how to make money betting WTA

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  • single shaker
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-28-07
    • 290

    #1
    how to make money betting WTA
    I think I have a theory how to win money in WTA. It is rather simple and has to do with human (men) emotions. It is not a secret that men are attracted to women. Therefore, when we deal with WTA and the player is very attractive (e.g. Wozniacki, Kirilenko), most times the common sense goes out of the window, and the testosterone kicks in, hence inflating the line on the good looking player. It especially true when you have an unfortunate looking WTA player (Kuznetsova, Schiavone) playing one of the beauties.

    Look at today’s match up, most of the people on tennisinsight.com were picking Wozniacki over Kuznetsova, hell can you blame them. If I had to cheer for somebody in the match it would have been much easier to support Wozniacki. It changed the line from +110 to -105, here comes the big assumption on my part, the line changed only due to the Wozniacki good looks, if you buy into this assumption the rules are rather simple and can be applied to any match.

    In the close match starting line 100 to 125, if line moving on the better looking player you play the opposite site. In the long run you have to make money, Darwin’s theory of evolution that is what I am banking on.

    I have not decided yet if it applies to ATP tour as well.
  • single shaker
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-28-07
    • 290

    #2
    ok team ugly won their first match.

    kuznetsova over wozniacki. 6:4 6:7 6:1

    had some more ideas, why my theory should work, good looking people travel thru life is much easier, therefore, they don't have to work as hard. therefore, when push comes to shove the ugly would be more deterimened to prove his spot under the sun.

    the second WTA match of today is outside of the range therefore no play.
    Comment
    • Masu485
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-14-08
      • 7700

      #3
      well how exactly would u define beauty in these scenarios? i find lots of women tennis players hot.

      most people on this board would say venus or serena are hideous, but i'm sure there are many who find them irresistable (especially black men)

      same with maria sharapova, some find her body manly and disgusting, but others can easily look past that.

      i do believe that beauty (as simply a word) has an absolute and is not just relative, but without properly analyzing each player (that means determining perfect facial proportions, as well as hip and waist ratios, along with off court attitude, if they have photoshoots etc...), there isn't really a way to determine who is absolutely more beautiful. it can only be a personal opinion, and thus relative for each person.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        LoL. Actually most of the tennisinsight.com crew I think bought into her win over Dementieva being a big win. Dementieva hasn't played that well lately. Kuznetsova had cruised through the first couple rounds here. Wozniacki is going to be a Top 5-er soon, but her serve is still not there yet. Then again, most of the girls have serving problems in every match at some point.
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        • GoodOldTed
          SBR High Roller
          • 02-03-09
          • 135

          #5
          looks have nothing to do with ability, and to be honest, I don't think they have much to do with line movement either... Kuznetsova has played pretty ordinary since the Aus Open and Wozniacki has the 'potential' moniker painted all over here. It's more to do with determining whether a line move has any valid reason or simply because a few sites are all on the same tip.
          Comment
          • single shaker
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-28-07
            • 290

            #6
            Originally posted by Masu485
            well how exactly would u define beauty in these scenarios? i find lots of women tennis players hot.

            most people on this board would say venus or serena are hideous, but i'm sure there are many who find them irresistable (especially black men)

            same with maria sharapova, some find her body manly and disgusting, but others can easily look past that.

            i do believe that beauty (as simply a word) has an absolute and is not just relative, but without properly analyzing each player (that means determining perfect facial proportions, as well as hip and waist ratios, along with off court attitude, if they have photoshoots etc...), there isn't really a way to determine who is absolutely more beautiful. it can only be a personal opinion, and thus relative for each person.
            it is rather simple my friend, lets say the average bettor on tennisinsight.com and here is a white male between the age of 25 to 43. i am well within the range of that population, therefore, i will name myself an expert on the subject for the moment.
            so you encounter a difficult case (e.g. sharapova vs. dementieva) just ask me. but in most cases your GUT feeling should be your answer, assuming you fall into the age bracket described above.
            Comment
            • MMM
              SBR Rookie
              • 03-21-09
              • 47

              #7
              Good looking players get more attention than they deserve. Attention creates awareness and awareness makes people bet on those players so I would say your strategy is somewhat valid. Kirilenko for example is constantly overrated.

              But the best looking girl on the WTA tour is still undervalued by the market. Her name is Petra Cetkovska.
              Comment
              • single shaker
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-28-07
                • 290

                #8
                Originally posted by MMM
                Good looking players get more attention than they deserve. Attention creates awareness and awareness makes people bet on those players so I would say your strategy is somewhat valid. Kirilenko for example is constantly overrated.

                But the best looking girl on the WTA tour is still undervalued by the market. Her name is Petra Cetkovska.
                A self proclaimed expert agrees Petra is an extremely attractive woman.

                she is on the list of players to watch, will come back to her once she falls into our category.
                Last edited by single shaker; 04-01-09, 02:07 PM.
                Comment
                • single shaker
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-28-07
                  • 290

                  #9
                  even though a little outside of the range, but team ugly has a real opportunity to steal one here.

                  kuznetsova +180

                  some might argue that azarenka is nothing special in the looks department, self proclaimed expert gives her 7.5 on the hotness scale.
                  Comment
                  • single shaker
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-28-07
                    • 290

                    #10
                    Well team pretty even the score on us, but the expert knew it was a long shot with odds that high. it must have been one ugly match with 17 breakpoints converted between two players, and Kuznetsova got broken 11 times.

                    well time for team ugly to regroup, and remind ourselfs that we should be looking at more competitive lines in the future and not get carried away.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      It was ugly. I tried to watch it because I had a little money on Kuznetsova and the match made me sick to my stomach. One would break, the other would break back and then you'd think they were in control only to get broken again. Either Williams sister should beat Azarenka.
                      Comment
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