Smogs Bet of the Year

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Smogs
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 4173

    #1
    Smogs Bet of the Year
    I haven't been a prolific poster on SBR this year but i've moved to Cape Town for work, i'm settled, and ready to bet on football this year.
    I've been surprised i haven't even bet little amounts of football, but probably gladly so because i'd have placed a wager on Boro to win the Championship

    Onto tonight's one and only bet, i am making it my bet of the year because truth be told, i have waited for this bet for a week.
    The only thing that would have put me off was the odds but even they are tasty.

    The bet: Nottingham Forest/Middlesbrough - Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 (4/5) Diamond Sportsbook - 6 Units

    Anyone who remembers my bet of the year last year was 4 units on Boro/Newcastle which i came out entirely break even on since it was a high scoring draw.
    I don't make 1000 unit bets or anything daft like that, but this is a lot of money to me.

    To start with my team, Boro have been awful this year, and to see them where they are is a shock. They haven't been able to defend at all, something which i thought Strachan would be good at organising. With him now gone, i expect a little focus to enter the team, and a huge wake up call if nothing else.
    I don't rate our defenders, and a manager change will not help anything on that front for this game but what is key is that games between these two clubs are generally low scoring in recent memory.

    Last year saw a 1-0 home win, and the year before saw a 1-1 draw in the Carling Cup. Boro have gone over the 2.5 mark in their last 7 straight games but Forest are the opposite of Boro, with just 3 overs and 8 unders.
    Just one of their first 5 home games have gone over and whilst the majority have been 1-1, i think Boro will struggle more offensively.

    Forest are a good footballing side, and will be able to cope with our strikeforce, who have scored just 12 all season. We have conceded 20 but with Forest a little lacklustre in front of goal with just 12 themselves, this could actually be quite a drab and nervous game.
    We have scored just 2 goals away, in 5 matches and struggle to create at all. Forest have 7 home goals with just 5 conceded and the value i believe is with the under.
    If this game was played 10 times i think at least 6 would go under, making this a +ev bet.

    Good luck to anyone who plays this game, i see it ending 2-0 Forest and continuing Boro's slide towards League 1
  • Czu81
    SBR MVP
    • 10-25-09
    • 1082

    #2
    looks solid bet. GLGL!
    Comment
    • Mr.Kitty
      SBR MVP
      • 11-10-09
      • 1880

      #3
      Strikers Earnshaw and Tyson are missing for Nottingham, which must be a positive factor for your under bet. BOL Smogs
      Comment
      • Smogs
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-08
        • 4173

        #4
        Originally posted by Mr.Kitty
        Strikers Earnshaw and Tyson are missing for Nottingham, which must be a positive factor for your under bet. BOL Smogs
        Excellent news - i missed that in my research, just hoping McGugan and Blackstock stay quiet also
        Comment
        • Slainte
          SBR MVP
          • 12-13-09
          • 2442

          #5
          Not tailing football bets of the year is a sin! GL to us
          Comment
          • pouroupoupou
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-13-10
            • 971

            #6
            good luck.I'll follow you
            Comment
            • infamousbacardi
              SBR MVP
              • 03-16-08
              • 4556

              #7
              BOL Smogs!!
              Comment
              • mighty maron
                SBR MVP
                • 04-20-09
                • 4215

                #8
                best of luck...tempted to tail on this.
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  Good to see you, Smogs.

                  BOL with your play.
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    With you buddy. lets get it.
                    Comment
                    • Smogs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-08
                      • 4173

                      #11
                      Thanks for all your support guys, i am not the best handicapper but i have found a game and an angle which i am very confident with, so i hope any tailers cash this with me and we end the night with a smile
                      Comment
                      • steviec27
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 06-20-10
                        • 438

                        #12
                        GL smogs I'm rooting for ya, but hope 2-0 forest is wrong and Boro scrape it
                        Comment
                        • Almighty 1ne
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-12-10
                          • 46

                          #13
                          Looking very good at half! I was going to tail but my local book didnt have a good line
                          Comment
                          • Smogs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-08
                            • 4173

                            #14
                            Come on under, 0-0 coming into half time
                            Comment
                            • theplagy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-21-09
                              • 1915

                              #15
                              looking good smog, even though i missed the train, GL
                              Comment
                              • GoldRush7
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-27-09
                                • 2014

                                #16
                                looking very good so far
                                Comment
                                • steviec27
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-20-10
                                  • 438

                                  #17
                                  Looking good at HT, Boro should be in front though theyre set up much more attacking and have had good chances to take the lead.
                                  BOL for the second half lets cash this
                                  Comment
                                  • LostBankroll
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-10-10
                                    • 4538

                                    #18
                                    Missed this thread. But looking good nil nil draw at half.
                                    Comment
                                    • GoldRush7
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-27-09
                                      • 2014

                                      #19
                                      Nice winner, thanks for the play!
                                      Comment
                                      • Poppa Catfish
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-22-10
                                        • 3352

                                        #20
                                        Wonderful play. Thanks a million
                                        Comment
                                        • OGUCCI-SBR
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-11-10
                                          • 4663

                                          #21
                                          Congrats, man.
                                          Great pick
                                          Comment
                                          • steviec27
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 06-20-10
                                            • 438

                                            #22
                                            Well done mate great win to start off your season

                                            Pity boro are awful eh
                                            Comment
                                            • hustla
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-20-09
                                              • 1235

                                              #23
                                              nice one
                                              Comment
                                              • bostonbruins
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-02-08
                                                • 3272

                                                #24
                                                Nice hit
                                                Comment
                                                • ukbsktbll
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-25-09
                                                  • 2048

                                                  #25
                                                  shoot wish I saw this earlier but great hit none the less
                                                  Comment
                                                  • beeps220
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                    • 4227

                                                    #26
                                                    Excellent pick
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Larsson_76
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 07-28-10
                                                      • 75

                                                      #27
                                                      nice one i followed you one this one =)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • infamousbacardi
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-16-08
                                                        • 4556

                                                        #28
                                                        Nice job today Smogs!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jagaf22
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-08
                                                          • 2932

                                                          #29
                                                          Nice call Smogs!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Slainte
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-13-09
                                                            • 2442

                                                            #30
                                                            Excellent
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lakerboy
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-02-09
                                                              • 94379

                                                              #31
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hedgejob
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-21-09
                                                                • 2561

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JOHON8
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                                  • 7712

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Smart play Smogs.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SoV
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-21-10
                                                                    • 6420

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good stuff, my man. How's Cape Town? Infinitely better than Boro, I bet.
                                                                    FML

                                                                    http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-han...scussions.html
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Wilforth
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 05-10-08
                                                                      • 16309

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...