2016 Australian Summer/Oceania & Australian Open Picks

**Jeff_Black** · 01-21-16, 05:03 AM

Does NZ count as being apart of the Oceania? Otherwise the latter

**KingHawkins** · 01-21-16, 06:22 AM

Ahhhhh, I missed them both. Nice hits! Kicking myself twice for not seeing your picks in time.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-21-16, 10:01 PM

Australian Open Mens Singles R32, Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Pierre Hueges Herbert
Set Handicap: Jo Wilfried Tsonga -2.5 @ 1.833 on Pimnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 01-22-16, 02:41 AM

Australian Open Mens Singles R32, Novak Djokovic vs Andreas Seppi
Handicap: Andreas Seppi +9.5 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 01-22-16, 02:42 AM

Originally posted by KingHawkins

Ahhhhh, I missed them both. Nice hits! Kicking myself twice for not seeing your picks in time.

I've decided to be a bit more patient waiting to see if the lines move, yesterday's Stan example was great where it went from 7.5 to 7.
Obviously he put himself in good stead for the last set

**Jeff_Black** · 01-22-16, 10:46 PM

Australian Open Men's Singles, R32 - Gael Monfils vs Stephane Robert
Handicap: Stephane Robert +8.0 @ 1.862 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 01-23-16, 01:46 AM

Australian Open Mens Singles R32, Andy Murray vs Joao Sousa
Total Score: Under 28.0 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 01-23-16, 06:53 PM

Average day with Robert being French and all heh...

Australian Open Mens Singles R16 - Tomas Berdych vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Handicap: Tomas Berdych -5.5 @ 2.04 on Pinnacle
1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 01-26-16, 02:10 AM

Australian Open Men's Singles QF, Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori
Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic -2.5 @ 2.25
Stake: 3.5u play

I don't see Novak losing to Nishikori, in fact considering they are playing at night makes me think to a small extent Nishikori will be a dead man walking.
Novaks had his bad game which I think he doesn't repeat. With a potential big matchup against an in form Federer in the semi finals I think he will want to make quick work and end this match quickly.
Having not been entirely too impressed with Keis form I'll take the inflated odds on the world number one who has delivered beat downs to the good players and who will without a doubt be given rhythm by Kei.
Also people crap on about Keis US Open win, which was a year and a half ago. Novak is by far a better player since then and his win against Simon was prob his worst match since that loss to Kei at the US Open. One bad match which it was is IMO an overreaction to the fact everyone conveniently ignores Novak has thwarted Kei since then.

**frugalgambler** · 01-26-16, 04:20 AM

Looks to be a sharp play. Good to be backing favs today.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-26-16, 04:52 AM

Was almost leaning on Kei +7, glad to be the other way. I think the top guys will usually rose to the occasion later and especially a guy like novak who they thought would struggle in his us and wimbledon finals
that said I thought Berdych would give federer more of a fight but he does get exposed as more of a birdbrain against him then others

**Jeff_Black** · 01-26-16, 08:14 PM

Australian Open Mens Singles QF - Andy Murray vs David Ferrer
Set Handicap: Andy Murray -2.5 sets @ 2.48 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1.5u play

An interesting tease for the odds in this spot but I think Murray has been good enough to win this match in 3 sets. Andy Murray has had a dominant head-to-head in this match, and especially on the hard courts where he has only been beaten twice holds a 1-0 advantage at the majors.
Murray has had a tough few outings beating but not covering his spreads against Bernard Tomic and Joao Sousa. Ferrer has not been troubled not dropping a set en route to the QF. However the World No 2 is a larger step up then the current crop of competition who Ferrer has faced which apart from Isner to an extent, has been unspectacular.
Taking Murray to get this done in a hurry and make quick work of Ferrer

**Jeff_Black** · 01-27-16, 01:25 AM

Painfully bad from Murray

**Jeff_Black** · 01-27-16, 03:38 AM

Australian Open Men's Singles QF: Gael Monfils vs Milos Raonic
Total Score: Under 42.0 @ 1.934
Stake: 2u play

**Jeff_Black** · 01-28-16, 01:36 AM

Australian Open Men's Semi Finals, Novak Djokovic vs Roger Federer
Handicap: Novak Djokovic -4.0 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

1st set handicap: Novak Djokovic -1.0 @ 2.2s on Sportsbet
2u play

Fed has shown glimpses of prime fed but he has no answers for some of Djokovics shots such as the cross court backhand down the half court amongst others which are becoming as familiar as nadals forehand to backhand tactic.
Betting with the head rather then hoping Federer makes it close. Some of Djokovics semis have been his best results and saw enough from the Nishikori game to suggest he will do it similar here

**Jeff_Black** · 01-28-16, 07:03 AM

Pretty much to script...two more games left!
Novak proving he will be all time top 5 if he wins the French now

See you all on the morrow. BOL to those punting on the woman's final

edir: forgot about the other SF LOL

**kj8210** · 01-28-16, 10:29 PM

Jeff who do you like in the Murray match? Was thinking about taking Raonic ML. Thoughts?

**mohye1980** · 01-29-16, 01:09 AM

The play has to be Murray -4. No way Milos is pulling this off. I could see a sweep of 3-1.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-29-16, 02:05 AM

At the moment I'm going to do

Andy Murray -1.0 first set handicap @ 2.31 on Sportsbet
3u play

Big risk but like with Djokovic I think the overvalue of the fact there will be a tiebreak (5-1 for no tb to be played) makes me think A mix of Raonic nerves and Murray putting more pressure on his serve then anyone else makes me side with the first set going Murrays way not in a tb .Considering his 5 set match with Stan had no tbs and Stan hadn't been too great I think Murray will step up a bit in this spot.
Both guys have a combined loss of one first set al up but I think Murray will try and get in early to take the first set like he has done in many other semi finals.

Can't really say I am too sold on Raonic to take ML either at those odds. I was hoping at +300 or more but it seems it won't be.

I'll have another play to post here but it'll likely be Murray -4 (-3.5 on Sportsbet) at crapper odds

BOL guys

**Fernburn74** · 01-29-16, 02:12 AM

Would u still take -1.5. I have at my book ? Murray -125

**Jeff_Black** · 01-29-16, 02:26 AM

Like those odds actually. I'm going to try find -1.5 sets

**Jeff_Black** · 01-29-16, 02:29 AM

Andy Murray -1.5 sets on Sportsbet
Stake 3u play

Andy Murray -3.5 @ 1.72 on Sportsbet
Stake: 2u play

**Jeff_Black** · 01-29-16, 02:29 AM

Hopefully the angry scot doesn't let me down

**mohye1980** · 01-29-16, 02:39 AM

Good luck fellas lets get this

**Jeff_Black** · 01-29-16, 03:36 AM

Hope I'm not too overconfident
Definately a tougher match to pinpoint then yesterday's

**Jeff_Black** · 01-29-16, 07:50 AM

Took a loss but at least it's not a wipeout. Overestimated Murray too much, needs to play less Scottish. Anyway see you all Sunday, BOL to all those on the woman's final

**Jeff_Black** · 01-31-16, 03:16 AM

Australian Open Mens Singles Final - Noak Djokovic vs Andy Murray
Handicap: Andy Murray +6.0 @ 2.07
Total Score: Over 36.5 @ 1.952
Novak Djokovic Total Games: Over 20.5
Andy Murray Total Games over 15.5
Andy Murray +2.5 sets @ 1.666

All on Pinnacle, all 1u plays

**Jeff_Black** · 02-01-16, 11:00 PM

Thread record to date:

43 - 26 - 9, +13.638u+

Obviously a pretty disappointing ending which hurt the bankroll but still a good month. Just gotta stick to one pick next time heh.