WTA Stats

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • BlakeMile01
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-04-15
    • 166

    #1
    WTA Stats
    just typing as I cap guys.. so if it seems random... its cause it is... (all stats are MAIN WTA DRAW ONLY)

    Van Uytvanck ML 2-8 R1, 1-5 ML as FAV

    Puig 13-2 ML R1, 17-12 ML all wind <21, 9-7-1 ATS DOG, 11-4-1 ATS R1, 7-3 ATS Grass

    Hercog 4-8 ML DOG, 1-9 ML DOG

    Bencic 15-9 ML FAV, 4-2 ML R1, but Pironkova 7-3 ML R1, Pironkova 5-5 ML as DOG

    Bertens 4-6 ML as DOG

    more tomorrow...
  • BlakeMile01
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-04-15
    • 166

    #2
    sorry guys, I'm penetrating tired... will post more stats tomorrow
    Comment
    • BlakeMile01
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-04-15
      • 166

      #3
      Hercog 4-8 R1 ML Dog, 1-9 Dog overall, I need sleep
      Comment
      • BlakeMile01
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-04-15
        • 166

        #4
        Im half asleep, will post more tomorrow
        Comment
        • BlakeMile01
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-04-15
          • 166

          #5
          Siegemund 6-5-0 ATS DOG, 5-3-0 Wind >11MPH... Siegemund 8-3-0 O/U Round 1

          Keys 13-9-0 ATS FAV, 5-4-0 Wind >11MPH... Keys 12-9-1 O/U as FAV

          Robson has not covered a spread YTD (0-6-2 ATS)

          Kerber 16-14-0 ATS as FAV, 2-4-0 ATS Round 1, 9-7-0 ATS Wind >11MPH, 1-2-0 ATS Grass

          Beau 6-6-0 Round 1, 6-9-1 FAV

          Witthoeft 6-6-0 Round 1, 6-6-1 DOG

          Mattek-Sands 0-4-1 DOG, 1-7-0 Round 1

          Safarova 5-10-0 FAV, 4-2-0 Round 1

          Falconi 7-5-0 O/U when total is 19.5 thru 20.5, 5-6-0 O/U Round 1, 4-7-0 O/U DOG

          Erakovic 2-1-0 when total is 19.5 thru 20.5, 2-1-0 O/U Round 1

          Cornet 5-7 ML Round 1, 5-2 ML Wind >11MPH
          Comment
          • BlakeMile01
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-04-15
            • 166

            #6
            this is only the second time all year where Goerges is playing and opponent with the exact same height as her (both Goerges & Shvedova are 5'11") Goerges is 1-0 ML & 1-0-0 ATS vs players of equal height, Shvedova is 1-2 ML & 1-2-0 ATS vs players of equal height)

            not a real relevant stat, just wanted to give anyone reading a little glimpse of how extensive this database will be when I release it in 2017
            Comment
            • BlakeMile01
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-04-15
              • 166

              #7
              Tuesday is a 90% chance of rain and projected 74% humidity...

              Puig is 7-2-1 ATS when Humidity is between 66% & 79%

              only bad is 8-10-1 ATS VS opposition taller in height
              Comment
              • BlakeMile01
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-04-15
                • 166

                #8
                I have these sorted by elevation and all sorts of other shit also.... if anyone has a request please ask

                anyone that posts a request gets a discount when I launch in 2017
                Comment
                • BlakeMile01
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-04-15
                  • 166

                  #9
                  Kozlova 4-1-0 ATS elevation <500 for example
                  Comment
                  • BlakeMile01
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 12-04-15
                    • 166

                    #10
                    even barometric pressure... you name it
                    Comment
                    • maletaja
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-09-12
                      • 319

                      #11
                      coukd u explain your data i dont get it
                      Comment
                      • BlakeMile01
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-04-15
                        • 166

                        #12
                        ATS are posted Win/Loss/Push
                        Totals are posted Over/Under/Push
                        Money line/Straight up (aka ML/SU) are posted Win/Loss
                        Comment
                        • BlakeMile01
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-04-15
                          • 166

                          #13
                          the stats are for WTA main draw only, hope that alliviates any confusion, please let me know if further explanation is needed, I'm here to help
                          Comment
                          • BlakeMile01
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-04-15
                            • 166

                            #14
                            ATS means Against the Spread
                            O/U means Over / Under
                            > means Greater than
                            < means less than
                            Comment
                            • maletaja
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-09-12
                              • 319

                              #15
                              should i bet then Bencis or Bertens- u find some value?
                              Comment
                              • BlakeMile01
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-04-15
                                • 166

                                #16
                                I lean Bencic and Ostapenko based on my stats, have not bet either so I cannot call it an official play however...

                                Kerber –6.5 (-115) (2*)
                                Siegemund +5.5 (-115) (1*)
                                Siegemund/Keys OVER 19 (-135) (1*)
                                Begu –4 (-105) (2*)
                                Safarova –3.5 (-128) (2*)
                                Govortsova –3.5 (-115) (2*)
                                Duque-Marino +105 ML (1*)
                                Kania –3.5 (-133) (1*)
                                Falconi/Erakovic OVER 19.5 (-125) (1*)
                                Cornet –135 ML (2*)
                                Shvedova +135 ML (1*)
                                Ka. Pliskova –4.5 (-118) (1*)

                                thats what I played if you really wanted to know... I don't post plays, I post stats... the internet is filled with people that post plays, and thats not my style, I'm no tout... I only intend to provide tennis bettors with the best betting database known to man... make your own decisions with the data I have
                                Comment
                                • A.M.S.
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 06-26-10
                                  • 835

                                  #17
                                  Blake... r those ur picks for Wimbledon
                                  Comment
                                  • BlakeMile01
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-04-15
                                    • 166

                                    #18
                                    well I had an ass kicking this morning... it happens to the best of us... will post stats while I cap tonight...
                                    Comment
                                    • pabonaparte
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-21-16
                                      • 3566

                                      #19
                                      4 winners, 8 losers for -6.62

                                      To be fair I have gotten better lines on everything I decided to selectively tail. Better luck to us tomorrow!
                                      Comment
                                      • BlakeMile01
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-04-15
                                        • 166

                                        #20
                                        Hantuchova 2-6-0 ATS DOG, 1-6-0 DAYTIME, 0-2-0 Grounds Courts, 2-4-0 ATS Round 1

                                        McHale 16-14-2 ATS overall, 15-11-2 DAYTIME, 5-9-0 ATS FAV, 6-4-0 ATS Grounds Courts, 9-6-0 ATS Round 7-5-1 ATS Humidity 51%-79%

                                        Bencic 5-2 ML Wind >11MPH, 4-2 ML R1

                                        Pironkova 7-3 ML R1, 3-5 ML Wind >11MPH

                                        Paszek 3-1 ML Humidity 51%-79%, 4-4 ML DOG, 3-4 ML R1, 3-5-0 ATS DOG, 3-4-0 ATS R1, 3-1-0 ATS Humidity 51%-79%

                                        Vesnina 11-2 ML FAV, 7-1 ML R1, 7-3 ML Humidity 51%-79%, 9-4-0 ATS FAV, 7-1-0 ATS R1, 6-4-0 ATS Humidity 51%-79%
                                        Comment
                                        • BlakeMile01
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-04-15
                                          • 166

                                          #21
                                          pabonaparte, thanks for not killing me bud, my worst day on grass season this year
                                          Comment
                                          • BlakeMile01
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-04-15
                                            • 166

                                            #22
                                            Konta 7-8-0 ATS as a Seeded Favorite 1-1 ML & 1-1-0 ATS VS shorter Opposition

                                            Puig 3-2-0 ATS vs a Seeded Favorite, 10-8 ML & 5-6-1 ATS VS taller Opposition

                                            Bacsinszky 10-3 ML & 6-7-0 ATS VS shorter opposition, 1-0-0 ATS VS qualifiers, 19-6 ML as Seeded FAV 15-10-0 ATS as Seeded FAV

                                            Kumkhum 0-2 ML but 2-0 ATS VS Taller opposition, 0-2 ML & 0-2-0 ATS as Qualifier, 0-1 ML VS Seeded FAV & 0-1-0 ATS VS Seeded FAV
                                            Comment
                                            • BlakeMile01
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-04-15
                                              • 166

                                              #23
                                              Kumkhum also 0-2-0 to under VS Taller opposition
                                              Comment
                                              • BlakeMile01
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-04-15
                                                • 166

                                                #24
                                                Bacsinszky 8-17-1 O/U as FAV, 2-5-0 O/U totals =<20 (has not played a total of exactly 19 YTD) 4-3-1 O/U R1

                                                Puig 7-3-0 ATS Grass (2-1-0 ATS Grass DOG)

                                                Strycova 4-4-0 ATS Round 1 as FAV

                                                Kontaveit 4-1-0 ATS Round 1 as DOG

                                                ((that being said I'm not using money against Strycova, who is 22-16-1 ATS overall & 9-4-0 ATS Round 1)
                                                Comment
                                                • BlakeMile01
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-04-15
                                                  • 166

                                                  #25
                                                  Kozlova 7-3-1 ATS DOG, 2-1-1 ATS Stadium Court, 3-1-0 ATS R1, 2-0-0 ATS Wind >11MPH, 2-0-0 ATS Humidity 51%-79%, 1-1-0 ATS VS Taller Opposition as DOG

                                                  Radwanska 15-18-3 ATS FAV, 1-4-0 ATS R1, 4-3-0 ATS Stadium Court, 3-5-1 ATS Wind >11MPH, 16-6 ML & 10-12-1 ATS VS Shorter Opposition as FAV, 14-16-1 ATS as FAV
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BlakeMile01
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 12-04-15
                                                    • 166

                                                    #26
                                                    Cibulkova –4 (-113) (2*) I Might 3* this personally, but will grade as 2*
                                                    Puig +2.5 (-113-) (4*)
                                                    Puig +130 ML (1*)
                                                    <strange match to cap is why I’m only 1U on the ML, as all forms of capping I use (basic cap/trends cap/statistical cap) completely point Puig to Cover but not win a tight match… but gotta sprinkle the ML as Puig in much better current form>
                                                    Moore +2.5 (-120) (1*)
                                                    Lots of Trends against Van Uytvanck here
                                                    Moore +130 ML (1/2*)
                                                    This chick is just hot on grass right now & have to take a small shot with her at plus money
                                                    Bouchard –4.5 (-120) (1*)
                                                    Pavlyuchenkova –135 ML (1*)
                                                    Pavly was a 2* but had do downgrade it a bit on trends capping… so don’t be afraid to put a few extra bucks there, maybe 1.5U if you bet it, but grading only 1U
                                                    McHale –3.5 (-125) (4*)
                                                    Only match on the board other than Puig ATS that made all forms of capping I use (basic cap/trends cap/statistical cap)
                                                    Tatisvili ML –130 (1*)
                                                    bad player VS another bad player, but I honestly think Tatisvili gets it done in a smoke show… but I can’t bet horrible VS horrible for more than 1U (passed enough capping categories that I’ll make it a 1* play)


                                                    Rodina +135 ML (1*)
                                                    Rodina/Tsurenko OVER 21 (-120) (1*)


                                                    Bencic –105 ML (2*)
                                                    This would have been a 4* play at this price but I cannot do that after the slip & fall Bencic had at WTA Birmingham, though she appears to have recovered from what appears to be a very light right upper thigh strain, she has been comfortable enough to practice and even compete at WTA Eastbourne… but like stated, I think the oddsmakers think like I am thus the reason this line is what it is… with out that slip and fall and small right thigh strain 2 weeks ago, this would easily be a 4* play, but we also wouldn’t see her at –105 either….


                                                    Vandeweghe –4 (-110) (2*) Bondarenko owns the H2H at 1-0 SU, but Coco smokes her cause I said so… especially with this moist grass, the ball won’t rise into Bondarenko’s strike zone


                                                    Bacsinszky –5.5 (-130) (2*) a lot of lumber to lay in a match with no previous H2H and few common opposition and surface diffs, but if you want to bet against the best backhand in all of womens tennis, be my guest… Bacsinszky 10-3 ML & 6-7-0 ATS VS shorter opposition, 1-0-0 ATS VS qualifiers, 19-6 ML as Seeded FAV 15-10-0 ATS as Seeded FAV —— Kumkhum 0-2 ML but 2-0 ATS VS Taller opposition, 0-2 ML & 0-2-0 ATS as Qualifier, 0-1 ML VS Seeded FAV & 0-1-0 ATS VS Seeded FAV


                                                    Bacsinszky/KumKhum UNDER 19 (-118) (2*)
                                                    Timea Bacs Smoke Show…. Bacsinszky 8-17-1 O/U as FAV, 2-5-0 O/U totals =<20 (has not played a total of exactly 19 YTD) 4-3-1 O/U R1 & Kumkhum also 0-2-0 to under VS Taller opposition


                                                    Paszek +4.5 (1*) would have been a 2* but did not pass the trends part of my 3 part cap, I might put lunch money on the ML, FWIW


                                                    Strycova –4 (1*) I like this enough to bet it, but did not pass all criteria


                                                    Kozlova +7 (1*) I might play another unit on this as it hits so many statistical categories… but only a 1U play for now… but I could easily double down on this


                                                    Kozlova 7-3-1 ATS DOG, 2-1-1 ATS Stadium Court, 3-1-0 ATS R1, 2-0-0 ATS Wind >11MPH, 2-0-0 ATS Humidity 51%-79%, 1-1-0 ATS VS Taller Opposition as DOG

                                                    Radwanska 15-18-3 ATS FAV, 1-4-0 ATS R1, 4-3-0 ATS Stadium Court, 3-5-1 ATS Wind >11MPH, 16-6 ML & 10-12-1 ATS VS Shorter Opposition as FAV, 14-16-1 ATS as FAV
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pabonaparte
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-21-16
                                                      • 3566

                                                      #27
                                                      I just happened to bet far too much on McHale and Cibulkova and I am loving life right now.

                                                      Impressive, Mr. BlakeMile01!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BlakeMile01
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-04-15
                                                        • 166

                                                        #28
                                                        Ka. Pliskova 17-14-0 ATS FAV, 4-8-0 ATS R1, 5-4-0 ATS Temp <70° FAH, 4-1-0 ATS Humidity 66%-79%, 6-3-0 ATS Wind <11 MPH, 2-2-0 when Favored by EXACTLY -4.5, 10-7-0 ATS when favored by all lines -4 & greater, 8-4-0 ATS Grass
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BlakeMile01
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-04-15
                                                          • 166

                                                          #29
                                                          Ka. Pliskova also 20-15-0 ATS vs all Shorter Opposition
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BlakeMile01
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-04-15
                                                            • 166

                                                            #30
                                                            Adding Ka. Pliskova -4.5 (2*) to tomorrow's card in addition to all thats pending from todays rain delay
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BlakeMile01
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-04-15
                                                              • 166

                                                              #31
                                                              Lean Cepelova +6 Allertova +4.5 & ML +285 Arruabarrena +5
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pabonaparte
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-21-16
                                                                • 3566

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by BlakeMile01
                                                                Ka. Pliskova 17-14-0 ATS FAV, 4-8-0 ATS R1, 5-4-0 ATS Temp <70° FAH, 4-1-0 ATS Humidity 66%-79%, 6-3-0 ATS Wind <11 MPH, 2-2-0 when Favored by EXACTLY -4.5, 10-7-0 ATS when favored by all lines -4 & greater, 8-4-0 ATS Grass
                                                                How much of a factor could this be really? And are we even certain humiditiy will be anywhere near this range?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BlakeMile01
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-04-15
                                                                  • 166

                                                                  #33
                                                                  humidity is a big part of my cap, some chicks can sweat and some can't
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pabonaparte
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-21-16
                                                                    • 3566

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Is there a stat that tells you how much a player is affected by weather delays?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jtoler
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-17-13
                                                                      • 30967

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by pabonaparte
                                                                      Is there a stat that tells you how much a player is affected by weather delays?
                                                                      Lol of course not, one is hard pressed to fine UE stats in non majors.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...