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  • makman
    SBR MVP
    • 10-31-10
    • 1019

    #17536
    Not hedging and regretting is always a bigger pain in the ass than hedging and regretting. Success comes when you tame your greed especially in live betting
    Comment
    • SirtySree
      SBR MVP
      • 12-19-13
      • 2370

      #17537
      Originally posted by makman
      Not hedging and regretting is always a bigger pain in the ass than hedging and regretting. Success comes when you tame your greed especially in live betting
      I almost purely do live betting only and personally from my experience, the cost of hedging is greater than that of bad beats. That's just from my experience anyways, I didn't construct a massive experiment or anything like that to prove it. Only thing hedging really does is saves you from making bad bets and getting mad after bad beats, again just in my opinion.

      Also with a lot of books now making that cashout feature, I would assume it is because it's profitable for them for ppl to cash out. Just like how most books are adding like parlay bonuses now for higher amount of bets as that's seen as profitable to them.
      Last edited by SirtySree; 03-05-15, 06:03 AM.
      Comment
      • SirtySree
        SBR MVP
        • 12-19-13
        • 2370

        #17538
        Also in other news, really liking this Zynga kid. Way under valued by books with some nice wins late last year.

        Was @10+ against Cagnina who is a beast in ITF level but has started the year poorly. Didn't pull the trigger on the bet though but I did hit Zynga the other day after he got bagelled in the 1st set and was @7.
        Comment
        • makman
          SBR MVP
          • 10-31-10
          • 1019

          #17539
          Originally posted by SirtySree
          I almost purely do live betting only and personally from my experience, the cost of hedging is greater than that of bad beats. That's just from my experience anyways, I didn't construct a massive experiment or anything like that to prove it. Only thing hedging really does is saves you from making bad bets and getting mad after bad beats, again just in my opinion.

          Also with a lot of books now making that cashout feature, I would assume it is because it's profitable for them for ppl to cash out. Just like how most books are adding like parlay bonuses now for higher amount of bets as that's seen as profitable to them.
          Neither i did any experiment, i just compare the regret. I am not sure which would be better in the long run.

          For the cashout and parlay encouragement of the books, i also had some suspicions like, "if they are promoting, it is for their favor not mine???" But then came to this conclusion;
          bookmakers make money as long as they are able keep certain percentage of the money on one side, and certain percentage on the other side. These kind of interesting toys like cashout, is attracting more people, thus increase the money volume. It means increase in their profit, nothing else.
          So if i can use them in a smart way parlays, cashout, the fantastic betfair lay-back market) to gain increase in my bankroll, why not??
          Comment
          • makman
            SBR MVP
            • 10-31-10
            • 1019

            #17540
            Erik Crepaldi in ITF event in Tunisia.
            Down a set, and down a break in the second. Odds @ +300 live for ML
            Looks like has some value, as recall some of Crepaldi's comebacks.
            Tail at your own risk. I recommend a small amount
            Comment
            • SirtySree
              SBR MVP
              • 12-19-13
              • 2370

              #17541
              Originally posted by makman
              Erik Crepaldi in ITF event in Tunisia.
              Down a set, and down a break in the second. Odds @ +300 live for ML
              Looks like has some value, as recall some of Crepaldi's comebacks.
              Tail at your own risk. I recommend a small amount
              Good luck. Also got him but he seems to be struggling despite the talent gap.
              Comment
              • makman
                SBR MVP
                • 10-31-10
                • 1019

                #17542
                Originally posted by SirtySree
                Good luck. Also got him but he seems to be struggling despite the talent gap.
                GL to you also.
                Yeah unknown event in Tunisia, no live stream. Men tennis on hard court. lots of difficulties for a comeback. Blind bet except for i recall some comebacks of Crepaldi in similar situations
                Comment
                • makman
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-31-10
                  • 1019

                  #17543
                  Besides, Crepaldi broke once in the first set, that is a good sign of hope
                  Comment
                  • makman
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-31-10
                    • 1019

                    #17544
                    Also, Bejtullahi's game is based on serve according to statistics.
                    Also, Break point success percentage for Crepaldi is 100%...These are all good indicators
                    Comment
                    • SirtySree
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-19-13
                      • 2370

                      #17545
                      Hes been good to me with comeback wins. This year and last year, as the favourite on hard court he has won 27/31 matches.
                      Comment
                      • SirtySree
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-19-13
                        • 2370

                        #17546
                        Crepaldi with the break back as i posted the above
                        Comment
                        • makman
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-31-10
                          • 1019

                          #17547
                          Crepaldi breaks back!. Down to -110 from where i bought him @ +300
                          Comment
                          • SirtySree
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-19-13
                            • 2370

                            #17548
                            Smethurst also coming back hopefully. Was @7.5 after getting bagelled but stupid me only got him @3.25 cause I took him early in the 1st set which I rarely do. Hes 39/45 as fav indoors this yr and last.
                            Comment
                            • makman
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-31-10
                              • 1019

                              #17549
                              Originally posted by SirtySree
                              Smethurst also coming back hopefully. Was @7.5 after getting bagelled but stupid me only got him @3.25 cause I took him early in the 1st set which I rarely do. Hes 39/45 as fav indoors this yr and last.
                              GL with Smethurst.
                              I stay out of the players who got bageled. Especially when there is no live footage
                              Comment
                              • makman
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-31-10
                                • 1019

                                #17550
                                Creapldi breaks again
                                Comment
                                • makman
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-31-10
                                  • 1019

                                  #17551
                                  I got to go to gym....
                                  I am cashing out. Crepaldi is @ -300 ...Enough profit for me
                                  Good day on live.... first with the Jani chick, now with Crepaldi
                                  Comment
                                  • SirtySree
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-19-13
                                    • 2370

                                    #17552
                                    Neither made it easy but both winners in the end
                                    Comment
                                    • Cappinpicks
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-11-10
                                      • 14986

                                      #17553
                                      Barrere was so damn easy, looks like he should have been the -1100 favorite.
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #17554
                                        I'm gonna be sad if Pear retires before the conclusion of 1:st.
                                        Comment
                                        • w@lt
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-08-10
                                          • 2594

                                          #17555
                                          Ward ties it up after being 2 sets down.
                                          Comment
                                          • w@lt
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-08-10
                                            • 2594

                                            #17556
                                            Serve is ONLY think Isner has going now (or always). If Ward can just get into rallies on Isner's serve, he can take this.
                                            Comment
                                            • w@lt
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-08-10
                                              • 2594

                                              #17557
                                              Isner is soo bad outside of serve.
                                              Comment
                                              • kenz
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-09-12
                                                • 4879

                                                #17558
                                                And 5th set has no tiebreak Someone needs to break
                                                Comment
                                                • fitguy67
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-13-11
                                                  • 5082

                                                  #17559
                                                  classic "battle of holds = battle of wills" ATP...just 3 breaks in 79 (non-TB) games...
                                                  Last edited by fitguy67; 03-06-15, 06:43 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #17560
                                                    Radwanska down a break @ 4 is a solid live bet, IMO.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                      • 15606

                                                      #17561
                                                      Nope. Nothing doin'...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • necro
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-07-09
                                                        • 1633

                                                        #17562
                                                        check the 2nd set last game flow,lol



                                                        errani had 5 sp and basckinsky blew 6bp
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vinnie Paz
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-27-12
                                                          • 12177

                                                          #17563
                                                          Oh Ana.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SirtySree
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-19-13
                                                            • 2370

                                                            #17564
                                                            Was hoping Ivanovic got broken in the 1st game but didn't happen.

                                                            Was greedy and potentially missed out on a good bet.

                                                            Ivanovic is 14-0 in semi finals and finals on hard court this year + last year as the favourite going in. Her overall record as the favourite is also very impressive in general.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MiddleMan
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-26-13
                                                              • 673

                                                              #17565
                                                              Garcia serving for the match against Ana. Can she do it?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vinnie Paz
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-27-12
                                                                • 12177

                                                                #17566
                                                                Dumb bitch. Now she reveals some mystery injury she played through right
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MiddleMan
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-26-13
                                                                  • 673

                                                                  #17567
                                                                  Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                                                                  Dumb bitch. Now she reveals some mystery injury she played through right
                                                                  First Errani is an idiot and now Ivanovic is a dumb bitch? Why, because you lost your bets?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HatersGonnaHate
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-10-12
                                                                    • 876

                                                                    #17568
                                                                    Originally posted by MiddleMan
                                                                    First Errani is an idiot and now Ivanovic is a dumb bitch? Why, because you lost your bets?
                                                                    Pretty much hahahaha that's the typical response to most on the forum when they lose
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Vinnie Paz
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-27-12
                                                                      • 12177

                                                                      #17569
                                                                      You're right I shouldn't be so vulgar. But errani should've won, Ana never showed up. It is what it is I've moved on. My apologies if I offended anyone
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • HatersGonnaHate
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 09-10-12
                                                                        • 876

                                                                        #17570
                                                                        Did Garcia play good? Bac beat her easily last week but new week.
                                                                        Comment
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