DON'T miss out on this one people!

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  • PHyldahl
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-02-10
    • 373

    #1
    DON'T miss out on this one people!
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  • PHyldahl
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-02-10
    • 373

    #2
    cause thursday
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    • PHyldahl
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-02-10
      • 373

      #3
      however
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      • PHyldahl
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-02-10
        • 373

        #4
        still
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        • PHyldahl
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-02-10
          • 373

          #5
          and last round
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          • PHyldahl
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-02-10
            • 373

            #6
            afterall
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            • PHyldahl
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-02-10
              • 373

              #7
              you know what to do
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              • ParlayininHTown
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-27-10
                • 7561

                #8
                No, I don't know what to do. You just made me even more confused about this match ... No bet here IMO.
                Comment
                • BigTimeWinner
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-13-12
                  • 1070

                  #9
                  odds to low to risk on the win for levante. You never know what bilbao will decide to do, what if they play all the players? There is still 2 weeks till the copa del rey final, so why not finish the season with a win?

                  I would feel much more comfortable taking Bolton to win away at Stoke, because QPR will lose to City, with a win against Stoke who don't need the points at all, they will send QPR to the second league, and remain in the first themselves.
                  Comment
                  • PHyldahl
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-02-10
                    • 373

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BigTimeWinner
                    I would feel much more comfortable taking Bolton to win away at Stoke, because QPR will lose to City, with a win against Stoke who don't need the points at all, they will send QPR to the second league, and remain in the first themselves.
                    Comment
                    • ParlayininHTown
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-27-10
                      • 7561

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BigTimeWinner
                      odds to low to risk on the win for levante. You never know what bilbao will decide to do, what if they play all the players? There is still 2 weeks till the copa del rey final, so why not finish the season with a win?

                      I would feel much more comfortable taking Bolton to win away at Stoke, because QPR will lose to City, with a win against Stoke who don't need the points at all, they will send QPR to the second league, and remain in the first themselves.

                      You guys know how EPL goes sometimes. I wouldn't be that surprised if City choked and drew with QPR, because everyone and their relatives, in-laws, friends, etc. etc. will all have their money on City. Seems like the perfect opportunity for something incredible to happen to allow the books to make a major profit.

                      With that said, I like the Bolton pick. They have to go into that match with the assumption that QPR will lose.

                      And honestly, I'm probably going to back City on Sunday. I believe they will win, but the cynic in me tells me to be very, very afraid of assuming City is a lock and laying money on them.

                      Sorry for getting sidetracked. I know this is supposed to be more about the La Liga match.
                      Comment
                      • camelbreath$
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-04-10
                        • 3267

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ParlayininHTown
                        You guys know how EPL goes sometimes. I wouldn't be that surprised if City choked and drew with QPR, because everyone and their relatives, in-laws, friends, etc. etc. will all have their money on City. Seems like the perfect opportunity for something incredible to happen to allow the books to make a major profit.
                        No.
                        Comment
                        • BigTimeWinner
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-13-12
                          • 1070

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ParlayininHTown
                          You guys know how EPL goes sometimes. I wouldn't be that surprised if City choked and drew with QPR, because everyone and their relatives, in-laws, friends, etc. etc. will all have their money on City. Seems like the perfect opportunity for something incredible to happen to allow the books to make a major profit.

                          With that said, I like the Bolton pick. They have to go into that match with the assumption that QPR will lose.

                          And honestly, I'm probably going to back City on Sunday. I believe they will win, but the cynic in me tells me to be very, very afraid of assuming City is a lock and laying money on them.

                          Sorry for getting sidetracked. I know this is supposed to be more about the La Liga match.
                          I doubt there will be many people who'll be on the city ML priced at 1,15 european odds, so i dont see the bookies touching this one. They might win by only one goal, but I am quite sure they will get the 3 POINTS, enough to relegate QPR if Bolton wins away from home at Stoke city
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                          • Punter101
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-19-12
                            • 640

                            #14
                            Bilbao player's have to be tried at this stage. Bielsa forced them to play against Real Madrid and the a couple of days later in the EL Final. Wouldn't be surprised if he rested a few starter's. Either way Levante are solid at home and playing for something.
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                            • PHyldahl
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-02-10
                              • 373

                              #15
                              the bet has a *5 rating, but almost qualified for the highest (*8) like this one:
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                              • BigTimeWinner
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-13-12
                                • 1070

                                #16
                                what website is that? is that what you bet on man city ?
                                Comment
                                • PHyldahl
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-02-10
                                  • 373

                                  #17
                                  pinnaclesports. yes but *8 qualified for more actually, just bailed out on the -1.
                                  Comment
                                  • PHyldahl
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-02-10
                                    • 373

                                    #18
                                    ratings go like this

                                    f = p * r * b

                                    example *3:
                                    p= 50% > 2,00
                                    odds = 2,12
                                    betvalue = 1,06
                                    risc factor = 0,03 (3% of capital)

                                    f* = 0,5*0,03*1,06 = 1,59% of roll
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                                    • PHyldahl
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-02-10
                                      • 373

                                      #19
                                      great odds right before kickoff.
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                                      • PHyldahl
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-02-10
                                        • 373

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by PHyldahl
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                                        • Punter101
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 03-19-12
                                          • 640

                                          #21
                                          Crap it rose by 30 cents before tip off
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                                          • ParlayininHTown
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 06-27-10
                                            • 7561

                                            #22
                                            Sorry for doubting your intelligence and the data that backed your prediction. I am a fool.
                                            Comment
                                            • BigTimeWinner
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 01-13-12
                                              • 1070

                                              #23
                                              Good call, athletic played almost with full team and they lost 3-0 ... would never expect such a thing, but athletic did not need the win so Levante win was the right call ... oh well , good profitable day today anyways
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