Matts Tennis Thread 2nd Edition....

zec · 02-28-14, 08:37 AM

Matt, help me understand how odds can be higher for Delbonis to win at least 12 games than to win a match?

druss117 · 02-28-14, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by spaceghost22

Pinnacle does

Cool thanks!!

don't have an account there

kenz · 02-28-14, 08:50 AM

Originally posted by zec

Matt, help me understand how odds can be higher for Delbonis to win at least 12 games than to win a match?

Think of Serena playing Madison Keys

For Serena to win at least 12 games, Keys must win a set or lose a set where she won 5 games. Hence Serena towin at least12 games is more difficult than Serena to win a match

zec · 02-28-14, 08:53 AM

Originally posted by kenz

Think of Serena playing Madison Keys

For Serena to win at least 12 games, Keys must win a set or lose a set where she won 5 games. Hence Serena towin at least12 games is more difficult than Serena to win a match

Um, 6+6=12; opponent doesn't have to win shit.

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by zec

Matt, help me understand how odds can be higher for Delbonis to win at least 12 games than to win a match?

Lol I don't know bud, either it was a lucky find or delbonis is losing in straight sets and the books are laughing at me. I still like delbonis here tho

kenz · 02-28-14, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by zec

Um, 6+6=12; opponent doesn't have to win shit.

If the total is 11.5 than it should be an error

I thought it was 12. My bookie has 12.5 over @1.81 Marathonbet

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 10:35 AM

Originally posted by kenz

If the total is 11.5 than it should be an error

I thought it was 12. My bookie has 12.5 over @1.81 Marathonbet

It was 11.5 last night it's 12 now

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 10:37 AM

Nevermind it's gone now. I think Montanes will be to tired to win this match

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

ATP 27th Feb:

Dimitrov ML 1.83 x 5 units

Simon +4.5 games 1.95 x 5 units

Simon ML 5.25 x 1 unit

Woulda been nice if Simon didn't shit the bed.

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

ATP 1st March:

Berdych/kohl Under 21.5 games 1.95 x 7 units

Federer +4.5 games 1.83 x 5 units

Fed ML 4.25 x 1 unit

*i originally thought Kohlscriber here but upon further review, I believe the talent diffrent from Jarziri to Berdych will be a huge shock to kohls system. Berdych has played well, I like to ride the hot hand.
The terminator hasn't really been tested since his wawa loss at the AUS open. I think Fed may set the pace early, hopefully he hangs on

Then again I'm happy Fed came thru. Nothing wrong with the Berdych loss. He had the breaks that were need, they just came too late in the match

Metaphor · 02-28-14, 12:10 PM

Thanks Matt, I took Fed when it was 1-1 sets.. I really needed Fed to come through, it has been a horrible week for my bankroll and confidence.

Cappinpicks · 02-28-14, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

im willing to bet your French Cappin. All those ring French vaginas should be thrown off a cliff

lol no but simon is the best

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 12:19 PM

Challenger 28th Feb:

Pospisil Jr. 2.25 x 2 units

professionalAD · 02-28-14, 12:20 PM

tailing u on monaco over. got it at 21.5, lets go bro!!!!!

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 12:21 PM

fck me, I'm looking at the books and everything leads to a 2-0 set win for Monaco :/

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 12:23 PM

ATP 28th Feb:

Monaco -3 1.83 x 2 units

Cappinpicks · 02-28-14, 12:24 PM

hurry monaco all in loserenzi is worthless

Cappinpicks · 02-28-14, 12:25 PM

Pospi again over Muller and dust?

muller a big f\*g

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 12:27 PM

WTA 28th Feb:

Shedova 1st set ML 2.80 x 2 units

professionalAD · 02-28-14, 12:39 PM

we got this matt, dw about the books. im feelin a three setter or two close sets. monaco loves 3 setters

druss117 · 02-28-14, 12:49 PM

Matt , I don't know if you remember but before the tournament started I had asked you about the Federer Future bet? Now that he's in the final is it always advisable to hedge ? Or should I let the bet stand!?

professionalAD · 02-28-14, 01:50 PM

i check the score on my phone, thought i lost looked at the wrong score lmao lets go monaco 2 more games!!!!!! hahaha

professionalAD · 02-28-14, 01:57 PM

uno masssss

professionalAD · 02-28-14, 02:06 PM

anddd we winners today!!!!!

fitguy67 · 02-28-14, 02:45 PM

the one thing i hate more than anything as the "kiss of death" to a comeback is...to win the second set in a tie-break (which unfortunately "rewards" you with serving first to start the deciding set)...

then, after heroically forcing a deciding set...you proceed to demonstrate the dictionary definition of "let down" by coughing up a break in your very-first service game of the final set...

think Anderson vs. Cilic a few days ago...and now Juan Fukking Monaco

update: luckily, while i typed that...it seems Paolo felt sorry for Juan...and coughed it up too...

then...Monaco gets broken again in game 3...as soon as you drop out of the top 20 ATP...the tennis gets WTA-like

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 02:50 PM

Originally posted by druss117

Matt , I don't know if you remember but before the tournament started I had asked you about the Federer Future bet? Now that he's in the final is it always advisable to hedge ? Or should I let the bet stand!?

Yes, but I think fed gets it done

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 02:52 PM

Monaco just sucks now.his first serve is brutal. I seen Errani with a better first serve

fitguy67 · 02-28-14, 03:02 PM

Monaco is maddening, like watching Errani or Kanepi or some other random highly-ranked WTA broad that just cannot take care of business with opponents they should beat with authority...

new nickname: Juan Monica...or just "Llewinski" for short...

win or lose today, i put Monica where he belongs...along with Errani, Vinci, Kanepi, Suarez-Novarro...

NEVER to be backed as a favorite: pre-game odds of 1.50ish with any of these players mean absolute nothing the way they throw away their service games

Hardcoar · 02-28-14, 03:04 PM

Lorenzi is starting to look old and tired. I can't stand looking at the f*ckface staring at me!
: (

fitguy67 · 02-28-14, 03:27 PM

Monica (aka. Llewinski) is now firmly on my "NEVER back as a favorite" list...with the two fold-like-a-tent spaghetti-eaters (Errani, Vinci), Kanepi and Suarez-Novarro...anyone care to add to my list to save me the anguish/expense of having to find out the hard way?

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 04:26 PM

any French fa gg can be added

fitguy67 · 02-28-14, 04:43 PM

re: the French, it goes without saying...u don't even have to differentiate male or female...cuz they're all loaded with generous amounts of ESTFE (extra-strength tent-folding estrogen) as standard equipment that comes along with their French citizenship...

only one that doesn't QUITE fit the mold is Cornet...she tends to be scrappy...if she keeps it up, they'll take away her citizenship

Cappinpicks · 02-28-14, 05:55 PM

monaco is a real scrub but that line was too good to be true

matt1216 · 02-28-14, 08:35 PM

ATP/Challenger 28th Feb:

Soeda ML 2.15 x 5 units

Murray Over 12.5 games won 1.74 x 5 units

If Murray takes the loss it's in 3 sets. I fancy Dimitrovs chances tonight. If there's a time for him to win it's when Murray is in maybe 80% of his original form

matt1216 · 03-01-14, 03:56 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

ATP/Challenger 28th Feb:

Soeda ML 2.15 x 5 units

Murray Over 12.5 games won 1.74 x 5 units

If Murray takes the loss it's in 3 sets. I fancy Dimitrovs chances tonight. If there's a time for him to win it's when Murray is in maybe 80% of his original form

Cant believe Soeda, up 5-3 serving for the set and shits the bed. Murray/Dimitrov came thru atleast