EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

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  • Demonata
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 07-12-11
    • 25829

    #36
    Best Of Luck EP. Happy New Year as well. May the demons bless you.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #37
      1.1.14/Play #7: [ATP BRISBANE] Copil +165
      Take a pot shot on the Romanian whose serve has been popping through qualis and his tight three setter with Sugita. Simon will be playing his first match, so there is always some chance to come out flat as a result. If Copil can use his serve for cheap points to keep out of long rallies with Simon, he may have a shot to sneak out a tie break or take advantage of any shakiness from Simon on his own serve. A plus also for Copil to have already dealt with the weather conditions in match play here too.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #38
        1.1.14/Play #8: [ATP BRISBANE] Hewitt -150
        Certainly you're overpaying on price because Hewitt is playing "at home" in Australia. Still, the motivation factor rests squarely with the Aussie as he faces The Flodonis. Lopez played reasonably well in his opener, but does not have a great track record of being motivated early in the season before the 1st Grand Slam. Hewitt brought in his bud, big lefty Chris Guccione for some practice hits to prep for Lopez's left serve - so he's certainly taking it seriously. Hewitt is feeling as healthy as he probably has to start a season in several years and usually when his health permits - he's worth a go in these early season Aussie tourneys.
        Comment
        • 16johnnymac
          SBR MVP
          • 10-27-10
          • 3499

          #39
          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
          1.1.14/Play #8: [ATP BRISBANE] Hewitt -150
          Certainly you're overpaying on price because Hewitt is playing "at home" in Australia. Still, the motivation factor rests squarely with the Aussie as he faces The Flodonis. Lopez played reasonably well in his opener, but does not have a great track record of being motivated early in the season before the 1st Grand Slam. Hewitt brought in his bud, big lefty Chris Guccione for some practice hits to prep for Lopez's left serve - so he's certainly taking it seriously. Hewitt is feeling as healthy as he probably has to start a season in several years and usually when his health permits - he's worth a go in these early season Aussie tourneys.
          Hewitt was -150 now -140
          Comment
          • Bet10Heinekens
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-10-13
            • 10567

            #40
            great call on Copil EPer
            Comment
            • ctny85
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-18-13
              • 188

              #41
              Originally posted by 16johnnymac
              Hewitt was -150 now -140

              -160 at my local now. he gonna win. EP called it in
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #42
                1.2.14/Play #9: [ATP CHENNAI] Paire -120
                Gut call more than anything on the Frog. Garcia-Lopez had a routine straight sets win in his opener, while Paire has been sitting and waiting with the bye. He's been bromancing with Wawrinka again, playing doubles as they lost a tough three setter. He says he has worked hard on his mental toughness this off-season to cut down on the hot headedness/racquet breaking. He played well in this tournament a year ago and has a favorable draw. Garcia-Lopez can be tricky, but on this surface he has rarely put it together against the more talented players on tour. Paire is in that category, but needs to start showing consistency to be taken seriously.
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #43
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  1.2.14/Play #9: [ATP CHENNAI] Paire -120
                  Gut call more than anything on the Frog. Garcia-Lopez had a routine straight sets win in his opener, while Paire has been sitting and waiting with the bye. He's been bromancing with Wawrinka again, playing doubles as they lost a tough three setter. He says he has worked hard on his mental toughness this off-season to cut down on the hot headedness/racquet breaking. He played well in this tournament a year ago and has a favorable draw. Garcia-Lopez can be tricky, but on this surface he has rarely put it together against the more talented players on tour. Paire is in that category, but needs to start showing consistency to be taken seriously.
                  Pear is going down.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #44
                    Down to the pay window mother fukka
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #45
                      And by that I mean he is on the take and could suffer vaginal cramping and lose
                      Comment
                      • ctny85
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-18-13
                        • 188

                        #46
                        EP, nice work here. On paire also. Lets get it. You think Mayer takes care of business vs hanescu today? already on it small, just wondering what you think. Keep it up.
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #47
                          Congrat's!
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #48
                            I would think Mayer survives, but he isa flake.
                            Comment
                            • ClutchOnandWin
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-10-13
                              • 1196

                              #49
                              It's typical that people will jump all over Mayer's win yesterday against Murray. I just want people to be aware that Florian is a showpony player and a player for the big occasion and a player that plays that standard/level of tennis he did against murray when he has nothing to lose and is inspired at playing a grandslam champion.

                              A few years ago he did what he did to Murray, against Nadal and brought out his box of tricks, he advanced through and faced Feliciano Lopez the following round and lost easily.

                              @1.38, you are running the risk of this happening again. Everytime a player beats a player with a grandslam title, they're fade material the next round, unless they, themselves are a top 20 established player.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #50
                                1.2.14/Play #10: [ATP BRISBANE] Cilic -130
                                The Croat has looked refreshed from last year's suspension and his new team around him has worked hard to improve his serve and mental toughness. Goran Ivanesivic is the main man in his camp now and his work on Cilic's serve has been noticeable already. Goran said the idea of this tournament was to get Cilic prepped and then adequately rested for the Aussie Open, but that he "wouldn't be mad if he won it" this week. His serve has been dominating so far and he'll need more of that against Nishikori who will test him.
                                Comment
                                • matt1216
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 14683

                                  #51
                                  If u look at the surface speed this favors Cilic huge. At French 1000 event nishikori would probably win
                                  Comment
                                  • ClutchOnandWin
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-10-13
                                    • 1196

                                    #52
                                    Good luck bro. Just tuning in myself. My own personal opinion is this is the biggest coin toss ever and whilst it's quite black and white who the surface favours more, I don't particularly believe Nishikori is that much better on slow hard than faster hard. Some matches are just too tough to call and are better left alone in my view and this is one of them. Nishikori is also defensively a better mover than Dimitrov, so we'll have to see. Gun to head, I'd say Nishikori, but respect the way Cilic's been serving.

                                    Best of luck and keep your useful, researching and inside knowledge, which I have no idea how you get, coming. lol
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #53
                                      After reading a little bit ... I try.

                                      1.2.14/Play #11: [WTA BRISBANE] Jankovic +175
                                      Vaginal League. Janks loves the heat. Azarenka went Spazarenka for a shade against Voegele. Not a ton of thought, just think the meltdown yesterday could be a precursor.
                                      Comment
                                      • TheMLBKing
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-20-13
                                        • 1129

                                        #54
                                        EP, I have a federer/serena/wawrinka ML parlay. What do you think?
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #55
                                          Seems pretty safe, can't be much of a payout though.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #56
                                            Overall Profit Margin: +4.70

                                            FYI ... I don't keep a won-loss record, just the profits or lack thereof for the picks. All my picks are risking one unit or to win one unit, so I don't skew the profit margin with larger plays. Any futures plays are never added into this either because that's a separate project for me. Continued luck to ya.
                                            Comment
                                            • dRavidC
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-11
                                              • 2516

                                              #57
                                              nice work ep! good to be in the positive early on in the season.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #58
                                                1.4.14/Play #12: [ATP BRISBANE] Federer-Chardy Over 20.5 [+100]
                                                Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 01-04-14, 01:30 AM. Reason: Adjusted total
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #59
                                                  1.4.14/Play #13: [ATP BRISBANE] Federer-Hewitt Over 21.5 [+110]
                                                  Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 01-05-14, 01:03 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • suicidekings
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                    • 9962

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                    1.4.14/Play #13: [ATP BRISBANE] Federer-Hewitt Over 22 [+100]
                                                    Same here. This one seems like a no-brainer to me, with these guys knowing each other as well as they do, with Lleyton being in good form and at home.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #61
                                                      I don't know about no brainer, if Hewitt is flat - Roger could roll. Cannot see it happening the other way, but it's got a good chance I hope. Federer's serve has worked well with this quick surface. Hewitt's has been a bit better than usual - needs to stay that way.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #62
                                                        Got a better deal even - o21.5 @ +110
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #63
                                                          And I say all that and Fed comes out cold. Hewitt will need to donate something back now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #64
                                                            Shocking start really. Hewitt steamrolling through this opening set now. Be lucky to see Fed get two games and keep a 2nd set TB on the table as a fail safe if Hewitt wins in straights. Wonder if the delayed start fukked Fed's prep up. Would not think an old pro gets rattled, but who knows at this stage of his career.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #65
                                                              Well three sets or bust now. Not overly confident after that set.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sluggy1616
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-21-13
                                                                • 1317

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                Well three sets or bust now. Not overly confident after that set.
                                                                Unless Feds completely lays down, Hewitt is prone to choke.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • suicidekings
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                                  • 9962

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Fed's got his composure back now, it would seem. The way these points are playing out in the second set, I'd be kind of surprised if this doesn't go to three sets.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Tense set. Feddy almost blew it, but got it done in the end.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • STAY STRONG
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-07-10
                                                                      • 2498

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Cash the over
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sluggy1616
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-21-13
                                                                        • 1317

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                                        Unless Feds completely lays down, Hewitt is prone to choke.
                                                                        And the choke. I hope Hewitt can somehow hang on in the 3rd.

                                                                        Cash the ticket!!!
                                                                        Comment
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