You can get Serbia to win at -204 at pinnacle, while you can get Czech Republic for +230 to win under the Tennis Future section at Heritage. Not much, but free $$$
Title is wrong it's -204/+230
gaebiskon
SBR Wise Guy
03-10-12
869
#2
thanks for sharing
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frugalgambler
SBR MVP
05-30-13
3418
#3
I am guessing Tipsarevic will not play or will play with an unhealed injury for Pinnacle to drop the odds from -300 to about -200. 5dimes removed that option altogether.
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poet
SBR Wise Guy
08-11-13
796
#4
Alright guys, I bought the Czech for 1 grand at +225. Let's get a discussion going because my intention here is to hedge. I'd never risk that much on the likes of Birdshit no matter how likely he was to win. If Tips does not play what are the Czechs chances of winning the two matches against his replacement? And if you think the singles matches will end in a tie (with Djoker winning his two and the Czechs the other two) and it will comes down to doubles, what do you think the odds will be for that match? I guess I'm just trying to figure out if I should hedge before the tournament starts or wait for a better opportunity during the middle of the tournament.
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frugalgambler
SBR MVP
05-30-13
3418
#5
I have no line for the Davis Cup. And even if I had I would not bet on it right now since there is no info on Tipsarevic. Berdych actually won the Davis Cup with Stepanek. They are both good Davis Cup players. This is not a tournament but a best of 5 so each match can be a deciding match. I do not see how you will be able to hedge easily. If Tipsarevic is injured, and that is a big if, it will come down to the doubles match, which appears to be a coinflip. If not, Djoker wins two and Tipsarevic should beat Stepanek at home and Serbia wins.
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tipsadontlikehim
SBR MVP
11-14-13
2569
#6
Serbia odds was 1.35 or something back in september, now 1.58 on Pinnacle
Troicki will play ?
ok just kidding
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tipsadontlikehim
SBR MVP
11-14-13
2569
#7
I'm surprised Serbia chose clay... let's suppose Tipsa plays, playing Stepanek on clay would be better for him ... ok last year he needed 8/6 in the fifth on clay but Stepanek 2013 has been declining big time
On fast hardcourt i honestly like Stepanek chances
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MiddleMan
SBR Wise Guy
05-26-13
673
#8
I believe news has just filtered through that Tipsarevic won't play. Line movement is going crazy. Odds were out to $1.65 on Serbia on Pinnacle before the market went offline. A lot of agencies around still offering $3+ on Czech.
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tipsadontlikehim
SBR MVP
11-14-13
2569
#9
tipsa is a wimp
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MiddleMan
SBR Wise Guy
05-26-13
673
#10
$1.72 now on Sportsbet.
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addictedto
SBR MVP
07-03-08
1935
#11
Hey guys, it seems Dusan Lajovic will be playing instead of Tipsi. Lajovic is not that bad and he played a lot on hard recent weeks. Imo he got some chances against Stepanek.
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poet
SBR Wise Guy
08-11-13
796
#12
OK, now I'm confused. Will the matches be on hard court or clay? One guy here suggests clay.
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addictedto
SBR MVP
07-03-08
1935
#13
Originally posted by poet
OK, now I'm confused. Will the matches be on hard court or clay? One guy here suggests clay.
You got Internet right? Go to daviscup.com
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poet
SBR Wise Guy
08-11-13
796
#14
Originally posted by addictedto
You got Internet right? Go to daviscup.com
Actually, no. I'm a shaman in the Andes who is telepathically channeling your threads. So can you help a brother out?
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tipsadontlikehim
SBR MVP
11-14-13
2569
#15
it's indoor hardcourt mate, i was just saying i'm surprised they didn't chose clay to neutralize stepanek since Vesely is a very good clay player
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poet
SBR Wise Guy
08-11-13
796
#16
Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
it's indoor hardcourt mate, i was just saying i'm surprised they didn't chose clay to neutralize stepanek since Vesely is a very good clay player
Thank you, tipsadontlikehim. I will make an offering to the gods on your behalf. One last question about your name. Do you mean you don't like Tipsa (as in Tipsa: don't like him.) Or do you mean, "Tipsa doesn't like him," in which case who is "him"?
old story ! tipsa...idon'tlikehim! used to don't like this guy for retiring all the time !! now i actually don't mind him but i've been using this nickname on old forums so i kept it
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poet
SBR Wise Guy
08-11-13
796
#18
Originally posted by frugalgambler
I have no line for the Davis Cup. And even if I had I would not bet on it right now since there is no info on Tipsarevic. Berdych actually won the Davis Cup with Stepanek. They are both good Davis Cup players. This is not a tournament but a best of 5 so each match can be a deciding match. I do not see how you will be able to hedge easily. If Tipsarevic is injured, and that is a big if, it will come down to the doubles match, which appears to be a coinflip. If not, Djoker wins two and Tipsarevic should beat Stepanek at home and Serbia wins.
Well Frug I can hedge and did hedge but my dilemma is not over. I've already hedged against any potential losses, so the only question that remains is, do I hedge even more so that I at least win 500 (no matter who wins) or let my bet on the Czechs ride and see if I can win 1200, if they somehow pull this out? In other words, what are the Czech's chances here, in the singles and doubles match? Thanks.
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tipsadontlikehim
SBR MVP
11-14-13
2569
#19
Originally posted by poet
Well Frug I can hedge and did hedge but my dilemma is not over. I've already hedged against any potential losses, so the only question that remains is, do I hedge even more so that I at least win 500 (no matter who wins) or let my bet on the Czechs ride and see if I can win 1200, if they somehow pull this out? In other words, what are the Czech's chances here, in the singles and doubles match? Thanks.
Djokovic should bring 2 points
The Czech should win the doubles, Stepanek + Berdych, very strong team.
Berdych should beat Lajovic, so it's 2/2
Deciding point between Stepanek (or Rosol ?) and Lajovic.... so yeah I like the Czech chances really.
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poet
SBR Wise Guy
08-11-13
796
#20
Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
Djokovic should bring 2 points
The Czech should win the doubles, Stepanek + Berdych, very strong team.
Berdych should beat Lajovic, so it's 2/2
Deciding point between Stepanek (or Rosol ?) and Lajovic.... so yeah I like the Czech chances really.