Matt's updated picks

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by Jago2008

Oh you are on Cuevas!! I was just going to ask you about that, ironic.

	1021 Pablo Cuevas		-155
6:30PM		1022 Maximo Gonzalez		+115

you don't see any fatigue after winning his first challenger event?

no he had a retirement in there by his opponent. He's only ex play a few in a row. He's clearly up there with Pella G in clay court status maybe even better.

**Jago2008** · 10-29-13, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

no he had a retirement in there by his opponent. He's only ex play a few in a row. He's clearly up there with Pella G in clay court status maybe even better.

Oh ok I see your post earlier in the thread, my bad, sometimes hard to see your picks amongst all the posts.

GL Matt, I'll be on Cuevas as well.

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 03:28 PM

Good luck to u as well

**BankHead** · 10-29-13, 03:41 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Lol, saved by retirement lol wow

hahah my site didnt pay me, they said cuz he retired after 2 sets the wager stands

. what a great start to the day lol

**losschaser** · 10-29-13, 03:43 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Ya they recalculate odds without youhzny. So all yur other plays must still hit

Thanks Matt thats even better

**Hardcoar** · 10-29-13, 03:50 PM

Maximum offense, but learn what rules you're betting under before betting for f*ck's sake!

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Maximum offense, but learn what rules you're betting under before betting for f*ck's sake!

Ya, I hear ya on that one.

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 04:29 PM

Guys, jesse Lavine @ 1500 pacific time. Steve Johnson hasnt played well. Very winnable for Lavine. Part of my challenger play to start the day

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 06:12 PM

Challenger Play#13

Kokkanakis 2.50 ML x 2 units

Gl

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 06:32 PM

Challenger Play#14

W U D + Evans 2.10 x 4 units

Gl

**Rustyglobes** · 10-29-13, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Challenger play #14

** D ML x 1.42 x 12 units****Large Wager****

Gl

sorry matt who is the play in this pick?? D as in Duckworth??

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 07:00 PM

Woo D korea

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 07:08 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Plays for Oct 29th

Sandgren+Young 1.50 x 20 units****Large Wager****

P. Cuevas 1.62 ML x 14 units****Large Wager****

Gl

Hit both large plays so far.

**Jago2008** · 10-29-13, 07:09 PM

Cash Cuevas, Maximo crumbled in the 2nd set

.

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 07:22 PM

My challenger record is misleading. I do a lot of large wagers with challengers

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 07:57 PM

Challenger play # 15

W U D ML 1.42 x 14 units****Large Wager****

Gl

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 10:52 PM

I will update record on completion of Korea matches

**reddZor** · 10-29-13, 11:19 PM

anymore matt?

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 11:36 PM

Not until the morning. Ill post in a hour or two

**matt1216** · 10-29-13, 11:50 PM

YTD:

ATP : 72-76 +1450$ 1-1 -600$ day** tursonov loss -1000$ fck
Challenger: 45-63 -4500$ 4-3 +300$*** 1 pending play(Evans)

Large Wagers: 48-25 +11900$ 3-0 +2400$ today

decent day, I will post plays later. 1 pending play, Evans Korea.

Gl

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 12:08 AM

Plays for 30th Oct Paris

Dodig 1.95 ML x 3 units
Cilic 3.75 ML x 4 units
Simon 1.67 ML x 10 units****Large Wager****
Hass+Federer 2.00 x 4 units
Raonic+Simon 2.10 x 3 units

**Notes:

im not to sure about the Isner match. People are noticing the Polish man starting to win, but seems like a good setup play. Isner in a tight finish

Delpotro/Cilic : Delpotro is tired. Question is does he want Paris or London. He dosnt have has for both. He looked tired for Fed match. If he dosnt retire I think he tanks Cilic match. Too add, Cilic isn't a bad player and he has lots of energy. THE guy will give it his all for some wins befor the season is complete.

I like Simon here. Mahut has played lots lately plus mainly challengers. He beat Dolgopolov but I'm not taking that match into effect. Dolgo is too hard to gauge. Simon has now had time too rest. I think Simon tanked vs Falla to get some needed rest. Last tournament for Simon. He should be rested enough.

Gl

**ohmyyikes** · 10-30-13, 12:30 AM

No challenger plays really hurt me today with the Tursonov loss. FK.

Why is Morita the dog? That says alot with the line...

**ohmyyikes** · 10-30-13, 12:31 AM

Why is Haas the fav again? Just lost to Kohl last week in 3 sets...don't understand.

**Djohns04** · 10-30-13, 12:35 AM

BoL Matt ! Really glad to see you on Simon..That was the first play that stood out to me. I was trying to find anything regarding the injury he had.. He did get run off the courts pretty badly the last two matches. I'm assuming he was able to heal a groin strain in a month and he's all good now

**frugalgambler** · 10-30-13, 12:37 AM

Are you sure Simon is not injured or just exhausted ? I think the odds would have been much higher in Simon's favor otherwise. Under normal conditions, this is more like a -250 for Simon match. These higher-ranked dudes get points and prize money just for showing up.

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Are you sure Simon is not injured or just exhausted ? I think the odds would have been much higher in Simon's favor otherwise. Under normal conditions, this is more like a -250 for Simon match. These higher-ranked dudes get points and prize money just for showing up.

Simon played bad his last match. Mahut upset dolgo so the odds are where they should be in retrospect to the form. Mahut has played a shit ton.. More than Simon. I think Simon was being Simon and just sanbagged his last 2 matches to rest. Last tourney of the year. I think he try's here.

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by ohmyyikes

Why is Haas the fav again? Just lost to Kohl last week in 3 sets...don't understand.

Kohscriber was up and down vs seppi. Both these guys tried giving away the match. If Hass try's I think he wins this

**ohmyyikes** · 10-30-13, 01:04 AM

Such a tough sport to cap esp when its not a major tourney. Its almost like guessing to see who shows up. Might have to join you with Simon.

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 01:12 AM

Originally posted by ohmyyikes

Such a tough sport to cap esp when its not a major tourney. Its almost like guessing to see who shows up. Might have to join you with Simon.

Other than dolgo Mahut has played nobody but challengers. I'm willing to bet most will try muhut here, because Simon hasnt played wel his last two matches. Simon really hasnt played at all lately. He had 1 run. About a month half worth

**frugalgambler** · 10-30-13, 01:20 AM

This is actually a pretty major tourney, but it is also the end of the year. Players with injuries might just try to tank and get some rest before flying to Australia (and most guys are playing with some sort of injuries by now). I get your logic Matt, but I am just not trusting Simon in this spot. GL on your plays, with you on Cilic.

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 01:27 AM

I also have a couple large challenger plays tomorrow. I will post as we near match time

Gl

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 01:31 AM

FYI this is mahuts 16th match last 38 days and that dosnt include doubles.

simon has played 15th match last 120 days.

**Jago2008** · 10-30-13, 01:33 AM

Matt do you think the total is correct between Ferrer and Rosol @ 20.5, seems books believe Ferrer will roll over Rosol again, I don't know @ 20.5 seems like another straight set victory for Ferrer, but he's had some recent 3 setters with the likes of Gulbis, Dimitrov and Janowicz differences in talent, maybe I should avoid this total alltogether ha.

**BennyBigNuts** · 10-30-13, 02:24 AM

Simon was my top play today and had already bet, but when I saw you're on him I added some extra jelly to it.

I'm also on
Fognini +200 and +3.5 -110
Del potro -3.5 -110
Almagro -115

Pinny has Almagro, you're on the other side lol. I made my bets on my own though other than pumping up my simon straight play just now.

Let's cash this matty!!

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 02:26 AM

Let's do this