Valladolid really shouldnt be losing this one home to a very average Osasuna side. Valladolid have only won 1 game at home this season, but that was against a solid side in Getafe, and their other home matches have been against decent sides like Sevilla, Malaga, Sociedad (all 2-2 draws), and Bilbao and Atletico (both losses). Key influential midfielder Oscar is still injured though which is my main concern, however, Valladolid will have Manucho back from injury for this game, and Ebert back from suspension. The main reason for liking this is that Osasuna's top scorer Oriol Riera (13 apps, 5 goals) is suspended, so in theory they should struggle to score goals in this game (Oriol has scored 50% of Osasuna's total goals so far this season).
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I don't know if it's legit.Comment -
Friday play:
Laval DNB @ -167 at home to Arles...Comment -
Tempted to play Over 3.75 live in Lyngby game at 60 min mark but gonna resistComment -
What do you think about Brisbane Roar DNB (1.58) vs Western Sidney?Comment -
dunno, I'd lean more toward Western Sydney double chance or the draw. Western Sydney have a 100% win record against Roar (won 4 out of 4) so obviously that puts me off backing Roar straight away! There are a few tangibles... Berisha is back for Roar after injury but isnt going to be 100% so might not be as sharp as needed. Stefanutto and Liam Miller still out for Roar. Thing that is preventing me from pulling trigger on Western Sydney double chance is fact that they will be missing top scorer Juric and attacking mid Hersi.Comment -
Tours/Le Havre Over 1 goal 1st half @ +108...
Both sides have scored more goals in 1st half than they have in 2nd half of games so far this season (Tours = 57.4%, and Le Havre = 57.1%). Away side are also without a couple of important defenders in Saiss (10 apps), Louvion (9 apps), & Mombris (9 apps).Comment -
I just took the u4.5 when it was 1-1 early onComment -
Brisbane Roar/Western Sydney Over 4 goals live-in-play @ -172 (2-1, HT)...
Might not be smart as Sydney are without Hersi and Juric, and Ono has gone off because he's not done anything. Haliti will at least add some energy. But they have had chances in this game, Santalab could of got a second with a free header, and Jake Cole had a good chance to equalise just before half-time.Comment -
Probably going to be typical game were there are goals in 1 half and none in the otherComment -
fuuck sake, deflects of crossbar then Cole's overhead kick almost goes in
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Minniecon on for Cole so attacking move at leastComment -
Mistake expecting Syndey to score more without Juric, Ono, and Hersi
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8 corners to 1, 11 shots off target
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this sucks, Haliti just had to kick it in from 6 yards and missed then Yeboah has graet chance at other end
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ha Yeboah with a sublime finish in 91st min! thank fuuuckComment -
Conference plays for tomorrow:
Perhaps I'm getting carried away with the 1st half overs but cant resist these:
Wrexham/Forest Green Over 1 goal 1st half @ -118; (to win 2 units)
Wrexham DNB @ -133 at home to Forest Green; (to win 1 unit)
2 sides that are in the top 5 for highest goals per game average. Forest Green games average 3.42 goals per game (2nd highest in Conference), and Wrexham 3.2 goals per game (5th highest). Perhaps smarter to play the Over 2.75 goals, but Forest Green have scored 59.9% of their total goals in the 1st half of games, and Wrexham have scored 53% in 1st half. There has been at least 1 goal scored in the 1st half of 8 out of 9 games at the Racecourse Ground, and there has also been at least 1 goal scored in the 1st half of every Forest Green away game so far this season.
Hyde/Alfreton Over 1 goal 1st half @ -133; (to win 1 unit)
Another game involving two teams that are usually involved in high scoring games, but both score majority in 1st half of games. Hyde games average 3.5 goals per game (highest in league), while Alfreton have fourth highest at 3.21 goals per game. The home side have scored 64.6% of their total goals in opening 45 mins of games, whilst away side have scored 50.1%.
Braintree Town/Halifax Town Over 1 goal 1st half @ -116; (to win 1 unit)
Away from home Braintree haven't conceded too many goals this season which is why their games haven't had too many goals (2.42 per game - 18th highest), but at home there tends to be a few more goals. Halifax have been outstanding at home this season but dreadful away, and have conceded 21 goals on their travels - joint fourth highest in league. One concern is that Braintree's top scorer Charlie Strutton (7 apps, 6 goals) returned to AFC Wimbledon after his loan spell ended and since then Braintree aren't looking as clinical in final third. They do still have options up front though with Holman (12 apps, 2 goals), Marks (15 apps, 4 goals), Daley (12 apps, 1 goal), Enver-Marum (16 apps, 2 goals), & Cox (14 apps, 2 goals). The home side have scored 50% of their total goals in the 1st half of games, and Halifax have scored 63.9% in 1st half period.
Nuneaton/Chester Over 1 goal 1st half @ -105; (to win 1 unit)
Nuneaton screwed me last wknd as I had over 1 1st half and Welling DNB and ended up being 2-1 to Nuneaton after being 0-0 at HT. Cant resist going for the Over 1 goal 1st half again in this one though! Nuneaton have scored 48.1% of their goals in 1st half, and away side have scored 70.6% in 1st half. 9 out of 10 of Chester's away games have had at least 1 goal in the 1st half, and 8 out of those 9 have had 2 goals or more. Nuneaton have also been conceding goals at home recently - 11 in last 5 games which bodes well. I would go bigger on this but Chester played a 4-5-1 formation in last week's 1-1 home draw against Luton so there is a good chance they that they will do the same again and play more defensive than they have been doing. Nuneaton will also be without striker Andy Brown who has scored 5 goals this season, although they still have Lewis Moult (19 apps, 10 goals), Wes York (18 apps, 4 goals), and young prospect Ladapo who has scored 2 in 2 games.
Salisbury City/Macclesfield Town Over 1 goal 1st half @ -119; (to win 1 unit)
This one is a bit riskier on paper as both teams score more goals in second half period of games. Home side have only scored 34.6% in 1st half (with 50% being in final 15 mins of games), whilst Macclesfield have scored 42.3% in opening 45 mins. But with Connor Jennings banging them in up front for Macclesfield (14 apps, 13 goals) they should be able to score at least 1 against Salisbury and hopefully will be in 1st half. Salisbury have scored at least one goal in every home league game this season since opening day 1-0 loss at home to Tamworth, and have scored 13 goals in last 5 home games so should score at least 1 or 2 against this Macclesfield side. Again, smarter move might be to play the Over 2.5.Comment -
Bournemouth/Derby County Over 2.5 goals @ -119;
The two teams that have been involved in highest scoring games on average so far this season. Derby games average 3.47 goals per game, and Bournemouth 3.4 goals per game.Comment -
Vaughany, any thoughts on the Doncaster - Yeovill match today? Side looks dicey, but I am taking a look at under 2.5. at -110.Comment -
two shiit teams, Championship is very random. Under probably makes sense.Comment -
My book doesn't do charity. I see this over @ -105, now, I'm not a line movement/crystal ball kinda guy, but this keeps me from taking it. I see lots of games priced for under that go over, I hardly ever see an overish game that's priced too generously actually go over, unless there's a situational component to it, like players missing, heavy calendar, weird head-to-head stats etc....
Good luck and hope you cash it, if the price moves, I'll consider it as well, and there's always live bets of course.Comment -
Never mind, moved to -125 already.Comment -
bore fest in France as usual, only 1 goal out of all the games in opening 20 mins
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Over 1.75 goals 1st half @ -161 live-in-play in Brno/Plzen game (1-0, 10 mins)...Comment -
Crossbar burnnnnnComment -
Tours over hits, but all Plzen are doin is fouling Brno players
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Nice one on Tours. French L2 is a tough one for these. I like 1st half overs, Austrian 1Liga is good for them too.
Brno-Plzen was on my list too, but I won earlier, so passed.Comment -
everytime I look at bet365 play by play it says "Brno freekick"! wtfComment -
Watching teh game, Brno just had a great chance form a corner...Plzen getting into the box but not much coming from it...Comment -
yeah, will stay like this then in second half no doubt there will be a couple goals from both!
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Moderate play on Angers/Clermont Over 3 goals live-in-play @ -172 (0-2, HT)...Comment -
Plzen corner...Comment -
not doing anyting with these cornersComment
