Live Betting 2011 - It's all about timing

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  • OGUCCI-SBR
    SBR MVP
    • 10-11-10
    • 4663

    #351
    SOCCER PLAY No102

    CONMEBOL - COPA LIBERTADORES
    CERRO PORTENO - SANTOS

    10' minute 0-0
    FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

    Odds: 1.70

    Book: bet365










    Originally posted by escou
    deffinetely if you ask me



    Originally posted by Socrates
    good picks in here.
    Thank you.
    Comment
    • Herd_ya
      SBR Rookie
      • 02-18-11
      • 12

      #352
      I did the same, hit it big time. Win!
      Comment
      • OGUCCI-SBR
        SBR MVP
        • 10-11-10
        • 4663

        #353
        Originally posted by Herd_ya
        I did the same, hit it big time. Win!
        Haha, perfect. Just after three minutes.



        BET No102 - Cerro Porteno vs Santos / 10' minute 0-0 / FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS / Odds: 1.70 - WON

        Winnahh



        SOCCER RECORD 64-0-38
        Comment
        • OGUCCI-SBR
          SBR MVP
          • 10-11-10
          • 4663

          #354
          SOCCER PLAY No103

          ARGENTINA - NACIONAL B
          ATLETICO RAFAELA - DEPORTIVO MERLO

          06' minute 0-0
          FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

          Odds: 1.60

          Book: bet365
          Comment
          • OGUCCI-SBR
            SBR MVP
            • 10-11-10
            • 4663

            #355
            BET No103 - Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Merlo / 06' minute 0-0 / FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS / Odds: 1.60 - WON

            GOAL by Castro in the 31st minute



            SOCCER RECORD 65-0-38
            Comment
            • OGUCCI-SBR
              SBR MVP
              • 10-11-10
              • 4663

              #356
              SOCCER PLAY No104

              USA - MLS
              PORTLAND TIMBERS - CHICAGO FIRE

              00' minute 0-0
              FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

              Odds: 1.53

              Book: bet365
              Comment
              • actionjunkee
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-15-10
                • 124

                #357
                i would REALLY like to see your UNITS EARNED along with your record. 60 wins 34 losses pretty good!

                at $100 per unit, 1 unit per wager...
                if you are 60-34, and your odds are 1.6 (bet $100 to win $60)
                then you're at PLUS 2 UNITS-- right?
                (60*60=$3600 won, minus 34*100=$3400 lost, =$200 profit)

                if your odds are 1.9, you're at +20units, +$2,000
                if your odds are 1.8, you're at +14units, +$1,400
                if your odds are 1.7, you're at +8units, +$800 (am i correct here)

                i'm just wondering because it looks reeeally fun, but after a while its just 2 units profit...
                Comment
                • actionjunkee
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-15-10
                  • 124

                  #358
                  well oops i guess i wasnt on the latest page...now that your record is 65-38...
                  your units earned, IF all the wagers were at 1.60 odds, is +1, or $100.
                  (hope i'm doin this right)
                  Comment
                  • OGUCCI-SBR
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-11-10
                    • 4663

                    #359
                    Originally posted by actionjunkee
                    i would REALLY like to see your UNITS EARNED along with your record. 60 wins 34 losses pretty good!

                    at $100 per unit, 1 unit per wager...
                    if you are 60-34, and your odds are 1.6 (bet $100 to win $60)
                    then you're at PLUS 2 UNITS-- right?
                    (60*60=$3600 won, minus 34*100=$3400 lost, =$200 profit)

                    if your odds are 1.9, you're at +20units, +$2,000
                    if your odds are 1.8, you're at +14units, +$1,400
                    if your odds are 1.7, you're at +8units, +$800 (am i correct here)

                    i'm just wondering because it looks reeeally fun, but after a while its just 2 units profit...
                    Originally posted by actionjunkee
                    well oops i guess i wasnt on the latest page...now that your record is 65-38...
                    your units earned, IF all the wagers were at 1.60 odds, is +1, or $100.
                    (hope i'm doin this right)


                    Not sure what you're trying to prove here. I never said that anyone should follow and it's the most profitable thing you'll find anywhere. But if you're bringing this up I might give you a little clarification:

                    My minimum sum (as you call it 1 Unit) is 100$
                    Not all my bets are played at 1 unit. I almost never play 1 unit, only when it's a risky one and minimum ~2.50/3.00 odds
                    My first 25~ bets didn't have a good record (55%~) plus the average odds weren't high as well.
                    Then I increased the odds and sharpened up my winning rate too. At some point I had 17 wins from 20 etc
                    Almost every of my BIG plays has hit. I think I lost only one. And no I'm not 100-200 bucks up if you want a precise number I will check all my books but it's somewhere around 3,700€


                    You see, everyone knows this Unit thing is bullshit in a way. (not generally but for a forum definitely) Here's why:

                    Some of the people can have a 100wins/160 losses record and still be on positive Units.
                    Now tell me this - what good is it to those who follow his bets ?

                    1) They can't follow every his bet. It's simply impossible. They haven't had every single of his 260 bets he's had.
                    For instance they catch his every 3rd 4th bet but his winning rate is 38% something, what's the chance of those people winning anything ? All three bets may easily be losses. He's won some good HUGE bets and that's what keeping his record positive. The record and positive units with earnings works only for him and no one else. (Unless you've definitely had every single of his bets).


                    But here for example I'm having a 70% winning rate. Means 7 of 10 are winners, only 3 from 10 lose.
                    He will never catch all 10, hereto it's live-betting which makes it even tougher. But the chance of catching the winner is real big.

                    All I will say to you is, thanks for bothering but don't worry about me I'm fine. Never was in red and never will be cause this thing is working. It seems to be working fine for those who follow me too - if not then please don't cause you will only lose your money.
                    Comment
                    • moseholm
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-25-11
                      • 70

                      #360
                      This system is perfect, i have almost won a half house on this
                      Comment
                      • escou
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 1042

                        #361
                        I dont think that actionjunkie was tryin' to say anything against our nice small community here If he was shame on him, I haven't really calculated the winnings from this thread, cuz I play alot of other bets too, BUT I can confirm that OGUCCI's pettern works perfectly well and not sure if my man has talent or luck BUT HE IS GOOD!!! Thank you for the thread
                        Comment
                        • Munjoz
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-02-10
                          • 574

                          #362
                          nice job
                          Comment
                          • escou
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-17-11
                            • 1042

                            #363
                            Originally posted by Munjoz
                            nice job
                            you are not so bad yourself
                            Comment
                            • OGUCCI-SBR
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-11-10
                              • 4663

                              #364
                              Originally posted by moseholm
                              This system is perfect, i have almost won a half house on this
                              Haha, glad to hear that.



                              Originally posted by escou
                              I dont think that actionjunkie was tryin' to say anything against our nice small community here If he was shame on him, I haven't really calculated the winnings from this thread, cuz I play alot of other bets too, BUT I can confirm that OGUCCI's pettern works perfectly well and not sure if my man has talent or luck BUT HE IS GOOD!!! Thank you for the thread
                              Not pissed or anything Simply explained him how this thing really works out for me.
                              Thanks man, I'm not that good but will definitely try to perfect my winning rate.


                              Originally posted by Munjoz
                              nice job
                              Thanks, as escou already mentioned - you're not that bad yourself. You're very good actually.





                              ---




                              BET No104 - Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire / 00' minute 0-0 / FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS / Odds: 1.53 - WON

                              2-0 at halftime if not mistaken.
                              Winner nevertheless.



                              SOCCER RECORD 66-0-38
                              Comment
                              • OGUCCI-SBR
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-11-10
                                • 4663

                                #365
                                SOCCER PLAY No105

                                RUSSIA - DIVISION 1
                                KAMAZ NAB CHELNY - NISCHI NOVGOROD

                                08' minute 0-0
                                FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

                                Odds: 1.72

                                Book: bet365
                                Comment
                                • Brazilian soccer
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-04-10
                                  • 1589

                                  #366
                                  Play !!! Play !!! Play!!!

                                  Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                  http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                  Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                  0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                  Balance:
                                  Comment
                                  • Brazilian soccer
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-04-10
                                    • 1589

                                    #367
                                    I'll do double or nothing with $ 100 for 10 games. I'll select some of their games carefully and pray!
                                    Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                    http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                    Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                    0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                    Balance:
                                    Comment
                                    • escou
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-17-11
                                      • 1042

                                      #368
                                      There are 3 good Albanian games at the moment for our purpose

                                      two of them went over 0.5 the other one had 4 minutes added time and lots of possibilites for goal but unfortunately ..... tough luck sorry if I mislead someone
                                      Comment
                                      • OGUCCI-SBR
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-11-10
                                        • 4663

                                        #369
                                        Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
                                        I'll do double or nothing with $ 100 for 10 games. I'll select some of their games carefully and pray!
                                        Best of luck man.




                                        Originally posted by escou
                                        There are 3 good Albanian games at the moment for our purpose

                                        two of them went over 0.5 the other one had 4 minutes added time and lots of possibilites for goal but unfortunately ..... tough luck sorry if I mislead someone
                                        Better luck next time man
                                        No more bets from me today. Friday night, sorry.
                                        Comment
                                        • OGUCCI-SBR
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-11-10
                                          • 4663

                                          #370
                                          SOCCER PLAY No106

                                          FRANCE - LIGUE 1
                                          LILLE OSC - BORDEAUX

                                          09' minute 0-0
                                          FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

                                          Odds: 1.60

                                          Book: bet365
                                          Comment
                                          • escou
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-17-11
                                            • 1042

                                            #371
                                            hehe very strange to see you here friday night oups saturday
                                            Comment
                                            • OGUCCI-SBR
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-11-10
                                              • 4663

                                              #372
                                              SOCCER PLAY No107

                                              TURKEY - SUPER LIG
                                              SIVASSPOR - KASIMPASA

                                              20' minute 0-0
                                              FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

                                              Odds: 1.95

                                              Book: bet365
                                              Comment
                                              • escou
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-17-11
                                                • 1042

                                                #373
                                                not a good start for the day .. crush em next time
                                                Comment
                                                • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-11-10
                                                  • 4663

                                                  #374
                                                  SOCCER PLAY No108

                                                  SCOTLAND - FA CUP
                                                  ABERDEEN FC - CELTIC FC

                                                  16' minute 0-0
                                                  FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

                                                  Odds: 1.66

                                                  Book: bet365



                                                  SOCCER RECORD 66-0-41
                                                  Comment
                                                  • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-11-10
                                                    • 4663

                                                    #375
                                                    SOCCER PLAY No109

                                                    TURKEY - SUPER LIG
                                                    SIVASSPOR - KASIMPASA

                                                    64' minute 0-0
                                                    OVER 0.5 GOALS

                                                    Odds: 1.61

                                                    Book: bet365


                                                    escou - yeah, shitty start.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • escou
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                      • 1042

                                                      #376
                                                      Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                                                      SOCCER PLAY No109

                                                      TURKEY - SUPER LIG
                                                      SIVASSPOR - KASIMPASA

                                                      64' minute 0-0
                                                      OVER 0.5 GOALS

                                                      Odds: 1.61

                                                      Book: bet365


                                                      escou - yeah, shitty start.

                                                      hit it
                                                      Comment
                                                      • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-11-10
                                                        • 4663

                                                        #377
                                                        Originally posted by escou
                                                        hit it
                                                        Yeah, but a tough start.



                                                        SOCCER RECORD 67-0-42
                                                        Comment
                                                        • escou
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-17-11
                                                          • 1042

                                                          #378
                                                          NEC-Ajax over 1.5 1st half
                                                          Comment
                                                          • escou
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 1042

                                                            #379
                                                            Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                                                            Yeah, but a tough start.



                                                            SOCCER RECORD 67-0-42

                                                            you know there are dark days like that, but the sun WILL shine again
                                                            and yeah celtic scores 48 min HA HA jokers
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-11-10
                                                              • 4663

                                                              #380
                                                              Originally posted by escou
                                                              you know there are dark days like that, but the sun WILL shine again
                                                              and yeah celtic scores 48 min HA HA jokers
                                                              haha, yes that was so fuken obvious.

                                                              BUT I just saw that they missed a penalty-kick in the 19th minute. fucckers.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • escou
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-17-11
                                                                • 1042

                                                                #381
                                                                haha well yeah murphies rules find appliacation in all strange places
                                                                Comment
                                                                • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-11-10
                                                                  • 4663

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Originally posted by escou
                                                                  haha well yeah murphies rules find appliacation in all strange places
                                                                  Haha, so true. Now they're 3-0 up after 15 minutes and guess how the 3rd goal was scored ?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • escou
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                                    • 1042

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                                                                    Haha, so true. Now they're 3-0 up after 15 minutes and guess how the 3rd goal was scored ?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • escou
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                                      • 1042

                                                                      #384
                                                                      Originally posted by escou
                                                                      NEC-Ajax over 1.5 1st half

                                                                      ajax went home
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-11-10
                                                                        • 4663

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Originally posted by escou
                                                                        ajax went home
                                                                        Sulejmani !!!
                                                                        Comment
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