite by the bookies in all of these matches.
Vesely is more of a clay court player. Baghdatis' game is more suited to fast courts.
Vesely is 6-8 at hard courts this year and only beat really low ranked players, other clay court specialists (Ramos, Olivo, Zeballos) or grandpa Tommy Haas. 4 out of 6 wins came in 3 sets. He last played in Cinci, where he lost in 3 sets to Karlovic. He has a bye in the first round of Winston-Salem.
Baghdatis is 7-6 at hard courts this year and it's coming of a impressive win over Ryan Harrison and a really tight loss against Raonic at Washington. He beat Berankis 7-5 7-5 on the first round at Winston-Salem.
Even if we consider Baghdatis inconsistency and tendency to get injured, shouldn't he be the favorite?