BoDog is giving away $100 freeplays on NFL wagering this week to some players. I didn't check to see if teasers work with this... but if they don't, Arizona +315 is a good way to get most of the equity out of the freeplay.
They also have another interesting promo: If you hit a 10-team parlay, you share a 10k jackpot with anyone else that hit it. Players hit it the first 2 weeks, but no one hit it last week. This week's 10-teamer bonus is now 20k (split among all winners).
If you know only that in 3 weeks there was 1 week with no winner, what is the expected value for the number of parlay winners? We have no clue how many people are playing these, but I'll still go with the Poisson. A Poisson distribution with an expectation of 1.1 would fit this.
If this is true, and the jackpot is 20k, there is a TON of equity betting $5 10-teamers. Just something to look at.
They also have another interesting promo: If you hit a 10-team parlay, you share a 10k jackpot with anyone else that hit it. Players hit it the first 2 weeks, but no one hit it last week. This week's 10-teamer bonus is now 20k (split among all winners).
If you know only that in 3 weeks there was 1 week with no winner, what is the expected value for the number of parlay winners? We have no clue how many people are playing these, but I'll still go with the Poisson. A Poisson distribution with an expectation of 1.1 would fit this.
If this is true, and the jackpot is 20k, there is a TON of equity betting $5 10-teamers. Just something to look at.