If youre not betting Bellucci then youre nuts...

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    If youre not betting Bellucci then youre nuts...
    He is +385 vs Goffin. I have watched both matches vs brown and the whole Cuevas match last night. The guy has the whole fukking country rooting for him. Not to mention the crowd does all it can to disrupt the play of the other player. They cheer 1st serve faults and even do the wave on second serves. The crowd was say 70% Bellucci and 30 Cuevas last night. but do you really think there might be more than 15 Belgium fans today??? I cant understate the home crowd intangible edge here. Its a bigger advantage than a home Davis Cup tie IMO. Thomaz looked a little shaky vs Brown and was nervous but luckily brown retired or he might have lost. Last night he fed off the crowd so much it was insane, and you know how the Brazilian fans are acting in these Olympics regarding the opposing players vs their countrymen. The turnaround from a night to a day match is a little disconcerting but looks like the rain is delaying play and will give him a bit more rest... Might be pushed back to night time.

    Bellucci +1.5 sets..+125...LARGE

    Bellucci +385..Small..
  • xdodger19
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-20-12
    • 18014

    #2
    This all true but Goffin is a very methodical, one of my favorite players
    I like belluci + games
    Comment
    • ProDane
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-03-15
      • 261

      #3
      You definetely have a point, but Belucci to win will not happen. He will probably cover the +games.
      Goffin has advantage on surface, and he is very consistant. If this match was not played in Brazil the line would have been somewhere near +700/800, and I don't believe that the home crowd is THAT much of an advantage.
      Comment
      • beefcake
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-26-09
        • 14029

        #4
        Originally posted by ProDane
        You definetely have a point, but Belucci to win will not happen. He will probably cover the +games.
        Goffin has advantage on surface, and he is very consistant. If this match was not played in Brazil the line would have been somewhere near +700/800, and I don't believe that the home crowd is THAT much of an advantage.
        Have you been watching the matches??? ITS a HUGE advantage. The whole etiquette thing of tennis or sport for that matter is thrown out the fukking door by the fans this Olympics. Christ they were booing the USA volleyball team when serving. And the rifle guy is trying to shoot with fans yelling because he was opposing a Brazil Player....Goffin has been known to fart turds when pressured. he aint seen nothing yet. he is likely to be booed coming out of the tunnel. Now the match is pushed to tomorrow which is WAY better for bellucci IMO.

        of course nothing in betting is a sure thing..Talent wise of course goffin can get a easy straight sets win...But the dude is walking into a hornets nest. And if I was the powers that be I would move this match to center court after being scheduled on court 1 today.
        Last edited by beefcake; 08-10-16, 03:41 PM.
        Comment
        • ProDane
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-03-15
          • 261

          #5
          Goffin tends to shit his pants, but only against Djoker and Federer etc. Let's see how much of an impact these fanatic fans will have - for sure it will be an exciting match!
          Comment
          • pattymayo
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-19-09
            • 10221

            #6
            Watched Cuevas Bellucci match and couldn't agree more. Olympics is an entirely different animal when the home player is representing the host country (or maybe it's just Brazil) . All etiquette out the window. Cheers erupted after Cuevas missed his first serve lol. Bellucci was fired up to and he's tough on that court especially on serve you can tell he's going all out.

            All over it, though ill take the spread
            Last edited by pattymayo; 08-10-16, 09:33 PM.
            Comment
            • jtoler
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-17-13
              • 30967

              #7
              Havent seen any matches, today will be my first, but what you say Beef does have merit. Like Dane said Goff does fart a bit under pressure also, saw it against Monfils recently in Toronto and against Raonic when he was up 2 sets at Wimby.
              Comment
              • moki
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-06-13
                • 161

                #8
                i put my money on over in this game. lets see
                Comment
                • beefcake
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 14029

                  #9
                  Boom!!
                  Comment
                  • Gargo
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-29-15
                    • 3451

                    #10
                    Nice hit.....
                    Comment
                    • gorwin068
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 05-16-16
                      • 920

                      #11
                      Originally posted by beefcake
                      He is +385 vs Goffin. I have watched both matches vs brown and the whole Cuevas match last night. The guy has the whole fukking country rooting for him. Not to mention the crowd does all it can to disrupt the play of the other player. They cheer 1st serve faults and even do the wave on second serves. The crowd was say 70% Bellucci and 30 Cuevas last night. but do you really think there might be more than 15 Belgium fans today??? I cant understate the home crowd intangible edge here. Its a bigger advantage than a home Davis Cup tie IMO. Thomaz looked a little shaky vs Brown and was nervous but luckily brown retired or he might have lost. Last night he fed off the crowd so much it was insane, and you know how the Brazilian fans are acting in these Olympics regarding the opposing players vs their countrymen. The turnaround from a night to a day match is a little disconcerting but looks like the rain is delaying play and will give him a bit more rest... Might be pushed back to night time.

                      Bellucci +1.5 sets..+125...LARGE

                      Bellucci +385..Small..
                      Nice call bro...
                      Comment
                      • moki
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-06-13
                        • 161

                        #12
                        nice one man !!
                        i took him with the spread !
                        Comment
                        • beefcake
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-26-09
                          • 14029

                          #13
                          Ok guys he plays Nadal next.Im guessing the night match on center court.Hes gonna need the stadium full and it's good it's the last match as the fans are going to have to be as drunk as possible too.Guessing +4.5 vs Nadal..MAX BET!!
                          Comment
                          • PharaohUB
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-23-07
                            • 4865

                            #14
                            tailed ya thanks buddy
                            Comment
                            • xdodger19
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-20-12
                              • 18014

                              #15
                              Good call went with it and games
                              Comment
                              • ProDane
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-03-15
                                • 261

                                #16
                                Good call beef
                                Comment
                                • beefcake
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 14029

                                  #17
                                  Hope everyone cashed today too!!
                                  Comment
                                  • prior22usaf
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 01-28-11
                                    • 151

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by beefcake
                                    Hope everyone cashed today too!!

                                    Thanks beef! Won a little bit yesterday when he played Goffin and won quite a bit more with him covering vs. Nadal. Thanks brother!
                                    Comment
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