Cibulkova vs Li Na - In Game Thread

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  • shari91
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-23-10
    • 32661

    #1
    Cibulkova vs Li Na - In Game Thread
    Opening lines at Pinny:

    Li -246
    Cibulkova +230


    I'm on Cibulkova again. If you've watched both women throughout this tourney you'll know that she has been dominating her opponents while Li hasn't always looked impressive. Cibu is a strong, energetic player and when she's hitting her shots as she has been then I believe she's almost unbeatable. Not too concerned about her being overwhelmed by the occasion as Li isn't the most emotionally stable player as it is so I think that will balance out.

    If any of you have futures on Cibu, I'm JEALOUS!!
  • frugalgambler
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-13
    • 3418

    #2
    Originally posted by shari91
    Opening lines at Pinny:

    Li -246
    Cibulkova +230


    I'm on Cibulkova again. If you've watched both women throughout this tourney you'll know that she has been dominating her opponents while Li hasn't always looked impressive. Cibu is a strong, energetic player and when she's hitting her shots as she has been then I believe she's almost unbeatable. Not too concerned about her being overwhelmed by the occasion as Li isn't the most emotionally stable player as it is so I think that will balance out.

    If any of you have futures on Cibu, I'm JEALOUS!!
    I like Cibu as well. I will be hedging the hell out of my Li Na futures; cannot wait to get that line on 5d. I hope it will not come down too much.

    Just note that Cibu has a history of losing big leads: like 5-2, 4-1 or 4-0 in the final sets or while being up 1-0 against good players, like Serena, Aza, Woz. But she seems to be a changed player this year so let's hope she will not do that. Also, Li Na won her only Slam in a tight match against Schiavone, I think she was the fav in 2011. And she has already played in two Aussie Finals as a dog. So I do not see her not taking a set: Sharapova did. After hedging, I might put a little bit on Cibu ATS and/or on 2-1 or on 2+ sets, just for the heck of it.
    Comment
    • suicidekings
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-23-09
      • 9962

      #3
      Couldn't agree more. +230 is a pretty crazy value on the player I think is also the correct side to win. I understand why the 2 time finalist #4 seed is such a big favourite, but anyone laying -250 in this matchup is getting gouged.
      Comment
      • SteveKerrsJunk
        SBR MVP
        • 10-25-13
        • 2706

        #4
        Sorry Shari, but I think Li Na smashes in straight sets. GL to you all.
        Comment
        • Deuce
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 01-12-08
          • 29843

          #5
          Gimme the fukkin Asian
          Comment
          • MagicDiceFlow
            SBR MVP
            • 01-15-12
            • 4585

            #6
            Much as I love my girl Cibu and fortunate that she's made me some very nice money the last few months, I'm sticking to my conviction that Li will win this title. I made a future bet on Li earlier today at only -105 and everything is going as planned. She beat Bouchard so now I get a heavy -260 favorite for only -105.

            Both players are coming in at incredible form and both deserve to be in the final but I truly believe experience will play a major role in this match and Li's experience in slams will become a factor.

            Regardless of who you choose, best of luck everyone. It will be a great final.
            Comment
            • ZetaPsi808
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-18-08
              • 12119

              #7
              shari how much u got on cibulkova ml/spread
              Comment
              • shari91
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-23-10
                • 32661

                #8
                Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                shari how much u got on cibulkova ml/spread
                Only $100 on the ML. I might put a bit more on if Nadal wins tomorrow night but not much more. I've made some decent money the past couple of days and I don't want to piss it all back on crazy women.
                Comment
                • Seaweed
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 01-19-12
                  • 26316

                  #9
                  Nothing to see in this match. Two no-namers
                  Comment
                  • matt1216
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 14683

                    #10
                    alright guys, time to get off the cibulkova bus.... Take a look at her last 3 big wins...

                    sharapova= rusty/injured
                    Halep= soft hitting/solid returner
                    Radwanska=soft hittin excellent returner

                    what do all these girls have in Comon???

                    They all play the balls right back for in position for you to make a mistake... Congrats to cibulkova she's been smashing them home! What's my point?? Now she faces LI NA. This girl returns great and hammers home winners even better. She made Pennetta/Bouchard look stupid... Those girls like cibulkova have as much or more power. The cibulkova you guys have been seeing is a byproduct of soft tennis returners hoping for a mistake, that she used to always make.


                    dont be suprised if LI NA gives her more of her own medicine and destroys her....

                    3rd time to a final, I'm huge on LI NA here guys.
                    Comment
                    • QuangX
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-03-11
                      • 2756

                      #11
                      Gotta take Li Na in this situation, Communist China does not accept failure lol. Pretty high juice though.
                      Comment
                      • theballsflop
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-22-13
                        • 1483

                        #12
                        Li na n shara actually plays pretty similarly... goes for big winners. Li na def more inform n focused coming in tho.
                        Comment
                        • MagicDiceFlow
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-15-12
                          • 4585

                          #13
                          Originally posted by QuangX
                          Gotta take Li Na in this situation, Communist China does not accept failure lol. Pretty high juice though.
                          Comment
                          • Domestic
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-10-09
                            • 6323

                            #14
                            Cibby spread/ML or no play.
                            Comment
                            • shari91
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-23-10
                              • 32661

                              #15
                              Originally posted by QuangX
                              Gotta take Li Na in this situation, Communist China does not accept failure lol. Pretty high juice though.
                              They sure didn't seem to mind when she lost to Clijsters in the Final and cost me a bunch of cash.

                              She's a headcase and she's going down
                              Comment
                              • nicelemons
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-16-14
                                • 131

                                #16
                                I like Cibulkova here, very good value, Li is obviously more experienced in this situation and confidence will be high. Hard to pull the trigger either way but maybe just 25 on Cibulkova ML.
                                Comment
                                • GoBlue77
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-20-11
                                  • 9166

                                  #17
                                  keep betting against cibulkova and see where that gets you...
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    The better play is the over in games
                                    Comment
                                    • BennyBigNuts
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-16-12
                                      • 8700

                                      #19
                                      Had Cibu last match +150 vs. Halep.
                                      She straight up destroyed her from start to finish.
                                      Loved her confidence.
                                      And she talks like she is gonna win this thing.
                                      Def love that price.
                                      Will be tailing with you Shari.
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388179

                                        #20
                                        Lin Na is tough meaning no pushover and playing great tennis the last year or so

                                        She is mentally tough also which is big in tennis

                                        I am passing on this one
                                        Comment
                                        • thirtytwo
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-07-10
                                          • 1784

                                          #21


                                          domi is much hotter

                                          i hope she blows chinese android away
                                          Comment
                                          • shari91
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-23-10
                                            • 32661

                                            #22
                                            I'm actually pleasantly surprised how many people like Cibulkova in this one! Kind of expected to be one of the few backing her. Let's go Dominika!!!

                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                            Lin Na is tough meaning no pushover and playing great tennis the last year or so

                                            She is mentally tough also which is big in tennis

                                            I am passing on this one
                                            Li Na's mentally tough?! As soon as she starts to get pushed in a match she looks like she's going to whip out a gun and shoot her husband in the face. She's a lunatic.

                                            I agree that she's been playing well but if she brings to Cibulkova what she did to the Bouchard match, Cibu's going to steam roll her (although I do think Li will step it up some). She's not going to like getting Cibu's power back at her as she relies on pushing people around the court. I think it's kind of crazy for someone to pass on this price on Cibulkova if they've watched each of the matches these two have played this fortnight.
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388179

                                              #23
                                              Pass

                                              Match is a dog trap

                                              Shari you fall in love with players that look good last few matches i

                                              Radwanska was a simple matchup for her

                                              Na much more powerful and tougher
                                              Comment
                                              • mighty maron
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-20-09
                                                • 4215

                                                #24
                                                GL in your wager.

                                                Li Na seems to do her best in this tournament....

                                                I would take Li but not at that price...
                                                Comment
                                                • shari91
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-23-10
                                                  • 32661

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                                  Pass

                                                  Match is a dog trap

                                                  Shari you fall in love with players that look good last few matches i

                                                  Radwanska was a simple matchup for her

                                                  Na much more powerful and tougher
                                                  If Aggie could handle Azarenka she should've had no problems dealing with Cibulkova. If Cibu can handle Maria, she has a much better chance of winning against Li than the odds imply. I'm not trying to tell anyone to follow me and I already said earlier that I'm not going crazy betting on this one. But from what I've seen I'm very confident that she has a much better chance against Li than 30% and as a gambler I'd be foolish not to make this bet.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MUHerd37
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                    • 12816

                                                    #26
                                                    Cibulkova for me. Good value and she's playing great. Li Na sleep walks in matches from time to time. Cibulkova can make her pay. Hopefully her serve will be on. Can say that with anyone really tho.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • crustyme
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-29-10
                                                      • 16896

                                                      #27
                                                      china girl wins her 2nd major.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #28
                                                        I told you take the over does anyone know what it is on my mobile right now?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shari91
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-23-10
                                                          • 32661

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                                          I told you take the over does anyone know what it is on my mobile right now?
                                                          o/u 21
                                                          Comment
                                                          • face
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-31-11
                                                            • 14740

                                                            #30
                                                            just seems like li na wins easy
                                                            maybe li will get nervous or miss her shots, but if she is on she is way better

                                                            gonna parlay li na with fed
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Russian Rocket
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-02-12
                                                              • 43910

                                                              #31
                                                              Li Na all the way baby....yeah Cibulkova looked unstoppable last night, but Radwanska did not come to play. Li Na is not gonna make that mistake against Cibulkova....that girl is always ready for a war.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Regul8er
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-06-07
                                                                • 10666

                                                                #32
                                                                Not sure if I do anything, but Cibulkova +1.5 sets at -140 yesterday was about the easiest money I've ever made. Broke first serve of the match, and never looked back.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Russian Rocket
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-02-12
                                                                  • 43910

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Regul8er
                                                                  Not sure if I do anything, but Cibulkova +1.5 sets at -140 yesterday was about the easiest money I've ever made. Broke first serve of the match, and never looked back.
                                                                  the easiest money for me was taking Cibulkova 2nd set +110....it was pretty obvious that Radwanska was done at the end of the 1st set
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I have no opinion other than happy to have a +200 dog to hedge on the Li Na future to open the tournament and not have to worry about being right or wrong.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388179

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Li Na is top 10 mentally tough players on womans tour..rest are fragile. I think it goes 3 sets
                                                                      Comment
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