Kenz's Tennis

[Semper Fidelis]

2 Absolute blowout winners

Good job as usual Kenz! I was already on Ilhan before I noticed your play, and then I went a little heavier. Unfortunately I missed the WTA wager, but at least I was able to make extra on Ilhan!

Is there anything else you like for today buddy? I was thinking of taking a shot at Chardy and the Over 24 games in Benny/Querry. Don't know of Lopez will slow up or not, but Chardy has beaten him plenty of times before, and I feel it's hard to pick the winner of the other, but seems like it'll be close either way and go to 3 sets. Thoughts on those or anything else?

[kenz]

I had some leans but skipped them. I liked Sugita, Duckworth, Pierre Hughes Herbert but somehow skipped them.

I hae a huge play on Turkish basketball championship game, wont have another bet today. Galatasaray players want to play and they had a shooting training session in the morning. General atmosphere is they are going to play. I am fading my team here, hope I wont regret The atmosphere will be nothing less than hell for us, thats for sure

[zec]

Arroyo with a buzzer to win it!!!

[kenz]

Thanks man. Easy winners

Other picks for today?

Thanks guys

mads1111 no more tennis today, have a huge basketball play pending from yesterday.

[mads1111]

which one is that brother?

[kenz]

Good job as usual Kenz! I was already on Ilhan before I noticed your play, and then I went a little heavier. Unfortunately I missed the WTA wager, but at least I was able to make extra on Ilhan!

Is there anything else you like for today buddy? I was thinking of taking a shot at Chardy and the Over 24 games in Benny/Querry. Don't know of Lopez will slow up or not, but Chardy has beaten him plenty of times before, and I feel it's hard to pick the winner of the other, but seems like it'll be close either way and go to 3 sets. Thoughts on those or anything else?

Thanks Semper

Watched the entire game yesterday, Kamke played to his full capacity each set, he was great till he served for the set in each set and choke. 2nd set was funny he was up 5-4 40-15 the door bell rang wifey came I had a 15 min conversation with her and when I took look again at the game it was 40-adv bp for Lopez. Then Lopez broke Kamke.

Lopez did not look great to me. His body looks stiff and he was not as sharp as he was in Queens. He broke 2 serves that Kamke served for set. I did not like him as much as in Queen's, BH slice not as lethal also his serves were like 10% off, especially 2nd serves were too weak. Also weaker on returns in general, maybe tired. Chardy işs not a great grass courter but considering how hard it is for Lopez to break a serve at times I skip it. He may still win but I dont want any business in this game. I would bet there will be a tiebreak @1.57, 24 is tough to beat in 2 sets

BOL in whatever you decide.

[kenz]

which one is that brother?

$1500 on Fenerbahçe -1 @1.47 last page.

[kenz]

Arroyo with a buzzer to win it!!!

Hope not

[zec]

I was going for your Galatasary fan side. Fine then my Croatian sensation Bojan with the buzzer to win it

[kenz]

I was going for your Galatasary fan side. Fine then my Croatian sensation Bojan with the buzzer to win it

I prefer a buzzer-less win as I will watch it But thanks man

[zec]

Game 7 needs a buzzer beater

[kenz]

It is not even 100% certain the game will ever start or finish if it starts Great drama tonight

[kenz]

Small play

$75 on tiebreak in Chardy - Lopez @1.57

[kenz]

Basketball

$1500 on Fenerbahçe -1 @1.47 Marathonbet

As a Galatasaray fan I have no problem with taking this bet. Series is 3-3 and todays is the final game. Each game was won by the home team. Last evening Galatasaray A.Ş. President Ünal Aysal made an announcement and declared they wont attend the game as Galatasaray players and officials dont have enough security for their lives. For my personal opinon, no one will die but I expect no less than "hell" in Ülker Arena with many rules will possibly broken. It will be the hardest atmosphere for an away team. Entire crowd chanting for Fenerbahçe and cursing to Galatasaray players and especially Galatasaray coach Ergin Ataman, who is widely hatred, even amongst Galatasaray fans to an extent. Also league rules are somehow ignored in this series, too many supporters were allowed in the back of Galatasaray bench for cursing in Ülker Arena games, impossible for Galatasaray to keep calm or concentrated.

So if Galatasaray wont show up the procedure is Fenerbahçe shows up on the court, they and commisioners wait for 15 minutes and declare Fenerbahçe as winner of TBL 2014 with the autoscore 20-0 for the game.

30 minutes ago Ünal Aysal made another announcement and said we will think more about it. Now there is a chance Galatasaray plays tonight, but the atmosphere will be ridiculous by the most humble sense. I dont see how Fenerbahçe loses tonight

Void

Galatasaray wont play. Fenerbahçe is the champ

[kenz]

$150 on Donald Duck ML @1.85 Pinnacle

Young looked good to me in Roland Garros, good strokes. He played very well against Feli and GGL. On the other hand Klizan was nuts, he made 90 unforced errors against Granollers, 65 against Haase = 155 ues in 2 slam games. Clay is Klizan's best court. Now the surface is different but Klizan is not a good grass courter, Young is not the best grass courter too but with his recent form and strokes + being less prone to faults, I see him as the fav here.

$500 on Michelle Larcher de Brito ML @1.47

$300 on Marsel İlhan @1.53

-$150
+$235
+$159
=$244

[kenz]

Total:+$5,794.45

[Semper Fidelis]

Great job Kenz! Benny ended up screwing me out of my Over play with Querry, and I never put anything on Chardy/Lopez, although I may now since it won't start until tomorrow! Lol Just don't know who will benefit more from the extra day off. As far as the other games that were interrupted in-play, do you think Melzer would be worth a stab since it's just one set? He's played Verdasco close so far, and figured there might be some value in taking him at + money. I just don't know how the weather and extra time will affect the players.

Perhaps it's just best to stay away altogether since they already started - I still can't get over being royally screwed by Niculescu a few weeks ago. She was up 6-2, 3-0 over Ormaechea when rain delayed their match, and when it continued the next day Ormaechea came back and won the match. Niculescu was the final leg of a huge parlay, and the worst part was I went to place a small wager on Ormaechea the next morning as a hedge because she was +950, but it started back before I could confirm the wager, and I knew I was screwed (5dimes only offers live wagering on the last couple rounds of tourneys). Anyway, as you can see that is still on my mind (payout on the parlay was nearly $2000).

Very much looking forward to your thoughts and advice on tomorrow's picks! Thanks for all you contribute to this forum, and keep up the amazing work my friend!

[kenz]

I would skip Verdasco/Melzer. Too bad for Niculescu bet, thats whole a lotta money WTA can easily drive someone insane

I have a small tb pending for Lopez/Chardy and gave some time to understand what Lopez is thinking. He played too much last week, he played max games. In 2013 he played half of the week before Eastbourne and then won Eastbourne. This year his calendar is tighter. If he grinds his teeth, Chardy - Querrey - Gasquet/Istomin is very beatable for him but he probably needs to play 6-8 close sets at least 5 tiebreaks. The prize for playing all this before the only slam in his best surface is around 90,000 Euros. If he wins 2 games in Wimbledon I am pretty sure he will earn close to this money. Lopez is not very physical and a guy who looks like he needs rest.

I still feel he will win and may play some on Lopez ML too, but cant disregard these things flowing in my mind. Wished F. Lopez would tweet something like "I am here to win this"

[kenz]

$75 on Zheng +1.5 sets @1.50

[kenz]

$75 on Zheng +1.5 sets @1.50

+$37.50

[manwiss]

Nice bet

[kenz]

Nice bet

thanks manwiss

[kenz]

$50 on F. Lopez ML @1.71

[kenz]

Small play

$75 on tiebreak in Chardy - Lopez @1.57

$50 on F. Lopez ML @1.71

Should know better, useless shit

-$75
+$35.50

[kenz]

Gonna pound F. Lopez against Querrey today. The game will be played after Keys and Gasqet games. Line not settled yet

[kenz]

$300 on Joao Sousa ML @1.95

[kenz]

$1500 on Feliciano Lopez ML @1.77

[zec]

Gonna pound F. Lopez against Querrey today. The game will be played after Keys and Gasqet games. Line not settled yet

Not concerned he might be tired with his 2nd match of the day when you add everything else from the last 10 days?

[kenz]

Taking my chances and I like them.

Mahut did it harder last year, both singles and doubles and also had rain delays in a grass tourney he won.

Sam has a strong first serve and forehand but he should have trouble on critical points and he is not that great on strokes.

@Wimbledon F. Lopez has an easy draw on paper, Sugita - Falla/Ante Pavic - Nieminen/Delbonis/Smethurst/Isner looks like a nice road to the 4th round. There should be day off between 1st and 2nd round and possible 2nd and 3rd. Looks like he can add another trophy + 90,000 Euros here.

[Gio21]

he beat chardy pretty handily match only lasted 1:04..I don't think fatigue should be an issue

[kenz]

$300 on Joao Sousa ML @1.95

$1500 on Feliciano Lopez ML @1.77

-$300
+$1155
=+$855

[kenz]

Total:+$6,647.45

[AceKingHigh]

Made me push a few more units on F.Lopez

[kenz]

$500 on F. Lopez +1.5 sets @1.47

[kenz]

$300 on Agut - Becker over 22.5 @1.87