Wta 2016

[frugalgambler]

Lived in Pasadena for about 18 months. Good living out there.

Wow, small world. Yeah, I like it down here. Where are you now ?

[reedy]

Wow, small world. Yeah, I like it down here. Where are you now ?

1 mile outside of Washington DC. Little place called Chevy Chase, MD.

[frugalgambler]

Never been to the DC area. Is it nice out there ? Nicer than Pasadena ? Or perhaps even nicer than San Marino ?

[reedy]

Tomorrow: ITF Andrezieux-Boutheon

1/30/16 10:00am ITF Women Tennis 2203 Oceane Dodin -120* vs Stefanie Voegele - 1u

2016: 18-13-1

+8.1

[reedy]

Never been to the DC area. Is it nice out there ? Nicer than Pasadena ? Or perhaps even nicer than San Marino ?

DC is a shithole. I live just outside in the white burbs.

[reedy]

Tomorrow: ITF Andrezieux-Boutheon

1/30/16 10:00am ITF Women Tennis 2203 Oceane Dodin -120* vs Stefanie Voegele - 1u - Cancelled

2016: 18-13-1

+8.1

Tomorrow:

Leaning Voegele tomorrow in the final but not enough to put a bet in. Seeing both girls at -120 generally makes me happy though.

2016: 18-13-2

+8.1

[reedy]

Today:

2/2/16 12:45pm ITF Women Tennis 1206 Kristie Ahn -115* vs Jovana Jaksic
2/2/16 12:45pm ITF Women Tennis 1208 Riko Sawayanagi +125* vs Mayo Hibi

1u plays

[reedy]

Today:

2/2/16 12:45pm ITF Women Tennis 1206 Kristie Ahn -115* vs Jovana Jaksic - L
2/2/16 12:45pm ITF Women Tennis 1208 Riko Sawayanagi +125* vs Mayo Hibi - L

1u plays

Fuk you ITF

Tomorrow morning: Fed Cup

2/6/16 6:00am Fed Cup Tennis 1506 K.Bertens Games Won +5 -105* vs E.Makarova Games Won
2/6/16 8:00am Fed Cup Tennis 1804 Camila Giorgi +120* vs Kristina Mladenovic

1u plays

2016: 18-15-2

+6u

[xdodger19]

I like your play here k. bertens, I think the italians are gonna win too

[reedy]

I like your play here k. bertens, I think the italians are gonna win too

Thanks fella. Going with my gut on Giorgi and thinking/hoping Emak isn't consistent enough to he a 5 game fav in this spot.

[frugalgambler]

Thanks for reminding me about this, love me some FedCup. Are you using 5d by any chance ? They are juicing the over/spread lines to -115, instead of -110 at BM. E.g., Bertens +5.5 is -115 @BM and -122 @5d. This is a big difference long-term. GL dude.

[reedy]

Thanks for reminding me about this, love me some FedCup. Are you using 5d by any chance ? They are juicing the over/spread lines to -115, instead of -110 at BM. E.g., Bertens +5.5 is -115 @BM and -122 @5d. This is a big difference long-term. GL dude.

Yep, all bets on 5 dimes so far this year. You're right. Totals have been heavliy juiced this year so far. Shitty value on both sides. Heavliy juiced totals on both sides is just books covering themselves because they have no idea this early in the season. It's BS but i get it. I'm right there with them.

I'm generally a dog player in tennis as i feel this is the only way to make money. But this is hard for the first 3 months of the season as it takes a while to feel out the girls. Most years im happy if i break even until Miami (3/23) then try to make some cash through the rest of the year.

[reedy]

Anyone else think today might be a letdown spot for Kerber? She's been hitting so few UFEs this year its hard to fade her. Bazcsinsky has had a terrible start to the year but the girl can play some top tennis.

Not touching this one but if i did i kinda like the O20.5 @-112 (FU 5 dimes).

[frugalgambler]

Good stuff, reedy. Kerber was really dominant today. But the letdown spot might be tomorrow against Bencic. Lotsa big upsets today.

It is my impression that 5d started to juice the spreads and totals to -115 about a year or so ago. I do not think they plan to change this. I would suggest using Bookmaker, that book is just as reputable.

[reedy]

Good stuff, reedy. Kerber was really dominant today. But the letdown spot might be tomorrow against Bencic. Lotsa big upsets today.

It is my impression that 5d started to juice the spreads and totals to -115 about a year or so ago. I do not think they plan to change this. I would suggest using Bookmaker, that book is just as reputable.

Sounds good. I dont bet much on totals. I think i have a bookmaker account though. Havent used in it some time.

[reedy]

Fuk you ITF

Tomorrow morning: Fed Cup

2/6/16 6:00am Fed Cup Tennis 1506 K.Bertens Games Won +5 -105* vs E.Makarova Games Won - W
2/6/16 8:00am Fed Cup Tennis 1804 Camila Giorgi +120* vs Kristina Mladenovic - W

1u plays

2016: 18-15-2

+6u

2/7/16 10:45pm WTA Tennis 1053 Hiroko Kuwata -110* vs Yuxuan Zhang
2/7/16 11:15pm WTA Tennis 1063 Kr.Pliskova Games Won +3 -110* vs M.Doi Games Won
2/8/16 10:00pm WTA Tennis 1052 Q.Wang Games Won -1½ -108* vs K.Nara Games Won

1u plays

2016: 20-15-2

+8.2u

[reedy]

Adding this young lady:

2/10/16 5:00am WTA Tennis 1320 D.Kasatkina Games Won -2½ -125* vs K.Flipkens Games Won

[reedy]

1u.

[reedy]

2/7/16 10:45pm WTA Tennis 1053 Hiroko Kuwata -110* vs Yuxuan Zhang - L
2/7/16 11:15pm WTA Tennis 1063 Kr.Pliskova Games Won +3 -110* vs M.Doi Games Won - L
2/8/16 10:00pm WTA Tennis 1052 Q.Wang Games Won -1½ -108* vs K.Nara Games Won - L

1u plays

2016: 20-15-2

+8.2u

2016: 20-18-2

+5

[reedy]

Tonight/Tomorrow.

2/10/16 12:30am WTA Tennis 1111 A.Sevastova Games Won -3 -118* vs D.Vekic Games Won - 1u
2/9/16 10:00pm WTA Tennis 1141 Elizaveta Kulichkova +115* vs Zarina Diyas - 1u
2/10/16 3:00am WTA Tennis 1323 L.Siegemund Games Won/K.Mladenovic Games Won Over 20½ -110* - 1u
2/10/16 10:30am WTA Tennis 1443 M.Gasparyan Games Won +2 -113* vs A.Ivanovic Games Won - 3u
2/10/16 11:45am WTA Tennis 1460 R.Vinci Games Won -3 -116* vs Y.Wickmayer Games Won - 3u
2/10/16 5:00am WTA Tennis 1320 D.Kasatkina Games Won -2½ -125* vs K.Flipkens Games Won - 1u

2016: 20-18-2

+5

[xdodger19]

like these picks not so sure if mladenovic just crushes today however
Wickmayer should have trouble with Vinci's game, yanina likes to bash from the baseline, intriguing matchup
Witthoeft looks like an improving player a bit. Lets GO!

[reedy]

like these picks not so sure if mladenovic just crushes today however
Wickmayer should have trouble with Vinci's game, yanina likes to bash from the baseline, intriguing matchup
Witthoeft looks like an improving player a bit. Lets GO!

Thanks man. I like Vinci today only because i've seen Wicky play live a few times and have meltdowns against players like Vinci. Hoping Gasparyan shows up heavy in a few sets and Anna.

[frugalgambler]

Good call on Vinci. Looks like Gasparyan (and Kasatkina) are a year or two away from being a consistent threat to established top-20 players.

[reedy]

Good call on Vinci. Looks like Gasparyan (and Kasatkina) are a year or two away from being a consistent threat to established top-20 players.

Ya. looks that way. Getting my balls torn off a bit this week.

[reedy]

Tonight/Tomorrow.

2/10/16 12:30am WTA Tennis 1111 A.Sevastova Games Won -3 -118* vs D.Vekic Games Won - 1u - L
2/9/16 10:00pm WTA Tennis 1141 Elizaveta Kulichkova +115* vs Zarina Diyas - 1u - W
2/10/16 3:00am WTA Tennis 1323 L.Siegemund Games Won/K.Mladenovic Games Won Over 20½ -110* - 1u - W
2/10/16 10:30am WTA Tennis 1443 M.Gasparyan Games Won +2 -113* vs A.Ivanovic Games Won - 3u - L
2/10/16 11:45am WTA Tennis 1460 R.Vinci Games Won -3 -116* vs Y.Wickmayer Games Won - 3u - W
2/10/16 5:00am WTA Tennis 1320 D.Kasatkina Games Won -2½ -125* vs K.Flipkens Games Won - 1u - L (le hook)

2016: 20-18-2

+5

Tough week so far.

Tonight/tomorrow:

2/11/16 10:30am WTA Tennis 1419 C.Wozniacki Games Won/D.Cibulkova Games Won Under 21 -116* -1u
2/11/16 3:00am WTA Tennis 1434 Kateryna Kozlova -130* vs Elena Vesnina -3u
2/10/16 11:15pm WTA Tennis 1159 M.Linette Games Won +3½ -118* vs M.Doi Games Won -1u
2/11/16 12:45am WTA Tennis 1135 S-W.Hsieh Games Won/M.Minella Games Won Under 20½ -114* -3u

2016:23-21-2

+4.3

[reedy]

Tough week so far.

Tonight/tomorrow:

2/11/16 10:30am WTA Tennis 1419 C.Wozniacki Games Won/D.Cibulkova Games Won Under 21 -116* -1u - L
2/11/16 3:00am WTA Tennis 1434 Kateryna Kozlova -130* vs Elena Vesnina -3u - W
2/10/16 11:15pm WTA Tennis 1159 M.Linette Games Won +3½ -118* vs M.Doi Games Won -1u - L
2/11/16 12:45am WTA Tennis 1135 S-W.Hsieh Games Won/M.Minella Games Won Under 20½ -114* -3u - L

2016:23-21-2

+4.3

Tonight/Tomorrow:

/11/16 11:15pm WTA Tennis 1026 Stefanie Voegele -102* vs Yulia Putintseva -3u
2/11/16 10:00pm WTA Tennis 1073 Kurumi Nara +120* vs Misaki Doi - 1u
2/12/16 4:00am WTA Tennis 1373 Timea Babos +159* vs Roberta Vinci -1u

2016: 24-24-2

+1.5

[reedy]

Adding:

2/12/16 10:45am WTA Tennis 1302 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +173* vs Belinda Bencic - 1u
2/12/16 9:30am WTA Tennis 1326 Daria Kasatkina +155*vs Dominika Cibulkova - 1u

[frugalgambler]

Ugh, the little engine that could looked pretty good vs Woz; I think Kasatkina is still a raw talent.

[reedy]

Tonight/Tomorrow:

/11/16 11:15pm WTA Tennis 1026 Stefanie Voegele -102* vs Yulia Putintseva -3u - L (ret)
2/11/16 10:00pm WTA Tennis 1073 Kurumi Nara +120* vs Misaki Doi - 1u - Cancelled
2/12/16 4:00am WTA Tennis 1373 Timea Babos +159* vs Roberta Vinci -1u - L

2016: 24-24-2

+1.5

2016: 24-26-2

-2.5u

[reedy]

Adding:

2/12/16 10:45am WTA Tennis 1302 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +173* vs Belinda Bencic - 1u - L
2/12/16 9:30am WTA Tennis 1326 Daria Kasatkina +155*vs Dominika Cibulkova - 1u - W

2016: 25-27-3

-2u

[reedy]

Tonight:

2/12/16 10:00pm WTA Tennis 1051 Su-Wei Hsieh +125* vs Misaki Doi - 3u

[frugalgambler]

Good call on Kasatkina. Cibulkova went 0-for-25 on 2nd serve after the 1st set. I think I have not seen such crazy stats since Dementieva's double fault bonanza. Will be interesting to see if Kasatkina can hang with Bencic in semis.