Australian Open 2016

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  • w@lt
    SBR MVP
    • 10-08-10
    • 2594

    #1
    Australian Open 2016
    I generally do pretty well during Grand Slams. Hopefully I can give some good picks, and we can get good discussion going. First play:

    Milos Raonic -1285 vs Lucas Pouille
    Bernard Tomic -420 vs Denis Istomin
    Belinda Bencic -410 vs Alison Riske
    Maria Sharapova* -2000 vs Nao Hibino
    Victoria Azarenka* -2100 vs Alison Van Uytvanck

    About -120

  • w@lt
    SBR MVP
    • 10-08-10
    • 2594

    #2
    I may not put this in right away. I'm just now reading that Bencic had some kind of foot injury several days ago. Need to look into that more.

    Also, Tomic was sick at the same time. Does that bother anyone?
    Comment
    • MGTennisTipster
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-30-14
      • 335

      #3
      Originally posted by w@lt
      I may not put this in right away. I'm just now reading that Bencic had some kind of foot injury several days ago. Need to look into that more.

      Also, Tomic was sick at the same time. Does that bother anyone?
      Bencid said she felt sick during the night and decided to retire against Puig.

      Tomic was one of the most funny retirements I've ever seen, during his match against Gabashvili he said to the refree Mohamed Layani: "I have a good draw in Melbourne. It just came out. I'm looking for Melbourne, I'm not looking for this."
      Comment
      • JohnnyRudeboy
        SBR MVP
        • 11-30-09
        • 1646

        #4
        That's a lot of snizz
        Comment
        • reedy
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-20-09
          • 289

          #5
          Originally posted by MGTennisTipster
          Bencid said she felt sick during the night and decided to retire against Puig.

          Tomic was one of the most funny retirements I've ever seen, during his match against Gabashvili he said to the refree Mohamed Layani: "I have a good draw in Melbourne. It just came out. I'm looking for Melbourne, I'm not looking for this."
          Tomic has always been and always will be a moron.
          Comment
          • w@lt
            SBR MVP
            • 10-08-10
            • 2594

            #6
            I may replace Bencic with Puig.
            Comment
            • whareouttogetme
              SBR MVP
              • 09-26-10
              • 2721

              #7
              Isn't it better to pick one game with a handicap? same odds

              also penetrate Puig.
              Comment
              • frugalgambler
                SBR MVP
                • 05-30-13
                • 3418

                #8
                Meh, parlays ? Also, is Sharapova even worth it, with a questionable injury but at these crazy odds ? Last year she was healthy but still almost lost down under to a Hibino-caliber player.
                Comment
                • w@lt
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-08-10
                  • 2594

                  #9
                  Originally posted by whareouttogetme
                  Isn't it better to pick one game with a handicap? same odds

                  also penetrate Puig.
                  Eh. I don't trust handicaps.
                  Puig is a little risky, but I like her chances
                  Comment
                  • w@lt
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-08-10
                    • 2594

                    #10
                    Originally posted by frugalgambler
                    Meh, parlays ? Also, is Sharapova even worth it, with a questionable injury but at these crazy odds ? Last year she was healthy but still almost lost down under to a Hibino-caliber player.
                    I know, parlays. I've had good luck with them though... Not worried about Pova. Not going to dwell on that one match in the past
                    Comment
                    • xdodger19
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-20-12
                      • 18012

                      #11
                      Hibino may take a set
                      Raonic may actually lose but I think he wins 3-1 however there is value on Pouille, who played well at the end of December
                      Riske is playing better than last year, and Bencic is playing not as good over the last 3 months
                      Comment
                      • w@lt
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-08-10
                        • 2594

                        #12
                        Updated. Replaced Bencic, updated odds.

                        Let's get it

                        Milos Raonic -1425 vs Lucas Pouille
                        Bernard Tomic -430 vs Denis Istomin
                        Maria Sharapova -1650 vs Nao Hibino
                        Monica Puig -340 vs Magda Linette
                        Victoria Azarenka -2800 vs Alison Van Uytvanck

                        about -114
                        Comment
                        • w@lt
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-08-10
                          • 2594

                          #13
                          Tournament winner: Victoria Azarenka +380
                          Comment
                          • badgerguy
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-21-13
                            • 2281

                            #14
                            Fuk Tomic. That dude has screwed me way more then I care to mention on here.
                            Comment
                            • w@lt
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-08-10
                              • 2594

                              #15
                              Originally posted by badgerguy
                              Fuk Tomic. That dude has screwed me way more then I care to mention on here.
                              I think he'll be fine. Had a decent tournament in Brisbane. In Australia. Motivation should be there, as it sounds like he retired last match with the AO in mind.
                              Comment
                              • w@lt
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-08-10
                                • 2594

                                #16
                                Originally posted by w@lt
                                Milos Raonic -1425 vs Lucas Pouille
                                Bernard Tomic -430 vs Denis Istomin
                                Maria Sharapova -1650 vs Nao Hibino
                                Monica Puig -340 vs Magda Linette
                                Victoria Azarenka -2800 vs Alison Van Uytvanck
                                Always feels good to get a win off the bat with the weakest link in the parlay
                                Comment
                                • Conqueror
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-08-13
                                  • 16778

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by w@lt
                                  Tournament winner: Victoria Azarenka +380
                                  Not worth it at this odds. The WTA is volatile. You can hardly predict which players will make the semis. Just saying. Won't be surprised if both Vicky and Serena are out before the semis. Kvitova and Muguruza do have an outside chance, IMHO.
                                  Comment
                                  • frugalgambler
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-30-13
                                    • 3418

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Conqueror
                                    Not worth it at this odds. The WTA is volatile. You can hardly predict which players will make the semis. Just saying. Won't be surprised if both Vicky and Serena are out before the semis. Kvitova and Muguruza do have an outside chance, IMHO.
                                    WTA is hard to predict, LOL. Which is why Serena won three Slams last year; and Bouchard made 4 semis a year ago. Just because you have a boner for big girls, does not make Kvitova and Muggz contenders down under.
                                    Comment
                                    • w@lt
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-08-10
                                      • 2594

                                      #19
                                      Raonic won. Just need Vika and Bernie now. COME ON
                                      Comment
                                      • w@lt
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-08-10
                                        • 2594

                                        #20
                                        Good start!

                                        Originally posted by w@lt
                                        Milos Raonic -1425 vs Lucas Pouille
                                        Bernard Tomic -430 vs Denis Istomin
                                        Maria Sharapova -1650 vs Nao Hibino
                                        Monica Puig -340 vs Magda Linette
                                        Victoria Azarenka -2800 vs Alison Van Uytvanck
                                        Comment
                                        • reedy
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-20-09
                                          • 289

                                          #21
                                          Nice job Walt.

                                          When is the next Genie pic upgrade? After another W?
                                          Comment
                                          • w@lt
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-08-10
                                            • 2594

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by reedy
                                            Nice job Walt.

                                            When is the next Genie pic upgrade? After another W?
                                            HA. We'll see.... I'll be pumped if she beats Radwanska. Tough match
                                            Comment
                                            • w@lt
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-08-10
                                              • 2594

                                              #23
                                              The Federer -1400 vs Alexandr Dolgopolov
                                              Nick Kyrgios -850 vs Pablo Cuevas
                                              Belinda Bencic -355 vs Timea Babos
                                              Maria Sharapova -1900 vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

                                              About -160
                                              Comment
                                              • w@lt
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-08-10
                                                • 2594

                                                #24
                                                Well, shit. Odds already jumped by the time I put this in. Now closer to -180
                                                Comment
                                                • w@lt
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-08-10
                                                  • 2594

                                                  #25
                                                  Sprinkle

                                                  Eugenie Bouchard +295 vs Agnieszka Radwanska

                                                  I could see Genie getting worked right off the court, but at the same time I think she has the ability to hit Aga off the court on a good day. Very small amount. We'll see!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • w@lt
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-08-10
                                                    • 2594

                                                    #26
                                                    Maria Sakkari +675 vs Carla Suarez Navarro

                                                    LET'S GET IT!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • w@lt
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-08-10
                                                      • 2594

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by w@lt
                                                      Maria Sakkari +675 vs Carla Suarez Navarro
                                                      Dropped to +575
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Nick_U
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 08-26-11
                                                        • 284

                                                        #28
                                                        Broooooo first set to Sakkari!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • frugalgambler
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-30-13
                                                          • 3418

                                                          #29
                                                          CSN was -130 after losing the 1st. I know she is a headcase, but maybe not that much of a headcase. Not Coco-style headcase. Sakkari will probably get bageled in the 2nd.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • w@lt
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-08-10
                                                            • 2594

                                                            #30
                                                            Ugggh. Was getting excited about Sakkari after that first set.

                                                            Punts lost.


                                                            Eugenie Bouchard +295
                                                            Maria Sakkari +675

                                                            Comment
                                                            • w@lt
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-08-10
                                                              • 2594

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by w@lt
                                                              The Federer -1400 vs Alexandr Dolgopolov
                                                              Nick Kyrgios -850 vs Pablo Cuevas
                                                              Belinda Bencic -355 vs Timea Babos
                                                              Maria Sharapova -1900 vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
                                                              Comment
                                                              • w@lt
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-08-10
                                                                • 2594

                                                                #32
                                                                Not a lot standing out ATM for the matches today. Going to wait for 5Dimes to put up Friday's matches.

                                                                Not yet knowing some of the odds, I like: Raonic, Vika, Feds, Bencic, Pova
                                                                Comment
                                                                • w@lt
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-08-10
                                                                  • 2594

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Sabine Lisicki -145 vs Denisa Allertova

                                                                  Boom Boom FTW on fast court
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • w@lt
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-08-10
                                                                    • 2594

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Up a break. Lose the set. Naturally
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • w@lt
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-08-10
                                                                      • 2594

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Lukas Rosol +178 vs Jack Sock

                                                                      ESPN says sock has: flu, stomach issues, strep throat, trouble keeping food down, ankle problems
                                                                      Comment
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