Potro Tursunov

[PharaohUB]

Any chance Potro doesn't give full effort here to rest for the open? Tursunov isn't a bad player and I would imagine wants this match a bit more. I think if he pushes Del Potro early he may fold. Any thoughts/opinion on Turs around +400 right now?

[losschaser]

If Delpo made it this far he is going to want to win the tournament. Why would he want to rest for the open when he can get guaranteed points here ?

[ClutchOnandWin]

Don't underestimate Tursy just because Del Potro's a big name. Tursy is an exceptionally talented, aggressive first strike style shotmaker. He took a set off Del Potro last season, backed the overs and was delighted. I'd give him a 70/30 probability of him doing it again.

[PharaohUB]

If Delpo made it this far he is going to want to win the tournament. Why would he want to rest for the open when he can get guaranteed points here ?

A hell of a lot more money is riding on the open. You win 1 round and it pays better than winning some of these tournaments. You are probably right, but it's just an angle I'm looking at and wanted feedback.

[PharaohUB]

Don't underestimate Tursy just because Del Potro's a big name. Tursy is an exceptionally talented, aggressive first strike style shotmaker. He took a set off Del Potro last season, backed the overs and was delighted. I'd give him a 70/30 probability of him doing it again.

I wish my book had first set betting. Guy likes to start slow.

[suicidekings]

I'm taking Over 21.5 games here. Del Potro won't just lie down, and Tursunov is serving quite well right now. I would think there's a very good potential for a tiebreak set and/or it to go 3 sets.

[ClutchOnandWin]

I'm taking Over 21.5 games here. Del Potro won't just lie down, and Tursunov is serving quite well right now. I would think there's a very good potential for a tiebreak set and/or it to go 3 sets.

I'm gonna take the overs inplay, with a 2-0 or 4-2 lead, or whatever it is for potro in the first set, the overs will be 18.5 or 19.5 lol.

[ClutchOnandWin]

The overs are value for technical reasons more than motivational IMO. Tursy is extremely unprofessional when he wants to be and tanks 25% of his matches on tour I'd say but he is gears for tennis this week. Early signs.

[PharaohUB]

thanks for input guys. going to take the over in this match and stak later tonight